7th TNM Research Articles

Survival risk stratification based on prognosis nomogram to identify patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who may benefit from postoperative adjuvant therapy

ObjectiveThe purpose of the study is to develop a prognosis nomogram for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients with radical resection and to identify patients who may benefit from postoperative adjuvant radiotherapy/chemoradiotherapy through survival risk stratification.MethodsWe retrospectively enrolled patients who underwent esophagectomy in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from July 2015 to June 2017. Patients with stage I-III esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who received radical R0 resection with or without postoperative adjuvant radiotherapy/chemoradiotherapy were included. Further, patients were randomly allocated into two groups (training and validation cohorts) with a distribution ratio of 7:3. The prognosis nomogram was constructed based on independent factors determined by univariate and multivariate Cox analyses. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curve were adopted to evaluate the discriminative ability and reliability of the nomogram. The accuracy and clinical practicability were respectively assessed by C-index values and decision curve analysis (DCA), and further contrasted the nomogram model and the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system. In addition, survival risk stratification was further performed according to the nomogram, and the effect of postoperative adjuvant therapy on each risk group was appraised by the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.ResultsA total of 399 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma were recruited in this study, including the training cohort (n = 280) and the validation cohort (n = 119). The nomogram-related AUC values ​​for 1, 3, and 5-year OS were 0.900, 0.795, and 0.802, respectively, and 0.800, 0.865, 0.829 in the validation cohort, respectively. The slope of the calibration curve for both cohorts was close to 1, indicating good consistency. The C-index value of the nomogram was 0.769, which was higher than that of the AJCC 8th TNM staging system by 0.061 (p < 0.001). Based on the prognosis nomogram, patients were stratified into three risk groups (low, medium, and high), and there were obvious differences in prognosis among the groups (p < 0.001). Furthermore, postoperative adjuvant therapy has been shown to enhance the 5-year survival rate by over 15% among patients classified as medium- and high-risk.ConclusionThe constructed nomogram as developed resulted in accurate and effective prediction performance in survival outcomes for patients with stage I-III esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent radical R0 resection, which is superior to the AJCC 8th TNM staging system. The survival risk stratification had potential clinical application to guide further personalized adjuvant therapy.

Rethinking the prognosis model of differentiated thyroid carcinoma.

The prediction efficiency of long-term cancer-specific survival (CSS) in guiding the treatment of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) patients is still unsatisfactory. We need to refine the system so that it more accurately correlates with survival. This is a retrospective study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, and included patients who underwent surgical treatment and were diagnosed with DTC from 2004 to 2020. Patients were divided into a training cohort (2004-2015) and validation cohort (2016-2020). Decision tree methodology was used to build the model in the training cohort. The newly identified groups were verified in the validation cohort. DTC patient totals of 52,917 and 48,896 were included in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Decision tree classification of DTC patients consisted of five categorical variables, which in order of importance were as follows: M categories, age, extrathyroidal extension, tumor size, and N categories. Then, we identified five TNM groups with similar within-group CSS. More patients were classified as stage I, and the number of stage IV patients decreased significantly. The new system had a higher proportion of variance explained (PVE) (5.04%) and lower Akaike information criterion (AIC) (18,331.906) than the 8th TNM staging system (a PVE of 4.11% and AIC of 18,692.282). In the validation cohort, the new system also showed better discrimination for survival. The new system for DTC appeared to be more accurate in distinguishing stages according to the risk of mortality and provided more accurate risk stratifications and potential treatment selections.

