All-cause Hospital Admissions Research Articles

Impact of a clinician-to-clinician electronic consultation program in heart failure patients with previous hospitalization. Implications for heart failure multidisciplinary management

Abstract Background A clinician-to-clinician electronic consultation (e-consultation) programme may not only improve the accessibility to care but may also impact patient outcomes, particularly in heart failure (HF) patients with a previous episode of hospitalization (HFH), group of patients associated with a worse outcome. Purpose To evaluate the impact of an outpatient care management programme that includes a clinician-to-clinician e-consultation on delay time in care, hospital admissions, and mortality in a high-risk group of patients with heart failure (HF) and previous episodes of HF hospitalization (HFH). Materials and methods We selected 6444 HF patients who visited the cardiology service at least once between 2010 and 2021. Of these, 4146 were attended in e-consultation, and 2230 had previous HFH (Fig 1a). Using an interrupted time series regression model, we analysed the impact of incorporating e-consultation into the healthcare model in the group of patients with HFH and evaluated the elapsed time to cardiology care, HF, cardiovascular (CV), and all-cause hospital admissions and mortality, calculating the incidence relative risk (iRR). We performed a multivariate logistic regression for each of these outcomes in both groups. Results Patients with HFH had a higher prevalence of men (P < 0.001) but had a similar age (P = 0.267) compared to patients without HFH. Patients with HFH had a higher prevalence of diabetes (P < 0.001), ischaemic heart disease (P = 0.036), and peripheral arterial disease (P = 0.008) (Fig 1b). In the group of patients with HFH, the introduction of e-consult substantially decreased waiting times to cardiology care (8.6 [8.7] vs. 55.4 [79.9] days, P < 0.001) (Fig 2a). In that group of patients, after e-consult implantation, hospital admissions for HF were reduced (iRR [95%CI]: 0.837 [0.840–0.833]), 0.900 [0.862–0.949] for CV and 0.699 [0.678–0.726] for all-cause hospitalizations (Fig 2b). There was also lower mortality (iRR [95%CI]: 0.715 [0.657–0.798] due to HF, 0.737 [0.764–0.706] for CV and 0.687 [0.652–0.718] for all-cause) (Fig 2c). The improved outcomes after e-consultation implementation were significantly higher in the group of patients with previous HFH. The multivariate analyses showed a higher risk of hospitalizations in men, patients with HFH, and those who required more emergency department assistance (Fig 2d). Conclusions In patients with HFH, an outpatient care programme that includes an e-consultation significantly reduced waiting times to cardiology care and was safe, with a lower rate of hospital admissions and mortality in the first year. Our results may have implications for optimize the heart failure care organization.Figure 1Figure 2

Time taken for cardiology care and one-year results for primary care physicians' referrals for cardiology consultation in heart failure patients: clinical implications for heart failure management

Abstract Background and Purpose The clinical trajectory of patients with heart failure (HF) is characterised by frequent episodes of decompensation requiring urgent medical assistance, hospitalisations, and an increased risk of mortality. HF clinical guidelines recommend early visits by health professionals after hospital discharge, yet little evidence exists regarding the associations between delayed medical attention and outcomes in HF patients. To assess the clinical impact of the time taken to receive cardiology care for referrals from primary care physicians (PCPs) to a cardiology department in HF patients, we selected 6,859 HF patients who visited the cardiology service at least once between 2010 and 2021. Methods Using an interrupted time series regression model, we analysed the impact of integrating e-consultations into the healthcare model (implemented in 2013) and evaluated the time taken to receive cardiology care, as well as all-cause, cardiovascular (CV), and HF-related hospital admissions and mortality. The primary objective of this analysis was to examine the associations between delays in cardiology care following a PCP referral and 1-year outcomes (HF-related, cardiovascular, and total hospitalisations; and HF-related, cardiovascular, and total mortality). Results Almost 50% were women, and the mean age was 77.8 years. Arterial hypertension (79.6%), diabetes (34%), atrial fibrillation (51.4%), ischemic heart disease (20.4%), and cerebrovascular disease were the most prevalent comorbidities. The mean time from PCP referral to cardiology consultation in the overall population was 22.3 days: <8 days in 53.9%, 8-14 days in 17.1%, 15-30 days in 15.9%, and >30 days in 13.0% of patients, respectively. One year after cardiology consultation, 68.6% of patients required assistance in an Emergency Department; 22.5% were hospitalised for any cause, 14.9% for cardiovascular reasons, and 9.2% for HF-related issues. Moreover, total mortality at 1-year was 8.6%, comprising 4.3% cardiovascular mortality and 1.3% HF-related deaths. Multivariate analysis of the relationship between the time taken to receive cardiology care and 1-year outcomes revealed a significant increased risk associated with a longer delay in cardiology assistance, particularly evident in the subgroup of patients with previous hospital admissions due to worsening HF (see Table). Conclusions Throughout the follow-up period, a reduced time taken to receive care was independently associated with better 1-year outcomes. We believe that our experience can contribute to the development of a more efficient ambulatory care pathway for HF patients, especially those at high risk, such as those with a history of hospitalisation due to worsening events. Our findings further support the clinical guideline recommendation for early contact by health professionals following hospital discharge, extending it to include PCP referrals for cardiology consultations.

