Adjustment For Traditional Risk Factors Research Articles

Impact of epicardial adipose tissue volume on hemodynamically significant coronary artery disease in Chinese patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease.

Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) is directly related to coronary artery disease (CAD), but little is known about its role in hemodynamically significant CAD. Therefore, our goal is to explore the impact of EAT volume on hemodynamically significant CAD. Patients who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) and received coronary angiography within 30 days were retrospectively included. Measurements of EAT volume and coronary artery calcium score (CACs) were performed on a semi-automatic software based on CCTA images, while quantitative flow ratio (QFR) was automatically calculated by the AngioPlus system according to coronary angiographic images. This study included 277 patients, 112 of whom had hemodynamically significant CAD and showed higher EAT volume. In multivariate analysis, EAT volume was independently and positively correlated with hemodynamically significant CAD [per standard deviation (SD) cm3; odds ratio (OR), 2.78; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.86-4.15; P < 0.001], but negatively associated with QFRmin (per SD cm3; β coefficient, -0.068; 95% CI, -0.109 to -0.027; P = 0.001) after adjustment for traditional risk factors and CACs. Receiver operating characteristics curve analysis demonstrated a significant improvement in predictive value for hemodynamically significant CAD with the addition of EAT volume to obstructive CAD alone (area under the curve, 0.950 vs. 0.891; P < 0.001). In this study, we found that EAT volume correlated substantially and positively with the existence and severity of hemodynamically significant CAD in Chinese patients with known or suspected CAD, which was independent of traditional risk factors and CACs. In combination with obstructive CAD, EAT volume significantly improved diagnostic performance for hemodynamically significant CAD, suggesting that EAT could be a reliable noninvasive indicator of hemodynamically significant CAD.

Association of Serum BAFF Levels with Cardiovascular Events in ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

The B cell activating factor (BAFF) is a B cell survival factor involved in atherosclerosis and ischemia-reperfusion (IR) injury. This study sought to investigate whether BAFF is a potential predictor of poor outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). We prospectively enrolled 299 patients with STEMI, and serum levels of BAFF were measured. All subjects were followed for three years. The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), including cardiovascular death, nonfatal reinfarction, hospitalization for heart failure (HF), and stroke. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were constructed to analyze the predictive value of BAFF for MACEs. In multivariate analysis, BAFF was independently associated with risk of MACEs (adjusted HR 1.525, 95% CI 1.085-2.145; p = 0.015) and cardiovascular death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 3.632, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.132-11.650, p = 0.030) after adjustment for traditional risk factors. Kaplan-Meier survival curves demonstrated that patients with BAFF levels above the cut-off value (1.46 ng/mL) were more likely to have MACEs (log-rank p < 0.0001) and cardiovascular death (log-rank p < 0.0001). In subgroup analysis, the impact of high BAFF on MACEs development was stronger in patients without dyslipidemia. Furthermore, the C-statistic and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) values for MACEs were improved with BAFF as an independent risk factor or when combined with cardiac troponin I. This study suggests that higher BAFF levels in the acute phase are an independent predictor of the incidence of MACEs in patients with STEMI.

Clinical significance of the hemodynamic gain index in patients undergoing exercise stress testing and coronary computed tomography angiography

BackgroundMany hemodynamic parameters provide limited information regarding obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) during exercise stress testing particularly when exercise is suboptimal. Hemodynamic gain index (HGI) is a recent sensitive indicator of ischemia and has been associated with increased mortality. This study evaluated the clinical impact of HGI in patients who underwent concomitant exercise stress testing and coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA).MethodsA total of 284 consecutive patients from the executive health program between 2010 and 2018 were identified. Resting and peak heart rate (HR) as well as systolic blood pressure (SBP) measurements were recorded. Framingham risk score (FRS), Duke treadmill score (DTS) and HGI (frac{{{text{HRpeak}} times {text{SBPpeak}} - {text{HRrest}} times {text{SBPrest}}}}{{{text{HRrest}} times {text{SBPrest}}}}) were calculated. The latter was divided into quartiles. CCTA was used as a reference test to detect any CAD. Multivariate analysis and artificial neural network were used to determine the independent predictors of obstructive CAD.ResultsMean age was 53 ± 12 years with 83% male. Mean HGI was 1.74 ± 0.67, with cut-off value of severely blunted HGI ≤ 1.25 (Quartile 4). Patients with severely blunted HGI were older, had higher FRS, and worse DTS. Patients with obstructive CAD had lower HGI when compared to those with normal CCTA/non-obstructive CAD (1.36 ± 0.53 vs. 1.77 ± 0.67, P = 0.005), and showed a higher prevalence of severely blunted HGI (44% vs. 22%, P = 0.019). After adjusting for traditional risk factors, HGI remained an independent predictor of obstructive CAD while severely blunted HGI was associated with threefold increased odds of having obstructive CAD (P = 0.05). Using artificial intelligence analysis, severely blunted HGI independently predicted obstructive CAD with an area under the curve of 0.83 and 0.96, and normalized importance of HGI of 100% and 63%, respectively for different models.ConclusionsAmong patients who underwent concomitant exercise stress testing and CCTA, severely blunted HGI independently predicted obstructive CAD after multivariate adjustment for traditional risk factors.