A nomogram and risk stratification system for predicting survival in T1-2N0-1 breast cancer patients with liver metastasis in females: a population-based study

PurposeLiver was one of the most common distant metastatic sites in breast cancer. Patients with distant metastasis were identified as American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage IV indicating poor prognosis. However, few studies have predicted the survival in females with T1-2N0-1 breast cancer who developed liver metastasis. This study aimed to explore the clinical features of these patients and establish a nomogram to predict their overall survival.Results1923 patients were randomly divided into training (n = 1154) and validation (n = 769) cohorts. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that age, marital status, race, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2), chemotherapy, surgery and bone metastasis, brain metastasis were considered the independent prognostic indicators. We developed a nomogram according to these ten parameters. The consistency index (c-index) was 0.72 (95% confidence interval CI 0.70–0.74) in the training cohort, 0.72 (95% CI 0.69–0.74) in the validation cohort. Calibration plots indicated that the nomogram-predicted survival was consistent with the recorded 1-, 3- and 5-year prognoses. Decision curve analysis curves in both the training and validation cohorts demonstrated that the nomogram showed better prediction than the AJCC TNM (8th) staging system. Kaplan Meier curve based on the risk stratification system showed that the low-risk group had a better prognosis than the high-risk group (P < 0.001).ConclusionsA predictive nomogram and risk stratification system were constructed to assess prognosis in T1-2N0-1 breast cancer patients with liver metastasis in females. The risk model established in this study had good predictive performance and could provide personalized clinical decision-making for future clinical work.

Outcome of Upfront Surgically Resected Patients of Oral Tongue Squamous Cell Carcinoma and Factors Affecting it: Experience from Tertiary Care Facility in North India.

Oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma (OTSCC) is the most aggressive subsite among oral cancers. The poor survival rate has been primarily attributed to high loco-regional recurrence. Two recent developments viz. incorporation depth of invasion (DOI) in American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM 8th edition and elective neck dissection in clinically negative neck have potential to improve survival. We in our study have tried to look at overall survival and factors affecting patients of only OTSCC. 144 patients of OTSCC operated upfront between July 2017 and December 2023 were included in our study. Selective neck dissection was done in all patients with clinically negative neck. T staging was done using both AJCC TNM 7th and 8th edition. Primary objective of the study was to determine the overall survival and factors affecting it. The secondary objectives were to determine the disease-free survival and to look at the effect of forementioned new developments in patients in OTSCC. Mean overall survival and disease-free survival in our study cohort was 48.8 months and 48.3 months respectively in follow up period ranging from 2 months to 75 months. DOI > 10 millimetres and involved margins were factors significantly associated with survival on multivariate analysis. Lymph node metastasis was detected in 32(35.2%) patients out of 91 patients with clinically negative neck and 31(21.6%) of patients were upstaged from T1/T2 in AJCC TNM 7th to T3/T4 according to AJCC TNM 8th edition. The 5-years overall survival of our patients was about 54% with nearly half of our patients presenting in stage III and stage IV. There is need to create awareness in general population as the impact of the new changes will only be seen if patients present at an early stage.

Interim results from a prospective multicenter phase II trial of stratified treatment of localized cervical esophageal squamous cell carcinoma induced by neoadjuvant immunotherapy plus chemotherapy (SCENIC trial).

e16089 Background: Definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) is the standard treatment for cervical esophageal squamous cell cancer (CESCC). However, salvage esophagectomy poses significant technical challenges in dCRT failures, and optimizing patient selection for dCRT remains an unsolved concern. In this context, we propose a stratified screening strategy by incorporating induction immunochemotherapy, aiming to identify suitable candidates for organ-sparing dCRT and timely surgical treatment. Methods: This prospective multicenter interventional phase II study (ChiCTR2200057732) enrolled patients with clinical stage T2-4NanyM0 (AJCC TNM 8th) resectable CESCC. Eligible participants received induction therapy of intravenous PD-1 inhibitor tislelizumab (200mg, day 1) plus nab-paclitaxel (100 mg/m2, day 1,8,15) and carboplatin (area under curve of 5 mg/mL/min, day 1) of each 21-days cycle, for two cycles. Treatment response was evaluated 4 weeks after the completion of induction therapy, according to the criteria of the CROC trial: Grade 1, remarkable response (RR); Grade 2, limited partial response (LPR); and Grade 3, poor response (POR). Stratified patients would receive different follow-up treatments: dCRT was administered to RR patients, and radical surgery was performed in LPR and POR patients. Tislelizumab was maintained after dCRT in RR patients, and the postoperative adjuvant therapy was dependent on the doctors in the surgery groups. The primary endpoint was the 2-year event-free survival with a planned enrollment of 36 patients in this study. Results: From Jul 2022 to Jan 2024, 28 patients were enrolled. Of these, 22 patients completed the full two-cycle induction therapy and response evaluation. The response after induction immunochemotherapy were RR in 50.0% (11/22), LPR in 31.8% (7/22), and POR in 18.2% (4/22). All of the RR population underwent subsequent dCRT. Among 11 non-RR patients, only 7 cases received esophagectomy, other 4 selected dCRT according to their will. Up to Jan 2024, the median follow-up was 11.0 months (3.5-17.7), all of the RR patients with dCRT were in disease-free survival, 1 LPR and 1 POR patients received dCRT had progression in the primary lesion, and 4 patients underwent surgery had locoregional or distant recurrences. Overall, 24 patients (96%) had any-grade treatment-related adverse events with the most common being leukocytopenia. Four patients (16%) had adverse events of grade 3 or worse, and no treatment-related death occurred. Conclusions: The 1-year survival of RR followed by dCRT appears promising compared to historical data. The strategy of induction immunochemotherapy showed effective in identifying candidates suitable for dCRT in patients with resectable CESCC. Enrollment is ongoing. Clinical trial information: ChiCTR2200057732.