A novel marker of cardiovascular risk stratification: the role of total cardiovascular calcium score using cardiac CT

Abstract Introduction It is widely accepted that coronary and valve calcification measured by cardiac CT, individually, are associated with cardiovascular events and mortality. However, the role of an encompassing marker of cardiovascular atherosclerosis could be more representative of the real cardiovascular risk. Objectives To determine the prognostic value of a combined coronary, valvular and aortic calcium score to predict long-term major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). Methods We conducted a single center study on 316 consecutive patients who underwent cardiac CT scan between January 2018 and December 2019. We excluded patients with poor imaging quality, constrictive pericarditis, prosthetic valves and/or devices. The calcium score of coronary arteries (CA), mitral valve (MV), aortic valve (AoV), ascending aorta (AAo) and aortic arch (AAc) were calculated from non-contrast ECG-gated CT using the Agatston method and were combined to derive a valvular (VA=MV+AoV), total cardiac (TC=CA+VA) and total cardiovascular (TCV=TC+AAo+AAc) calcium scores (Fig.1A). The primary endpoint was a composite of MACCE, defined as all-cause death, stroke, myocardial infarction and hospital admission for heart failure. Results A total of 275 CT scans were suitable for analysis. Mean age was 59.6±12.3 years, 48.4% were female. A total of 183 (66.7%) patients presented calcification in at least one location. Patients with calcification on any of the prespecified locations had higher prevalence of hypertension, dyslipidemia and type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) than those without any calcium (p<0.05). After a median follow-up of 3.18 [IQR 2.84-3.69] years, 40 (14.5%) patients had met the primary endpoint. Regression analyses demonstrated that all CA, VA, TC and TCV scores were independent predictors of MACCE (p<0.05 for all). The best prediction models included calcium score (all combinations), age, sex, type 2 DM and smoking status (Fig.1B). The model with TCV score was the most powerful predictor of MACCE (χ2 47.8), followed by TC score (χ2 43.1). Of interest, the model with CA score had the poorest performance (χ2 35.4). Conclusion Coronary calcium score is a quick way to stratify risk in clinical practice, but its performance is too focused on coronary events. Total cardiovascular calcium score, however, is more encompassing, also quick to measure, and a more truthful depiction of the patient’s cardiac and cerebrovascular risk, potentially allowing a more tailored and timely approach to risk factors in clinical practice.

Electronic consultation from primary care to a cardiology department improves outcomes in patients with cancer

Abstract Background The number of cancer patients with known cardiovascular (CV) disease is increasing due to improved cancer prognosis. Purpose The objective of this study is to assess the long-term results of cancer patients referred to a cardiology department by primary care using electronic consultation (e-consultation). Methods We analysed the patients with previous diagnosis of cancer referred to a cardiology department (CD) from 2010 to 2021 (n=6.889), selected from a total of 68.518 patients (61.629 without cancer), and compared two assistance models: in-person practice (from 2010 to 2012) and e-consultation (from 2013 to 2021). In the first period, all the patients referred by primary care physicians (PCPs) were seen in an in-person consultation and in the e-consultation model the cardiologist reviewed the electronic records (e-consultation) and decided to solve without any visit or, if it was necessary, with an in-person consultation. The outcomes between both periods were analysed using an interrupted time series regression model: 1) delay time to cardiology assistance; 2) all-cause and cardiovascular hospital admissions, and 3) all-cause and cardiovascular mortality during the first year after the initial consultation or e-consultation to the CD. Results Among cancer patients referred to cardiology consultation, the introduction of e-consultation decreased waiting times to cardiology care by 51,8% (95% CI: 51,7%-51,9%) (Fig 1). Over 60% of referrals were resolved in less than 8 days, with this proportion significantly higher after the e-consultation program was introduced (p<0,001). Furthermore, we observed a reduction in the one-year rate of outcomes, with an incidence rate ratio (iRR) [IC 95%] of 0,75 [0,73-0,77] for CV-related hospitalizations (Fig 2b), 0,43 [0,42-0,44] for all-cause hospitalization (Fig 2a), and 0,87 [0,86-0,88] for all-cause mortality. In the multivariate analysis, the delay in receiving cardiology care was significantly associated with an independent increase in 1-year mortality (OR [95% CI] 1,39 [1,06-1,83]) and hospital admission (OR [95% CI] 1,25 [1,02-1,52]). Furthermore, the implementation of the e-consult model was associated with a reduction in hospital admission rates (OR [95% CI] 0,19 [0,14-0,25]). Conclusions In comparison to the in-person consultation period, an outpatient care program that incorporates e-consultation for cancer patients significantly reduced waiting times for cardiology care and shown to be safe, associated with lower rates of hospital admissions.Figure 1Figure 2

Longitudinal assessment of the impact of prevalent diabetes on hospital admissions and mortality in the general population: a prospective population-based study with 19 years of follow-up

