Agricultural Economic Growth Research Articles

Revitalizing Agricultural Economy Through Rural E-Commerce? Experience from China’s Revolutionary Old Areas

Many of the world’s less developed regions may not be able to improve the well-being of rural residents through agricultural revitalization because of their remoteness from agricultural markets. Using the county-level data set of China’s underdeveloped old revolutionary base areas from 2010 to 2021, this paper takes the policy planning of rural e-commerce as event intervention to investigate the driving role of the digital product market on agricultural economic development. Empirical results show that rural e-commerce planning policy has significantly promoted the agricultural added value of the pilot counties, and the digital market is the key driving factor of the agricultural economic growth in these underdeveloped areas. Both food production and livestock output have increased significantly as a result of e-commerce policies. Considering the potential bias of the bidirectional fixed effect estimators of staggered differences-in-differences (DID), this study uses heterogeneous robust estimators to verify the growth effect of the agricultural economy. Specifically, digital agricultural markets have significantly promoted agricultural mechanization and significantly improved agricultural total factor productivity. Moreover, empirical evidence does not support transmission mechanisms for off-farm employment and agricultural entrepreneurship. The findings can help less developed countries and regions develop policies to expand the agricultural markets with digital dividends, thereby promoting the development of the agricultural economy.

Transforming agri-food value chains in Bangladesh: A practical application of blockchain for traceability and fair pricing

The agricultural sector is a vital component of Bangladesh's economy, but its agri-food supply chain faces signifi-cant inefficiencies primarily due to the involvement of numerous intermediaries. This complexity not only reduces the profits for farmers but also affects the overall transparency and efficiency of the supply chain. This study aims to em-ploy blockchain technology to transform the traditional agri-food supply chain in Bangladesh, focusing on increasing transparency, enhancing efficiency, and improving profitability for farmers, thus potentially bolstering the entire agri-food ecosystem in the country. The research involves setting up a blockchain-based smart contract on the Ethereum Blockchain network. This approach guarantees that all transactions within the agri-food supply chain are transparent, traceable, and accountable. Additionally, the study develops a web application to facilitate user interaction with the smart contract, enhancing accessibility and usability. Performance analysis and testing of the implemented smart con-tract demonstrate its capability to handle a significant volume of transactions without compromising on performance. The solution effectively reduces the dependency on intermediaries, thereby increasing the profit margins for the farm-ers involved. The integration of blockchain technology in the agri-food supply chain has shown promising results in enhancing transparency and efficiency. It lays a solid foundation for future improvements and suggests a scalable model that could be applied to other sectors within the country to further enhance agricultural practices and economic growth.

Assessing the economic and nutritional value of pollination services in Nepal

Pollination is a key ecosystem service crucial for supporting agricultural production, economic growth, social inclusion, and environmental protection. Understanding the economic value of pollination and its impact on human health and nutrition is essential for effective pollinator conservation and management. This study evaluates the economic and nutritional value of pollination services in Nepal and quantifies historic changes in pollinator reliance. Using public data on agricultural production and commodity prices, in combination with published nutritional composition values, we employ the dependency-ratio method to quantify economic and nutritional value across different regions of the country and through time. We conservatively estimate the annual economic value of pollination services in Nepal at US $477 million, representing 9% of total agricultural revenue. Pollinator-dependent crops, particularly fruits and vegetables are the source of essential nutrients; 40% of plant-based vitamin A and 14% of vitamin C are directly attributable to insect pollination. The cultivated area of these pollinator-dependent crops has increased by 91% in Nepal over 20 years – 3.7 times faster than equivalent increases in non-pollinator-dependent crops. The decline in wild pollinators during the same time period poses a threat, leading to potential pollination deficits and crop losses. Our study underscores the importance of conserving and managing pollinators to ensure sustainable agriculture, food security, and nutrition. Targeted efforts, including policy interventions and conservation strategies, are needed to safeguard pollinator populations and enhance pollination services.

Analysis of agricultural emissions and economic growth in Europe in search of ecological balance

Abstract This study analyses the relationship between economic growth, measured by gross value added in agriculture, and greenhouse gas emissions from the sector in 30 European countries during the period 2012–2021. The aim is to assess whether the increase in agricultural production leads to a corresponding increase in harmful emissions. Regression analysis is applied to establish linear statistical dependencies between variables, cluster analysis to group countries, and analysis of trends in the dynamics of indicators. The results show significant differences between countries, with no universal relationship between economic growth and emissions. A “decoupling” between growth and emissions is observed in some countries, demonstrating the potential for “green growth.” Regional and structural differences, as well as the level of technological development, stand out as key factors determining the relationship between economic growth and emissions, highlighting the need for an individualised approach in formulating policies for the sustainable development of the agricultural sector.

