Adverse Clinical Outcomes In Patients Research Articles

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and adverse clinical outcomes in patients with ischemic stroke.

BackgroundNeutrophils and lymphocytes mediate differential inflammatory responses after ischemic stroke and have different effects on patients’ clinical outcomes. Several studies have used the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a prognostic indicator for ischemic stroke; however, some limitations remain.MethodsWe derived data from the Third China National Stroke Registry. The NLR is defined as neutrophil count/lymphocyte count. Patients included in the study were classified into four groups by NLR quartiles. Odds ratios (ORs) of adverse clinical outcomes were calculated with the lowest quartile group as the reference category. We plotted receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of NLR for adverse clinical outcomes and calculated area under the curve (AUC) values and cutoff values. Under different TOAST classifications, medians of NLR and ORs of adverse clinical outcomes were also calculated. Furthermore, interaction tests between NLR and etiology were performed.ResultsA total of 13,018 patients were enrolled. At both 3- and 12-month follow-ups, higher quartile groups were associated with increased risks of death and poor functional outcomes, even after adjustments. For death, the cutoff values of NLR were 3.872 at 3-month follow-up and 3.180 at 12-month follow-up. For poor functional outcomes, the cutoff value of NLR was 2.846 at both 3- and 12-month follow-ups. The association between NLR and stroke recurrence was significant only at 3-month follow-up before adjustments. There was no correlation between NLR and hemorrhagic transformation during hospitalization. Under different TOAST classifications, the medians of NLR were different; conversely, the correlations of NLR with adverse clinical outcomes had no differences.ConclusionsHigh level of NLR within the first 24 h after admission was associated with increased risks of both short- and long-term adverse clinical outcomes in patients with ischemic stroke, regardless of etiology.

Impact of the Malnutrition on Mortality in Elderly Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

PurposeMalnutrition has been shown to be related to adverse clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure, hypertension, atrial fibrillation and other cardiovascular diseases. However, in the patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) undergoing percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI), especially in the elderly, the association of nutritional state and all-cause mortality remains unknown. We aimed to investigate the association of malnutrition with all-cause mortality in the elder patients undergoing PCI.Patients and MethodsBased on the largest retrospective and observational cohort study from January 2007 to December 2017, the Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score was applied to 21,479 consecutive patients with age ≥60 who undergoing PCI for nutritional assessment. Participants were classified as absent, mild, moderate and severe malnutrition by CONUT score. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to compare all-cause mortality among the above four groups. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were performed to examine the association of malnutrition with all-cause mortality.ResultsAccording to the CONUT score, 48.19%, 15.08% and 0.94% patients were mildly, moderately and severely malnourished, respectively. During a median follow-up of 5.16 years (interquartile range: 3.02 to 7.89 years), 3173 (14.77%) patients died. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the risk of all-cause mortality was significantly higher in patients with a worse nutritional status. Compared with normal nutritional state, malnutrition was associated with significantly increased risk for all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio for mild, moderate and severe degrees of malnutrition, respectively: 1.20 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.09 to 1.33], 1.32 [95% CI: 1.17 to 1.49] and 1.76 [95% CI: 1.33 to 2.33]).ConclusionMalnutrition is prevalent among elderly patients with CAD undergoing PCI, and is strongly related to the all-cause mortality increasing. For elderly patients with CAD undergoing PCI, it is necessary to assess the status of nutrition, and evaluate the efficacy of nutritional interventions.

Early reduction of left atrial function predicts adverse clinical outcomes in patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement

AimsTo investigate the changes in left atrial strain (LAS) after correction of severe aortic stenosis (AS) with transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and assess its prognostic impact.Methods and resultsOne hundred...

