BackgroundPre-diagnostic disturbances in the microbiome-derived metabolome have been associated with an increased risk of diabetes in non-pregnant populations. However, the roles of microbiome-derived metabolites, the end-products of microbial metabolism, in gestational diabetes (GDM) remain understudied. We examined the prospective association of microbiome-derived metabolites in early to mid-pregnancy with GDM risk in a diverse population.MethodsWe conducted a prospective discovery and validation study, including a case–control sample of 91 GDM and 180 non-GDM individuals within the multi-racial/ethnic The Pregnancy Environment and Lifestyle Study (PETALS) as the discovery set, a random sample from the PETALS (42 GDM, 372 non-GDM) as validation set 1, and a case–control sample (35 GDM, 70 non-GDM) from the Gestational Weight Gain and Optimal Wellness randomized controlled trial as validation set 2. We measured untargeted fasting serum metabolomics at gestational weeks (GW) 10–13 and 16–19 by gas chromatography/time-of-flight mass spectrometry (TOF–MS), liquid chromatography (LC)/quadrupole TOF–MS, and hydrophilic interaction LC/quadrupole TOF–MS. GDM was diagnosed using the 3-h, 100-g oral glucose tolerance test according to the Carpenter-Coustan criteria around GW 24–28.ResultsAmong 1362 annotated compounds, we identified 140 of gut microbiome metabolism origin. Multivariate enrichment analysis illustrated that carbocyclic acids and branched-chain amino acid clusters at GW 10–13 and the unsaturated fatty acids cluster at GW 16–19 were positively associated with GDM risk (FDR < 0.05). At GW 10–13, the prediction model that combined conventional risk factors and LASSO-selected microbiome-derived metabolites significantly outperformed the model with only conventional risk factors including fasting glucose (discovery AUC: 0.884 vs. 0.691; validation 1: 0.945 vs. 0.731; validation 2: 0.987 vs. 0.717; all P < 0.01). At GW 16–19, similar results were observed (discovery AUC: 0.802 vs. 0.691, P < 0.01; validation 1: 0.826 vs. 0.780; P = 0.10).ConclusionsDysbiosis in microbiome-derived metabolites is present early in pregnancy among individuals progressing to GDM.