Assessing the Impact of Casing Material Thickness on Yield and Biological Efficiency of Milky Mushroom (Calocybe indica P&C)

Calocybe indica, known as the milky mushroom, has significant potential for agricultural expansion and economic development, particularly in West Bengal, India. This study investigates the impact of different casing material thicknesses (0.5”, 0.75”, 1.0”, and 1.5”) on the yield and biological efficiency of C. indica. Using a Completely Randomized Design (CRD), the effects on primordia initiation, sporophore maturation, yield, and biological efficiency were assessed. Results indicated that a casing thickness of 1.0” was optimal, leading to the quickest primordia initiation (10.4 days) and sporophore maturation (9 days), and yielding the highest total yield (717.5 g) and biological efficiency (71.75%). In contrast, thinner and thicker casings resulted in lower yields and efficiencies. The findings suggest that a 1.0” casing thickness significantly enhances C. indica cultivation, providing practical recommendations for commercial mushroom farming. This optimization can support the development of milky mushroom farming in West Bengal, offering new opportunities for local farmers and contributing to regional agricultural diversification and economic growth.

Evolution of agricultural carbon emission research in China: a historical analysis and emerging trends

Agricultural activities constitute the second-largest contributor to greenhouse gas emissions. Proactively mitigating agricultural carbon emissions is crucial for safeguarding the ecological en-vironment, improving agricultural productivity, and fostering long-term ecological sustainability. This paper employs bibliometric analysis to examine the research status, hot topics, and devel-opment trends of agricultural carbon emissions in China over the past 2 decades. Based on Citespace software, the study primarily conducts visual analysis on 660 academic articles on ag-ricultural carbon emissions collected from the China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) between 2001 and May 2023, including publications indexed in Peking University Chinese Core Journals (PKU Core), Chinese Social Sciences Citation Index and Chinese Science Citation Database. The analysis covers publication quantity, author cooperation, institution cooperation, keyword co-occurrence, keyword clustering, keyword burst, keyword timeline, and keyword timezone. Research results indicate: (1) From the annual publication volume changes perspective, research on China’s agricultural carbon emissions demonstrates a rapid upward trend in the new era, with increasing research interest. (2) The core net-work of research authors has been established, primarily concentrated in agricultural and forestry universities, and the core network of institutions in this field is gradually forming. However, collaboration networks between authors and research institutions are relatively dispersed, necessitating strengthened collaboration among institutions. (3) Current research on agricultural carbon emissions predominantly focuses on the challenges of reducing agricultural carbon emissions in China under the “dual carbon” goals, measures, and pathways to achieve agricultural carbon emission reductions; performance evaluation of agricultural carbon emissions, factors affecting these emissions, and their reduction potential; as well as the relationship between agricultural carbon emissions and agricultural economic growth. Future research should delve deeper into the precise accounting of agricultural carbon emissions under the “dual carbon” goals, their underlying mechanisms, and issues related to precise and differentiated agricultural carbon reduction strategies. (4) The development trajectory of domestic agricultural carbon emissions research shows a period of germination from 2001 to 2009, a development stage from 2010 to 2015, and a deepening stage from 2016 to 2023, with a notable increase in publications in 2021, signifying a new upward phase in research output.

Agricultural Exports, Other Exports, Imports, and Economic Growth: An ARDL Approach for Tunisia

<p><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;">This paper aims to study and quantify the impact of agricultural exports on economic growth along with other variables in Tunisia. For that purpose, we estimate the relationship between GDP, agricultural exports, other exports, and imports by applying the ARDL approach under the period 1990-2020. The results show a negative and insignificant impact of agricultural exports on economic growth in the long and short run. Other exports negatively and significantly impact economic growth, while imports are found to have a positive impact on long-term economic growth. The findings have economic implications for sectors and activities that should be promoted to accelerate economic growth.</span></p>

The unmet demand of food security in East Africa: review of the triple challenges of climate change, economic crises, and conflicts