Efficacy and safety of disitamab vedotin (RC48) combined with camrelizumab and S-1 for neoadjuvant therapy of locally advanced gastric cancer with HER2 overexpression: Preliminary results of a prospective, single-arm, phase II study.

e16100 Background: A combination of HER2-targeted therapy, immunotherapy and chemotherapy is being explored in the perioperative treatment of gastric/gastric junction (GC/GEJ) adenocarcinoma.Disitamab vedotin (RC48), a HER2-directed antibody-drug conjugate (ADC), demonstrated significant anti-tumor activity. Moreover, data suggest that the combination of RC48 with immunotherapy exhibits a synergistic effect. Therefore, we conducted the study to investigate the effects of combining RC48 with camrelizumab and S-1 in the neoadjuvant setting for locally advanced, resectable GC/GEJC with HER2 overexpression. Methods: In this prospective, phase II, single-arm study, we included patients with histologically confirmed, resectable gastric/gastric junction adenocarcinoma (GC/GEJ) staged as cT3-4aN1-3M0 according to the TNM 8th edition, and demonstrating HER2 overexpression (IHC 3+ or IHC 2+). Participants received three cycles of treatment on a three-weekly basis (Q3W). Surgical resection was scheduled to occur 3-4 weeks following the completion of neoadjuvant therapy. The primary endpoint was the pathological complete response (pCR) rate; the secondary endpoints included the major pathological response (MPR) rate, clinical downgrading rate, disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), and safety. Results: Between Sep 18, 2022 and Feb 2, 2024, a total of 23 patients were enrolled. Seven patients had not completed neoadjuvant treatment.Two patients refused surgery due to organ preservation. Two patients refused study therapy after 2 cycles of neoadjuvant treatment. 12 patients who experienced D2 resection, 6 (50%) achieved MPR, including 4 (33.3%) with pCR (ypT0N0M0).The R0 resection rate was 100%. Median DFS and OS have not been reached. The most common reported AEs (grade≥3) were decreased neutrophil count (10%), bowel obstruction (5%), ALT increased (5%) and AST increased (5%). There have been no treatment-related mortalities documented. Conclusions: The preliminary findings suggest that the neoadjuvant combination of RC48, camrelizumab and S-1 presents a promising and safe treatment option for locally advanced resectable GC/GEJ adenocarcinoma with HER2 overexpression. Clinical trial information: ChiCTR2300075446.

TTCC-2022-01: Niraparib and dostarlimab in locally-advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with (chemo) radiotherapy (RADIAN).