Impact of glycemic control on biventricular function in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a cardiac magnetic resonance tissue tracking study

BackgroundPoor glycemic control is associated with left ventricular (LV) dysfunction in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Nonetheless, the association between glycemic control and right ventricular (RV) function in T2DM has not been studied. This study aimed to evaluate the correlation between glycemic control and biventricular function and assess whether one ventricular function was mediated by the other ventricular changes using cardiac magnetic resonance.Materials and methodsA total of 91 T2DM patients with normal ejection fraction were enrolled and divided into two groups according to glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) with a cut off 7%. Twenty controls were included. Biventricular ventricular strain parameters, including global peak systolic radial strain, global peak systolic circumferential strain (GCS), global peak systolic longitudinal strain (GLS), peak diastolic radial strain rate (RSR), peak diastolic circumferential strain rate (CSR) and peak diastolic longitudinal strain rate (LSR) were measured.ResultsCompared with controls, patients with both HbA1c < 7% and HbA1c ≥ 7% showed significantly lower LVGCS, LVGLS, LVCSR, LVLSR, RVGLS, RVRSR, RVCSR and RVLSR. Patients with HbA1c ≥ 7% elicited significantly higher RVGCS than controls and lower LVGLS, LVCSR, LVLSR, RVGLS and RVLSR. Multivariable linear regression demonstrated that HbA1c was independently associated with LVGLS, LVLSR, RVGLS and RVLSR after adjustment for traditional risk factors. LV (RV) was not statistically mediated by the other ventricular alterations.ConclusionIn T2DM patients, glycemic control was independently associated with impaired LV and RV systolic and diastolic function and these associations were not mediated by the other ventricular changes.

Change in blood pressure status defined by 2017 ACC/AHA hypertension guideline and risk of cardiovascular disease: results of over a decade of follow-up of the Iranian population.

Hypertension (HTN) is known to be the leading cause of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. We aimed to assess the impact of changes in 3 years in different blood pressure (BP) categories on incident CVD. In this study, 3,685 Tehranians aged ≥30 years (42.2% men) free of prevalent CVD with BP level <140/90 mmHg and not on BP-lowering medications were enrolled. Participants were grouped according to baseline BP category using the 2017 ACC/AHA hypertension guideline definition: normal BP (<120/80 mmHg), elevated BP (120-129/<80), and stage 1 HTN (130-139 and/or 80-89). The hazard ratio of incident CVD by changes in the BP category was estimated after adjustment for traditional risk factors using Cox's proportional hazard model, with stable normotension as a reference. During a median follow-up of 11.7 years, 346 CVD events (men = 208) occurred. Compared to the reference group, among participants with normal BP at baseline, only those with BP rising to stage 1 HTN [1.47 (0.99-2.16)], and among those with stage 1 HTN at baseline, regression to elevated BP [1.80 (1.11-2.91)], remaining at stage 1 [1.80 (1.29-2.52)], and progression to stage 2 HTN [1.81 (1.25-2.61)] had a higher risk for CVD; however, regression to normal BP attenuated this risk [1.36 (0.88-2.12)]. Conversion from elevated BP to any other categories had no significant association with CVD risk. Generally, prevalent stage 1 HTN (regardless of changing category) and incident stage 1 HTN were significantly associated with a higher risk of CVD; even regression to elevated BP did not attenuate the risk. Accordingly, these populations are potential candidates for antihypertensive management.

Hormonal and Reproductive Factors in Relation to Cardiovascular Events in Women with Early Rheumatoid Arthritis.

