Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure Score Research Articles

Managing Multiorgan Failure in Acute on Chronic Liver Failure.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is defined as a clinical syndrome that develops in patients with chronic liver disease characterized by the presence of organ failure and high short-term mortality, although there is still no worldwide consensus on diagnostic criteria. Management of ACLF is mainly based on treatment of "precipitating factors" (the most common are infections, alcohol-associated hepatitis, hepatitis B flare, and bleeding) and support of organ failure, which often requires admission to the intensive care unit. Liver transplantation should be considered in patients with ACLF grades 2 to 3 as a potentially life-saving treatment. When a transplant is not indicated, palliative care should be considered after 3 to 7 days of full organ support in patients with at least four organ failures or a CLIF-C ACLF score of >70. This review summarizes the current knowledge on the management of organ failure in patients with ACLF, focusing on recent advances.

Clinical outcomes and predictors in patients with acute on chronic liver failure in Southern Taiwan

Background/aimsThe study is to analyze the clinical characteristics and identify prognostic factors as well as evaluate predictive models in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) from Southern Taiwan. MethodsThe cohort study was conducted using the Chang Gung Research Database. We included patients with ACLF based on the definition provided by the Asian-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver ACLF Research Consortium (AARC). ResultsA total of 231 patients diagnosed with ACLF were included in this study, out of which 26 patients underwent liver transplantation (LT). The primary cause of ACLF was acute exacerbation of hepatitis B virus (HBV) in 68.4% of cases and followed by severe alcoholic hepatitis (20.8%). Among LT-free patients, the 28-day mortality rate was observed to be 31%. Older age, higher INR and ammonia levels, and the presence of severe hepatic encephalopathy on 3–6 days of treatment were independent predictors of 28-day mortality. The CLIF-C ACLF and COSSH-ACLF scores, evaluated on 3–6 days, demonstrated the highest predictive performance for 28-day mortality. The optimal cut-off values for the CLIF-C ACLF and COSSH-ACLF scores were determined to be 47 and 6.3, respectively. Patients with CLIF-C ACLF score >63 or COSSH-ACLF score >8.1 experienced 100% mortality by day 28. ConclusionsThe CLIF-C ACLF and COSSH-ACLF scores, evaluated within one week after treatment, exhibit strong predictive capabilities for short-term mortality in ACLF patients. These models are valuable tools for guiding timely decision-making, including the consideration of liver transplantation or withdrawal from treatment.

Age added to MELD or ACLF predicts survival in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis declined for liver transplantation.

Severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) that is nonresponsive to corticosteroids is associated with high mortality, particularly with concomitant acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Most patients will not be candidates for liver transplantation (LT) and their outcomes are largely unknown. Our aim was to determine the outcomes of these declined candidates and to derive practical prediction models for transplant-free survival applicable at the time of the waitlist decision. We analyzed a database of patients with severe AH who were hospitalized at a LT center from January 2012 to July 2021, using the National Death Index for those lacking follow-up. Clinical variables were analyzed based on the endpoints of mortality at 30, 60, 90, and 180 days. Logistic and Cox regression analyses were used for model derivation. Over 9.5 years, 206 patients with severe AH were declined for LT, mostly for unfavorable psychosocial profiles, with a mean MELD of 33 (±8), and 61% with ACLF. Over a median follow-up of 521 (17.5-1368) days, 58% (119/206) died at a median of 21 (9-124) days. Of 32 variables, only age added prognostic value to MELD and ACLF grade. CLIF-C ACLF score and 2 new models, MELD-Age and ACLF-Age, had similar predictability (AUROC: 0.73, 0.73, 0.72, respectively), outperforming Lille and Maddrey's (AUROC: 0.63, 0.62). In internal cross-validation, the average AUROC was 0.74. ACLF grade ≥2, MELD score >35, and age >45 years were useful cutoffs for predicting increased 90-day mortality from waitlist decision. Only two patients initially declined for LT for AH subsequently underwent LT (1%). Patients with severe AH declined for LT have high short-term mortality and rare rates of subsequent LT. Age added to MELD or ACLF grade enhances survival prediction at the time of waitlist decision in patients with severe AH declined for LT.

