Long-range infrasound propagation problems are characterized by a large number of length scales and a large number of propagating modes. In the atmosphere, these modes are confined within waveguides causing the sound to propagate through multiple paths to the receiver. In most infrasound modeling studies, the small scale fluctuations are represented as a “frozen” gravity wave field that is superimposed on a given average background state, and the normal modes are obtained using a single calculation. Direct observations in the lower stratosphere show, however, that the gravity wave field is very intermittent, and is often dominated by rather well defined large-amplitude wave packets. In the present work, we use a few proper modes to describe both the gravity wave field and the acoustic field. Owing to the disparity of the gravity and acoustic length scales, the acoustic field can be constructed in terms of asymptotic expansions using the method of multiple scales. The amplitude evolution equation involves random terms that can be related to vertically distributed gravity wave sources. To test the validity of the theory, numerical results are compared with recorded signals. It is shown that the present stochastic theory offers significant improvements over current semi-empirical approaches.
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