Hormonal and reproductive factors affect the risk for cardiovascular events (CVE) in the general population. Although the risk of CVE is increased in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), the knowledge about the impact of hormonal factors for CVE in RA is sparse. Female postmenopausal patients ≤80 years with early RA were consecutively included in this observational study (n = 803) between 1 January 1996 until 31 December 2017. Questionnaires regarding hormonal factors were distributed from the index date. Data regarding CVE were obtained from the Swedish National Health Register and Cause of Death Register. Associations between CVE and hormonal factors were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard regression. Of the postmenopausal women, 64 women had a CVE after RA onset. The time period from menopause to RA onset was significantly longer for CVE cases with higher proportion of postmenopausal women. In Cox proportional hazard regression models, years from last childbirth and multiparity were associated with higher CVE risk. Adjustments for traditional risk factors did not affect the results except for hypertension. RA onset after menopause and a longer duration from menopause until onset increased the CVE risk. Multiparity was associated with higher CVE risk whilst oral contraceptives decreased the risk. These results can contribute to identification of high-risk patients for CVE beyond traditional risk factors.

Long-chain saturated fatty acids and its interaction with insulin resistance and the risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in type 2 diabetes in Chinese.

This study aimed to explore relationships between long-chain saturated fatty acids (LSFAs) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D); and whether insulin action had an interactive effect with LSFAs on NAFLD progression. From April 2018 to April 2019, we extracted the electronic medical records of 481 patients with T2D who meet the inclusion and exclusion criteria from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University. Ultrasound was used to estimate NAFLD at admission. Logistic regression analysis were used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). The additive interaction was carried out to estimate interactions between LSFAs and insulin resistance (IR) in NAFLD patients with T2D. Myristic acid (14:0) and palmitic acid (16:0) were positively associated with the risk of NAFLD (OR for myristic acid (14:0): 7.516, 3.557-15.882 and OR for palmitic acid (16:0): 4.071, 1.987-8.343, respectively). After adjustment for traditional risk factors, these associations were slightly attenuated but still highly significant. Co-presence of myristic acid (14:0)>72.83 μmol/L and IR>4.89 greatly increased OR of NAFLD to 9.691 (4.113-22.833). Similarly, co-presence of palmitic acid (16:0)>3745.43μmol/L and IR>4.89 greatly increased OR of NAFLD to 6.518(2.860-14.854). However, stearic acid (18:0) and risk of NAFLD have no association. Moreover, there was no association between very-long-chain SFAs (VLSFAs) and risk of NAFLD. Myristic acid (14:0) and palmitic acid (16:0) were positively associated with the risk of NAFLD in T2D patients in China. High IR amplified the effect of high myristic acid (14:0) and high palmitic acid (16:0) on NAFLD.

Relationships between neighborhood disadvantage and cardiovascular findings at autopsy in subjects with sudden death

Neighborhood disadvantage is associated with a higher risk of sudden cardiac death. However, autopsy findings have never been investigated in this context. Here, we sought to explore associations between neighborhood disadvantage and cardiovascular findings at autopsy in cases of sudden death in the State of Maryland. State of Maryland investigation reports from 2,278 subjects within the CVPath Sudden Death Registry were screened for street addresses and 9-digit zip codes. Area deprivation index (ADI), used as metric for neighborhood disadvantage, was available for 1,464 subjects; 650 of whom self-identified as Black and 814 as White. The primary study outcome measurements were causes of death and gross and histopathologic findings of the heart. Subjects from most disadvantaged neighborhoods (i.e., ADI ≥ 8; n=607) died at younger age compared with subjects from less disadvantaged neighborhoods (i.e., ADI ≤ 7; n=857; 46.07 ± 14.10 vs 47.78 ± 13.86 years; P=0.02) and were more likely Black or women. They were less likely to die from cardiac causes of death (61.8% vs 67.7%; P=0.02) and had less severe atherosclerotic plaque features, including plaque burden, calcification, intraplaque hemorrhage, and thin-cap fibroatheromas. In addition, subjects from most disadvantaged neighborhoods had lower frequencies of plaque rupture (18.8% vs 25.1%, P=0.004). However, these associations were omitted after adjustment for traditional risk factors and race. Neighborhood disadvantage did not associate with cause of death or coronary histopathology after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and race, implying that social determinants of health other than neighborhood disadvantage play a more prominent role in sudden cardiac death.