Using Patient Completed Screening Tools to Predict Risk of Malnutrition in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

Malnutrition is associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), however, malnutrition screening is not routinely performed. This study aimed to identify the prevalence of malnutrition in patients with IBD and compare the accuracy of patient completed screens to a gold-standard malnutrition assessment tool: the dietitian-completed subjective global assessment (SGA). This cross-sectional study was conducted at 2 hospitals and 2 ambulatory care clinics in Alberta, Canada. Patients with IBD completed 4 malnutrition screening tools: abridged patient-generated SGA (abPG-SGA), Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool (MUST), Canadian Nutrition Screening Tool (CNST), and Saskatchewan IBD-nutrition risk (SaskIBD-NR). Risk of malnutrition was calculated for each tool and differences were compared between IBD subtype and body mass index (BMI) categories. Sensitivity and specificity, negative and positive predictive values (NPV and PPV), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were calculated compared to SGA. Patients with Crohn's disease (n = 149) and ulcerative colitis (n = 96) participated in this study. Overall prevalence of malnutrition using SGA was 23% and malnutrition risk for CNST, abPG-SGA, SaskIBD-NR, and MUST was 37%, 36%, 36%, and 27%, respectively. Overall, the abPG-SGA had the highest sensitivity (83%), PPV (53%), and NPV (94%), and largest AUC (0.837) compared to SGA. For patients with a BMI ≥25 kg/m2, sensitivity and PPV of the abPG-SGA decreased to 73% and 41%, respectively, with a AUC of 0.841. Malnutrition is prevalent in patients with IBD and using malnutrition risk screening tools such as the abPG-SGA may be useful to identify patients who would benefit from further assessment.

Coronary artery calcification and risk of mortality and adverse outcomes in patients with COVID-19: a Chinese multicenter retrospective cohort study.

BackgroundCoronary artery calcification (CAC) is an independent risk factor of major adverse cardiovascular events; however, the impact of CAC on in-hospital death and adverse clinical outcomes in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains unclear.ObjectiveTo explore the association between CAC and in-hospital mortality and adverse events in patients with COVID-19.MethodsThis multicenter retrospective cohort study enrolled 2067 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients with definitive clinical outcomes (death or discharge) admitted from 22 tertiary hospitals in China between January 3, 2020 and April 2, 2020. Demographic, clinical, laboratory results, chest CT findings, and CAC on admission were collected. The primary outcome was in-hospital death and the secondary outcome was composed of in-hospital death, admission to intensive care unit (ICU), and requiring mechanical ventilation. Multivariable Cox regression analysis and Kaplan–Meier plots were used to explore the association between CAC and in-hospital death and adverse clinical outcomes.ResultsThe mean age was 50 years (SD,16) and 1097 (53.1%) were male. A total of 177 patients showed high CAC level, and compared with patients with low CAC, these patients were older (mean age: 49 vs. 69 years, P < 0.001) and more likely to be male (52.0% vs. 65.0%, P = 0.001). Comorbidities, including cardiovascular disease (CVD) ([33.3%, 59/177] vs. [4.7%, 89/1890], P < 0.001), presented more often among patients with high CAC, compared with patients with low CAC. As for laboratory results, patients with high CAC had higher rates of increased D-dimer, LDH, as well as CK-MB (all P < 0.05). The mean CT severity score in high CAC group was also higher than low CAC group (12.6 vs. 11.1, P = 0.005). In multivariable Cox regression model, patients with high CAC were at a higher risk of in-hospital death (hazard ratio [HR], 1.731; 95% CI 1.010–2.971, P = 0.046) and adverse clinical outcomes (HR, 1.611; 95% CL 1.087–2.387, P = 0.018).ConclusionHigh CAC is a risk factor associated with in-hospital death and adverse clinical outcomes in patients with confirmed COVID-19, which highlights the importance of calcium load testing for hospitalized COVID-19 patients and calls for attention to patients with high CAC.Supplementary InformationThe online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42058-021-00072-4.