BackgroundHospitalization indicates the presence of severe disease and constitutes a leading cost in health care. We aimed to prospectively assess if prevalent diabetes mellitus contributes to excess all-cause and cause-specific hospital admissions and mortality at the population level.MethodsWe used a Swedish prospective population-based cohort, including 25,642 individuals of whom 4.2% had prevalent diabetes at baseline (mean age 61.2 ± 6.8 years, age range 44.8–73.4 years). We compared the number of hospitalizations and mortality classified according to the main chapters of the 10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) during follow-up using nationwide inpatient registries, comparing individuals with and without prevalent diabetes, using multivariate adjusted negative binomial regression (incidence rate ratio, IRR) and Cox regression, respectively.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 19 years, 18,904 subjects were hospitalized at least once [median 3 (IQR 2–6)] and 6767 (26.4%) individuals died. Overall, subjects with diabetes were hospitalized (IRR 1.83, p < 0.001) more often, and had a higher incidence rate of hospital admissions due to endocrine diseases (IRR 14.6, p < 0.001), dermatological diseases (IRR 3.7, p < 0.001), injuries and poisoning (IRR 2.7, p < 0.001), infectious diseases (IRR 2.5, p < 0.001), psychiatric diseases (IRR 2.0, p < 0.001), but also cardiovascular, hematological, genitourinary, neurologic and respiratory diseases compared with non-diabetic individuals. No difference was observed for hospital admissions due to cancer or musculoskeletal disorders. All-cause mortality was higher (HR 1.77, p < 0.001) in individuals with diabetes, with disease-specific mortality being significant only for cardiovascular and endocrine disease-related death.ConclusionsAt the population level, prevalent diabetes increased the hospitalization burden longitudinally due to diseases of most of the ICD-10 main chapters, except for cancer and musculoskeletal disorders. These novel findings challenge the current view on the spectrum of prevalent diabetes-related conditions and may have implications for screening and treatment strategies in diabetes.Permission of graphical illustrationsSource: Pixabay.com. No permission or acknowledgement is required.

Impact of elevated fine particulate matter (PM2.5) during landscape fire events on cardiorespiratory hospital admissions in Perth, Western Australia

BackgroundAustralia has experienced extreme fire weather in recent years. Information on the impact of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) from landscape fires (LFs) on cardiorespiratory hospital admissions is limited.MethodsWe conducted a...

Clinical symptoms, comorbidities and health outcomes among outpatients infected with the common cold coronaviruses versus influenza virus

BackgroundCommon cold coronaviruses (ccCoVs) and influenza virus are common infectious agents causing upper respiratory tract infections (RTIs). However, clinical symptoms, comorbidities, and health effects of ccCoV infection remain understudied.MethodsA retrospective study evaluated 3,935 outpatients with acute upper RTI at a tertiary teaching hospital. The presence of ccCoV and influenza virus was determined by multiplex molecular assay. The demographic, clinical symptoms, and health outcomes were compared between patients with ccCoV (n = 205) and influenza (n = 417) infections. Multivariable logistic regression was employed to evaluate predictors and health outcomes over a one-year follow-up.ResultsSore throat, nasal discharge, headache, and myalgia were more predominant in ccCoV infection; fever was common in influenza. Most patients reported moderate symptoms severity (49.8% ccCoV, 56.1% influenza). Subsequent primary care visits with symptoms of RTI within a year were comparable for both infections (27.3% ccCoV vs. 27.6% influenza). However, patients with influenza reported increased primary care visits for non-RTI episodes and all-cause hospital admission. Baseline comorbidities were associated with increased primary care visits with symptoms of RTI in either ccCoV (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.5; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1–5.9; P = 0.034) or influenza (OR 1.9; 95% CI 1.1–3.1; P = 0.017) infections, due probably to the dysregulation of the host immune response following acute infections. In patients infected with influenza infection, dyslipidemia was a predictor for subsequent primary care visits with symptoms of RTI (unadjusted OR 1.8; 95% CI 1.0–3.0; P = 0.040).ConclusionsBoth influenza and ccCoV infection pose significant disease burden, especially in patients with comorbidities. The management of comorbidities should be prioritized to mitigate poor health outcomes in infected individuals.

Association of health status and hospitalization risk for peripheral artery disease in the PORTRAIT registry.

Healthcare utilization for patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) is high, but stratifying patients' risk of hospitalization at initial evaluation is challenging. We examined the association between health status at PAD presentation and risk of (1) combined all-cause hospital admissions and emergency department (ED) visits and (2) all-cause hospital admissions. Patients with claudication enrolled at US sites in the PORTRAIT registry were included. Health status was assessed using the Peripheral Artery Questionnaire (PAQ), a PAD-specific patient-reported outcome measure. Crude overall and cause-specific hospital admissions and ED visits were reported by PAQ overall summary score (PAQ-OS) ranges (0-24, 25-49, 50-74, and 75-100). Kaplan-Meier survival and unadjusted and adjusted Cox proportional hazards models examined the association between baseline PAQ scores and (1) combined all-cause hospital admissions or ED visits and (2) all-cause hospital admissions over 12 months. Of 796 patients, 349 (44%) had a hospital admission or ED visit over 12 months. Patients in the lowest (PAQ-OS = 0-24) versus the highest range (PAQ-OS = 75-100) had higher rates of 12-month (53.3% vs 22.4%) hospital admission and ED visits. In the adjusted model, each 10-point decrease in PAQ-OS was associated with a higher risk of all-cause hospital admission and ED visits (HR = 1.1, 95% CI 1.1-1.2, p < 0.0010) and all-cause hospital admission (HR = 1.1, 95% CI 1.1-1.2, p < 0.0010) at 12 months. PAD-specific health status is associated with an increased risk of healthcare utilization. Baseline health status may help stratify risk in patients with PAD, although replication and further validation of results are necessary.