Abstract 13995: Relationships Between Neighborhood Disadvantage and Cardiovascular Findings at Autopsy in Subjects With Sudden Death

Introduction: Neighborhood disadvantage is associated with a higher risk of sudden cardiac death. However, autopsy findings have never been investigated in this context. Here, we sought to explore associations between neighborhood disadvantage and cardiovascular findings at autopsy in cases of sudden death in the State of Maryland. Methods: State of Maryland investigation reports from 2,278 subjects within the CVPath Sudden Death Registry were screened for street addresses and 9-digit zip-codes. Area Deprivation Index (ADI), used as metric for neighborhood disadvantage, was available for 1,464 subjects; 650 of whom self-identified as Black and 814 as White. The primary study outcome measurements were causes of death and gross and histopathologic findings of the heart. Results: Subjects from most disadvantaged neighborhoods ( i.e. , ADI ≥ 8; n = 607) died at younger age compared with subjects from less disadvantaged neighborhoods ( i.e. , ADI ≤ 7; n = 857; 46.07 ± 14.10 versus 47.78 ± 13.86 years; p = 0.02) and were more likely Black or women. They were, however, less likely to die from cardiac causes of death (61.8% versus 67.7%; p = 0.02) and had less severe atherosclerotic plaque features, including plaque burden, calcification, intraplaque hemorrhage, and thin-cap fibroatheromas. In addition, subjects from most disadvantaged neighborhoods had lower frequencies of plaque rupture (18.8% versus 25.1%, p = 0.004). However, these associations were omitted after adjustment for traditional risk factors and race. Conclusion: Neighborhood disadvantage did not associate with cause of death or coronary histopathology after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and race, implying that social determinants of health other than neighborhood disadvantage play a more prominent role in cardiovascular pathology.

Abstract 12228: Development of a Novel Polygenic Risk Score to Predict Risk of Aortic Stenosis Events

Introduction: Aortic stenosis (AS) is the most common valvular heart disease. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) use common genetic variants to enhance risk prediction for disease but have not yet been applied in AS. Methods: We generated an AS genetic risk score using summary data from a recently performed GWAS in the Million Veteran Program and score selection performed in the UK Biobank. We analyzed investigator reported adverse events with either newly identified AS or worsening of AS (including heart failure in the setting of AS or aortic valve replacement) from 5 TIMI trials (FOURIER, PEGASUS, SAVOR, SOLID, and ENGAGE). Cox proportional hazard models (adjusted for age, sex, diabetes, BMI, hyperlipidemia, and the first 5 principal components) were used to generate adjusted hazard ratios for risk of AS evaluating normalized PRS as a continuous variable. Results: The best performing AS PRS used a p-value threshold of 5x10 -8 and consisted of 27 independent single nucleotide polymorphisms which together predicted AS in the UKBB with a p-value of 2.6x10 -5 . In the TIMI trials, there were a total of 52,183 individuals (median age 66 years [interquartile range 60-72], 71.7% male) with a median follow up of 2.4 years. Of these, 215 (0.4%) had an AS-related adverse event. Age was the strongest clinical risk factor for an AS-related adverse event (HR 1.08 [1.06-1.10] per 1-SD, p-value 1.8x10 -19 ), followed by diabetes and BMI. After adjustment for all clinical risk factors there was a 16% increase in the risk of an AS-related adverse event with each standard deviation (SD) increase in the AS PRS (HR 1.16 [1.02-1.31] per 1-SD, p-value 0.03). Conclusions: We developed a novel polygenic risk score that predicts clinical risk of aortic stenosis-related adverse events in patients with cardiometabolic disease, even after adjustment for traditional risk factors.

Time Under 90% Oxygen Saturation and Systemic Hypertension in Patients with Obstructive Sleep Apnea Syndrome.

The diagnosis and severity of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) are commonly based on the apnea hypopnea index (AHI). However, patients with similar severity AHIs may show widely varying comorbidities and risks for cardiovascular disease, which may be associated with different severities of nocturnal hypoxia. The percentage of cumulative time with oxygen saturation below 90% in total sleep time (T90) is receiving increasing attention in OSA research because it describes the duration and degree of hypoxia during the whole sleep. This study aimed to explore the distribution of T90 in OSA patients with similar severity and to evaluate the relationship between T90 and hypertension. A total of 775 patients with OSA were enrolled in this study, all participants were divided into groups according to the T90 value: light hypoxia (T90≤5%), mild hypoxia (T90 accounted for 5-10%), moderate hypoxia (T90 accounted for 10-25%), and severe hypoxia (T90>25%). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association between T90 and hypertension. Of the patients with mild OSA, 94.33% had light hypoxia, and 88.64% of moderate OSA patients had light hypoxia. The proportions of light, mild, moderate, and severe hypoxia among patients with severe OSA were 28.60%, 17.69%, 21.40%, and 32.31%, respectively. After adjustment for potential confounders, the risk of hypertension in patients with severe OSA increased according to the severity categories of T90. The odds ratio for T90 accounting for 10-25% relative to T90≤5% was 2.544 (95%confidence interval, 1.254-5.164; P=0.010) and as high as 2.692 (95%confidence interval, 1.403-5.166; P=0.003) in patients with T90>25%. OSA patients with similar degree of AHI may have different T90 values, especially in severe OSA. A higher T90 was independently associated with the risk of hypertension after adjustment for traditional risk factors in patients with severe OSA. Our findings highlight the potential role for T90 in predicting hypertension in patients severe OSA.

