Accuracy Of Precipitation Estimates Research Articles

A novel error decomposition and fusion framework for daily precipitation estimation based on near-real-time satellite precipitation product and gauge observations

Near-real-time satellite precipitation products (SPPs) possess inherent application prospects in the hydro-meteorological field due to their convenient acquisition and accessibility. Integrating gauge-based measurements with near-real-time SPPs is an effective approach for achieving precise spatial precipitation estimates at daily scale. This study proposed a newly developed error decomposition and fusion framework, named EDGWR, which integrates error decomposition and geographically weighted regression (GWR). The final merged product, denoted as IMERG-EDGWR, was obtained from the near-real-time Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement Early Run (IMERG-E) product. IMERG-EDGWR was compared with the raw IMERG-E, near-real-time IMERG-L, post-real-time IMERG-F, global multi-source merged precipitation data (MSWEP), interpolated results (IDW and OK), and direct application of GWR outcomes (IMERG-GWR), utilizing the daily ground measurements from 12 meteorological stations located in the Yellow River source region (YRSR). The evaluation results from 2014 to 2018 revealed that IMERG-EDGWR exhibited significant enhancements over the raw IMERG-E, surpassed the research-level IMERG-F, and generally outperformed IDW, OK, MSWEP, and IMERG-GWR. Notably, IMERG-EDGWR enhances the detection of heavy precipitation events, refining estimates of both magnitude and frequency for precipitation over 25 mm. During the winter season, IMERG-EDGWR produced the most accurate precipitation estimates with notable improvement of precipitation detection capabilities. An experiment reducing input data by excluding gauge observations from the GPCC dataset tested the robustness of the EDGWR algorithm, confirming its superiority even with diminished input data. The merging framework proposed in this study constitutes an efficacious and implementable solution to enhance the accuracy of near-real-time SPPs and is expected to be implemented in different regions in future research.

Hydrologic applicability of satellite-based precipitation estimates for irrigation water management in the data-scarce region

Reliable precipitation estimates are crucial for planning and managing water resources, monitoring hydrologic extremes, and fulfilling irrigation water requirements. Accurate precipitation estimates are particularly challenging in complex mountain terrains, where monitoring gauges are often sparsely distributed due to their remote locations, and high installation and long-term operation costs. Recent advances in satellite-based precipitation estimates offer promising opportunities to improve our understanding of hydrologic processes and their applications for irrigation water management. Several datasets are available varying considerably in terms of their data sources, quality control methods, estimation procedure, and spatiotemporal resolutions. Choosing the most suitable dataset for a particular application is a complex task. In this study, we (1) evaluate the performance of six satellite-based precipitation estimates (SPEs): i) CHIRPS v2.0, ii) CMORPH v1.0, iii) ERA5, iv) IMERG v6, v) MSWEP v2.8, and vi) PERSIANN-CDR against the gauge precipitation using continuous statistical and categorical indices, (2) integrate SPEs with a calibrated semi-distributed hydrologic model to predict streamflow, and (3) demonstrate practical implications of improved streamflow prediction for irrigation water management in the central Himalayan region, Nepal. Our results illustrate that satellite-based precipitation estimates have competitive performance in capturing a wide range of rainfall characteristics, with demonstrated variability across river basins and time scales. There are no significant discrepancies observed in satellite-based precipitation estimates for estimating irrigation water requirements for the three major crops (maize, wheat, and paddy) during the cropping period across the selected river basins, showing a greater promise for irrigation water management planning and decision making.

Can stormwater runoff measurements be used for weather radar rainfall adjustment?