East Africa struggles with a profound challenge in ensuring food security amidst the convergence of climate change, economic crises, and conflicts. This paper presents a comprehensive review of the interconnected and compounding effects of these three factors on the region’s food security landscape. It investigates the complex ways in which shifting climatic patterns disrupt agricultural systems, exacerbating food scarcity and amplifying vulnerabilities among marginalized communities. The study also examines the intertwined impact of economic downturns, which diminish access to resources, disrupt supply chains, and deepen food insecurity. Furthermore, the paper scrutinizes the ramifications of persistent conflicts, which not only displace populations but also destabilize agricultural production, aggravating food shortages. To achieve the objective of this, review the authors have collected the relevant documents through search engines of Web of Science, Google, Google Scholar, Scopus, and Science Direct databases. This review found that climate change, economic instability, and conflict are the primary challenges to food security in East Africa. Climate change exacerbates extreme weather events, rising temperatures, and pest infestations, reducing agricultural productivity and economic growth. Economic instability stems from a lack of industrialization, dependence on foreign aid, and significant investment gaps, resulting in persistent poverty and underdevelopment. Additionally, conflict and instability disrupt agricultural activities, displace populations, and restrict access to essential resources, further aggravating food insecurity. The study emphasizes the necessity for coordinated efforts among governments, international organizations, and local communities to navigate these intersecting crises and establish sustainable pathways toward enhanced food security in the region.

The Impact of Domestic Public Debt on Agricultural Government Investment and Economic Growth: Evidence from Iraqi between 2004 and 2022

The study aims to assess the impact of domestic public debt (DPD) on agricultural government investment (AGI) and economic growth in Iraq from 2004 to 2022 using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The results demonstrate a significant cointegration relationship between DPD and economic growth, as indicated by the negative error correction coefficient (–0.0622), which is statistically significant at the 5% level. The study finds that DPD has a considerable positive effect on economic growth in the short term (2.5695) and long run (7.7793), with statistical significance at the 1% and 5% levels, respectively. Conversely, DPD did not have any discernible impact on AGI. The DPD and AGI were not cointegrated during the research period. Based on these findings, it is recommended that the Iraqi government formulate a clear strategy to manage DPD and establish precise criteria for the principles and conditions governing the use of domestic loans to optimize their effectiveness in agricultural economic development.

A Precise Plot-Level Rice Yield Prediction Method Based on Panicle Detection

Accurately estimating rice yield is essential for ensuring global food security, enhancing agricultural productivity, and promoting agricultural economic growth. This study constructed a dataset of rice panicles at different growth stages and combined it with an attention mechanism and the YOLOv8 network to propose the YOLOv8s+LSKA+HorNet rice panicle detection and counting model, based on a drone remote sensing platform. Using the panicle count data collected by this model, along with the thousand-grain weight, number of grains per panicle, and actual yield data from a rice nitrogen gradient experimental field, various machine learning models were trained to ultimately propose a field-level rapid rice yield estimation model, RFYOLO. The experimental results show that the rice panicle detection and counting model can achieve an average precision (AP) of 98.0% and a detection speed of 20.3 milliseconds. The final yield estimation model achieved a prediction R2 value of 0.84. The detection and counting model significantly reduced missed and duplicate detections of rice panicles. Additionally, this study not only enhanced the model’s generalization ability and practicality through algorithmic innovation but also verified the impact of yield data range on the stability of the estimation model through the rice nitrogen gradient experiment. This is significant for early rice yield estimation and helping agricultural producers make more informed planting decisions.

MSMEs and Rural Prosperity: A Study of their Influence in Indonesian Agriculture and Rural Economy

This research delves into the influence of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) on the progression of agriculture and the rural economy in Indonesia. MSMEs hold a pivotal position in the Indonesian economy, significantly contributing to job creation and economic expansion. Despite this, their potential to stimulate agricultural growth and enhance the rural economy remains largely uncharted. The investigation of this study centers on the mutual relationship between MSMEs and the agricultural sector. It emphasizes how MSMEs can instigate innovation, augment productivity, and pave the way for rural farmers to access markets. The study also scrutinizes the part MSMEs play in rural development by evaluating their role in boosting income, mitigating poverty, and empowering socio-economic aspects in rural regions. Furthermore, this study identifies the obstacles MSMEs encounter in their contribution to agricultural and rural economic development. These challenges include access to finance, technology, and a complex workforce. The report puts forth policy recommendations to surmount these hurdles and tap into the potential of MSMEs for the advancement of agriculture and rural economic growth in Indonesia. The study enriches the literature on MSMEs, agricultural development, and rural economics. It offers valuable insights for policymakers, practitioners, and researchers who are keen on promoting sustainable development in Indonesia. The findings of this research underscore the necessity of fortifying MSMEs to attain agricultural development and rural economic prosperity in Indonesia.