TPS6125 Background: The prognosis of locally-advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (LA-HNSCC) remains poor, with a 60% 5-year overall survival (OS) rate despite curative-intent therapies. Treatment intensification strategies with antiPD-(L)1 agents given concurrently to (chemo)radiotherapy (CRT) have failed to improve survival. New radiosensitizing agents such as PARP inhibitors have shown encouraging results in early studies, and are of special interest in cisplatin-unfit patients (pts) (Moutafi et al. 2021). Beyond radiation sensitization, PARP inhibition is predicted to trigger immune responses via STING pathway activation, and synergize with anti-PD-(L)1 agents (Sen T et al., 2019). We hypothesize that niraparib will enhance antitumor immune responses when combined with dostarlimab before and after definitive CRT and will boost RT response ultimately leading to higher disease-free survival (DFS). Methods: Trial design: RADIAN is an investigator-initiated, multi-center, non-randomized two-cohort phase 1b study of niraparib and dostarlimab in LA-HNSCC pts candidates for CRT (cohort A) or RT alone (cohort B – cisplatin unfit). Dostarlimab 500mg is given intravenously 3 weeks(w) before RT and then q/3w starting w4 post-RT for up to 14 cycles. Niraparib 200 or 300mg is given orally once daily 1w after dostarlimab until start of CRT (cohort A) or continuously until last dose of RT (Cohort B) and then continuously in 3w cycles from w4 post-RT for up to a year (14 cycles). Intensity-modulated RT (70 Grays:2Gray/fraction) and high-dose cisplatin are given as per standard-of-care. Study procedures include collection of baseline archival or fresh tumor sample for molecular profiling, PD-L1 expression and immunophenotyping; serial blood samples for circulating tumor (ct) DNA and clinical/endoscopic photographs of the tumor (baseline, pre-niraparib, pre-RT, 12w post-RT, end-of treatment, and at progression). Imaging and follow-up procedures are conducted as per standard-of-care. Key eligibility criteria: untreated, stage III to IVB laryngeal, hypopharyngeal, HPV-negative oropharyngeal SCC (stage III only if HPV-positive), and stage IVB oral cavity SCC as per TNM 8th edition;adequate organ function; no autoimmune disorders; no immunosuppressive therapy. Study objectives: primary objective is to evaluate 1-year disease free survival. Secondary objectives: safety/tolerability including RT delay/completion; locoregional and distant control, event-free survival, OS and ctDNA dynamics correlation with efficacy endpoints. Sample size: 32 evaluable pts for correlative studies are planned for enrollment (16/cohort). It is expected that experimental treatment will provide an increase of efficacy of 0.64 in terms of HR (1-year DFS of 75.9 % in cohort A and 68.2% in cohort B). Study activation: Nov 11th 2023, with 2 pts enrolled as of Feb 6th 2024. Clinical trial information: NCT05784012 .

Can elective neck dissection for oral cancers be planned based on depth of invasion?

e18042 Background: Elective neck dissection (END) is the standard of care for oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). Literature suggests END may be avoided in primaries with depth of invasion (DOI) less than 4 mm. The present study evaluates the accuracy of DOI in predicting nodal metastases in OSCC. Methods: This retrospective study, approved by the Institutional Ethics Committee, includes all the patients with OSCC who underwent surgical excision. All tumors were classified and DOI was measured microscopically on resected specimens according to the AJCC TNM 8th ed. Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS for Windows version 26. Pathological N-classification (pN) was correlated with DOI (in mm) using Spearman’s rank-order (pN1-3) and point-biserial (pN0 vs pN+) correlation statistics. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve with area under the curve (AUC) were analyzed to determine the accuracy of DOI in predicting nodal metastases (pN+). Primaries were classified into three groups based on the range of DOI (≤5 mm; &gt;5 mm and ≤10 mm; &gt;10 mm) according to the AJCC TNM 8th ed. Chi-square statistic was used to measure the association between DOI groups and pN status (pN0; pN+). ANOVA with post hoc Bonferroni statistics were used to compare between three DOI groups. Results: Three hundred and thirty-seven (n=337) patients were screened for inclusion. After adjusting for missing data, 254 patients were included in the final analysis. Median age at presentation, DOI and nodal yield were 46 (24-82) years, 11 (1-40) mm, and 35 (1-121), respectively. Depth of invasion failed to demonstrate a strong positive correlation with pN classification (ρ=0.31; p&lt;0.001). DOI did not show a strong correlation with pN status (pN0 vs pN+) either (rpb=0.27; p&lt;0.001). ROC curve analysis suggested a poor accuracy of DOI in predicting nodal metastases (AUC=0.67; 95% CI 0.6-0.73). There was a statistically significant association between DOI groups and pN status (Chi-square=26.67; p&lt;0.001). ANOVA with post hoc Bonferroni showed statistical significance only for DOI &gt;10 mm group (p&lt;0.001 for DOI ≤5 mm; p=0.02 for DOI &gt;5 mm and ≤10 mm). However, the sensitivity and specificity achieved by the ROC analysis for DOI cut-off value of 10mm in the present cohort were merely 69.3% and 57.9%, respectively. Conclusions: DOI alone is a poor predictor of nodal metastases in OSCC. Though all correlations in the present study achieved statistical significance, none demonstrated a strong association or an accuracy credible enough of clinical importance. END should remain the standard-of-care for all OSCC, including early primaries with DOI &lt;4 mm.