ABSTRACT Predicting the response to rainfall in urban hydrological applications requires accurate precipitation estimates with a high spatiotemporal resolution to reflect the natural variability of rainfall. However, installing rain gauges under nearly ideal measurement conditions is often difficult in urban areas, if not impossible. This paper demonstrates the potential of deriving rainfall measurements in urban areas and bias-adjusting weather radar rainfall measurements using stormwater runoff measurements. As a supplement to point rainfall measurements from rain gauges, the developed bias adjustment approach uses catchment runoff-rainfall estimates derived from water level measurements of a stormwater detention pond. The study shows that the bias-adjusted radar product correlates highly with rain gauge measurements in the catchment. Moreover, the presented approach enables rainfall measurements within a catchment independent of rain gauges located in the catchment, making the technique highly applicable for increasing the density of ground observations and thus improving weather radar precipitation estimates over urban areas. The method also derives the catchment-specific runoff coefficient independently of expensive flow measurements in the catchment, making the method very scalable. This paper highlights the potential of using easily achievable catchment runoff-rainfall measurements to increase the density of available ground observations and thereby improve weather radar precipitation estimates.

Toward an improved ensemble of multi-source daily precipitation via joint machine learning classification and regression

Accurate estimation of precipitation at local to global scales can considerably enhance our understanding of climate system dynamics. While numerous precipitation products are available as indispensable tools for investigating precipitation and its associated processes, none can consistently provide the lowest estimation error across environmental conditions. The multiple source precipitation ensemble (MSPE) methods have been considered a vital solution. A new MSPE framework is proposed here, which simultaneously uses machine learning (ML) classification and regression techniques within an automatic workflow (MSPEaml). Six precipitation products and their ensembles based on different MSPE strategies were evaluated at 2365 gauged and 800 randomly selected ungauged sites over China. Results revealed significant precision inconsistencies among the products primarily due to their different data sources and retrieval algorithms; while MSPEaml can effectively reduce the random and classification errors of estimated precipitation according to the Kling-Gupta efficiency and Heidke skill score. The improvements demonstrated the unique features of MSPEaml, particularly the necessity of the joint use of ML classifiers and regressors and assigning spatiotemporal dynamic weights for merging precipitation data. Moreover, MSPEaml can substantially improve its generalizability through a simple binning procedure, making it applicable under more complex conditions. The varying contributions of predictor variables (indicated by Shapely values) in different ML models identified the complexity of the MSPE issue and further the importance of designing proper ML models according to specific targets. The proposed MSPE framework is expected to be a suitable solution for assembling multiple precipitation data sources with different time periods and scales.

A variance-upscaling quantile mapping method for gridded precipitation bias correction

Accurate estimation of precipitation in mountainous regions remains a challenge. Quantile Mapping (QM) is a method used extensively to correct gridded precipitation from numerical models or satellite remote sensing. The method can match the intensity histogram of a given gridded precipitation to that of the observation. However, the widely existing oversmoothed effect, a precipitation time series variability representativeness error, in observational gridded datasets may be inherited in the corrected results, impacting the assessment of extreme precipitation events. To address this issue, this study introduces a variance-upscaling QM method (VUQM). Unlike previous methods that obtain frequency parameters by interpolating rain gauge data, the new method creates a model to transform the precipitation time series variance at the rain gauge point level to the model's grid level. When compared to correct ERA5-Land reanalysis precipitation, the results show that the variance using the VUQM is 1.6 times larger than that obtained using QM alone, and it is 2 times larger in the 95th percentile. This indicates that the new method significantly reduces the oversmoothed effect and preserves precipitation variation. Random simulations show that low station density only introduces uncertainty, not theoretical bias in VUQM. In contrast, the variance biases in gridded datasets constructed from areal average or interpolation cannot be avoided, particularly in regions with significant spatial heterogeneity. This suggests that VUQM is well-suited for use in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) compared with the old methods. Overall, this method sheds some light on mountainous precipitation bias correction.