Food Security in Developing Countries: Role of Agricultural Exports, Income Inequality and Economic Growth

Food security is considered as a basic right of human beings as it is also clear from the Agenda of SDGs. Target 2.1 of Sustainable Development Goal focuses on eliminating hunger and food insecurity and target 2.2 is related to the ending of all forms of malnutrition. The present study highlights the role of agricultural exports, income inequality and economic growth for food security of 89 developing countries by using panel data from the years 1990 to 2020. Employing MMQR, it analyses four dimensions of food security: availability, access, stability and utilization. Key findings include a negative impact of agricultural exports and income inequality on food security in case of developing countries. The results reveal a positive and highly significant impact of economic growth on the food security. The study recommends interventions to reduce reliance on agricultural exports and policies to reduce income inequality and for achieving sustainable economic growth.

Has China’s Pilot Policy of Farmland Management Right Mortgage Loan Promoted County Agricultural Economic Growth?

Farmland mortgages are expected to drive county agricultural economic growth (CAEG) as a crucial component of furthering the reform of the rural land system and the reform of the rural financial system against the new backdrop of the new era. This study gathers panel data from 2045 Chinese counties from 2011 to 2020 and uses the difference-in-differences method and the synthetic control method to systematically examine the effects of China’s farmland management right mortgage loan (FMRML) pilot program on CAEG. The FMRML pilot program was implemented in 2016, and this research is presented as a quasi-natural experiment. The findings indicate that there is a “policy trap” and that CAEG has not been successfully promoted by the FMRML pilot program. The reason for this is because the pilot program has made county resource mismatch worse, making it unable to fully realize the promotional effect on CAEG, rather than significantly activating the three key drivers of agricultural economic growth: people, land, and money. The impact of the FMRML pilot policy on CAEG is not uniform, according to the results of the heterogeneity study, with a substantial “blocking” effect only in the central region and no significant influence in the western, northeastern, or eastern regions. The findings propose that in order to optimize agricultural mortgage policy and advance CAEG, China and other emerging nations can benefit greatly from the insights this study offers.

The role of improving the business environment in agriculture in ensuring the country’s food security

Ensuring food security largely depends on a number of factors, including ensuring sustainable economic growth in agriculture and increasing production. Taking all this into account, it should be noted that improving the business environment in agriculture can play a significant role in preventing internal economic threats to food security. In all countries, regardless of the type and nature of the economic system, the state develops economic programs to ensure food security, and the main goal of these economic programs is, first of all, to improve the current situation in agriculture, achieve sustainable economic growth, as well as the implementation of measures aimed at increasing its productivity. In this regard, it should be particularly noted that a number of state programs aimed at providing the population with reliable food products are being adopted on an ongoing basis in the Republic of Azerbaijan. It should be noted that the formation of a favorable business environment in agriculture implies, first of all, free access of economic entities operating independently of their property ownership to the market of capital and investment resources, provision of necessary state support to commodity producers, providing them with a system of production, market and social infrastructure, as well as the ability to meet the needs of agricultural producers in material and technical resources on effective terms. All this also follows from the process of comparative advantages, but despite all this, the formation of a favorable business environment is important for improving the provision of necessary food, and all this makes the choice of the topic and, consequently, the relevance of the study an objective necessity.

Digital Financial Inclusion, Land Circulation and High-Quality Development of Agriculture

With the deep integration of digital technology and inclusive finance, digital inclusive finance has provided a new opportunity for agricultural high-quality development through “overtaking on curves”. This article empirically examines the impact of digital inclusive finance on agricultural high-quality development and the dynamic mechanism of land circulation in its transmission process, utilizing panel data from various provinces in China from 2011 to 2021. The research indicates that digital inclusive finance has a significant improvement effect on agricultural high-quality development, and this conclusion remains valid after a series of endogenous treatments and robustness tests. Meanwhile, intelligent manufacturing has a more pronounced role in promoting agricultural high-quality development in China’s eastern regions, regions with sound infrastructure, and regions with high environmental regulation intensity. Further research reveals that digital inclusive finance can promote agricultural high-quality development through the mechanism of promoting land circulation. The research conclusions provide important empirical evidence and policy implications for achieving coordinated development of agricultural economic growth and environmental protection, thereby realizing the beautiful vision of comprehensive rural revitalization.

