Absolute Dynamic Topography Research Articles

Comparative oceanographic eddy variability during climate change in the Agulhas Current and Somali Coastal Current Large Marine Ecosystems

Twenty years (1993–2012) of satellite altimetry dataset, through maps of absolute dynamic topography and their derived geostrophic velocities, as well as monthly climatological maps of windstress and windstress-curl have been used to assess the oceanic variability in the western Indian Ocean region (WIO). We have performed a comparative study between the Agulhas Current Large Marine Ecosystem (ACLME) and the Somali Coastal Current Large Marine Ecosystem (SCCLME) during the current time period when significant levels of climate change related variability have been documented. In the WIO region, climate variability, and/or change are impacting the atmospheric and oceanic circulation, e.g: excessive sea surface warming and consequent air-sea heat flux exchanges in the SCCLME; and broadening and weakening of the Agulhas Current, with potential negative implication on Agulhas leakage, in the ACLME. The latter being caused by an acceleration of the mesoscale eddy field in response to changing atmospheric wind forcing conditions. Therefore, eddies need to be properly quantified, characterized and monitored if their contribution on climate is to be assessed. While four hotspot regions of enhanced mesoscale variability have been identified in the combined Agulhas Somali Currents Large Marine Ecosystem (ASCLME), the main focus of this study has been in the ACLME and in the SCCLME. The results suggest that the levels of variability in these two LMEs are controlled by different physical processes: seasonality appears to be important in the SCCLME, but conversely less important in the Agulhas LME. The census conducted on the eddy field revealed that more eddies have been formed in the ACLME than in Somali Coastal Current. The eddy mean properties have shown that the eddies in the ACLME are smaller in diameter, and higher in amplitude than those in the SCCLME. In addition, the eddies in the ACLME are maintained as coherent structures longer; have been more strongly nonlinear; and have propagated longer distances from their origins than those in the SCCLME. These indicate that the eddies in the ACLME have relatively much stronger implication on the overall retention and transport of hydrographic properties (e.g. heat and salt). Therefore, they could have stronger influence on oceanic lateral fluxes and ocean-atmosphere flux exchanges, thus may influence more strongly the environmental conditions (both in the ocean and atmosphere) in the combined ASCLME, than those in the SCCLME. Time-evolution of the eddies mean properties suggests that inter-annual changes, may have influenced the eddy field differently in the ACLME and the SCCLME: moderate correlation r = 0.6, p = 0.05 has been found between time and eddy mean radius in the ACLME, and also r = 0.6, p = 0.05 was found between time and EKE in the SCCLME. Therefore, eddy size (for the Agulhas LME) and energy content (for Somali LME) could serve as potential indicators of change in oceanographic conditions over time in these LMEs.

Analysis of Coupled Oceanic and Atmospheric Preconditioning for Primary Madden‐Julian Oscillation Events Across ENSO Phases

AbstractThe Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) is the dominant mode of air‐sea interaction over intraseasonal timescales. The effects of the MJO are well understood, but the initiation of the MJO remains less conclusive, particularly under El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions. Primary MJO events are those not immediately preceded by existing MJO activity of sufficient strength. As they are rare by definition, primary MJOs remain difficult to study, especially so when observations of events are scarce and of low spatiotemporal resolution. The advent of satellites allows for more expansive observations to be made more frequently than in situ methods, thus improving the observational capabilities of pre‐primary MJO conditions in the ocean and atmosphere. We examined oceanic and atmospheric intraseasonal signals preceding two primary MJO events during contrasting ENSO events in an attempt to bridge the connection between oceanic and atmospheric observations as potentially coupled trigger mechanisms. Satellite observations and model simulations of the central and western Indian Ocean show that intraseasonal peaks in absolute dynamic topography (ADT) and sea surface temperature (SST) upward of 1 to 2 weeks prior to the observed outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) minimum. Surface ocean warming moistens the near surface through anomalous surface fluxes, which destabilizes the lower atmosphere to deep convection. Low‐level moisture flux convergence (MFC) moistens the lower atmosphere prior to convective initiation, thus forcing an increase of total column moist static energy (MSE). Coupled midtropospheric cooling is observed that further destabilizes the atmosphere. Zonal shifts in contributing initiating parameters are observed during ENSO phases.