Development and validation of a new prognostic model for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure in intensive care unit.

Cirrhotic patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in the intensive care unit (ICU) have a poor but variable prognoses. Accurate prognosis evaluation can guide the rational management of patients with ACLF. However, existing prognostic scores for ACLF in the ICU environment lack sufficient accuracy. To develop a new prognostic model for patients with ACLF in ICU. Data from 938 ACLF patients in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) database were used to develop a new prognostic model (MIMIC ACLF) for ACLF. Discrimination, calibration and clinical utility of MIMIC ACLF were assessed by area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA), respectively. MIMIC ACLF was then externally validated in a multiple-center cohort, the Electronic Intensive Care Collaborative Research Database and a single-center cohort from the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University in China. The MIMIC ACLF score was determined using nine variables: ln (age) × 2.2 + ln (white blood cell count) × 0.22 - ln (mean arterial pressure) × 2.7 + respiratory failure × 0.6 + renal failure × 0.51 + cerebral failure × 0.31 + ln (total bilirubin) × 0.44 + ln (internationalized normal ratio) × 0.59 + ln (serum potassium) × 0.59. In MIMIC cohort, the AUROC (0.81/0.79) for MIMIC ACLF for 28/90-day ACLF mortality were significantly greater than those of Chronic Liver Failure Consortium ACLF (0.76/0.74), Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD; 0.73/0.71) and MELD-Na (0.72/0.70) (all P < 0.001). The consistency between actual and predicted 28/90-day survival rates of patients according to MIMIC ACLF score was excellent and superior to that of existing scores. The net benefit of MIMIC ACLF was greater than that achieved using existing scores within the 50% threshold probability. The superior predictive accuracy and clinical utility of MIMIC ACLF were validated in the external cohorts. We developed and validated a new prognostic model with satisfactory accuracy for cirrhotic patients with ACLF hospitalized in the ICU. The model-based risk stratification and online calculator might facilitate the rational management of patients with ACLF.

Accuracy of chronic liver failure consortium (CLIF-C) ACLF score compared with meld, MELD-NA and CTP as a mortality predictor in acute on chronic liver failure patients admitted to tertiary rural care hospital

Background Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF-C) ACLF score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), MELD-Na, and Child-Pugh (CTP) are established scoring systems for predicting mortality in Acute on Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) patients. However, their comparative accuracy, especially in rural care settings, still needs to be explored. This study aims to assess and compare the predictive performance of these scoring systems, providing a nuanced understanding of their applicability in a tertiary rural care hospital. Method This prospective observational cohort study will be conducted at Acharya Vinoba Bhave Rural Hospital, following approval from the institutional ethical committee. ACLF patients aged 18 and above, presenting within one week of onset, will be included. Data collection will involve comprehensive assessments, including scoring system calculations, clinical examinations, and relevant investigations. Statistical analyses, encompassing descriptive statistics, comparative analyses, survival analyses, and multivariate models, will elucidate the accuracy and independent predictors of 28-day mortality. Expected Outcome Anticipated outcomes include a comprehensive understanding of the strengths and limitations of the CLIF-C ACLF score, MELD, MELD-Na, and CTP in predicting mortality among ACLF patients in a rural care context. The study aims to identify potential correlations and independent predictors, offering valuable insights for risk stratification. These findings are expected to guide clinicians in optimising prognostic assessments and decision-making, thereby improving the care and outcomes of ACLF patients in rural healthcare settings.

A novel prognostic model to predict mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure in intensive care unit.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) implies high short-term mortality rates and usually requires intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Proper prognosis for these patients is crucial for early referral for liver transplantation. The superiority of CLIF-C ACLF score in Asian patients with ACLF admitted to an ICU remains inconclusive when compared to other scoring systems. The purpose of the study is (i) to compare the predictive performance of original MELD, MELD-Lactate, CLIF-C ACLF, CLIF-C ACLF-Lactate, and APACHE-II scores for short-term mortality assessment. (ii) to build and validate a novel scoring system and to compare its predictive performance to that of the original five scores. Two hundred sixty-five consecutive cirrhotic patients with ACLF who were admitted to our ICU were enrolled. The prognostic values for mortality were assessed by ROC analysis. A novel model was developed and internally validated using fivefold cross-validation. Alcohol abuse was identified as the primary etiology of cirrhosis. The AUROC of the five prognostic scores were not significantly superior to each other in predicting 1-month and 3-month mortality. The newly developed prognostic model, incorporating age, alveolar-arterial gradient (A-a gradient), BUN, total bilirubin level, INR, and HE grades, exhibited significantly improved performance in predicting 1-month and 3-month mortality with AUROC of 0.863 and 0.829, respectively, as compared to the original five prognostic scores. The novel ACLF model seems to be superior to the original five scores in predicting short-term mortality in ACLF patients admitted to an ICU. Further rigorous validation is required.