The impact of asthma on in-hospital outcomes of COVID-19 patients

Objective The impact of asthma as a possible risk factor for adverse clinical outcomes in patients diagnosed with COVID-19 remains controversial. The purpose of this study was to examine the impact of asthma on adverse clinical outcomes in a COVID-19 hospitalized cohort. Methods Retrospective, propensity-matched observational study of consecutive COVID-19-positive patients between February 24, 2020, and November 3, 2020 at a single health care system. Results In the initial population of 1925 patients, 4.4% presented with asthma. Propensity score matching reduced the total sample to n = 1045: 88 (8.4%) with asthma and n = 957 without asthma. A total of 164 (15.7%) patients died during the hospitalization, including 7 (8.0%) in the asthma group and 157 (16.4%), p = .037, in the non-asthmatic cohort. There was no difference between these groups in need for mechanical ventilation, length of stay on a ventilator, or hospital length of stay. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that asthma was an independent predictor of lower mortality, while older age, BMI > 30 kg/m2, heart failure, chronic kidney disease, and admission National Early Warning Score (NEWS) were significantly associated with an increased risk of in-hospital death. There were no significant differences between asthmatic and non-asthmatic cohorts with respect to need for mechanical ventilation, length of mechanical ventilation, serum markers of severe COVID-19 disease, or overall length of hospital stay. Conclusion We conclude that asthma in hospitalized COVID-19 patients is associated with a lower risk of mortality and no increase in disease severity in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

Outcomes of COVID-19 in Patients With Cancer: Report From the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C).

Variation in risk of adverse clinical outcomes in patients with cancer and COVID-19 has been reported from relatively small cohorts. The NCATS' National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) is a centralized data resource representing the largest multicenter cohort of COVID-19 cases and controls nationwide. We aimed to construct and characterize the cancer cohort within N3C and identify risk factors for all-cause mortality from COVID-19. We used 4,382,085 patients from 50 US medical centers to construct a cohort of patients with cancer. We restricted analyses to adults ≥ 18 years old with a COVID-19-positive or COVID-19-negative diagnosis between January 1, 2020, and March 25, 2021. We followed N3C selection of an index encounter per patient for analyses. All analyses were performed in the N3C Data Enclave Palantir platform. A total of 398,579 adult patients with cancer were identified from the N3C cohort; 63,413 (15.9%) were COVID-19-positive. Most common represented cancers were skin (13.8%), breast (13.7%), prostate (10.6%), hematologic (10.5%), and GI cancers (10%). COVID-19 positivity was significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.15 to 1.24). Among COVID-19-positive patients, age ≥ 65 years, male gender, Southern or Western US residence, an adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index score ≥ 4, hematologic malignancy, multitumor sites, and recent cytotoxic therapy were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality. Patients who received recent immunotherapies or targeted therapies did not have higher risk of overall mortality. Using N3C, we assembled the largest nationally representative cohort of patients with cancer and COVID-19 to date. We identified demographic and clinical factors associated with increased all-cause mortality in patients with cancer. Full characterization of the cohort will provide further insights into the effects of COVID-19 on cancer outcomes and the ability to continue specific cancer treatments.

Lack of association between vitamin D insufficiency and clinical outcomes of patients with COVID-19 infection

BackgroundA protective effect of vitamin D against COVID-19 infection is under investigation. We aimed to analyze the effect of vitamin D sufficiency on the clinical outcomes of patients infected with COVID-19.MethodsIn this cross-sectional study we analyzed the vitamin D levels of COVID-19 patients who were admitted to Razi Hospital (an infectious disease referral center in Mazandaran province in northern Iran) from February to March 2020. Overall, a cutoff point of 30 ng/mL was used for the definition of vitamin D sufficiency.ResultsOne hundred fifty-three patients were analyzed in this study who had laboratory documentation of a 25(OH) D level at the time of hospitalization. The vitamin D levels of the patients were 27.19 ± 20.17 ng/mL. In total, 62.7% (n = 96) of the patients had a 25(OH) D level of less than 30 ng/mL and 37.25% (n = 57) had a 25(OH) D level of more than 30 ng/mL. In total, 49% (n = 75) of the patients suffered from at least one underlying disease. The univariate and multivariable regression showed that vitamin D sufficiency was not associated with a statistically significant lower risk of adverse clinical outcomes of COVID-19 such as duration of hospitalization and severity of infection (P > 0.05).ConclusionsSufficient vitamin D levels were not found to be protective against adverse clinical outcomes in patients infected with COVID-19. Chronic disorders in COVID-19 patients were found to have greater relevance than vitamin D levels in determining the adverse outcomes of the infection. Further studies are needed to determine the role of vitamin D level in predicting the outcomes of COVID-19 infection.

Sex disparities and adverse cardiovascular and kidney outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease: results from the KNOW-CKD.