Uncertainties in measuring precipitation hinders precise evaluation of loss of diversity in biomes and ecotones

Assessing changes in the distribution of biological communities that share a climate (biomes) is essential for estimating their vulnerability to climate change. We use CMIP6 climate models to calculate biome changes as featuring in classifications such as Holdridge’s Life Zones (climate envelopes). We found that transitional zones between biomes (known as ecotones) are expected to decline under all climate change scenarios, but also that model consensus remains low. Accurate assessments of diversity loss are limited to certain areas of the globe, while model consensus is still poor for half of the planet. We identify where there are robust estimates of changes in biomes and ecotones, and where consensus is lacking. We argue that caution should be exercised in measuring biodiversity loss in the latter, but that greater confidence can be placed in the former. We find that shortcomings in the life zone classification are related to inter-model variability, which ultimately depends on a larger problem, namely the accurate estimation of precipitation compared to CRU. Application of the methodology to other climate classifications confirms the findings.

Flow regionalization using precipitation data from different bases as a predictive variable

In studies of flow regionalization, the uncertainties associated with the precariousness or non-existence of flow and precipitation data are problems faced by researchers and managers of water resources, especially in emerging countries such as Brazil. Given this, the usage of precipitation databases obtained by satellites has become more prevalent, allowing accurate precipitation estimates in regions where punctual data obtained from rain gauges are precarious. Therefore, the objective of this study was to compare different precipitation databases, used as predictive variables, in flow regionalization studies. The study area considered was the hydrographic basin of the Paranaíba River. Flow data from streamflow gauges present in the study area and precipitation data obtained from rain gauges were used, which were interpolated by the simple kriging method, the TRMM satellite and WorldClim. The study area was divided into four homogeneous regions, and only for region 4 the generated regionalization equations have some use restriction, since some adjustments proved to be unsatisfactory. The best fits of the regionalization equations were obtained using the precipitation data from the rain gauges interpolated by simple kriging, however, the use of precipitation data from TRMM and WorldClim as predictive variables of the flow provided similar results. Therefore, it can be considered that the alternative databases (TRMM and WorldClim) used in the study are presented as an option to replace the data observed in the rain gauges, resulting in a gain of time by the researchers and management bodies in the studies of flow regionalization.

Espresso: A Global Deep Learning Model to Estimate Precipitation from Satellite Observations

Estimating precipitation is of critical importance to climate systems and decision-making processes. This paper presents Espresso, a deep learning model designed for estimating precipitation from satellite observations on a global scale. Conventional methods, like ground-based radars, are limited in terms of spatial coverage. Satellite observations, on the other hand, allow global coverage. Combined with deep learning methods, these observations offer the opportunity to address the challenge of estimating precipitation on a global scale. This research paper presents the development of a deep learning model using geostationary satellite data as input and generating instantaneous rainfall rates, calibrated using data from the Global Precipitation Measurement Core Observatory (GPMCO). The performance impact of various input data configurations on Espresso was investigated. These configurations include a sequence of four images from geostationary satellites and the optimal selection of channels. Additional descriptive features were explored to enhance the model’s robustness for global applications. When evaluated against the GPMCO test set, Espresso demonstrated highly accurate precipitation estimation, especially within equatorial regions. A comparison against six other operational products using multiple metrics indicated its competitive performance. The model’s superior storm localization and intensity estimation were further confirmed through visual comparisons in case studies. Espresso has been incorporated as an operational product at Météo-France, delivering high-quality, real-time global precipitation estimates every 30 min.

Assessing applicability of two gridded precipitation datasets for hydrological simulation in a poorly gauged river basin towards supporting sustainable water resources management

Reliable and accurate precipitation estimates are important for hydrological studies and sustainable water resource management. However, networks of rain gauges are often sparsely and unevenly distributed in many large river basins in the world including the Red River basin (RRB). Thus this study aimed to comprehensively evaluate the applicability of two widely used gridded precipitation products, gauge-based APHRODITE and gauge satellite-based GSMaP-Gauge, over the RRB using both statistical and hydrological assessment approaches. The accuracy assessment of the gridded precipitation datasets was performed by comparing with the reference precipitation dataset derived from the local weather stations. The hydrological performance of both gridded products was evaluated through the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological modelling scheme for simulation of daily streamflow at the hydrological stations in the RRB. The results demonstrated that both gridded products could generally capture the spatiotemporal variation of the reference precipitation over the RRB during the period of 2005–2014, although both underestimated the reference precipitation. Results of statistical analysis showed that the APHRODITE data outperformed the GSMaP-Gauge data in precipitation estimation. The performance of the VIC model driven by the gridded precipitation products in streamflow simulation was satisfactory, although simulations forced with APHRODITE data displayed the better performance. Generally, the APHRODITE product showed its encouraging potential for hydrological studies over the RRB.