Thromboelastography characteristics in critically ill patients with liver disease.

The purpose of this study was to determine how thromboelastography (TEG) parameters differ by various clinical conditions that commonly occur in patients with cirrhosis, including sepsis, acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF), alcohol-associated hepatitis (AAH) and portal vein thrombosis (PVT). TEG, a whole blood assay, is used to assess several parameters of coagulation and is becoming increasingly used in clinical practice. This study was a retrospective chart review of 155 patients admitted to the ICU with decompensated cirrhosis from 2017 to 2019. The R time was significantly shorter in patients when they were septic compared to when they were not and longer in patients with vs. without ACLF grade 3. Alpha angle and maximum amplitude was decreased in patients with severe AAH compared to those without severe AAH; and maximum amplitude was increased in patients with acute PVT compared to those with chronic PVT. R time was positively correlated with Chronic Liver Failure Consortium Organ Failure and Chronic Liver Failure Consortium ACLF scores (rho = 0.22, P = 0.020), while alpha angle and maximum amplitude were negatively correlated with MELD-NA. Findings suggest TEG parameters vary in several clinical conditions in patients with decompensated cirrhosis who are admitted to the ICU. Prospective research is needed to confirm our findings and to determine how this knowledge can be used to guide clinical practice, as well as blood product transfusions in the setting of bleeding or prior to invasive procedures.

Neutrophilia is more predictive than increased white blood cell counts for short-term mortality after liver transplantation in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a life-threatening disease that requires urgent liver transplantation (LT). Accurate identification of high-risk patients is essential for predicting post-LT survival. The chronic liver failure consortium ACLF score is a widely accepted risk-stratification score that includes total white blood cell (WBC) counts as a component. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of total and differential WBC counts for short-term mortality following LT in patients with ACLF. A total of 685 patients with ACLF who underwent LT between January 2008 and February 2019 were analyzed. Total and differential WBC counts were examined as a function of the model for end-stage liver disease for sodium (MELD-Na) score. The association between total and differential WBC counts and 90-day post-LT mortality was assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. The total WBC counts and neutrophil ratio were higher in patients with ACLF than in those without ACLF. The neutrophil ratio was significantly associated with 90-day post-LT mortality after adjustment (hazard ratio [HR], 1.04; P = 0.001), whereas total WBC counts were not significantly associated with 90-day post-LT mortality in either univariate or multivariate Cox analyses. The neutrophil ratio demonstrated a relatively linear trend with an increasing MELD-Na score and HR for 90-day post-LT mortality, whereas the total WBC counts exhibited a plateaued pattern. Neutrophilia, rather than total WBC counts, is a better prognostic indicator for short-term post-LT mortality in patients with ACLF.

Cirrhotic cardiomyopathy influences clinical outcomes and enhances performance of conventional risk prediction models in acute-on-chronic liver failure with severe sepsis.