Longitudinal studies of the association between sex and adverse clinical outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are scarce. We assessed whether major outcomes may differ by sex among CKD patients. We analyzed a total of 1780 participants with non-dialysis CKD G1-5 from the KoreaN cohort study for Outcome in patients with Chronic Kidney Disease (KNOW-CKD). The primary outcome was a composite of non-fatal cardiovascular events or all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes included fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events, all-cause mortality, and a composite kidney outcome of ≥ 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline or the onset of end-stage kidney disease. There were 1088 (61%) men and 692 (39%) women in the study cohort. The proportion of smokers was significantly higher in men (24% vs. 3%). During 8430 person-years of follow-up, 201 primary outcome events occurred: 144 (13%) in men and 57 (8%) in women, with corresponding incidence rates of 2.9 and 1.7 per 100 person-years, respectively. In multivariable Cox models, men were associated with a 1.58-fold (95% CI 1.06-2.35) higher risk of composite outcome. Propensity score matching analysis revealed similar findings (HR 1.81; 95% CI 1.14-2.91). Risk of all-cause mortality was significantly higher in men of the matched cohort. However, there was no difference in the risk of CKD progression. In the subgroup with coronary artery calcium (CAC) measurements, men had a higher likelihood of CAC progression. In Korean CKD patients, men were more likely to experience adverse cardiovascular events and death than women.

Coronary Microvascular Dysfunction.

[Figure: see text].

Leukocyte subtypes and adverse clinical outcomes in patients with acute ischemic cerebrovascular events.

BackgroundOur study aimed to evaluate whether the effects on adverse clinical outcomes, defined as death, recurrent stroke, and poor functional outcomes, differed by leukocyte subtype in patients with acute ischemic cerebrovascular events, including both ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA).MethodsWe derived data from the Third China National Stroke Registry (CNSR-III). The counts and percentages of each leukocyte subtype were collected within the first 24 hours after admission. Enrolled patients were classified into four groups by the quartiles of each leukocyte subtype count or percentage. Hazard ratios (HRs) or odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of adverse clinical outcomes were calculated, with the lowest quartile group as the reference category. We used C statistics, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and the net reclassification index (NRI) to evaluate each leukocyte subtype’s incremental predictive value beyond conventional risk factors.ResultsA total of 14,174 patients were enrolled. Higher counts of leukocytes, neutrophils, and monocytes were associated with elevated risks of adverse clinical outcomes. In contrast, higher counts of lymphocytes and eosinophils were related to reduced risks of adverse clinical outcomes. Meanwhile, basophil counts seemed to not correlate with adverse clinical outcomes. Furthermore, there were also significant associations between the percentages of leukocyte subtypes and adverse clinical outcomes.ConclusionsLeukocyte subtypes had different relationships with adverse clinical outcomes at 3-month and 1-year follow-up in patients with acute ischemic cerebrovascular events and could slightly increase the predictive value compared with the conventional model.

Lymphopenia in the COVID-19 Patient: More than a Predictor of Poor Prognosis?

The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the infectious agent SARS-CoV-2, has claimed the life of thousands of people around the world following its rapid expansion from Wuhan, China, in early January 2020. Since then, multiple groups worldwide have attempted to describe predictive models for adverse clinical outcomes in patients affected by this disease. Within laboratory findings, the first Chinese cohorts described an inverse relationship between the absolute lymphocyte count and disease severity, and about 80% of severe patients exhibited lymphopenia. However, there are discrepancies regarding the predictive value of this clinical manifestation, as well as in the pathophysiological mechanisms involved. Here, we review current evidence regarding lymphopenia in patients with COVID-19, and the potential utility of this hematological finding as a disease biomarker.

