The focus of this study is to model and validate the performance of intensity-modulated continuous-wave (IM-CW) CO(2) laser absorption spectrometer (LAS) systems and their CO(2) column measurements from airborne and satellite platforms. The model accounts for all fundamental physics of the instruments and their related CO(2) measurement environments, and the modeling results are presented statistically from simulation ensembles that include noise sources and uncertainties related to the LAS instruments and the measurement environments. The characteristics of simulated LAS systems are based on existing technologies and their implementation in existing systems. The modeled instruments are specifically assumed to be IM-CW LAS systems such as the Exelis' airborne multifunctional fiber laser lidar (MFLL) operating in the 1.57 μm CO(2) absorption band. Atmospheric effects due to variations in CO(2), solar radiation, and thin clouds, are also included in the model. Model results are shown to agree well with LAS atmospheric CO(2) measurement performance. For example, the relative bias errors of both MFLL simulated and measured CO(2) differential optical depths were found to agree to within a few tenths of a percent when compared to the in situ observations from the flight of 3 August 2011 over Railroad Valley (RRV), Nevada, during the summer 2011 flight campaign. In addition, the horizontal variations in the model CO(2) differential optical depths were also found to be consistent with those from MFLL measurements. In general, the modeled and measured signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs) of the CO(2) column differential optical depths (τd) agreed to within about 30%. Model simulations of a spaceborne IM-CW LAS system in a 390 km dawn/dusk orbit for CO(2) column measurements showed that with a total of 42 W of transmitted power for one offline and two different sideline channels (placed at different locations on the side of the CO(2) absorption line), the accuracy of the τd measurements for surfaces similar to the playa of RRV, Nevada, will be better than 0.1% for 10 s averages. For other types of surfaces such as low-reflectivity snow and ice surfaces, the precision and bias errors will be within 0.23% and 0.1%, respectively. Including thin clouds with optical depths up to 1, the SNR of the τd measurements with 0.1 s integration period for surfaces similar to the playa of RRV, Nevada, will be greater than 94 and 65 for sideline positions placed +3 and +10 pm, respectively, from the CO(2) line center at 1571.112 nm. The CO(2) column bias errors introduced by the thin clouds are ≤0.1% for cloud optical depth ≤0.4, but they could reach ∼0.5% for more optically thick clouds with optical depths up to 1. When the cloud and surface altitudes and scattering amplitudes are obtained from matched filter analysis, the cloud bias errors can be further reduced. These results indicate that the IM-CW LAS instrument approach when implemented in a dawn/dusk orbit can make accurate CO(2) column measurements from space with preferential weighting across the mid to lower troposphere in support of a future ASCENDS mission.
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