Point-of-care echocardiography (POC-Echo) is an essential intensive care hemodynamic monitoring tool. To assess POC-Echo parameters [i.e., cardiac index (CI), systemic vascular resistance index (SVRI) and cirrhotic cardiomyopathy (CCM) markers] and serum biomarkers in predicting circulatory failure (need for vasopressors) and mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) having sepsis-induced hypotension. We performed serial POC-Echo within 6 hours (h)of presentation and subsequently at 24, 48 and 72 h in patients with ACLF and sepsis-induced hypotension admitted to our liver intensive care unit. Clinical data, POC-Echo data and serum biomarkers were collected prospectively. We enrolled 120 patients [59% men, aged 49 ± 12 years, 56% alcohol-related disease and median MELDNa of 30 (27-32)], of whom 68 (56.6%) had circulatory failure, with overall mortality of 60%. CCM was present in 52.5%. The predictors of circulatory failure were CI (aHR -1.5; p = 0.021), N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide (aHR -1.1; p = 0.007) and CCM markers; e' septal mitral velocity (aHR -0.5; p = 0.039) and E/e' ratio (aHR -1.2; p = 0.045). Reduction in CI by 20% and SVRI by 15% at 72 h predicted mortality with a sensitivity of 84% and 72%, and specificity 76% and 65%, respectively (p < 0.001). The MELD-CCM model and CLIF-CCM model were computed as MELDNa + 1.815 × E/e' (septal) + 0.402 × e' (septal) and CLIF-C ACLF + 1.815 × E/e' (septal) + 0.402 × e' (septal), respectively, based on multivariable logistic regression. Both scores outperformed MELDNa (z-score = -2.073, p = 0.038) and CLIF-C ACLF score (z score = -2.683, p-value = 0.007), respectively, in predicting 90-day mortality. POC-Echo measurements such as CCM markers (E/e' and e' velocity) and change in CI reliably predict circulatory failure and mortality in ACLF with severe sepsis. CCM markers significantly enhanced the CLIF-C ACLF and MELDNa predictive performance.

Baseline characteristics, grading and mortality in acute on chronic liver failure using CLF-C ACLF CRITERIA.

Objective: To observe baseline characteristics, ACLF (Acute on Chronic Liver Failure) grading and mortality in ACLF patients using EASL CLIF CRITERIA. Study Design: Prospective, Observational study. Setting: Medical unit 111, ward 7, Jinnah Postgraduate Medical Centre, Karachi. Period: January 2022 to June 2022. Material &amp; Methods: We prospectively analysed data of hospitalised liver cirrhosis patients at a tertiary care hospital in Karachi, Pakistan. The data was analysed in SPSS version 25. Results: There were a total of 43 ACLF patients, with the median age of IQR of 56(47-62) years, out of which 20 (46.5%) patients were male and 23 (53.5%) were females. The most common etiology of liver cirrhosis was hepatitis C 26(60.5%) followed by other etiologies nine (20.9%) and hepatitis B eight (18.6%). The most common precipitating factor was infection 19(44.2%) and the most frequent organ failure (OF) was renal failure (60.5%), followed by cerebral failure (46.5%) and other OFs. There were 24 patients in ACLF grade one, 13 in grade two and six in grade three ACLF. All six patients of ACLF grade three belonged to CTP C (Child-turcotte-pugh Cirrhosn) (100%) with 100% mortality. ACLF grade two had nine (69.2%) and ACLF grade one had eight (33.33%) CTP C patients. The in hospital mortality of ACLF was 23%. The median MELD Na of these patients was 28 (23-31), CLIF Consortium Organ Failure score was 9(8-10) and CLIF C ACLF Score was 45 (38-55). Conclusion: Highest mortality was observed in Child Pugh C and ACLF grade three in our patients. Such patients must be closely monitored and referred early for medical management and liver transplantation.

Clinical Profile and Prognostic Markers of Acute on Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF): A Single-center Experience from East India

The aim of the study was to study the clinical profile of acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) and establish Cell-free DNA (Cf DNA) as a predictor of the outcome of ACLF. In this prospective study, those patients who fulfilled EASL criteria were included. Cf DNAwas estimated in 30 patients and compared with the CLIF-C ACLF score. The median age of 132 consecutive ACLF patients was 40 years. The most common acute insult were sepsis (30.3%) and alcohol (22%). While alcohol (35.6%) and chronic HBV (14.3%) were the most common etiologies of cirrhosis. The overall mortality was 45.5% and 71.2% at 28 days and 90 days, respectively. Multiple regression analysis using the Cox proportional hazard model showed that heart rate (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.04-1.08P= 0.001), lung failure (HR 2.82, 95% CI 1.24-6.44, P= 0.02), and cell-free DNA (HR 2.70, 95% CI 1.17-6.24, P=0.02) were independent predictors of mortality When Cf DNA was used to predict 28-daymortality, Cf DNA was found to have a higher AUC (AUROC 0.84, 95% CI 0.70-0.98, P= 0.001) than the CLIF-C-ACLF score (AUROC 0.81, 95% 0.66-0.97, P= 0.003). However, when 90-daymortality was compared, CLIF-C-ACLF score had a higher area under the curve (AUROC 0.93, 95% CI 0.83-1.00, P= 0.0001) than Cf DNA (AUROC 0.89, 95% CI 0.77-1.00, P= 0.0001). Alcohol and sepsis remain the most common causes of acute insult. Cf DNA is a better predictor of 28-daymortality, whereas CLIF-C ACLF is more accurate to predict 90-daymortality.