Analysis of Beyfortus® (Nirsevimab) Immunization Campaign: Effectiveness, Biases, and ADE Risks in RSV Prevention.

Respiratory infections with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) account for an important part of hospital admissions for acute respiratory infections. Nirsevimab has been developed to reduce the hospital burden of RSV infections. Compared with the product previously used, it has a stronger binding capacity to RSV F protein and a high affinity for FcRn (neonatal receptor for the Fc fragment of IgG), which extends its lifespan. Nirsevimab has been shown to be highly effective in reducing hospitalization rates of RSV infections but a large or unknown number of treated subjects have been excluded in clinical and post-marketing studies. However, analysis of these studies cannot exclude that, in rare cases, nirsevimab facilitates and worsens RSV infection (or other respiratory infections). This could be attributable to antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) which has been observed with RSV F protein antibodies in inactivated vaccine trials. This risk has been incompletely assessed in pre-clinical and clinical trials (incomplete exploration of nirsevimab effector functions and pharmacokinetics). ADE by disruption of the immune system (not studied and due to FcRn binding) could explain why there is no reduction in all-cause hospital admissions in treated age groups. Given the high price of nirsevimab, the cost-effectiveness of mass immunization campaigns may therefore be debated from an economic as well as a scientific point of view.

Sarcopenia is associated with increased major adverse cardiovascular event incidence in maintenance hemodialysis patients: a prospective cohort study and mediation analysis.

Few studies have investigated the relationship between sarcopenia and the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), which are common complications in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients. This study thus explored the association between sarcopenia and MACE in a prospective cohort with mediation analysis. Adult MHD patients in Jiangdu People's Hospital in December 2019 were screened. The exposure was sarcopenia, as defined by the 2019 Asian Working Group. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of MACE, defined as the composite of all-cause mortality or hospital admission with a primary diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure during a 3-year follow-up period. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to test the association between sarcopenia and subsequent MACE incidence. Mediation analyses were used to investigate whether potential mediators influenced the association between sarcopenia and MACE. Of the 230 patients enrolled, 57% were male, with a median age of 57 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 50 to 66), and a median dialysis vintage of 67 months (IQR: 32 to 119). The prevalence of sarcopenia was 45.2%. The presence of sarcopenia was significantly correlated with age (Spearman's r = 0.47, p < 0.001), C-reactive protein (Spearman's r = 0.13, p = 0.044), serum albumin (Spearman's r = -0.22, p < 0.001), 25(OH) vitamin D (Spearman's r = -0.26, p < 0.001), and coronary artery calcification score (Spearman's r = 0.20, p = 0.002). Over the 3-year follow-up period, MACE were observed in 59/104 (56.7%) patients with sarcopenia and 38/126 (30.2%) patients without sarcopenia (log-rank p < 0.001). After accounting for potential confounders, patients with sarcopenia presented a 66% (4-168%, p = 0.035) increase in their risk of MACE incidence as compared to non-sarcopenic individuals. However, adjusted mediation analyses did not detect any indication of a causal mediation pathway linking the effects of sarcopenic status on coronary artery calcification score, C-reactive protein, serum albumin, or 25(OH) vitamin D levels to MACE outcomes. Conversely, sarcopenia exhibited a potential direct effect (average direct effect range: -1.52 to -1.37, all p < 0.05) on MACE incidence. These results revealed that the presence of sarcopenia was associated with a higher incidence of MACE in MHD patients. The putative effects of sarcopenia on this cardiovascular endpoint are possibly not mediated by any causal pathways that include vascular calcification, inflammation, hypoalbuminemia, or vitamin D.

Effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors on cardiovascular and renal outcomes in people with diabetes and advanced chronic kidney disease.