The survival effect of neoadjuvant therapy and neoadjuvant plus adjuvant therapy on pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma patients with different TNM stages: a propensity score matching analysis based on the SEER database

ABSTRACT Background Adjuvant therapy (AT) and neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) are standard treatments for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) depending on the status of the disease. However, whether AT improves survival after NAT and radical resection in all TNM stages remains unclear. Research design and methods We utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2010–2019) for PDAC patients who underwent radical surgery and applied Pearson’s chi-square test, multivariate and univariate Cox regression, Kaplan-Meier plot, Log-rank tests, and propensity score matching (PSM) for analysis. Results Given PSM after enrolling 13,868 PDAC patients, significant differences in survival were identified between AT and neoadjuvant therapy plus adjuvant therapy (NATAT) (p = 0.023) as well as between NAT and NATAT (p < 0.001). According to the AJCC 8th TNM stage, a survival advantage associated with NATAT was exclusively observed in stage III and IV disease, except for T4N0M0. Some stage IV patients receiving NATAT exhibited comparable survival to their counterparts without metastasis. Conclusions In this retrospective cohort study, we demonstrated that patients harboring tumors in late TNM stages, including N2 resectable PDAC, might have better survival from NATAT, and that certain patients with M1 disease might still benefit from comprehensive systemic therapy and radical resection.

Evaluation of AJCC staging system and proposal of a novel stage grouping system in retroperitoneal liposarcoma: the Fudan Zhongshan experience.

Overall survival (OS) varies significantly among individuals with heterogeneous retroperitoneal liposarcoma (RPLS), even among those with the same clinical stage. Improved staging of RPLS is a critical unmet need, given the disappointing results of external validations of the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system. The cohort study included 220 consecutive patients who underwent surgical resection for primary RPLS at the largest sarcoma centre of Fudan University in China from September 2009 to August 2021, combined with 277 adult patients with RPLS in the SEER database from 1975 to 2020. Data analysis was performed from December 2021 to December 2022. Patients were retrospectively restaged according to the 8th and 7th editions of the TNM staging system as well as the new TNM (nTNM) staging system. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Comparative analysis of postoperative survival was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and differences between subgroups were tested using the log-rank test. The OS prediction nomogram was generated based on baseline variables and tumour characteristics. Harrell's consistency index (C-index), area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC), and calibration curves were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram. A total of 497 patients were enrolled in the study, including 282 (56.7%) male patients. The median follow-up was 51 months (interquartile range, IQR, 23-83), and the OS rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 87.9%, 75.3%, and 64.9%, respectively. According to the staging distribution of the AJCC 7th edition, 6 patients were stage IA (1.2%), 189 patients were stage IB (38%), 12 patients were stage IIA (2.4%), 150 patients were stage IIB (30.1%), 131 patients were stage III (26.3%), and 9 patients were stage IV (1.8%). With the 8th edition staging, this distribution changed: 6 patients (1.2%) were stage IA, 189 patients (38%) were stage IB, 12 patients (2.4%) were stage II, 24 patients (4.8%) were stage IIIA, 257 patients (51.7%) were stage IIIB, and 9 patients (1.8%) were stage IV. 182 patients (36.6%) were reclassified according to the nTNM staging system with the new T stage classification. The C-index and log-rank score improved after implementation of nTNM implementation. The nTNM system was associated with improved identification of high-risk patients compared with the AJCC 7th and 8th TNM. The FNCLCC stage proved to be highly prognostic with significant intergroup differences in OS. The calibration curve shows a high degree of agreement between the actual OS rate and the nomogram estimated OS rate. Compared with 8th AJCC TNM, 7th AJCC TNM staging system showed a more homogeneous staging distribution and a slight improvement in the prognostic accuracy of RPLS. The revised T-stage and nTNM systems showed better risk stratification performance. The FNCLCC stage was found to have high prognostic value, further emphasising histological grade is the least negligible prognostic factor in predicting patient survival. The constructed nomogram model enables individualized prognostic analysis and helps to develop risk-adapted therapy for RPLS patients.