Potential of Horticultural and Food Crops in Kuantan Singingi-Based Agropolitan

Abstract One of the main ways to hasten the process of implementing development and enhancing community services is through regional division. Additionally, regional growth during the age of regional autonomy has given regional governments more room to conduct independent development planning in Kuantan Singingi in line with the availability and carrying capacity of regional resources. This research aims to determine the leading sectors in Kuantan Singingi Regency based on information and data regarding the production of horticultural crops and food crops that are suitable for regional advantages and community conditions. It also analyzes the concept, potential implementation, and the impact of agropolitan development on the agricultural sector and economic growth in Kuantan Singingi Regency, in order to obtain recommendations for the regions and the recommended types of horticultural crops and food crops to be developed as agropolitan areas in Kuantan Singingi Regency. The analysis results indicate that the agricultural sector can be developed as a leading sector in Kuantan Singingi Regency, as evidenced by 65% of the total area in Kuantan Singingi Regency being productive land. Kuantan Tengah and Cerenti districts are recommended for the development of agropolitan areas with a focus on horticultural crops and food crops, including spinach, water spinach, durian, corn, and cassava as the leading commodities in Kuantan Singingi Regency. The total overall production of these commodities amounts to 1,427 tons per year.

The role of agricultural innovations, renewable energy and economic growth in the CO2 emissions of Nepal: an empirical evidence from the environmental Kuznets curve

The role of agricultural innovations, renewable energy and economic growth in the CO2 emissions of Nepal: an empirical evidence from the environmental Kuznets curve

Agricultural Sector Output and Economic Growth Sustainability in Nigeria

This study examined the impact of agricultural sector output on economic growth and sustainability in Nigeria. The data for the study were extracted from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin. The methodology adopted in the research is linear regression with the application of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) Technique. The E-views 10 was the econometric software used for the research. The major findings of the study reveal that agricultural output contributes negatively and insignificantly to economic growth, government agricultural expenditures contribute negatively and insignificantly to economic growth, rainfall contributes negatively and insignificantly to economic growth and foreign direct investment in the agricultural sector contributes negatively and insignificantly to economic growth. It is therefore the recommendation of this paper that the government of Nigeria should encourage farmers by giving soft loans for agricultural activities. This will help farmers meet with financial needs in terms of purchasing some seeds, hiring machines, etc. thereby boosting massive agricultural production in Nigeria.

The Impact of Infrastructure Development, Education, Tourism, and Agriculture on Regional Economic Growth in Indonesia

In order to better understand the complex links between infrastructure development, education, tourism, agriculture, and regional economic growth in Indonesia, this study uses structural equation modeling with partial least squares or SEM-PLS. The research makes uses of a 287-observation dataset and applies rigorous measurement model evaluation, bootstrapping analysis, structural model estimation, and model validation against multiple fit indices. The results show a strong positive correlation between each sector—agriculture, tourism, education, and infrastructure development—and regional economic expansion. The necessity for comprehensive, integrated development strategies is highlighted by the interconnectedness of these interactions. In order to promote balanced and resilient regional economic growth, the findings provide policymakers with useful insights and highlight the significance of ongoing investments in infrastructure, education, and sustainable tourism and agricultural practices.

An empirical study on the impact of green transition of farmland use on agricultural economic growth: A case of Hubei Province of China

Farmland use challenges reflect the current complexities facing China's agricultural economic development. This study focuses on 70 counties in Hubei Province of China, with the objective of exploring the spatial relationship between green transition of farmland use and agricultural economic growth. Furthermore, it seeks to quantify their effects and assess regional heterogeneity. Here are the findings: (1) There is a notable positive spatial correlation observed between agricultural economic growth and the various subsystems as well as factor layers of the green transition of farmland use. (2) The optimization of the quantity and form of farmland has a positive promoting effect on agricultural economic growth in both the local county and adjoining counties. In contrast, the spatial pattern, ecological function, intensive use, and environmental friendliness of farmland have a negative effect. (3) The influence factors of the green transition of farmland use on agricultural economic growth show significant spatial heterogeneity, with the overall effect degree being in the following order: northern hillock, central plain, western mountain range, and eastern hills. The influence on neighboring agricultural economic growth also exhibits significant spatial differentiation, with the overall effect degree following this order: eastern hills, northern hillock, central plain, and western mountain range. Targeted suggestions are proposed to promote the green transition of farmland use and achieve sustainable agricultural economic growth.