Intravenous BCAA Infusion Does Not Lead to a Sustained Recovery From Overt HE in ACLF – An Open Label Randomized Clinical Trial

Background–Hepatic encephalopathy(HE) in acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. We conducted a prospective, randomized controlled clinical trial to study efficacy of intravenous branched chain amino acids(IV-BCAA) with lactulose versus lactulose alone for improvement in HE at 24h, day 3 & day 7. Primary outcome was improvement in encephalopathy by ≥ 1 grade at 72 hours.Patients and Methods–EASL defined ACLF patients with overt HE were assessed and randomized into experimental arm (IV-BCAA - 500mL/day for 3 days + Lactulose; n=39) and comparator arm (Lactulose alone; n=37). Six patients developed COVID-19 after randomization & were excluded (4-experimental arm & 2-comparator arm).Results–Of 222 screened patients, 70 (35 in each arm) were included in analysis. Baseline characteristics including HE grade (2.9 ± 0.7 vs 2.8 ± 0.7;P = 0.86) and CLIF-C ACLF score (54.2 ± 5.6 vs 54.8 ± 5.7;P = 0.65) were similar. Overall survival was 40% at 28 days (48.5% vs 31.4%;P=0.14). Improvement in HESA by ≥1 grade at 24h occurred in 14 patients (40%) in BCAA arm and 6 patients (17.1%) in control group (P=0.03) which translated to shorter ICU stay. Median change in HESA at 24h was more in BCAA arm than control arm(P=0.006) which was not sustained at day 3 or 7. Ammonia levels did not correlate with grade of HE (Spearman’s correlation coefficient(ρ) = - 0.0843;P=0.29).ConclusionIntravenous BCAA does not lead to a sustained improvement in HE grade in ACLF.Trial registration noNCT04238416 (clinicaltrials.gov)

Randomized, controlled clinical trial of the DIALIVE liver dialysis device versus standard of care in patients with acute-on- chronic liver failure

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized by severe systemic inflammation, multi-organ failure and high mortality rates. Its treatment is an urgent unmet need. DIALIVE is a novel liver dialysis device that aims to exchange dysfunctional albumin and remove damage- and pathogen-associated molecular patterns. This first-in-man randomized-controlled trial was performed with the primary aim of assessing the safety of DIALIVE in patients with ACLF, with secondary aims of evaluating its clinical effects, device performance and effect on pathophysiologically relevant biomarkers. Thirty-two patients with alcohol-related ACLF were included. Patients were treated with DIALIVE for up to 5 days and end points were assessed at Day 10. Safety was assessed in all patients (n= 32). The secondary aims were assessed in a pre-specified subgroup that had at least three treatment sessions with DIALIVE (n= 30). There were no significant differences in 28-day mortality or occurrence of serious adverse events between the groups. Significant reduction in the severity of endotoxemia and improvement in albumin function was observed in the DIALIVE group, which translated into a significant reduction in the CLIF-C (Chronic Liver Failure consortium) organ failure (p= 0.018) and CLIF-C ACLF scores (p= 0.042) at Day 10. Time to resolution of ACLF was significantly faster in DIALIVE group (p= 0.036). Biomarkers of systemic inflammation such as IL-8 (p= 0.006), cell death [cytokeratin-18: M30 (p= 0.005) and M65 (p= 0.029)], endothelial function [asymmetric dimethylarginine (p= 0.002)] and, ligands for Toll-like receptor 4 (p= 0.030) and inflammasome (p= 0.002) improved significantly in the DIALIVE group. These data indicate that DIALIVE appears to be safe and impacts positively on prognostic scores and pathophysiologically relevant biomarkers in patients with ACLF. Larger, adequately powered studies are warranted to further confirm its safety and efficacy. This is the first-in-man clinical trial which tested DIALIVE, a novel liver dialysis device for the treatment of cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure, a condition associated with severe inflammation, organ failures and a high risk of death. The study met the primary endpoint, confirming the safety of the DIALIVE system. Additionally, DIALIVE reduced inflammation and improved clinical parameters. However, it did not reduce mortality in this small study and further larger clinical trials are required to re-confirm its safety and to evaluate efficacy. NCT03065699.