Atrial fibrillation prevalence and management patterns in a Middle Eastern community in the United States: A retrospective study

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac dysrhythmia in the United States, and its prevalence is expected to increase along with associated morbidity and economic burden. Prior research has demonstrated differing prevalence patterns of AF between racial and ethnic groups, with lower rates identified in Black patients. However, to date there have been no studies on AF prevalence in people of Middle Eastern descent within the United States. This retrospective cross-sectional study aimed to characterize prevalence patterns of AF in Middle Eastern patients in Southeast Michigan relative to White and Black patients. The final cohort included 919,454 patients with a median (IQR) age of 53 (33) years (515,902 [56 %] female). The overall prevalence of AF was approximately 5 %. We observed a lower prevalence of AF in Middle Eastern (2.8 %) and Black patients (3.4 %) than in White patients (6.5 %). Middle Eastern patients with AF were younger with a lower prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors than White patients. Multivariable analysis showed that Middle Eastern (OR 0.75; 95 % CI 0.71–0.80; P < 0.001) and Black racial identity (OR 0.48; 95 % CI 9.47–0.49; P < 0.001) were associated with a lower odds of AF, even after adjustment for traditional risk factors.

Safety, feasibility, and prognostic value of stress perfusion CMR in patients with MR-conditional pacemaker.

To assess the safety, feasibility, and prognostic value of stress cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) in patients with pacemaker (PM). Between 2008 and 2021, we conducted a bi-centre longitudinal study with all consecutive patients with MR-conditional PM referred for vasodilator stress CMR at 1.5 T in the Institut Cardiovasculaire Paris Sud and Lariboisiere University Hospital. They were followed for the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) defined as cardiac death or non-fatal myocardial infarction. Cox regression analyses were performed to determine the prognostic value of CMR parameters. The quality of CMR was rated by two observers blinded to clinical details. Of 304 patients who completed the CMR protocol, 273 patients (70% male, mean age 71 ± 9 years) completed the follow-up (median [interquartile range], 7.1 [5.4-7.5] years). Among those, 32 experienced a MACE (11.7%). Stress CMR was well tolerated with no significant change in lead thresholds or pacing parameters. Overall, the image quality was rated good or excellent in 84.9% of segments. Ischaemia and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) were significantly associated with the occurrence of MACE (hazard ratio, HR: 11.71 [95% CI: 4.60-28.2]; and HR: 5.62 [95% CI: 2.02-16.21], both P < 0.001). After adjustment for traditional risk factors, ischaemia and LGE were independent predictors of MACE (HR: 5.08 [95% CI: 2.58-14.0]; and HR: 2.28 [95% CI: 2.05-3.76]; both P < 0.001). Stress CMR is safe, feasible and has a good discriminative prognostic value in consecutive patients with PM.

Comparative performances of soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor and Mid-regional proADM to predict composite death and new heart failure rehospitalisation in acutely breathless patients