Tumor burden score and carcinoembryonic antigen predict outcomes in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma following liver resection: a multi‑institutional analysis

BackgroundThe prognostic significance of tumor burden score (TBS) in relation to carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) has not been investigated among patients undergoing hepatectomy for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). This study aimed to develop and validate a simplified model, a combination of TBS and CEA (CTC grade), for predicting the long-term outcomes of postoperative ICC patients.MethodsPatients who underwent curative − intent resection of ICC between 2011 and 2019 were identified from a large multi − institutional database. The impact of TBS, CEA, and the CTC grade on overall survival (OS) and recurrence − free survival (RFS) was evaluated in both the derivation and validation cohorts. The receiver operating characteristic curve was utilized for assessing the predictive accuracy of the model. Subgroup analyses were performed across 8th TNM stage system stratified by CTC grade to assess the discriminatory capacity within the same TNM stage.ResultsA total of 812 patients were included in the derivation cohort and 266 patients in the validation cohort. Survival varied based on CEA (low: 36.7% vs. high: 9.0%) and TBS (low: 40.3% vs. high: 17.6%) in relation to 5 − year survival (both p < 0.001). As expected, patients with low CTC grade (i.e., low TBS/low CEA) were associated with the best OS as well as RFS, while high CTC grade (i.e., high TBS/high CEA) correlated to the worst outcomes. The model exhibited well performance in both the derivation cohort (area under the curve of 0.694) and the validation cohort (0.664). The predictive efficacy of the CTC grade system remains consistently stable across TNM stages I and III/IV.ConclusionThe CTC grade, a composite parameter derived from the combination of TBS and CEA levels, served as an easy − to − use tool and performed well in stratifying patients with ICC relative to OS and RFS.

Nomograms to predict long-term survival for patients with gallbladder carcinoma after resection.

Surgical resection remains the primary treatment option for gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). However, there is a pressing demand for prognostic tools that can refine patients' treatment choices and tailor personalized therapies accordingly. The nomograms were constructed using the data of a training cohort (n = 378) of GBC patients at Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital (EHBH) between 2008 and 2018. The model's performance was validated in GBC patients (n = 108) at Guangzhou Centre from 2007 to 2018. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate in the training cohort was 24.4%. Multivariate analyses were performed using preoperative and postoperative data to identify independent predictors of OS. These predictors were then incorporated into preoperative and postoperative nomograms, respectively. The C-index of the preoperative nomogram was 0.661 (95% CI, 0.627 to 0.694) for OS prediction and correctly delineated four subgroups (5-year OS rates: 48.1%, 19.0%, 15.6%, and 8.1%, p < 0.001). The C-index of the postoperative nomogram was 0.778 (95%CI, 0.756 -0.800). Furthermore, this nomogram was superior to the 8th TNM system in both C-index and the net benefit on decision curve analysis. The results were externally validated. The two nomograms showed an optimally prognostic prediction in GBC patients after curative-intent resection.