The relationship between coastal sea level variability in South Africa and the Agulhas Current

Sea level observations suggest that western boundary currents, such as the Gulf Stream, contribute to coastal sea-level variability and rise. Since the influence of the Agulhas Current on coastal sea-level variability and rise has not yet been quantified, this study considers how variations in the transport and position of this current affect sea-level variability along the South African coast. This was achieved by analysing timescales of variability in the time series of an Agulhas Current transport proxy and absolute dynamic topography at the core position, at the ACT array, comparing these to monthly mean sea level records of East London (33°S, 28°E). The timescales embedded in each of the datasets were separated through the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) method. Monthly gridded satellite altimetry sea level anomalies were also utilised to extend the analysis to other tide gauge locations on the east and south coast of South Africa. The results suggest that, on timescales ranging from a few months to decades, coastal sea-level is associated with the Agulhas Current through absolute dynamic topography variations in the Agulhas Current core. Absolute dynamic topography variations in the Agulhas Current core are found to be in response to displacements of the current both near and offshore from the coast during eddies and meandering events. The study suggests that the Agulhas Current variations should be taken into account for better coastal planning, management and engineering. • Sea level variability along the South African south and east coast is studied. • Coast to Agulhas Current gradient approach determines its path and core position. • Empirical Mode Decomposition is used to extract different timescales of variability. • Position of the Agulhas Current core and its transport affects coastal sea-level. • A relationship exists at sub-annual and interannual timescales.

Detection and tracking of mesoscale eddies in the Mediterranean Sea: A comparison between the Sea Level Anomaly and the Absolute Dynamic Topography fields

Mediterranean Sea eddies are often generated in fixed geographical locations linked to either bathymetric fluctuations, coastline changes, instabilities around islands, or orographic wind forcing. Because of that, the mean circulation exhibits features with the same special scales as the mesoscale field. We provide here a first comparison of eddies detected and tracked using two altimetry products, the Sea Level Anomaly (SLA) and the Absolute Dynamic Topography (ADT), from 2000 to 2015. We showed that more individual eddies and trajectories are detected in the SLA data than in the ADT, having larger radius but lower Eddy Kinetic Energy. The spatial distribution of the mesoscale activity is different between the two data sets: the ADT-detected eddies closely follow the Mean Dynamic Topography (MDT) patterns which include the mean eddy generation sites whereas the SLA-detected eddies show more spatial homogeneity. The larger eddies are generally well detected in both the ADT or the SLA fields, but the numerous smaller and coastal eddies detected in the SLA fields have a tendency to mismatch the ADT detected eddies. Only 20–30% of eddies are detected exclusively in the SLA or the ADT product (i.e. have no collocation in the other field), whereas to 65–80% of the eddies are detected both in the SLA and the ADT fields. The Ierapetra Eddy is a typical example of the limitation of the SLA-detected eddies, as this orographically controlled feature is present in the MDT and thus leads to an artificial cyclonic eddy in the SLA field that shifts around its most frequent position. This study recommends the use of ADT fields for the detection of mesoscale structures in the Mediterranean Sea where the mean circulation and these mesoscale features have the same spatial scale and intensity, and similarly for any other ocean regions where the MDT contains mesoscale patterns. Yet the ADT fields depend on the accuracy of the MDT, and the altimeter-based SLA fields may be preferable in specific locations where the MDT is not reliable.

GEOS-S2S Version 2: The GMAO High Resolution Coupled Model and Assimilation System for Seasonal Prediction.

The Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) has recently released a new version of the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) Sub-seasonal to Seasonal prediction (S2S) system, GEOS-S2S-2, that represents a substantial improvement in performance and infrastructure over the previous system. The system is described here in detail, and results are presented from forecasts, climate equillibrium simulations and data assimilation experiments. The climate or equillibrium state of the atmosphere and ocean showed a substantial reduction in bias relative to GEOS-S2S-1. The GEOS-S2S-2 coupled reanalysis also showed substantial improvements, attributed to the assimilation of along-track Absolute Dynamic Topography. The forecast skill on subseasonal scales showed a much-improved prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation in GEOS-S2S-2, and on a seasonal scale the tropical Pacific forecasts show substantial improvement in the east and comparable skill to GEOS-S2S-1 in the central Pacific. GEOS-S2S-2 anomaly correlations of both land surface temperature and precipitation were comparable to GEOS-S2S-1, and showed substantially reduced root mean square error of surface temperature. The remaining issues described here are being addressed in the development of GEOS-S2S Version 3, and with that system GMAO will continue its tradition of maintaining a state of the art seasonal prediction system for use in evaluating the impact on seasonal and decadal forecasts of assimilating newly available satellite observations, as well as to evaluate additional sources of predictability in the earth system through the expanded coupling of the earth system model and assimilation components.

An assessment of Brazil Current surface velocity and associated transport near 22°S: XBT and altimetry data

The use of Expendable Bathythermographs (XBTs) is widespread throughout the world’s oceans. 15 XBT high-density transects are located only in the Atlantic Ocean. However, the only transect that exclusively monitors the Brazil Current (BC) is the NOAA/AOML AX97 transect, running from Rio de Janeiro to Trindade Island. The BC is the Western Boundary Current linked to the circulation of the South Atlantic subtropical gyre. Surface velocity field based on the AX97 XBT data reference transect and two different altimetry datasets (AVISO and ATOBA) are compared with the objective of assessing the impact of different horizontal resolution altimetry products on averaged BC dynamical features. Furthermore, a sensibility study is performed considering different approaches to estimate BC volume transports. Data from 43 AX97 cruises, covering the period from Jan/2004 to Dec/2013 were used. AVISO (ATOBA) data are daily (weekly) and present a spatial resolution of 1/4° (1/12°). AX97 geostrophic velocity values were calculated based on XBT data using the isopycnal of σθ=26.8 kg/m3 as the reference level of no motion, whereas the altimetry surface geostrophic velocities were obtained based on maps of absolute dynamic topography. About 80.5% (74.4%) of the time, at least one altimetry dataset observed the BC core at AX97 region. ATOBA dataset presented a better performance if compared to AVISO when the BC is highly unstable. Also, in coastal areas, where the flow frequently changes direction, a high-resolution altimetry product (ATOBA) tends to represent the horizontal structure of the BC better than AVISO, where BC horizontal pattern is smoother. Finally, the merge between AX97 data and altimetry datasets presented some inconsistencies when surface currents are in opposite directions. It is recommended to combine AX97 data with another type of data acquired in deeper regions, where near-zero velocities will propagate a smaller error along the water column.

Eddy Surface Characteristics and Vertical Structure in the Gulf of Mexico from Satellite Observations and Model Simulations

AbstractThe Gulf of Mexico exhibits strong circulation due to the Loop Current System, along with high mesoscale eddy activity. In order to investigate eddy characteristics, we apply an automatic eddy‐tracking algorithm to absolute dynamic topography maps and analyze the spatial distribution and evolution of eddy attributes including amplitude, radius, and eddy kinetic energy. The Loop Current region in the eastern Gulf of Mexico is an area of robust eddy generation for both cyclonic and anticyclonic eddies. Anticyclonic eddies were generally characterized by smaller amplitudes and larger radii when compared to their cyclonic counterparts. We also examine eddy surface properties including temperature and salinity anomalies as well as chlorophyll‐a concentration and observe how these properties vary between the eastern and western Gulf of Mexico. Persistent features such as the Loop Current System and coastal low‐salinity, highly biologically productive waters dominate eddy properties in the eastern side of the basin. We also apply the eddy‐tracking algorithm to a regional Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model validated using Argo floats. We find that this model accurately reflects surface characteristics in the mesoscale eddy field as well as the mean vertical eddy structure and use it to extend our analysis of eddy properties with depth. We find that subsurface characteristics of density, salinity, temperature, and velocities vary greatly between eddies in the eastern and western Gulf of Mexico. Through composite analysis of both surface and subsurface eddy properties, we gain a more complete picture of the mechanisms behind the observable characteristics of these eddies.