Smart Data Blending Framework to Enhance Precipitation Estimation through Interconnected Atmospheric, Satellite, and Surface Variables

Accurate precipitation estimation remains a challenge, though it is fundamental for most hydrological analyses. In this regard, this study aims to achieve two objectives. Firstly, we evaluate the performance of two precipitation products from the Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM-IMERG) for Sicily, Italy, from 2016 to 2020 by a set of categorical indicators and statistical indices. Analyses indicate the favorable performance of daily estimates, while half-hourly estimates exhibited poorer performance, revealing larger discrepancies between satellite and ground-based measurements at sub-hourly timescales. Secondly, we propose four multi-source merged models within Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Multivariant Linear Regression (MLR) blending frameworks to seek potential improvement by exploiting different combinations of Soil Moisture (SM) measurements from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission and atmospheric factor of Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) estimations, from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-2 (AMSR2). Spatial distribution maps of some diagnostic indices used to quantitatively evaluate the quality of models reveal the best performance of ANNs over the entire domain. Assessing variable sensitivity reveals the importance of IMERG satellite precipitation and PWV in non-linear models such as ANNs, which outperform the MLR modeling framework and individual IMERG products.

Towards an Accurate and Reliable Downscaling Scheme for High-Spatial-Resolution Precipitation Data

Accurate high-spatial-resolution precipitation is significantly important in hydrological and meteorological modelling, especially in rain-gauge-sparse areas. Some methods and strategies have been applied for satellite-based precipitation downscaling, residual correction and precipitation calibration. However, which downscaling scheme can provide reliable high-resolution precipitation efficiently remains unanswered. To address this issue, this study aimed to present a framework combining the machine learning downscaling algorithm and post-process procedures. Firstly, four ML-based models, namely support vector regression, random forest, spatial random forest (SRF) and eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), were tested for downscaling and compared with conventional downscaling methods. Then, the effectiveness of the residual correction process using ordinary Kriging and the calibration process using the geographical difference analysis (GDA) method was investigated. The results showed that the ML-based methods had better performance than the conventional regression and interpolation approaches. The SRF and XGBoost outperformed others in generating accurate precipitation estimation with a high resolution. The GDA calibration process significantly improved the downscaled results. However, the residual correction process decreased the downscaling performance of the ML-based models. Combining the SRF or XGBoost downscaling algorithm with the GDA calibration method could be a promising downscaling scheme for precipitation data. The scheme could be used to generate high-resolution precipitation, especially in areas urgently requiring data, which would benefit regional water resource management and hydrological disaster prevention.

Application of Machine Learning Techniques to Improve Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor (MRMS) Precipitation Estimates in the Western United States

Abstract The Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor (MRMS) system produces a suite of hydrometeorological products that are widely used for applications such as flash flood warning operations, water resource management, and climatological studies. The MRMS radar-based quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) products have greater challenges in the western United States compared to the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS due to terrain-related blockages and gaps in radar coverage. Further, orographic enhancement of precipitation often occurs, which is highly variable in space and time and difficult to accurately capture with physically based approaches. A deep learning approach was applied in this study to understand the correlations between several interacting variables and to obtain a more accurate precipitation estimation in these scenarios. The model presented here is a convolutional neural network (CNN), which uses spatial information from small grids of several radar variables to predict an estimated precipitation value at the central grid point. Several case analyses are presented along with a yearlong statistical evaluation. The CNN model 24-h QPE shows higher accuracy than the MRMS radar QPE for several cool season atmospheric river events. Areas of consistent improvement from the CNN model are highlighted in the discussion along with areas where the model can be further improved. The initial findings from this work help set the foundation for further exploration of machine learning techniques and products for precipitation estimation as part of the MRMS operational system. Significance Statement This study explores the development and use of a deep learning model to generate precipitation fields in the complex terrain of the western United States. Generally, the model is able to improve on the statistical performance of existing radar-based precipitation estimation methods for several case studies and over a long-term period in 2021. We explore the patterns associated with certain areas of strong performance and suggest potential means of improving areas with weaker performance. These initial results indicate the potential of deep learning to supplement radar-based approaches in areas with observational limitations.