Abstract Background Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is a pleotropic receptor, capable of orchestrating plaque vulnerability and vascular immune dysfunction. Mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) is the stable peptide precursor of adrenomedullin, with concentrations reflective of vasodilation and cardiac remodelling. We compared the prognostic performances of suPAR and MR-proADM for the composite clinical endpoint of death and new heart failure (HF) in patients with undifferentiated breathlessness. Methods Patients presenting to hospital with the primary complaint of acute dyspnoea were recruited in New Zealand (n=612) and in Singapore (n=483)]. Baseline plasma measurements were undertaken for suPAR (ViroGates) and MR-proADM (Thermo Scientific). Cardiac biomarker levels of NT-proBNP (Roche) was available on all patients. Statistical assessment was made using SPSS v28 (IBM), with all biomarkers treated as continuous variables and presented as median [interquartile range (IQR)]. Prognostic performance of suPAR, MR-proADM and NT-proBNP to predict the composite clinical endpoint of death/new HF at 90-days and 1-yr were assessed using receiver operator curve (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) analysis (Z-scores) and Cox hazard regression analysis (per doubling of biomarker concentrations) after adjustment for traditional risk factors. P-value &amp;lt;0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results In the entire acutely breathless cohort [median age: 65 years (IQR: 52.9–76.0), 63.1% males], 343/1095 of patients had the final adjudication of ADHF. suPAR and MR-proADM concentrations were higher with increasing age (Spearmans rho, r&amp;gt;0.46, P&amp;lt;0.0001), lower eGFR (r&amp;gt;0.58, P&amp;lt;0.0001) and in those with ADHF (r&amp;gt;0.40, P&amp;lt;0.0001). During the follow-up period, 122 patients were categorised with death/new HF by 90-days, rising to 281 at 1-year. suPAR and MR-proADM were able to predict death/new HF at 90-days (both ROC-AUC &amp;gt;0.77) and at 1-year (both ROC-AUC ≥0.78) (Table 1). All markers were however less accurate in predicting this endpoint in the presence of ADHF (ROC-AUC &amp;lt;0.71). After adjustment in Cox-regression modelling, suPAR obtained HR &amp;gt;1.35 per doubling of suPAR concentrations (P=0.001) for outcomes at 90-days and at 1-year (Table 2), achieving the highest prognostic performance for this clinical endpoint, followed by NT-proBNP (HR &amp;gt;1.29) (Table 2), whilst MR-proADM was not an independent predictor of death/HF in this cohort. suPAR was also an independent predictor of death/HF for patients with ADHF, obtaining HR &amp;gt;1.35 per doubling of concentrations. Above a cut-off concentration of 3.6 ng/mL, suPAR was associated with a HR of 2.1 (95% CI: 1.55–2.91) for death/HF at 1-year for acutely dyspnoeic patients. Conclusion suPAR concentrations is superior than MR-proADM in predicting the clinical end-point of death/HF at 1-year in this cohort. It may aid in risk-stratification strategies for the management of acutely breathless patients. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): National Heart Foundation of New ZealandHealth Research Council of New Zealand

Time series clustering of left atrial strain curves for risk stratification in the general population

Abstract Objective Currently, only the peak reservoir left atrial (LA) strain has been in use while a huge amount of useful information during different phases of cardiac cycle has been ignored. In this study, therefore, we tested the hypothesis that an unsupervised time series analysis utilizing the whole LA deformation curves will identify distinct clusters associated to risk factors and improve cardiovascular (CV) risk prediction over the traditionally used covariables in the general population. Design and method We prospectively studied 929 community-dwelling individuals (mean age, 51.6 years; 52.9% women), in whom we acquired clinical and echocardiographic data including LA strain traces at baseline and collected cardiac events on average 7.2 years later. We employed two unsupervised time series techniques such as Self-Organizing map and Variational Autoencoder (VAE) with Convolutional Neural Network as building block to cluster spatiotemporal patterns of LA strain curves. Clinical characteristics and cardiac outcome were used to evaluate the validity of the clusters (k). Results According to the quantization error value for every k, the optimal number of clusters was 5 for applied methods. Figure 1 (left panel) illustrates the centroids of the clusters using the proposed VAE network. The first three clusters had differences in sex distribution and heart rate, but had similar low CV risk profiles. On the other hand, cluster 5 had the worst CV risk factors combination, and higher prevalence of left ventricular remodelling and diastolic dysfunction (ie, lowest e' velocity and highest E/e') compared to other clusters. We also observed an increase in the risk for incidence of adverse events between cluster 5 and other clusters (Figure 1, right panel). After adjustment for traditional risk factors, cluster 5 had the highest risk of cardiac events as compared to cluster 1, 2 and 3 (HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.10–1.69); P=0.0046). Conclusion Unsupervised Machine/Deep Learning algorithms employed on time series LA strain curves identifies clinically meaningful clusters of LA deformation, and provides incremental prognostic information over traditional risk stratification. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): KU Leuven

Application of Model-Building Based on Arterial Ultrasound Imaging Evaluation to Predict CHD Risk.