Principal-component estimates of the Kuroshio Current axis and path based on the mathematical verification between satellite altimeter and drifting buoy data

We used satellite altimetry data to investigate the Kuroshio Current because of the higher resolution and wider range of observations. In previous studies, satellite absolute geostrophic velocities were used to study the spatio-temporal variability of the sea surface velocity field along the current, and extraction methods were employed to detect the Kuroshio axes and paths. However, sea surface absolute geostrophic velocity estimated from absolute dynamic topography should be regarded as the geostrophic component of the actual surface velocity, which cannot represent a sea surface current accurately. In this study, mathematical verification between the climatic absolute geostrophic and bin-averaged drifting buoy velocity was established and then adopted to correct the satellite absolute geostrophic velocities. There were some differences in the characteristics between satellite geostrophic and drifting buoy velocities. As a result, the corrected satellite absolute geostrophic velocities were used to detect the Kuroshio axis and path based on a principal-component detection scheme. The results showed that the detection of the Kuroshio axes and paths from corrected absolute geostrophic velocities performed better than those from satellite absolute geostrophic velocities and surface current estimations. The corrected satellite absolute geostrophic velocity may therefore contribute to more precise day-to-day detection of the Kuroshio Current axis and path.

Constructing the Three-Dimensional Structure of an Anticyclonic Eddy in the South China Sea Using Multiple Underwater Gliders

AbstractMesoscale eddies have great influence on heat and material transport in the ocean and thus play an important role in modulating the global climate variability. However, our understanding of their fine three-dimensional (3D) thermohaline and biogeochemical structure remains incomplete because of the scarcity of high-resolution measurements. This research aims to construct the fine 3D structure of an anticyclonic eddy in the northern South China Sea (NSCS) to validate the effectiveness of a glider network for observing mesoscale eddies. Twelve Petrel gliders were deployed in NSCS during August 2017 to gather fine information of an anticyclonic eddy. By combining the high-resolution in situ glider data and the sea level anomaly data, we have constructed a detailed 3D structure of the eddy. The analysis results of the absolute dynamic topography map and the water mass comparison imply that the anticyclonic eddy may generate from eddy shedding of the Kuroshio loop current. The maximum potential temperature anomaly (over 3°C) appears at the thermocline, and the maximum salinity anomaly (~0.8 psu) exists at ~50 m. The maximum value of the dissolved oxygen concentration (~7.5 mg L−1) appears at 50–80 m. The maximum chlorophyll concentration (~1.2 μg L−1) lies at 80–120 m, just below that of the dissolved oxygen concentration. The colored dissolved organic matter concentration increases with depth, with the mean value being less than 1.23 ppb above 50 m and beyond 2.2 ppb at 500–800 m. The results verify the capability of the glider network to observe a fine-scaled 3D structure of mesoscale eddies and will provide a useful guide for future eddy observations.

Effect of Caribbean Water incursion into the Gulf of Mexico derived from absolute dynamic topography, satellite data, and remotely sensed chlorophyll <i>a</i>

Abstract. The dynamics of the Loop Current (LC) and the detached Loop Current eddies (LCEs) dominate the surface circulation of the Gulf of Mexico (GoM) and transport Caribbean Water (CW) into the gulf. In this work, 25 years (1993–2017) of daily satellite data are used to investigate the variability of these physical processes and their effect on chlorophyll a (Chl a) concentrations from 1998 to 2017, including temporal changes, mean differences, and regional concentration tendencies. The physical variables analyzed are absolute dynamic topography (ADT) and oceanic currents. From the ADT and oceanic current monthly climatologies, it is shown that there is an annual intrusion of CW with an inward incursion that starts in spring, peaks in the summer, reaches to 28∘ N and 90.45∘ W, and then retreats in winter to approximately 26.5 ∘ N and 88.3 ∘ W. Minimum surface Chl a concentrations (< 0.08 mg m−3) are found during the summer–autumn period inside the region of maximum incursion of CW; the opposite is observed during the winter period when Chl a concentrations were at a maximum, e.g., > 0.14 mg m−3. The 3-year running averages of the ADT 40 cm isoline qualitatively reproduce the climatological pattern of 25 years showing that before 2002 CW was less intrusive. This suggests that from 2003 onward, larger volumes of oligotrophic waters from the Caribbean Sea have invaded the western GoM and reduced mean surface Chl a concentrations. A direct comparison between the 1998–2002 and 2009–2014 periods indicates that in the latter time interval, the Chl a concentration above waters deeper than 250 m has decreased significantly.