Although the benefits of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) use in chronic kidney disease (CKD) are well established, the effects of these therapeutic agents in patients with advanced CKD are less certain. We hypothesised that the continued use of these drugs, even when renal function deteriorates to stage 4 CKD or worse, is safe and associated with improved cardiorenal survival. This is a retrospective cohort study utilising data from medical records from two institutions. All patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who were prescribed an SGLT2i between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2021, who subsequently had eGFR <30 ml/min per 1.73 m2 recorded on two occasions at least 90 days apart, were identified. The date on which the eGFR first reached any level less than 30 ml/min per 1.73 m2 was defined as the index date. Individuals were then categorised into the SGLT2i continuation group or the discontinuation group according to the use of SGLT2i after the index date. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was performed to minimise confounding. Outcomes of interest included heart failure outcomes, cardiovascular outcomes, renal outcomes and safety outcomes. According to the eligibility criteria, 337 patients in the continuation group and 358 in the discontinuation group were identified. After IPTW, continuation of SGLT2i use was associated with significantly lower risks of the composite of major adverse cardiovascular events compared with discontinuation of SGLT2i use (HR 0.65 [95% CI 0.43, 0.99]), largely driven by reduced risk of myocardial infarction during follow-up (subdistribution HR [SHR] 0.43 [95% CI 0.21, 0.89]). The incidences of an eGFR decline of 50% or more (SHR 0.58 [95% CI 0.42, 0.81]) and all-cause hospital admission (SHR 0.77 [95% CI 0.64, 0.94]) were also significantly lower in the continuation group. None of the studied safety outcomes were significantly different when comparing the two groups. Blood haemoglobin levels were significantly higher in the continuation group at the end of follow-up (114.6 g/l vs 110.4 g/l, with a difference of 4.12 g/l; p=0.047). In patients with CKD who were treated with an SGLT2i, continuation of SGLT2i use after eGFR declined to 30 ml/min per 1.73 m2 or less was associated with lower risks of cardiovascular and renal events compared with discontinuation of SGLT2i use. Continued use of SGLT2i throughout the course of CKD should be considered to optimise patient outcomes.

All-cause mortality and hospital admissions for nursing home residents during the COVID-19 pandemic: a Norwegian register-based cohort study

BackgroundThis paper investigates the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality and hospitalization among nursing home residents in Norway. While existing evidence shows that nursing home residents were overrepresented among COVID-19-related deaths, suggesting inadequate protection measures, this study argues that the observed overrepresentation in mortality and hospitalization may partly stem from the inherent frailty of this demographic. Using nationwide administrative data, we assessed excess deaths and hospitalization by comparing pandemic-era rates to those of a pre-pandemic cohort.MethodsWe compared mortality and hospitalization rates between a pandemic cohort of nursing home residents as of September 2019 (N = 30,052), and a pre-pandemic cohort as of September 2017 (N = 30,429). Both cohorts were followed monthly for two years, beginning in September 2019 and 2017, respectively. This analysis was conducted at the national level and separately for nursing home residents in areas with low, medium, and high SARS-CoV-2 community transmission. Event studies and difference-in-difference models allowed us to separate the impact of the pandemic on mortality and hospitalization from secular and seasonal changes.ResultsThe pandemic cohort experienced a non-significant 0.07 percentage points (95% confidence interval (CI): − 0.081 to 0.221) increase in all-cause mortality during the 18 months following pandemic onset, compared to the pre-pandemic cohort. Moreover, our findings indicate a substantial reduction in hospitalizations of 0.27 percentage points (95% CI: − 0.464 to − 0.135) and a non-significant decrease of 0.80 percentage points (95% CI: − 2.529 to 0.929) in the proportion of nursing home residents hospitalized before death. The effect on mortality remained consistent across regions with both high and low levels of SARS-CoV-2 community transmission.ConclusionsOur findings indicate no clear evidence of excess all-cause mortality in Norway during the pandemic, neither nationally nor in areas with high infection rates. This suggests that early implementation of nationwide and nursing home-specific infection control measures during the pandemic effectively protected nursing home residents. Furthermore, our results revealed a decrease in hospitalizations, both overall and prior to death, suggesting that nursing homes adhered to national guidelines promoting on-site treatment for residents.

Implications of child poverty reduction targets for public health and health inequalities in England: a modelling study between 2024 and 2033.

We investigated the potential impacts of child poverty (CP) reduction scenarios on population health and health inequalities in England between 2024 and 2033. We combined aggregate local authority-level data with published and newly created estimates on the association between CP and the rate per 100 000 of infant mortality, children (aged <16) looked after, child (aged <16) hospitalisations for nutritional anaemia and child (aged <16) all-cause emergency hospital admissions. We modelled relative, absolute (per 100 000) and total (per total population) annual changes for these outcomes under three CP reduction scenarios between 2024 and 2033-low-ambition (15% reduction), medium-ambition (25% reduction) and high-ambition (35% reduction)-compared with a baseline CP scenario (15% increase). Annual changes were aggregated between 2024 and 2033 at national, regional and deprivation (IMD tertiles) levels to investigate inequalities. All CP reduction scenarios would result in substantial improvements to child health. Meeting the high-ambition reduction would decrease total cases of infant mortality (293; 95% CI 118 to 461), children looked after (4696; 95% CI 1987 to 7593), nutritional anaemia (458, 95% CI 336 to 574) and emergency admissions (32 650; 95% CI 4022 to 61 126) between 2024 and 2033. Northern regions (eg, North East) exhibited the greatest relative and absolute benefit. The most deprived tertile would experience the largest relative, absolute and total benefit; under high-ambition reduction, total infant mortality cases were predicted to fall by 126 (95% CI 51 to 199) in the most deprived tertile compared with 71 (95% CI 29 to 112) in the least between 2024 and 2033. Achieving reductions in CP could substantially improve child health and reduce health inequalities in England.

Prognostic Impact of Anemia in Patients Undergoing Aortic Valve Replacement: A Nationwide Study.