Accuracy of radar-estimated precipitation in a mountain catchment in Slovakia

Abstract Accurate estimation of precipitation in mountain catchments is challenging due to its high spatial variability and lack of measured ground data. Weather radar can help to provide precipitation estimates in such conditions. This study investigates the differences between measured and radar-estimated daily precipitation in the mountain catchment of the Jalovecký Creek (area 22 km2, 6 rain gauges at altitudes 815–1900 m a.s.l.) in years 2017–2020. Despite good correlations between measured and radar-based precipitation at individual sites (correlation coefficients 0.68–0.90), the radar-estimated precipitation was mostly substantially smaller than measured precipitation. The underestimation was smaller at lower altitude (on average by –4% to –17% at 815 m a.s.l.) than at higher altitudes (–35% to –59% at 1400–1900 m a.s.l.). Unlike measured data, the radar-estimated precipitation did not show the differences in precipitation amounts at lower and higher altitudes (altitudinal differences). The differences between the measured and radar-estimated precipitation were not related to synoptic weather situations. The obtained results can be useful in preparation of more accurate precipitation estimates for the small mountain catchments.

A Novel Merging Method for Generating High-Quality Spatial Precipitation Information over Mainland China

Accurate estimation of precipitation is critically important for a variety of fields, such as climatology, meteorology, and water resources. However, the availability of precipitation measurements has proved to be spatially inadequate for many applications. In this study, to acquire high-quality precipitation fields with enhanced accuracy and a fine-scale spatial resolution of 1 km × 1 km, we developed a new data fusion method by establishing an energy function model using the downscaled Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals (IMERG) precipitation product and high-density station observation in mainland China. Our merging approach was inspired by the interdisciplinary research framework integrating the methods in the fields of image processing, earth science, and machine learning. Cross-validation analyses were performed for the monthly precipitation over the period 2009–2018. It was found that the results of the newly developed method were more accurate than the original IMERG products in terms of root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), correlation coefficient (CC), and Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE). The merging precipitation results exhibit consistent spatial patterns with the original IMERG products, yet have good agreement with station observations. The gauge observations were the major source of the prediction skill of precipitation for the proposed method, and the downscaled-IMERG precipitation products added additional spatial details in the final merging results. Results indicate that the proposed merging method can reproduce the spatial details of the precipitation fields as well as enhance their accuracy. In addition, the time evolution of the error index indicates that the improvement in the merged result was stable over time, with KGE improving by 14% on average. The developed approach provides a promising way of estimating precipitation with high spatial resolution and high accuracy, which will benefit hydrological and climatological studies.

Non-parametric severity-duration-frequency analysis of drought based on satellite-based product and model fusion techniques.

Climate change has increased the severity and frequency of droughts over the last decades. To alleviate the adverse impacts of droughts, an effective planning and management framework requires high-resolution spatiotemporal data. TRMM multi-satellite precipitation analysis (TMPA) dataset provides sufficient accuracy with fine spatio-temporal resolution. However, it only covers a short temporal span, which limits its applicability for drought studies. This paper presents a methodology for efficient and accurate temporal extension of TMPA using four artificial intelligence (AI)-based models. To improve AI-based model precipitation estimations, fusion techniques including Orness, Orlike, and genetic algorithm (GA)-based weighting methods were employed. Results show that fusion approaches provide more accurate estimates of precipitation. Different timescales of n-SPI time series and drought spatial maps were prepared to visually evaluate the performance of long-term TMPA (LT-TMPA) alongside statistical error indices. The results confirm that this dataset is effective for meteorological drought monitoring over southern Iran. Finally, drought risk assessment was carried out to determine the spatiotemporal characteristics of droughts through severity-duration-frequency (SDF) contour maps. In contrast to the traditional SDF curves, SDF contour maps provide a superior understanding of drought for policymakers since they preserve spatial information.