Habitat characteristics and distribution of flyingfish in Fak-Fak and surrounding waters

In Indonesia, flyingfish are abundant and distributed in Makassar Strait, Flores Sea, Banda Sea, Sulawesi Sea, Maluku Sea, Arafura, Northern Sea of Papua, and Halmahera. The aims of this study were to analyse and describe the characteristics of flyingfish habitat, based on oceanographic conditions and eggs catches, and to visualize the variability in spatial and temporal patterns of predicted potential spawning grounds. The research was conducted in Fak-Fak and adjacent seas in the Indonesian Fisheries Area WPP 715, from 130°−134° E and 2°S−5° S. Data were collected during 2018 for selected months: June, July, August and September. Remote sensing data used in this study included chlorophyll-a concentration (Chl-a) OCI-Algorithm, Sea Surface Temperature (SST) 11μ daytime, Absolute Dynamic Topography (ADT), Significant Wave Height and Ocean Surface Current (meridian and zonal components). Fishery data were collected from fishermen’s GPS units, and through participatory mapping. Based on the mapping of fishing locations of flyingfish fishermen, there were four locations where fishing frequency was high. The potential fishing grounds were approximately 5-40 miles from mainland of Fak-Fak. Chlorophyll-a concentration in Fak-Fak waters ranged from 0.201–2.13 mg/m3. The temperature was estimated to be in the range of 27-31°C, with an average temperature of 27.1°C. ADT only changed by 0.01 cm in height each month with a range between 0.88–1.02 cm. Wind was one of the driving forces of geostrophic current. The waves reached a peak in August, with heights ranging from 0.70 to 1.6 metre. Flyingfish were predominantly found in oceanic zones.

DUACS DT2018: 25 years of reprocessed sea level altimetry products

Abstract. For more than 20 years, the multi-satellite Data Unification and Altimeter Combination System (DUACS) has been providing near-real-time (NRT) and delayed-time (DT) altimetry products. DUACS datasets range from along-track measurements to multi-mission sea level anomaly (SLA) and absolute dynamic topography (ADT) maps. The DUACS DT2018 ensemble of products is the most recent and major release. For this, 25 years of altimeter data have been reprocessed and are available through the Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (CMEMS) and the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). Several changes were implemented in DT2018 processing in order to improve the product quality. New altimetry standards and geophysical corrections were used, data selection was refined and optimal interpolation (OI) parameters were reviewed for global and regional map generation. This paper describes the extensive assessment of DT2018 reprocessing. The error budget associated with DT2018 products at global and regional scales was defined and improvements on the previous version were quantified (DT2014; Pujol et al., 2016). DT2018 mesoscale errors were estimated using independent and in situ measurements. They have been reduced by nearly 3 % to 4 % for global and regional products compared to DT2014. This reduction is even greater in coastal areas (up to 10 %) where it is directly linked to the geophysical corrections applied to DT2018 processing. The conclusions are very similar concerning geostrophic currents, for which error was globally reduced by around 5 % and as much as 10 % in coastal areas.

Seasonality and interannual variability of the Sri Lanka dome

Located in the southwest Bay of Bengal, the Sri Lanka Dome (SLD) is an upwelling tropical thermal dome that forms in a region of positive wind stress curl within the Southwest Monsoon Current (SMC) system. Here, we quantify variability in the SLD's sea surface slope, area, amplitude, and position using a 22-year record of absolute dynamic topography. We observe a seasonal cycle in the evolution of the SLD and its relationship to wind stress curl. The SLD typically forms in early June in a region of positive wind stress curl associated with the wind jet off Sri Lanka. For the first two months after formation, the magnitude of the SLD's sea surface slope strongly correlates with the strength of the wind stress curl. Later in the southwest monsoon, the SLD's position shifts northward moving out of the region of strong wind stress curl, before dissipating in typically September. The amplitude and area of the SLD vary together, and both are linked to the strength of the SMC on weekly timescales. Decadal variability in both the SLD and wind stress curl is reflected in the Dipole Mode Index, which reflects an integrated measure of regional forcing. These results suggest alignment between the SMC and the region of wind stress curl may play a pivotal role in controlling the strength of the SLD on seasonal and interannual timescales.