SPP1 as a risk factor for patients with acute on chronic liver failure undergoing liver transplantation

BackgroundAcute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized by systemic inflammation and significant mortality, calling for accurate assessment due to the diverse prognosis of liver transplantation (LT). Methods8 patients with ACLF and 4 normal controls (NC) underwent peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) transcriptomics, whereas 9 patients with ACLF and 3 NC had hepatic CD45+ T cells transcriptomics. Thecandidateindicatorfoundinthetranscriptomicswas confirmedbya retrospective cohort (n = 137) and one prospective cohort (n = 68). ResultsTranscriptomics revealed significant differentially expression genes (DEGs) and bioprocesses related to the PBMCs and hepatic CD45+ T cells. Secreted phosphoprotein 1 (SPP1) was identified as a potential indicator for ACLF patients receiving LT, which was supported by evidence from the cross-sectional cohorts. As the condition of ACLF got worse, so did SPP1 levels, which were associated with liver failure and coagulation failure. SPP1 levels prior to LT were considerably greater in non-survivors of ACLF within 90 days than that in survivors. In the derivation cohort and validation cohort, ACLF patients with elevated SPP1 levels had significantly shorter cumulative survival durations than those with low SPP1 levels, P = 0.02 and P < 0.001, respectively. The SPP1-MELD and SPP1-chronic liver failure consortium (CLIF-C) ACLF scores had comparatively larger areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) than MELD (P = 0.0388) and CLIF-C ACLF (P = 0.045). ConclusionsThe circulating SPP1 showed promise as a predictor for ACLF patients receiving LT, which demonstrated the need for tracking the clinical outcome of LT.

Fecal cytolysin does not predict disease severity in acutely decompensated cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure

BackgroundCirrhosis with acute decompensation (AD) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) are characterized by high morbidity and mortality. Cytolysin, a toxin from Enterococcus faecalis (E. faecalis), is associated with mortality in alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH). It is unclear whether cytolysin also contributes to disease severity in AD and ACLF. MethodsWe studied the role of fecal cytolysin in 78 cirrhotic patients with AD/ACLF. Bacterial DNA from fecal samples was extracted and real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) was performed. The association between fecal cytolysin and liver disease severity in cirrhosis with AD or ACLF was analyzed. ResultsFecal cytolysin and E. faecalis abundance did not predict chronic liver failure (CLIF-C) AD and ACLF scores. Presence of fecal cytolysin was not associated with other liver disease markers, including Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, ‘Age, serum Bilirubin, INR, and serum Creatinine (ABIC)’ score, Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) nor MELD-Na scores in AD or ACLF patients. ConclusionsFecal cytolysin does not predict disease severity in AD and ACLF patients. The predictive value of fecal cytolysin positivity for mortality appears to be restricted to AH.

Validation of the CLIF-C OF Score and CLIF-C ACLF Score to Predict Transplant-Free Survival in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis and Concomitant Need for Intensive Care Unit Treatment.