Association between physical performance and incidence of end-stage renal disease in older adults: a national wide cohort study

BackgroundPhysical frailty has previously been associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). This study aimed to determine whether impaired physical performance at baseline is associated with the incidence of ESRD, using a nationwide database.MethodsThe timed up-and-go (TUG) test was used to assess physical frailty in 1,552,781 66-year-old individuals, using health examination database records from the Korean National Health Insurance Service. As a primary endpoint, incident ESRD was defined operationally using healthcare claims data from the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service.ResultsOur results showed that baseline kidney function was significantly worse in individuals with TUG results of > 10 s compared to individuals with an intact TUG performance (≤10 s). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a stepwise dose-response relationship between baseline physical performance and the incidence rate of ESRD (log-rank test P-value of < 0.001). An increasing ESRD incidence rate trend with poor physical performance remained significant after adjusting for characteristics such as baseline glomerular filtration rate and proteinuria.ConclusionPoor baseline physical performance was associated with an increased risk of ESRD, suggesting possible interactions between systemic frailty and vascular aging processes.

Prognostic value of fast semi-automated left atrial long-axis strain analysis in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

BackgroundThe prognostic value of left atrial (LA) size and function in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is well recognized, but LA function is difficult to routinely analyze. Fast LA long-axis strain (LA-LAS) analysis is a novel technique to assess LA function on cine cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR). We aimed to assess the association between fast LA-LAS and adverse clinical outcomes in patients with HCM.Methods359 HCM patients and 100 healthy controls underwent routine CMR imaging. Fast LA-LAS was analyzed by automatically tracking the length between the midpoint of posterior LA wall and the left atrioventricular junction based on standard 2- and 4-chamber balanced steady-state free precession cine-CMR. Three strain parameters including reservoir strain (εs), conduit strain (εe), and active strain (εa) were assessed. The endpoint was set as composite adverse events including cardiovascular death, resuscitated cardiac arrest, sudden cardiac death aborted by appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator discharge, and hospital admission related to heart failure.ResultsDuring an average follow-up of 40.9 months, 59 patients (19.7%) reached endpoints. LA strains were correlated with LA diameter, LA volume index (LAVI) and LA empty fraction (LAEF) (all p < 0.05). In the stepwise multivariate Cox regression analysis, εs and εe (hazard ratio, 0.94 and 0.89; p = 0.019 and 0.006, respectively) emerged as independent predictors of the composite adverse events. Fast LA εs and LA εe are stronger prognostic factors than LA size, LAVI and the presence of left ventricular late gadolinium enhancement.ConclusionsFast LA reservoir and conduit strains are independently associated with adverse outcomes in HCM.

Ischemic and non-ischemic patterns of late gadolinium enhancement in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.

Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) may reveal myocardial fibrosis which is associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients undergoing implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) placement. At the same time, transmural LGE in the posterolateral wall is related to nonresponse to conventional cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT). Herein, the aim was to assess the presence and determinants of LGE in CMR in heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction. Sixty-seven patients were included (17.9% female, aged 45 [29-60] years), who underwent LGE-CMR and had left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) as determined by echocardiography. In HF patients with LVEF ≤ 35% (n = 29), ischemic and non-ischemic patterns of LGE were observed in 51.7% and 34.5% of patients, respectively. In controls (n = 38), these patterns were noted in 23.7% and 42.1% of patients, respectively. HF patients with LVEF ≤ 35% and transmural LGE in the posterolateral wall (31.0%) were characterized by older age, coronary artery disease (CAD) and previous myocardial infarction (MI) (61 ± 6 vs. 49 ± 16 years, p = 0.008, 100% vs. 40%, p = 0.003 and 78% vs. 25%, p = 0.014, respectively). In patients with LVEF ≤ 35%, LGE of any type, diagnosed in 86.2% of patients, was associated with CAD (68% vs. 0%, p = 0.02), while only trends were observed for its association with older age and previous MI (p = 0.08 and p = 0.12, respectively). Among HF patients with LVEF ≤ 35%, clinical factors including older age, CAD, and previous MI are associated with transmural LGE in the posterolateral wall, while CAD is associated with LGE. This data may have potential implications for planning ICD and CRT placement procedures.

Postoperative Hypotension and Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Patients Without Intraoperative Hypotension, After Noncardiac Surgery.