Validation study on the 2 mm diameter cutoff in lymph node-positive cases following radical prostatectomy in accordance with the AJCC/UICC TNM 8th edition: Real-world data analysis from a Japanese cohort.

The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) 8th edition has proposed micrometastasis as a lymph node metastasis (LN+) of diameter ≤2 mm in prostate cancer. However, supporting evidence has not described. We evaluated LN+ patients' survival after radical prostatectomy (RP) based on the LN maximum tumor diameter (MTD). Data from 561 LN+ patients after RP and pelvic LN dissection (PLND) treated between 2006 and 2019 at 33 institutions were retrospectively investigated. Patients were stratified by a LN+ MTD cutoff of 2 mm. Outcomes included castration resistance-free survival (CRFS), metastasis-free survival (MFS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS). In total, 282 patients were divided into two groups (LN+ MTD >2 mm [n = 206] and ≤2 mm [n = 76]). Patients of LN+ status >2 mm exhibited significantly decreased CRFS and MFS, and poorer CSS and OS. No patients developed CRPC in the LN+ status ≤2 mm group when the PLND number was ≥14. Multivariate analysis showed the number of LN removed, RP Gleason pattern 5, and MTD in LN+ significantly predicted CRFS. Patients of LN+ status ≤2 mm showed better prognoses after RP. In all the patients in the ≤2-mm group, the progression to CRPC could be prevented with appropriate interventions, particularly when PLND is performed accurately. Our findings support the utility of the pN substaging proposed by the AJCC/UICC 8th edition; this will facilitate precision medicine for patients with advanced prostate cancer.

Revisiting TNM staging for EBV-related nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Advances in imaging and novel treatment approaches might have outpaced the prognostic capabilities of the current AJCC/UICC TNM 8th edition for staging nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). In this issue of Cancer Cell, Du etal. propose a new TNM-9 classification that incorporates these updates.

Socio-demographic inequalities in stage at diagnosis of lung cancer: A French population-based study

BackgroundDiagnosing patients at a non-advanced stage has become a mainstay of lung cancer prevention and control strategies. Understanding socio-demographic inequalities in stage at diagnosis may improve the targeting of interventions on patients at higher risk. This study aimed to identify these socio-demographic determinants in a large-scale French population-based cancer registry. MethodsAll incident lung cancers diagnosed between 2008 and 2019 identified from the Poitou-Charentes Cancer Registry (south-west France) were included. Stage at diagnosis was categorised as advanced/non-advanced (TNM III/IV vs I/II) according to the 8th TNM edition, the objective being to ensure a consistent level of prognosis over time. Socio-demographic variables included age, sex, the French European Deprivation Index (EDI) and patient’s place of residence. Their impact on stage at diagnosis was quantified by multivariate logistic regression models with subgroup analyses by histological subtype. ResultsOut of the 15,487 included patients, 75% were diagnosed at an advanced stage (66% to 95% depending on the histological subtype), 17% at a non-advanced stage and 10% at a non-specified stage. Multivariate analysis showed different patterns according to histological subtypes. In patients with adenocarcinoma, a higher risk of advanced stage was found for younger and older patients (u-shape), those most deprived, and those living in rural areas. The same effect of age was reported for squamous cell carcinomas, while no association was found for small-cell lung carcinomas. ConclusionsThis study highlighted substantial socio-demographic inequalities in stage at diagnosis, specifically for adenocarcinoma patients. Diagnosis strategies could be refined and strengthened in the non-smoker population, in which adenocarcinomas are mainly reported.

Development and validation of nomograms based on pre-/post-operative CEA and CA19-9 for survival predicting in stage I-III colorectal cancer patients after radical resection.