Both the Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF-C) organ failure score (OFs) and the CLIF-C acute-on-chronic-liver failure (ACLF) score (ACLFs) were developed for risk stratification and to predict mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis and ACLF. However, studies validating the predictive ability of both scores in patients with liver cirrhosis and concomitant need for intensive care unit (ICU) treatment are scarce. The aim of the present study is to validate the predictive ability of the CLIF-C OFs and CLIF-C ACLFs regarding the rationale of ongoing ICU treatment and to investigate their predictive ability regarding 28-days (short-), 90-days (medium-), and 365-days (long-term) mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis treated in an ICU. Patients with liver cirrhosis and acute decompensation (AD) or ACLF and concomitant need for ICU treatment were retrospectively analyzed. Predictive factors for mortality, defined as transplant-free survival, were identified using multivariable regression analyses and the predictive ability of CLIF-C OFs, CLIF-C ACLFs, MELD score, and AD score (ADs) was assessed by determining the AUROC. Of 136 included patients, 19 patients presented with AD and 117 patients with ACLF at ICU admission. In multivariable regression analyses, CLIF-C OFs as well as CLIF-C ACLFs were independently associated with higher short-, medium-, and long-term mortality after adjusting for confounding variables. The predictive ability of the CLIF-C OFs in the total cohort in short-term was 0.687 (95% CI 0.599-0.774). In the subgroup of patients with ACLF, the respective AUROCs were 0.652 (95% CI 0.554-0.750) and 0.717 (95% CI 0.626-0.809) for the CLIF-C OFs and for the CLIF-C ACLFs, respectively. ADs performed well in the subgroup of patients without ACLF at ICU admission with an AUROC of 0.792 (95% CI 0.560-1.000). In the long-term, the AUROCs were 0.689 (95% Cl 0.581-0.796) and 0.675 (95% Cl 0.550-0.800) for CLIF-C OFs and CLIF-C ACLFs, respectively. The predictive ability of CLIF-C OFs and CLIF-C ACLFs was relatively low to predict short- and long-term mortality in patients with ACLF with concomitant need for ICU treatment. However, the CLIF-C ACLFs may have special merit in judging futility of further ICU treatment.

Epidemiology, characteristics, and outcomes of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure in Australia.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is distinct from acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis in its clinical presentation, pathophysiology, and prognosis. There are limited published Australian ACLF data. We performed a single-center retrospective cohort study of all adults with cirrhosis admitted with a decompensating event to a liver transplantation (LT) centre between 2015 and 2020. ACLF was defined using the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) definition while those who did not meet the definition were classified as AD. The primary outcome of interest was 90-day LT-free survival. A total of 615 patients had 1039 admissions for a decompensating event. On their index admission, 34% (209/615) of patients were classified as ACLF. Median admission model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and MELD-Na scores were higher in ACLF patients compared with AD (21 vs 17 and 25 vs 20 respectively, both P<0.001). Both the presence and severity of ACLF (grade ≥2) significantly predicted worse LT-free survival compared with patients with AD. The EASL-CLIF ACLF score (CLIF-C ACLF), MELD and MELD-Na scores performed similarly in predicting 90-day mortality. Patients with index ACLF had a higher risk of 28-day mortality (28.1% vs 5.1%, P<0.001) and shorter times to readmission compared with those with AD. ACLF complicates over a third of hospital admissions for cirrhosis with decompensating events and is associated with a high short-term mortality. The presence and grade of ACLF predicts 90-day mortality and should be identified as those at greatest risk of poor outcome without intervention such as LT.

The Ratio of von Willebrand Factor Antigen to ADAMTS13 Activity: Usefulness as a Prognostic Biomarker in Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has a high risk of short-term mortality. A disintegrin-like and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin type-1 motifs 13 (ADAMTS13) is a metalloproteinase that specifically cleaves multimeric von Willebrand factor (VWF). Imbalance between ADAMTS13 and VWF is associated with portal hypertension, which induces ACLF development. A previous study reported that ADAMTS13 activity (ADAMTS13:AC) and VWF antigen (VWF:Ag) are predictive biomarkers of ACLF development in patients with cirrhosis. This study investigated the changes in ADAMTS13:AC and VWF:Ag levels from before to after the development of ACLF to determine their usefulness as a prognostic biomarker in patients with ACLF. In total, 101 patients with cirrhosis were enrolled in this study. The level of ADAMTS13:AC and VWF:Ag was determined by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was conducted to determine independent prognostic factors for patients with liver cirrhosis in the post-ACLF group. ADAMTS13:AC levels gradually decreased in the order of non-ACLF group, pre-ACLF group, and finally post-ACLF group. VWF:Ag and the ratio of VWF:Ag to ADAMTS13:AC (VWF:Ag/ADAMTS13:AC) levels gradually increased in the order of non-ACLF group, pre-ACLF group, followed by post-ACLF group. VWF:Ag/ADAMTS13:AC and CLIF-C ACLF scores were associated with prognosis in the post-ACLF group in multivariate analysis. The cumulative survival of the post-ACLF group was significantly lower for patients with high VWF:Ag/ADAMTS13:AC (>9) compared with those with low VWF:Ag/ADAMTS13:AC (≤9) (HR: 10.72, 95% confidence interval: 1.39-82.78, p < 0.05). The VWF:Ag/ADAMTS13:AC increased according to the progression of ACLF in patients with cirrhosis and predicted prognosis in patients with cirrhosis with ACLF.