Sea Surface Circulation Structures in the Malta-Sicily Channel from Remote Sensing Data

The Malta-Sicily Channel is part of the Sicily Channel system where water and thermohaline properties between the Eastern and Western Mediterranean basins take place. Several mesoscales features are detached from the main circulation due to wind and bathymetric forcing. In this paper, surface circulation structures are studied using different remotely sensed datasets: satellite data (absolute dynamic topography, Cross-Calibrated Multi-Platform wind vector analysis, satellite chlorophyll and sea surface temperature) and high frequency radar data. We identified high frequency motions (at short time scales—hours to days), as well as mesoscale structures fundamental for the understanding of the Malta-Sicily Channel circulation dynamics. One of those is the Malta-Sicily Gyre; an anticyclonic structure trapped between the Sicilian and Maltese coasts, which is poorly studied in the literature and often confused with the Malta Channel Crest and the Ionian Shelf Break Vortex. In order to characterize this gyre, we calculated its kinetic properties taking advantage of the fine-scale temporal and spatial resolution of the high frequency radar data, and thus confirming its presence with an updated version of the surface circulation patterns in the area.

A network of bivalve chronologies from semi-enclosed seas

Four chronologies of the bivalve species Glycymeris pilosa have been constructed along a 300 km gradient of the eastern coastal Adriatic Sea, all of which span the common period of 1982–2015. The chronologies are compared to local and remote environmental drivers suspected to influence the biology of the system, including air and seawater temperature, precipitation and freshwater discharge. The Adriatic-Ionian Bimodal Oscillating System (BiOS), a key oceanographic feature quantified by satellite-derived absolute dynamic topography, is also compared to the chronologies. The chronologies at the two southern sites are more strongly influenced by local river discharge, while the two northern chronologies are more strongly influenced by BiOS. These results highlight the broadscale importance of BiOS to the Adriatic system as well as the heterogeneity of nearshore environmental and drivers of growth. These G. pilosa chronologies provide unique multidecadal, continuous, biological time series to better understand the ecology and fine-scale variability of the Adriatic with potential for other shallow, semi-enclosed seas.

New Insights of the Sicily Channel and Southern Tyrrhenian Sea Variability

The dynamics of the Sicily Channel and the southern Tyrrhenian Sea are highly influenced by the seasonal variability of the Mediterranean basin-wide circulation, by the interannual variability of the numerous mesoscale structures present in the Channel, and by the decadal variability of the adjacent Ionian Sea. In the present study, all these aspects are investigated using in-situ (Lagrangian drifter trajectories and Argo float profiles) and satellite data (Absolute Dynamic Topography, Sea Level Anomaly, Sea Surface Temperature, wind products) over the period from 1993 to 2018. The availability of long time series of data and high-resolution multi-sensor surface currents allow us to add new details on the circulation features and on their driving mechanisms and to detect new permanent eddies not yet described in literature. The structures prevailing in winter are mainly driven by wind, whereas those prevailing in summer are regulated by topographical forcing on surface currents. The strength of the surface structures located at the western entrance of the Ionian Sea and of the mesoscale activity along the northern Sicily coast is modulated by the large-scale internal variability. The vertical hydrological characteristics of these mesoscale eddies are delineated using the Argo float profiles inside these structures.