Patients undergoing aortic valve replacement (AVR) have high readmission rates. Several risk factors have been proposed as potential modifiable targets, including anemia. We examined the association between anemia at discharge and subsequent outcomes in these patients. Using Danish nationwide registries, we identified all patients who underwent AVR between 2015-2021, were alive at discharge (index date), and had an available hemoglobin (Hb) measurement taken between procedure and discharge. Patients were categorized as having i) moderate/severe anemia (Hb<6.2 mmol/L) or ii) no/mild anemia (Hb≥6.2 mmol). The one-year rates of all-cause mortality, all-cause hospital admission, heart failure (HF) admission, and atrial fibrillation (AF) admission were compared using multivariable Cox regression models. 8,614 patients were identified; 2,847 (33.1%) had moderate/severe anemia (60.2% male, median age 74) and 5,767 (66.9%) had no/mild anemia (68.0% male, median age 76). For these two groups, respectively, the cumulative one-year incidences of the outcomes were: i) all-cause mortality: 5.1% vs. 4.3%; ii) all-cause admission: 53.8% vs. 47.5%; iii) AF admission: 14.0% vs. 11.6%); iv) HF admission: 6.8% vs. 6.2%. In adjusted analysis, moderate/severe anemia, compared with no/mild anemia, was associated with higher rates of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 1.27 [95%CI 1.02-1.58]), all-cause admission (HR 1.22 [95%CI 1.14-1.30]), and AF admission (HR 1.23 [95%CI 1.08-1.40]), but not HF admission (HR 1.09 [95%CI 0.91-1.31]). In patients undergoing AVR, moderate/severe anemia at discharge, compared with no/mild anemia, was associated with increased all-cause mortality, all-cause hospital admission, and AF admission, but not HF admission, at one-year post-discharge.

Multimorbidity in Incident Heart Failure: Characterisation and Impact on 1-Year Outcomes.

Background/Objectives: Heart failure (HF) is usually accompanied by other comorbidities, which, altogether, have a major impact on patients and healthcare systems. Our aim was to analyse the demographic and clinical characteristics of incident HF patients and the effect of comorbidities on one-year health outcomes. Methods: This was an observational, retrospective, population-based study of incident HF patients between 2014 and 2018 in the EpiChron Cohort, Spain. The included population contained all primary and hospital care patients with a diagnosis of HF. All chronic diseases in their electronic health records were pooled into three comorbidity clusters (cardiovascular, mental, other physical). These comorbidity groups and the health outcomes were analysed until 31 December 2018. A descriptive analysis was performed. Cox regression models and survival curves were calculated to determine the hazard risk (HR) of all-cause mortality, all-cause and HF-related hospital admissions, hospital readmissions, and emergency room visits for each comorbidity group. Results: In total, 13,062 incident HF patients were identified (mean age = 82.0 years; 54.8% women; 93.7% multimorbid; mean of 4.52 ± 2.06 chronic diseases). After one-year follow-up, there were 3316 deaths (25.3%) and 4630 all-cause hospitalisations (35.4%). After adjusting by gender, age, and inpatient/outpatient status, the mental cluster was associated (HR; 95% confidence interval) with a higher HR of death (1.08; 1.01-1.16) and all-cause hospitalisation (1.09; 1.02-1.16). Conclusions: Cardiovascular comorbidities are the most common and studied ones in HF patients; however, they are not the most strongly associated with negative impacts on health outcomes in these patients. Our findings suggest the importance of a holistic and integral approach in the care of HF patients and the need to take into account the entire spectrum of comorbidities for improving HF management in clinical practice.

Healthcare Use and Costs in Children Receiving Home Mechanical Ventilation in Ontario: A 14-Year Cohort Study.

Rationale: Home mechanical ventilation (HMV) is an advanced medical therapy offered to children with medical complexity. Despite the growing pediatric HMV population in North America, there are limited studies describing healthcare use and predictors of highest costs using robust health administrative data. Objectives: To describe patterns of healthcare use and costs in children receiving HMV over a 14-year period in Ontario, Canada. Methods: We conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study (April 1, 2003, to March 31, 2017) of children aged 0-18 years receiving HMV via invasive mechanical ventilation or noninvasive ventilation. Paired t tests compared healthcare system use and costs 2 years before and 2 years after HMV approval. We developed linear models to analyze variables associated with children in the top quartile of health service use and costs. Results: We identified 835 children receiving HMV. In the 2 years after HMV approval compared with the 2 years prior, children had decreased hospitalization days (median, 9 [interquartile range, 3-30] vs. 29 [6-99]; P < 0.0001) and intensive care unit admission days (6.6 [1.9-18.0] vs. 17.1 [3.3-70.9]; P < 0.0001) but had increased homecare service approvals (195 [24-522] vs. 40 [12-225]; P < 0.0001) and outpatient pulmonology visits (3 [1-4] vs. 2 [1-3]; P < 0.0001). Total healthcare costs were higher in the 2 years after HMV approval (mean, CAD$164,892 [standard deviation, CAD$214,187] vs. CAD$128,941 [CAD$194,199]; P < 0.0001). However, all-cause hospital admission costs were reduced (CAD$66,546 [CAD$142,401] vs. CAD$81,578 [CAD$164,672]; P < 0.0001). The highest total 2-year costs were associated with invasive mechanical ventilation (odds ratio [OR], 3.45; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.24-5.31; reference noninvasive ventilation), number of medical devices at home (OR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.35-1.96; reference no technology), and increased healthcare costs in the year before HMV initiation (OR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.84-2.69). Conclusions: Children progressing to the need for HMV represent a worsening in their respiratory status that will undoubtedly increase healthcare use and costs. We found that the initiation of HMV in these children can reduce inpatient healthcare use and costs but can still increase overall healthcare expenditures, especially in the outpatient setting.

