Abstract Objective: Some patients with poor prognosis hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) advanced breast cancer (ABC) experience early disease progression on the combination of CDK4/6 inhibitors and endocrine therapy. We aimed to determine whether clonal architecture assessed by circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) could identify patients at higher risk of early progression on tamoxifen therapy with or without palbociclib. Methods: PATHWAY trial is a randomized, placebo-controlled, Asian international, double-blind, phase 3 study evaluating palbociclib plus tamoxifen (PAL+TAM) versus placebo plus tamoxifen (PLB+TAM) in pre/perimenopausal and postmenopausal women with HR+/HER2- ABC (NCT03423199). The study was conducted as a Clinical Research Collaboration with the National Cancer Center Hospital as the regulatory study sponsor and Pfizer providing drug and financial support. The primary endpoint was investigator assessed progression-free survival (PFS). Genomic profiling by next-generation sequencing was an exploratory endpoint to characterize molecular alterations in ctDNA and correlate these with clinical outcomes. Plasma samples were collected at cycle 1-day 1 (pre-treatment) and cycle 2-day 15 and sequenced with the Guardant360 assay (Guardant Health). Patients were included if they had a minimum of 14 days of treatment in the first cycle. The variant allele frequency (VAF) was defined as number of mutant molecules at a specific nucleotide location over the total number of molecules present in the background at a specific given genomic location. We assessed the gene with highest VAF as the dominant clone allele frequency (DCAF). The association of changes in ctDNA alterations with PFS was evaluated to identify biomarkers of early progression. Results: Pre-treatment plasma was successfully sequenced in 177 of the 184 patients; 88 patients treated with PAL+TAM, and 89 with PLB+TAM. ctDNA was detected in 144 (81.4%) patients; the median number of genetic abnormalities was 2 (range, 0-19). PIK3CA, TP53, ERBB2, ESR1, AKT1, EGFR and PTEN were the genes with highest VAF as the dominant clone (24.3%, 11.9%, 4.5%, 4.5%, 3.4%, 3.4%, 3.4%, respectively). The median DCAF was 1.79 (range, 0.1-81.23); PAL+TAM, 2.53 (range, 0.1-63.5) and PLB+TAM, 1.65 (range, 0.08-81.23). Patients with ≥ 2 detectable genomic alterations and DCAF ≥ 1.8% had worse PFS (hazard ratio (HR) 1.93 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.375 to 2.721], p = 0.0003 and HR 1.95 [95% CI: 1.345 to 2.834], p < 0.0001, respectively) compared to all other patients. In addition, we evaluated whether changes of clonal architecture in ctDNA at early treatment time point (ie. Cycle 2 Day 15) are associated with PFS. Patients with increased DCAF had worse PFS on both PAL+TAM (HR 2.80 [95% CI: 0.552 to 14.15], p = 0.04) and PLB+TAM (HR 2.02 [95% CI: 1.022 to 3.990], p = 0.01). All patients with high pretreatment DCAF (≥ 1.8%) and increase in DCAF progressed within 1 year (n=5, 2 patients treated with PAL+TAM, and 3 with PLB+TAM). Conclusion: Evaluation of clonal architecture in ctDNA could support identification of HR+/HER2- ABC patients with poorer prognosis, who may be at higher risk of early progression, regardless of CDK4/6 inhibitor use. Citation Format: Yoon-Sim Yap, Yuki Kojima, Akinobu Hamada, Hirofumi Mukai, Yen-Shen Lu, Joo Hyuk Sohn, Yoshiko Umeyama, Emi Noguchi, Kazuki Sudo, Tomomi Hata, Aya Kuchiba, Taro Shibata, Shigehiro Yagishita, Masayuki Yoshida, Shinji Kohsaka, Kouya Shiraishi, Kenichi Nakamura, Kenji Tamura, Kan Yonemori. Clonal Architecture of circulating tumor DNA predicts Early Progression on Tamoxifen With or Without Palbociclib in Hormone Receptor-Positive Advanced Breast Cancer: NCCH1607/PATHWAY trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO1-14-01.
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