Extracting Lagrangian coherent structures in the Kuroshio current system

In this paper, we propose to extract Lagrangian coherent structures (LCSs) based on MADT data to describe the structure of the Kuroshio Current System, and this method helps study the monthly variation in the intensity. By exploiting the improved variational principles, we extract LCSs through a geostrophic velocity vector field derived from the absolute dynamic topography. Specifically, we address hyperbolic LCSs and parabolic LCSs, with the former as the outer bounds of the jet flow and the latter as a more robust depiction of the jet axis. These LCSs delineate the jet with theoretical underpinnings, as opposed to common contours identified in an anecdotal manner. We employ the top 20% most repelling and attracting hyperbolic LCSs to approximate the outer bounds of the Kuroshio Current System, and these structures are apt to enclose the jet. Compared with the results of FTLEs and FSLEs, our results are more reliable. A comparison in the intensity based on the jet axis of months in 2012 demonstrates the effectiveness of our method in extracting LCSs. In situ data, such as drifter tracks and temperature-salinity profiles, are applied to validate the reliability of the axis and outer bounds extracted from the Kuroshio.

Evolution of the Great Whirl Using an Altimetry‐Based Eddy Tracking Algorithm

AbstractTwenty‐three years of Archiving, Validation, and Interpretation of Satellite Oceanographic data absolute dynamic topography and HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model sea surface height were analyzed with a focus on interannual variability of the Indian Southwest Monsoon in the southwest Arabian Sea. A new algorithm for identification and tracking of the Great Whirl (GW) is presented, which better accounts for the gyre's embedded environment than traditional mesoscale eddy tracking algorithms that use sea level observations. Based on this algorithm, the GW exhibits an average life span of 198 days, which is considerably longer than previous estimates, attributed primarily to a later termination date. A climatology of the GW evolution is created, peaking in early September. This study suggests a possible periodicity of the upper ocean structure during the mature phase of the GW and also highlights the sporadic nature of the decay phase.

Revisiting the Circulation of Hudson Bay: Evidence for a Seasonal Pattern

AbstractThe Hudson Bay Complex is the outlet for many Canadian rivers, receiving roughly 900 km3/year of river runoff. Historically, studies found a consistent cyclonic flow year‐round in Hudson Bay, due to the geostrophic boundary current induced by river discharge and cyclonic wind forcing that was supported by available observations at that time. Using a high‐resolution ocean general circulation model, we show that in summer, the mean circulation is not cyclonic but consists of multiple small cyclonic and anticyclonic features, with the mean flow directed through the center of the bay. Absolute Dynamic Topography and velocity observations also show this seasonal flow pattern. We find that this summer circulation is driven by geostrophic currents, generated by steric height gradients, which are induced by increased river discharge during the spring freshet, and reinforced by anticyclonic seasonal wind patterns.

Development of a fine-resolution atmosphere-wave-ocean coupled forecasting model for the South China Sea and its adjacent seas

A 72-h fine-resolution atmosphere-wave-ocean coupled forecasting system was developed for the South China Sea and its adjacent seas. The forecasting model domain covers from from 15°S to 45°N in latitude and 99°E to 135°E in longitude including the Bohai Sea, the Yellow Sea, the East China Sea, the South China Sea and the Indonesian seas. To get precise initial conditions for the coupled forecasting model, the forecasting system conducts a 24-h hindcast simulation with data assimilation before forecasting. The Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter (EAKF) data assimilation method was adopted for the wave model MASNUM with assimilating Jason-2 significant wave height (SWH) data. The EAKF data assimilation method was also introduced to the ROMS model with assimilating sea surface temperature (SST), mean absolute dynamic topography (MADT) and Argo profiles data. To improve simulation of the structure of temperature and salinity, the vertical mixing scheme of the ocean model was improved by considering the surface wave induced vertical mixing and internal wave induced vertical mixing. The wave and current models were integrated from January 2014 to October 2015 driven by the ECMWF reanalysis 6 hourly mean dataset with data assimilation. Then the coupled atmosphere-wave-ocean forecasting system was carried out 14 months operational running since November 2015. The forecasting outputs include atmospheric forecast products, wave forecast products and ocean forecast products. A series of observation data are used to evaluate the coupled forecasting results, including the wind, SHW, ocean temperature and velocity. The forecasting results are in good agreement with observation data. The prediction practice for more than one year indicates that the coupled forecasting system performs stably and predict relatively accurate, which can support the shipping safety, the fisheries and the oil exploitation.