Objective Atherosclerotic is a chronic systemic disease that may occur in multiple vascular beds, including the carotid arteries, renal arteries, lower limb arteries, and cerebral vessels. Coronary atherosclerosis shares similar risk factors, pathogenesis, and pathophysiological basis with the atherosclerotic lesions of arteries at these sites. Arterial ultrasound assessment data were used to explore the correlation of atherosclerotic disease with CHD lesions and their severity and the number of lesion branches, as well as to evaluate its value in predicting CHD risk, in combination with traditional risk factors. Methods A total of 363 inpatients with suspected CHD in the Department of Cardiology of the First Hospital of Harbin Medical University from November 2017 to June 2021 were selected. Patient clinical data, blood biochemical examination results, and ultrasound examination of neck vessels, abdominal arteries, and limb arteries were collected to obtain atherosclerosis assessment data. We then compared the differences between the CHD group and the control group, analyzed their correlation with CHD lesions and severity and the number of lesion branches, and evaluated the correlation with the coronary Gensini score. After adjustment for traditional risk factors, logistic regression was applied to analyze the relationship between arterial ultrasound assessment data and the risk of CHD. In addition, ROC plots were drawn to evaluate the risk of arterial ultrasound assessment data, combined with traditional risk factors, to predict CHD. Results With regard to abnormal blood biochemical index values, differences in lipids, HDL-C, FIB, CK-MB, hs-cTnI, BNP, and GGT were found between the CHD group and the control group. Carotid plaque count, abdominal aortic flow velocity, inferior mesenteric artery flow velocity, classification of the number of stenotic branches of abdominal aortic branch arteries, lower-extremity-artery plaque count, degree of lower-extremity-artery stenosis, and lower-extremity-artery AS were risk factors for arterial ultrasound assessment data of CHD. Carotid plaque count, carotid artery AS, inferior mesenteric artery flow velocity, abdominal aortic flow velocity, abdominal aortic plaque count, abdominal aortic branch artery stenosis branch classification, lower-extremity-artery plaque count, lower-extremity-artery stenosis branch classification, degree of lower-extremity-artery stenosis, and lower-extremity-artery AS, combined with traditional risk factors, were mostly more effective than traditional risk factor models in predicting CHD, its severity, and the number of branch lesions; moreover, the predictive value was higher. Specifically, carotid plaque count, carotid AS, lower-extremity-artery AS, the degree of stenosis of lower-extremity arteries, and abdominal aortic branch artery stenosis branch classification can be used as predictor variables for CHD risk. Among these variables, the carotid plaque count can be used as an independent predictor of CHD. Conclusion The incidence of arterial intima–media thickening (IMT), plaques, and stenosis can provide a reference for understanding the pattern of systemic atherogenesis and the distribution of atherosclerosis.

Relationship between Traditional Chinese Medicine Syndrome Elements and Prognosis of Patients with IgA Nephropathy.

Objective It is not clear which Traditional Chinese Medicine- (TCM-) related elements affect primary IgA nephropathy (IgAN) progression. Here, we explored the risk factors, based on TCM syndrome elements, related to the prognosis of primary IgAN patients. Methods We analyzed patients with newly diagnosed, biopsy-proven IgAN at a single institution from December 2013 to September 2021. Basic clinical and pathological characteristics were assessed at the time of renal biopsy. The study endpoint was end-stage renal disease (ESRD: eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2, dialysis, or kidney transplantation) and/or eGFR decreased by >30% from baseline. Kaplan‒Meier survival analysis was used to explore the role of TCM syndrome elements in IgAN progression. Multivariate Cox regression analysis with adjustment for traditional risk factors was performed to explore TCM syndrome elements that may influence patient prognosis. The factors correlated with TCM syndrome elements in IgAN patients were further evaluated by logistic regression analysis. Results During a median follow-up of 22.0 months, 53 (12.5%) of the 423 included IgAN patients reached the study endpoint. The main IgAN disease location elements were the kidney, liver, and spleen. The main IgAN disease nature elements were Yin-deficiency and Qi-deficiency, dampness, Yang-deficiency, phlegm, and Blood-deficiency. Kaplan‒Meier analysis identified three disease locations (liver, spleen, and kidney) and four disease natures (Qi-deficiency, Yang-deficiency, phlegm, and dampness) as elements associated with poor renal survival in IgAN patients. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, baseline Yang-deficiency was an independent risk predictor of poor prognosis in primary IgAN patients (hazard ratio 2.338; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.208–4.525; P=0.012) after adjustment for traditional risk factors. Furthermore, logistic regression analysis identified being female (odds ratio [OR] 2.518; 95% CI: 1.538–4.122; P < 0.001), older age (OR 1.043; 95% CI: 1.022–1.065; P < 0.001), low hemoglobin levels (OR 0.984; 95% CI: 0.971–0.996; P=0.013), and cellular/fibrocellular crescents (OR 1.706; 95% CI: 1.068–2.728; P=0.026) as factors affecting Yang-deficiency in IgAN patients. Conclusions Yang-deficiency independently predicts the risk of poor prognosis in primary IgAN patients. Being female, older age, low hemoglobin levels, and cellular/fibrocellular crescents were independently associated with Yang-deficiency in IgAN patients.