FATORES PROGNÓSTICOS DE TRANSPLANTE HEPÁTICO EM “ACUTE-ON-CHRONIC LIVER FAILURE”

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) is the only treatment that can provide long-term survival for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Although several studies identify prognostic factors for patients in ACLF who do not undergo LT, there is scarce literature about prognostic factors after LT in this population. AIM: Evaluate outcomes of ACLF patients undergoing LT, studying prognostic factors related to 1-year and 90 days post-LT. METHODS: Patients with ACLF undergoing LT between January 2005 and April 2021 were included. Variables such as chronic liver failure consortium (CLIF-C) ACLF values and ACLF grades were compared with the outcomes. RESULTS: The ACLF survival of patients (n=25) post-LT at 90 days, 1, 3, 5 and 7 years, was 80, 76, 59.5, 54.1 and 54.1% versus 86.3, 79.4, 72.6, 66.5 and 61.2% for patients undergoing LT for other indications (n=344), (p=0.525). There was no statistical difference for mortality at 01 year and 90 days among patients with the three ACLF grades (ACLF-1 vs. ACLF-2 vs. ACLF-3) undergoing LT, as well as when compared to non-ACLF patients. CLIF-C ACLF score was not related to death outcomes. None of the other studied variables proved to be independent predictors of mortality at 90 days, 1 year, or overall. CONCLUSIONS: LT conferred long-term survival to most transplant patients. None of the studied variables proved to be a prognostic factor associated with post-LT survival outcomes for patients with ACLF. Additional studies are recommended to clarify the prognostic factors of post-LT survival in patients with ACLF.

CLIF-SOFA and CLIF-C scores for the prognostication of acute-on-chronic liver failure and acute decompensation of cirrhosis: A systematic review

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome characterized by decompensation in individuals with chronic liver disease, generally secondary to one or more extra-hepatic organ failures, implying an elevated mortality rate. Acute decompensation (AD) is the term used for one or more significant consequences of liver disease in a short time and is the most common reason for hospital admission in cirrhotic patients. The European Association for the Study of Liver-Chronic-Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) Group modified the intensive care Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score into CLIF-SOFA, which detects the presence of ACLF in patients with or without AD, classifying it into three grades. To investigate the role of the EASL-CLIF definition for ACLF and the ability of CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and CLIF-C AD scores for prognosticating ACLF or AD. This study is a literature review using a standardized search method, conducted using the steps following the guidelines for reporting systematic reviews set out by the PRISMA statement. For specific keywords, relevant articles were found by searching PubMed, ScienceDirect, and BioMed Central-BMC. The databases were searched using the search terms by one reviewer, and a list of potentially eligible studies was generated based on the titles and abstracts screened. The data were then extracted and assessed on the basis of the Reference Citation Analysis (https://www.referencecitationanalysis.com/). Most of the included studies used the EASL-CLIF definition for ACLF to identify cirrhotic patients with a significant risk of short-term mortality. The primary outcome in all reviewed studies was mortality. Most of the study findings were based on an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis, which revealed that CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and CLIF-C AD scores were preferable to other models predicting 28-d mortality. Their AUROC scores were higher and able to predict all-cause mortality at 90, 180, and 365 d. A total of 50 articles were included in this study, which found that the CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF and CLIF-C AD scores in more than half of the articles were able to predict short-term and long-term mortality in patients with either ACLF or AD. CLIF-SOFA score surpasses other models in predicting mortality in ACLF patients, especially in the short-term. CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and CLIF-C AD are accurate short-term and long-term mortality prognosticating scores.