Improving daily precipitation estimation in the data scarce area by merging rain gauge and TRMM data with a transfer learning framework

Merging the satellite and gauge precipitation has been proofed as an efficient approach to improve the accuracy of quantitative precipitation estimation. However, for areas with few and unevenly distributed rain gauges, accurate precipitation estimation still remains challenging. To address this problem, this paper proposes a framework to improve precipitation estimation for the data scarce area based on transfer learning. Taking the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau as a representative case study, we used two transfer learning methods (fine-tuning, domain-adversarial neural network (DANN)) to transfer precipitation fusion model from the source domain to the target domain. Results indicate that in comparison with the original TRMM data, the root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) of the merged precipitation in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau during 2001–2005 are reduced by 27.6 % and 22.5 % by using the fine-tuning method, and reduced by 29.4 % and 21.5 % by using the DANN method, respectively. Meanwhile, the correlation coefficient (CC) is increased from 0.54 (TRMM data-rain gauge data) to 0.65 (merged data-rain gauge data). The performances of the proposed methods vary spatially, with CC decreased from southeast (0.80) to northwest (<0.40) of the study area. The DANN method performed well on different precipitation intensities, while Swish loss function can help DANN achieve better results on extreme precipitation estimation, with RMSE and MAE reduced by 2.5 % and 4.5 % respectively. The performances of the proposed methods are affected by various factors such as source domain selection and the length of study period. Findings imply that transfer learning provides new insights and new methods to improve precipitation estimation for the data scarce area, which would benefit regional water-related disaster defense and water resources management.

Merging Multisatellite and Gauge Precipitation Based on Geographically Weighted Regression and Long Short-Term Memory Network

To generate high-quality spatial precipitation estimates, merging rain gauges with a single-satellite precipitation product (SPP) is a common approach. However, a single SPP cannot capture the spatial pattern of precipitation well, and its resolution is also too low. This study proposed an integrated framework for merging multisatellite and gauge precipitation. The framework integrates the geographically weighted regression (GWR) for improving the spatial resolution of precipitation estimations and the long short-term memory (LSTM) network for improving the precipitation estimation accuracy by exploiting the spatiotemporal correlation pattern between multisatellite precipitation products and rain gauges. Specifically, the integrated framework was applied to the Han River Basin of China for generating daily precipitation estimates from the data of both rain gauges and four SPPs (TRMM_3B42, CMORPH, PERSIANN-CDR, and GPM-IMAGE) during the period of 2007–2018. The results show that the GWR-LSTM framework significantly improves the spatial resolution and accuracy of precipitation estimates (resolution of 0.05°, correlation coefficient of 0.86, and Kling–Gupta efficiency of 0.6) over original SPPs (resolution of 0.25° or 0.1°, correlation coefficient of 0.36–0.54, Kling–Gupta efficiency of 0.30–0.52). Compared with other methods, the correlation coefficient for the whole basin is improved by approximately 4%. Especially in the lower reaches of the Han River, the correlation coefficient is improved by 15%. In addition, this study demonstrates that merging multiple-satellite and gauge precipitation is much better than merging partial products of multiple satellite with gauge observations.