Postoperative hypotension (POH) is associated with major adverse events. However, little is known about the association of blood pressure thresholds and outcomes in postoperative patients without intraoperative hypotension (IOH) on the general-care ward. We evaluated the association of POH with major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in patients without IOH. This retrospective analysis included 67,968 noncardiac patient-procedures (2008-2017) for patients discharged to the ward with postoperative mean arterial pressure (MAP) readings, managed for ≥48 hours postsurgery, with no evidence of IOH. The primary outcome was 30-day MACCE evaluated by postoperative MAP thresholds: ≤75, ≤65, and ≤55 mm Hg (POH defined as a single measurement below threshold). Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality (30-/90-day), 30-day acute myocardial infarction, 30-day acute ischemic stroke, 30-day readmission, 7-day acute kidney injury, and 30-day readmission. Associations between POH and adverse events were also evaluated in a cohort (#2) of 16,034 patient-procedures with IOH (intraoperative MAP ≤65 mm Hg). In patients without IOH, exposure to POH was not associated with MACCE at any investigated MAP threshold (P < .016 was considered significant: ≤75 mm Hg, hazard ratio [HR] 1.18 [98.4% confidence interval {CI} 0.99-1.39], P = .023; ≤65 mm Hg, HR 1.18 [0.99-1.41], P = .028; ≤55 mm Hg, HR 1.23 [0.90-1.71], P = .121); however, associations were observed at all MAP thresholds for secondary outcomes of acute kidney injury and 30-day readmission, for 30-/90-day mortality for MAP ≤65 mm Hg, and 90-day mortality for MAP ≤55 mm Hg, compared to those without POH. No associations were detected between POH and secondary outcomes of acute ischemic stroke or acute myocardial infarction at any MAP threshold. No interaction between POH and IOH was found when we evaluated the association of POH on outcomes in the data set including all patients, regardless of IOH status (P values for interaction terms nonsignificant). When the interaction term was utilized, the association between POH without IOH and MACCE was significant for MAP ≤75 mm Hg (HR 1.20 [1.01-1.41]) and MAP ≤65 mm Hg (HR 1.21 [1.02-1.45]), but not MAP ≤55 mm Hg. Cohort #2 (POH with IOH) showed largely similar results for MACCE: not significant for MAP ≤75 and ≤65 mm Hg, but significant for MAP ≤55 mm Hg (HR 1.53 [1.05-2.22], P = .006). POH in patients without IOH was not associated with MACCE at any MAP investigated. No interaction was identified between POH and IOH. Large prospective randomized trials are necessary to develop better evidence and inform clinicians the value of postoperative blood pressure management.

Subclinical Atrial Fibrillation Burden and Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Permanent Pacemakers.

Unlike clinical atrial fibrillation (AF), the significance of subclinical AF (SCAF) burden in patients with permanent pacemakers has not been fully evaluated. We investigated whether the SCAF burden was associated with increased risks of composite adverse outcomes, including progression to clinical AF, ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, heart failure-related hospitalization, or cardiac death, in patients without previous AF. To quantify the 6-month SCAF burden, the total cumulative time spent in SCAF during every 6-month follow-up was summed. During the median 5.2-year follow-up, 496 consecutive permanent pacemaker patients were classified into the no SCAF (no SCAF episode in any device analysis; n=152), low-burden SCAF (6-month SCAF <24 hours in at least one device analysis; n=287), or high-burden SCAF (6-month SCAF ≥24 hours in at least 1 device analysis; n=57) groups. The risk of composite adverse outcomes was greatest in the high-burden SCAF group (P<0.001) and was primarily driven by progression to clinical AF (P<0.001) and ischemic stroke (P<0.001). The presence of high-burden SCAF, which always preceded ischemic stroke events, was independently associated with composite adverse outcomes (odds ratio=20.1 [95% CI, 7.60-52.7], P<0.001) and progression to clinical AF (odds ratio, 36.2 [95% CI, 15.9-87.8], P<0.001). In permanent pacemaker patients without preexisting AF, the presence of high-burden SCAF was closely associated with increased risks of composite adverse outcomes, particularly progression to clinical AF and ischemic stroke. Therefore, prospective studies deserve to be performed on the optimal anticoagulation therapy for permanent pacemaker patients with both high-burden SCAF and high stroke risk.