Overview of Cochrane Systematic Reviews on Interventions for Rehabilitation in People with Ischemic Heart Disease: A Mapping Synthesis.

Objectives: This overview of Cochrane Systematic Reviews (CSRs) reports on current evidence and its certainty of the effectiveness of interventions for the rehabilitation of people with ischemic heart disease (IHD), included in the World Health Organization Rehabilitation Programme Package of Interventions for Rehabilitation. Methods: We included all the CSRs relevant to people with IHD. We used a mapping synthesis to group outcomes and comparisons of included CSRs, indicating the effectiveness of interventions for rehabilitation and the certainty of evidence. Results: The evidence map included a total of 13 CSRs. The effect of the interventions varied across comparisons, and the certainty of evidence was inconsistent, ranging from high to very low. We found the best evidence for exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation in the reduction of fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction and all-cause hospital admission up to 12 months follow-up. Also, combined interventions (work-directed interventions, physical conditioning interventions, and psychological interventions) reduce the days needed for returning to work. Conclusions: The current effect and certainty of evidence for several comparisons investigated support the role of exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation in the management of people with IHD, specifically reducing the risk of fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction and hospitalisation. However, our findings highlight the lack of high-certainty evidence about hard endpoints, particularly total mortality. Future research should prioritise these primary endpoints to enhance the credibility of cardiac rehabilitation.

Real-world evidence of sotrovimab effectiveness for preventing severe outcomes in patients with COVID-19: A quality improvement propensity-matched retrospective cohort study of a pan-provincial program in Alberta, Canada

ObjectivesPost-marketing surveillance of sotrovimab's effect during implementation in the Canadian population is limited. MethodsThe study used a propensity score–matched retrospective cohort design. Follow-up began between the periods of December 15, 2021 and April 30 2022. The study assessed any severe outcome defined as all-cause hospital admission or mortality within 30 days of a confirmed COVID-19–positive test. Covariate-adjusted odds ratios between sotrovimab treatment and the severe outcome was conducted using logistic regression. ResultsThere were 22,289 individuals meeting the treatment criteria for sotrovimab. There were 1603 treated and 6299 untreated individuals included in the analysis. The outcome occurrence in the study was 5.49% (treated) and 4.21% (untreated), with a median time from diagnosis to treatment of 1.00 days (interquartile range 2.00 days). In the propensity-matched cohort, sotrovimab was not associated with lower odds of a severe outcome (odds ratio 1.20, 95% confidence interval 0.91-1.58), adjusting for confounding variables. ConclusionsAfter adjusting for confounding variables, sotrovimab treatment was not associated with lower odds of a severe outcome within 30-days of COVID-19–positive date.

Early Access to First-Seizure Clinics, Subsequent Outcomes, and Factors Associated With Attendance

First-seizure clinics (FSCs) aim to deliver prompt specialist care to patients with new-onset undifferentiated seizure events. To determine whether FSC attendance and time to FSC are associated with subsequent health care utilization and mortality and to investigate factors associated with FSC nonattendance. This was a record-linkage, retrospective, cohort study of patients who booked appointments at 2 FSCs between 2007 and 2018. Patients' records were linked to state-wide administrative databases between 2000 and 2021. The setting comprised the FSCs of 2 major metropolitan public hospitals in Melbourne, Australia, providing national inpatient and outpatient adult epilepsy services. Of patients who booked appointments at the FSCs, those who were successfully linked for analysis were included in the study. Patients who recorded only canceled appointments were excluded from analysis of outcomes. Study data were analyzed from January 2000 to December 2021. FSC attendance. Subsequent all-cause and seizure-related emergency department (ED) presentations and hospital admissions. Of 10 162 patients with appointments at FSCs, 9392 were linked for analysis, with mean (SD) follow-up time 6.9 (2.8) years after FSC referral. A total of 703 patients were excluded. Among 9392 linked patients, 5398 were male (57.5%; mean [SD] age, 59.7 [11.2] years). FSC attendance was associated with reduced subsequent all-cause emergency presentations (adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR], 0.72; 95% CI, 0.66-0.79) and all-cause hospitalization (aIRR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.75-0.88). Those who attended at the first-scheduled appointment, compared with those who attended only a rescheduled, delayed appointment, had reduced subsequent all-cause emergency presentations (aIRR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.76-0.91), all-cause hospitalization (aIRR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.65-0.79), seizure-related presentations (aIRR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.33-0.49), and mortality (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.69-0.98). Male sex was associated with nonattendance (adjusted relative risk [aRR], 1.12; 95% CI, 1.03-1.22), as were injury at emergency presentation (aRR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.01-1.24), psychiatric comorbidity (aRR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.55-1.81), previous seizure-related presentations (aRR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.22-1.49), and delays (>14 days) between FSC referral and appointment (aRR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.18-1.54). Hospitalization at referral was associated with reduced nonattendance (aRR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.72-0.90), as were non-English language preference (aRR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.69-0.94), distance greater than 6 mi from home to clinic (aRR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.76-0.95), and physical comorbidity (aRR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.72-0.89). Results of this cohort study suggest that FSC attendance, particularly early attendance, was associated with reduced rates of subsequent hospital utilization. This knowledge may support adequately resourcing FSCs to improve equitable, timely access. Future study directions include assessing interventions that may support FSC attendance for at-risk groups.