Quantitative Precipitation Estimation Model Integrating Meteorological and Geographical Factors at Multiple Spatial Scales

Heavy precipitation tends to cause mountain torrents, urban waterlogging and other disasters. It poses a serious threat to people’s life and property safety. Therefore, real-time quantitative precipitation estimation is especially important to keep track of precipitation changes and reduce negative impacts. However, high-resolution and high-accuracy quantitative precipitation estimation is a challenging task due to the complex spatial and temporal variability of microphysics in precipitation processes. Previous studies have focused only on small-scale radar reflectivity factors above rain gauges and did not pay enough attention to the contribution of covariates to model performance. Meteorological and geographical factors play an important role in rain process, so these factors are taken into account during our research. In this study, a quantitative precipitation estimation model that can employ multi-scale radar reflectivity factors and fuse meteorological and geographical factors is proposed to further improve precipitation accuracy. In addition, we propose the muti-scale self-attention (MS-SA) module that can further utilize information at multiple spatial scales to improve the accurate precipitation estimation. The proposed model reduced the root mean square error of precipitation estimation by 83.8% compared to the conventional Z-R relationship that correlates the rainfall and radar reflectivity factors, i.e., Z=aRb, and by 43.7, 24.6, and 22.7% compared to the back propagation neural network (BPNN), convolutional neural network (CNN), and convolutional neural network with the addition of meteorological factors and geographical factors as covariates in the proposed model, respectively. Therefore, we can conclude that multi-scale radar reflectivity factors fused with meteorological and geographical factors can produce more accurate precipitation estimation.

Hydrological Modeling in the Chaohu Lake Basin of China—Driven by Open-Access Gridded Meteorological and Remote Sensing Precipitation Products

This study assessed the performance of two well-known gridded meteorological datasets, CFSR (Climate Forecast System Reanalysis) and CMADS (China Meteorological Assimilation Driving Datasets), and three satellite-based precipitation datasets, TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission), CMORPH (Climate Prediction Center morphing technique), and CHIRPS (Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data), in driving the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model for streamflow simulation in the Fengle watershed in the middle–lower Yangtze Plain, China. Eighteen model scenarios were generated by forcing the SWAT model with different combinations of three meteorological datasets and six precipitation datasets. Our results showed that (1) the three satellite-based precipitation datasets (i.e., TRMM, CMORPH, and CHIRPS) generally provided more accurate precipitation estimates than CFSR and CMADS. CFSR and CMADS agreed fairly well with the gauged measurements in maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and relative humidity, but large discrepancies existed for the solar radiation and wind speed. (2) The impact of precipitation data on simulated streamflow was much larger than that of other meteorological variables. Satisfactory simulations were achieved using the CMORPH precipitation data for daily streamflow simulation and the TRMM and CHIRPS precipitation data for monthly streamflow simulation. This suggests that different precipitation datasets can be used for optimal simulations at different temporal scales.

A robust stochastic approach in correcting the TRMM precipitation product and simulating flood features.

Logical management and decision-making on water resources require reliable weather variables, where precipitation is considered the main weather variable. Accurate estimation of precipitation is the most important topic in hydrological studies. Due to the lack of a dense network and low temporal and spatial resolution levels at ground-level rain gauges, especially in developing countries, remote sensing methods have been used widely. In recent years, a combination of satellite-ground data on precipitation has led to a more accurate insight into precipitation and improved hydrological model performance. In this study, the Kosar Dam Basin in the Khuzestan province of Iran is selected as the research zone. The TRMM satellite data is used on 50 events to analyze the satellite precipitation data. Copula theory is then employed to check the uncertainties of precipitation estimation, and new precipitations are generated through original data and bias errors. A comparison of the results of the improved TRMM, which was bias-corrected by Gaussian copula, and ground-based rainfall demonstrated the efficacy of this method, with nearly 104% and 51% improvement in the CC and RMSE performance indicators, respectively. The HEC-HMS model was used to simulate flood features based on copula-corrected precipitation over different quartiles (10%, 30%, 50%, 70%, and 90%) and rainfall duration (3, 6, 9, and 24h). The obtained R-factor values show that the associated uncertainty decreases with rainfall duration, down to 46 and 20% for discharge peak and volume, respectively. In general, the copula approach is a robust approach to improve the accuracy of the TRMM precipitation product for simulating hydrological processes.