VALUE OF COPEPTIN MEASUREMENT AS A NOVEL BIOMARKER FOR PROGNOSIS INACUTE HEART FAILURE

Abstract Background: Copeptin, C-terminal segment of pro-arginine vasopressin, is expected to be a strong novel biomarker for prognosis in acute heart failure (AHF).Participants & Methods: The study included 45 patients with acute decompensated heart failure(ADHF) to assess the relationship of serum copeptin level on admission and 72 hours after admission with adverse cardiac events (death, re-hospitalization and arrhythmias) in patients hospitalized for (ADHF) between May 2019 and November 2019 with median follow up period 6 months.Results: In this study,15 patients died, re-admission occurred in 22 patients and arrhythmias were documented in 14 patients with atrial fibrillation (n=9) and ventricular arrhythmias (n=5). Mortality rate was higher among elder smoker patients with higher heart rate, low left ventricular systolic function, higher rates of arrhythmias, impaired kidney function and high copeptin level.Furthermore, copeptin level at day 1 with cutoff value of ˃2.54 pmol/l predicted mortality with sensitivity 86.67% and specificity 53.33% while copeptin level at day 3 with cutoff value ˃ 2.74 pmol/l predicted mortality with sensitivity 93.33% and specificity 83.33%.Finally, change in copeptin level between day 1 and day 3 was associated with increased mortality. (p˂0.001)Conclusion: Copeptin is suggested to be a strong biomarker to predict adverse clinical outcomes in patients with acute decompensated heart failure including death.

Statin use and clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19: An updated systematic review and meta-analysis.

PurposeObservations studies have shown that prior use of statins is associated with a reduced risk of adverse clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19. However, the available data are limited, inconsistent and conflicting. Besides, no randomised controlled trial exists in this regard. Hence, the present meta-analysis was conducted to provide an updated summary and collate the effect of statin use on clinical outcomes in COVID-19 using unadjusted and adjusted risk estimates.MethodsPubMed, Scopus and Web of Science databases were systematically searched using appropriate keywords till December 18 2020, to identify observational studies reporting clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients using statins versus those not using statins. Prior and in-hospital use of statins were considered. Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Unadjusted and adjusted pooled odds ratio (OR) with 95% CIs were calculated.ResultsWe included 14 observational studies pooling data retrieved from 19 988 patients with COVID-19. All the studies were of high/moderate quality. Pooled analysis of unadjusted data showed that statin use was not associated with improved clinical outcomes (OR 1.02; 95% CI 0.69 to 1.50, p=0.94, I2=94%, random-effects model). However, on pooling adjusted risk estimates, the use of statin was found to significantly reduce the risk of adverse outcomes (OR 0.51; 95% CI 0.41 to 0.63, p<0.0005, I2=0%, fixed-effects model).ConclusionsStatin use is associated with improved clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19. Individuals with multiple comorbidities on statin therapy should be encouraged to continue the drug amid the ongoing pandemic.

Blood Urea Nitrogen and In-Hospital Mortality in Critically Ill Patients with Cardiogenic Shock: Analysis of the MIMIC-III Database.

The association between blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and prognosis has been the focus of recent research. Therefore, the objective of this study was to investigate the association between BUN and hospital mortality in critically ill patients with cardiogenic shock (CS). This was a retrospective cohort study, in which data were obtained from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III V1.4 database. Data from 697 patients with CS were analyzed. Logistic regression and subgroup analyses were used to assess the association between BUN and hospital mortality in patients with CS. The average age of the 697 participants was 71.14 years, and approximately 42.18% were men. In the multivariate logistic regression model, after adjusting for age, sex, diabetes, cardiac arrhythmias, urine output, simplified acute physiology score II, sequential organ failure assessment, creatinine, anion gap, and heart rate, high BUN demonstrated strong associations with increased in-hospital mortality (per standard deviation increase: odds ratio [OR] 1.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13–1.92). A similar result was observed in BUN tertile groups (BUN 23–37 mg/dL versus 6–22 mg/dL: OR [95% CI], 1.42 [0.86–2.34]; BUN 38–165 mg/dL versus 6–22 mg/dL: OR [95% CI], 1.99 [1.10–3.62]; P trend 0.0272). Subgroup analysis did not reveal any significant interactions among various subgroups, and higher BUN was associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with CS.