Association of left ventricular diastolic function with coronary artery calcium score: A Project Baseline Health Study

BackgroundCoronary artery calcium (CAC) and left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) are strong predictors of cardiovascular events and share common risk factors. However, their independent association remains unclear. MethodsIn the Project Baseline Health Study (PBHS), 2082 participants underwent cardiac-gated, non-contrast chest computed tomography (CT) and echocardiography. The association between left ventricular (LV) diastolic function and CAC was assessed using multidimensional network and multivariable-adjusted regression analyses. Multivariable analysis was conducted on continuous LV diastolic parameters and categorical classification of LVDD and adjusted for traditional cardiometabolic risk factors. LVDD was defined using reference limits from a low-risk reference group without established cardiovascular disease, cardiovascular risk factors or evidence of CAC, (n ​= ​560). We also classified LVDD using the American Society of Echocardiography recommendations. ResultsThe mean age of the participants was 51 ​± ​17 years with 56.6% female and 62.6% non-Hispanic White. Overall, 38.1% had hypertension; 13.7% had diabetes; and 39.9% had CAC >0. An intertwined network was observed between diastolic parameters, CAC score, age, LV mass index, and pulse pressure. In the multivariable-adjusted analysis, e’, E/e’, and LV mass index were independently associated with CAC after adjustment for traditional risk factors. For both e’ and E/e’, the effect size and statistical significance were higher across increasing CAC tertiles. Other independent correlates of e’ and E/e’ included age, female sex, Black race, height, weight, pulse pressure, hemoglobin A1C, and HDL cholesterol. The independent association with CAC was confirmed using categorical analysis of LVDD, which occurred in 554 participants (26.6%) using population-derived thresholds. ConclusionIn the PBHS study, the subclinical coronary atherosclerotic disease burden detected using CAC scoring was independently associated with diastolic function. Clinicaltrials.gov identifierNCT03154346.

Prognostic value of 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure patterns in diabetes: A 21-year longitudinal study.

To establish the long-term prognostic value of abnormal circadian blood pressure (BP) patterns in diabetes. We retrospectively examined a cohort of 349 outpatients with diabetes who were screened for microvascular complications and followed up for 21 years. Dipping, nondipping and reverse-dipping status were defined based on 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM) as ≥10% reduction, <10% reduction, and any increase in average nighttime versus daytime systolic BP (SBP), respectively. After 6251 person-years of follow-up (median [range] follow-up 21.0[1.1-22.0]years, 52% women, age 57.1 ± 11.9 years, 81.4% type 2 diabetes and 18.6% type 1 diabetes), a total of 136 deaths (39%) occurred. Compared with dippers, the nondippers and reverse dippers showed progressively higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD), cardiac autonomic neuropathy (CAN) and postural hypotension. Reverse dippers showed a 13.4% (2.5-year) reduction in mean overall survival and a twofold increased risk of all-cause mortality after adjustment for traditional risk factors (hazard ratio 2.2 [95% confidence interval 1.3-3.8]). Each 1% decrease in nighttime versus daytime SBP ratio was independently associated with a 4% reduction in 20-year mortality risk. In patients with diabetes, reverse dipping is associated with a higher prevalence of CKD and CAN and more than doubled the adjusted risk of all-cause mortality over a 21-year observation.

Low Serum Dehydroepiandrosterone Is Associated With Diabetic Kidney Disease in Men With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

BackgroundThe associations of dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA) and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEAS) with diabetic kidney disease (DKD) remained unclear. Thus, this cross-sectional study aimed to explore the associations of DHEA and DHEAS with the risk of DKD in patients with T2DM.MethodsThe information of 1251 patients with T2DM were included in this study. Serum DHEA and DHEAS were quantified using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry assays. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess the associations of DHEA and DHEAS with DKD as well as high urine albumin to creatinine ratio (ACR).ResultsIn men with T2DM, the risk of DKD decreased with an increasing DHEA concentration after adjustment for traditional risk factors; the fully adjusted OR (95% CI) for tertile3 vs tertile1 was 0.37 (0.19-0.70; P = 0.010 for trend). Similarly, when taking high ACR as the outcome, low DHEA levels were still significantly associated with increased odds of high ACR (OR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.19–0.72 for tertile3 vs tertile1; P = 0.012 for trend). The restricted cubic spline showed that the risk of DKD gradually decreased with the increment of serum DHEA levels (P-overall = 0.007; P-nonlinear = 0.161). DHEAS was not independently associated with the risk of DKD in men. In contrast, no significant relationships were found between DHEA and DHEAS and the risk of DKD in women (all P > 0.05).ConclusionsIn men with T2DM, low serum DHEA levels were independently related to the risk of DKD after adjustment for traditional risk factors. Our finding highlights the potential role of DHEA in the development of DKD in men with T2DM.