Comparison of safety and efficacy between Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and molnupiravir in the treatment of COVID-19 infection in patients with advanced kidney disease: a retrospective observational study

Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir is used in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) with normal or mild renal impairment (eGFR ≥30ml/min per 1.73m2). There is limited data regarding its use in advanced kidney disease (eGFR <30ml/min per 1.73m2). We performed a retrospective territory-wide observational study evaluating the safety and efficacy of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir when compared with molnupiravir in the treatment of patients with COVID-19 with advanced kidney disease. We adopted target trial emulation using data from a territory-wide electronic health record database on eligible patients aged ≥18 years with advanced kidney disease (history of eGFR <30ml/min per 1.73m2) who were infected with COVID-19 and were prescribed with either molnupiravir or nirmatrelvir-ritonavir within five days of infection during the period from 16 March 2022 to 31 December 2022. A sequence trial approach and 1:4 propensity score matching was applied based on the baseline covariates including age, sex, number of COVID-19 vaccine doses received, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), hospitalisation, eGFR, renal replacement therapy, comorbidities (cancer, respiratory disease, myocardial infarction, ischaemic stroke, diabetes, hypertension), and drug use (renin-angiotensin-system agents, beta blockers, calcium channel blockers, diuretics, nitrates, lipid lowering agents, insulins, oral antidiabetic drugs, antiplatelets, immuno-suppressants, corticosteroids, proton pump inhibitors, histamine H2 receptor antagonists, monoclonal antibody infusion) within past 90 days. Individuals were followed up from the index date until the earliest outcome occurrence, death, 90 days from index date or the end of data availability. Stratified Cox proportional hazards regression adjusted with baseline covariates was used to compare the risk of outcomes between nirmatrelvir-ritonavir recipients and molnupiravir recipients which include (i) all-cause mortality, (ii) intensive care unit (ICU) admission, (iii) ventilatory support, (iv) hospitalisation, (v) hepatic impairment, (vi) ischaemic stroke, and (vii) myocardial infarction. Subgroup analyses included age (<70; ≥70 years); sex, Charlson comorbidity index (≤5; >5), and number of COVID-19 vaccine doses received (0-1; ≥2 doses). A total of 4886 patients were included (nirmatrelvir-ritonavir: 1462; molnupiravir: 3424). There were 347 events of all-cause mortality (nirmatrelvir-ritonavir: 74, 5.06%; molnupiravir: 273, 7.97%), 10 events of ICU admission (nirmatrelvir-ritonavir: 4, 0.27%; molnupiravir: 6, 0.18%), 48 events of ventilatory support (nirmatrelvir-ritonavir: 13, 0.89%; molnupiravir: 35, 1.02%), 836 events of hospitalisation (nirmatrelvir-ritonavir: 218, 23.98%; molnupiravir: 618, 28.14%), 1 event of hepatic impairment (nirmatrelvir-ritonavir: 0, 0%; molnupiravir: 1, 0.03%), 8 events of ischaemic stroke (nirmatrelvir-ritonavir: 3, 0.22%; molnupiravir: 5, 0.16%) and 9 events of myocardial infarction (nirmatrelvir-ritonavir: 2, 0.15%; molnupiravir: 7, 0.22%). Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir users had lower rates of all-cause mortality (absolute risk reduction (ARR) at 90 days 2.91%, 95% CI: 1.47-4.36%) and hospitalisation (ARR at 90 days 4.16%, 95% CI: 0.81-7.51%) as compared with molnupiravir users. Similar rates of ICU admission (ARR at 90 days-0.09%, 95% CI:-0.4 to 0.2%), ventilatory support (ARR at 90 days 0.13%, 95% CI:-0.45 to 0.72%), hepatic impairment (ARR at 90 days 0.03%, 95% CI:-0.03 to 0.09%), ischaemic stroke (ARR at 90 days-0.06%, 95% CI:-0.35 to 0.22%), and myocardial infarction (ARR at 90 days 0.07%, 95% CI:-0.19 to 0.33%) were found between nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and molnupiravir users. Consistent results were observed in relative risk adjusted with baseline characteristics. Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir was associated with significantly reduced risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.624, 95% CI: 0.455-0.857) and hospitalisation (HR: 0.782, 95% CI: 0.64-0.954). Patients with COVID-19 with advanced kidney disease receiving nirmatrelvir-ritonavir had a lower rate of all-cause mortality and hospital admission when compared with molnupiravir. Other adverse clinical outcomes were similar in both treatment groups. Health and Medical Research Fund (COVID1903010), Health Bureau, The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.