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) are the predominant serum tumour markers (STMs) for predicting the prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC). The objective of this research is to develop clinical prediction models based on preoperative and postoperative CEA and CA19-9 levels. 1,452 consecutive participants with stage I-III colorectal cancer were included. Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test, and multivariate COX regression were used to evaluate the significance of preoperative and postoperative STMs. Patients were grouped into a discovery cohort (70%) and a validation cohort (30%). Variables for the nomograms were selected according to the Akaike information criterion (AIC). Subsequently, two clinical predictive models were constructed, evaluated, validated, and then compared with the AJCC 8th TNM stage. The overall survival (OS) rate and disease-free survival(DFS) rate declined progressively as the number of positive tumour markers(NPTMs) before and after surgery increased. For both OS and DFS, age, sex, pN stage, and NPTMs before and after surgery were independent prognostic factors, and then clinical prediction models were developed. The Concordance index (C-index), Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, Decision curve analysis (DCA), and risk score stratification all indicated that the models possessed robust predictive efficacy and clinical applicability. The Net reclassification index (NRI) and Integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) indicated that the performance of models was significantly superior to the TNM stage. Nomograms based on pre-and postoperative CEA and CA19-9 can accurately predict survival and recurrence for stage I-III CRC patients after radical surgery, and were significantly better than the AJCC 8th TNM stage.

The significance of regular chest computed tomography in postoperative surveillance for surgically resected non-small cell lung cancer based on TNM 8th staging system.

Although several societies recommend regular chest computed tomography (CT) scans for the surveillance of surgically resected non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), there is paucity of evidence to support these statements. This study aimed to clarify whether regular CT scans improved the prognosis of patients with surgically resected NSCLC based on TNM 8th classification. Patients with pathologic Stage 0-III NSCLC who underwent complete surgical resection other than sublobar resection procedures were enrolled in the study. For these patients, clinicopathological data and postoperative surveillance data were collected by the retrospective review of medical records. Patients were categorized into the chest X-ray (CXR) group or the CT group according to whether they were followed-up with basic examinations including CXR or basic examinations plus regular chest CT. Postoperative overall survival was compared between the two groups. Six hundred sixty five patients were categorized into the CXR (n = 245) and CT (n = 420) groups. The clinicopathological backgrounds did not differ to a statistically significant extent. Recurrence was seen in 68 (27.3%) patients in the CXR group and 117 (27.8%) patients in the CT group. The 5-year overall survival rates of the two groups did not differ to a statistically significant extent (CXR, 76.5%; CT, 78.3%, P = 0.22). Regular chest CT scans may not improve the prognosis of surgically resected NSCLC. Further study is warranted to precisely evaluate the benefit of CT-based postoperative surveillance of NSCLC.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram to Predict Overall Survival in Stage I–III Colorectal Cancer Patients after Radical Resection with Normal Preoperative Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen

We aimed to develop a clinical predictive model for predicting the overall survival (OS) in stage I–III CRC patients after radical resection with normal preoperative CEA. This study included 1082 consecutive patients. They were further divided into a training set (70%) and a validation set (30%). The selection of variables for the model was informed by the Akaike information criterion. After that, the clinical predictive model was constructed, evaluated, and validated. The net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were employed to compare the models. Age, histologic type, pT stage, pN stage, carbohydrate antigen 242 (CA242), and carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) were selected to establish a clinical prediction model for OS. The concordance index (C-index) (0.748 for the training set and 0.702 for the validation set) indicated that the nomogram had good discrimination ability. The decision curve analysis highlighted that the model has superior efficiency in clinical decision-making. NRI and IDI showed that the established nomogram markedly outperformed the TNM stage. The new clinical prediction model was notably superior to the AJCC 8th TNM stage, and it can be used to accurately assess the OS of stage I–III CRC patients undergoing radical resection with normal preoperative CEA.

Significance of radiologic extranodal extension in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma with lymph node metastasis: a comprehensive nomogram

ObjectiveWe aimed to assess the significance of rENE and creat a predictive tool (nomogram) for estimating Overall Survival (OS) in locoregionally advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC) patients with Lymph Node Metastasis (LNM) based on their clinical characteristics and Radiologic Extranodal Extension (rENE). MethodsFive hundred and sixty-nine NPC patients with LNM were randomly divided into training and validation groups. Significant factors were identified using univariate and multivariate analyses in the training cohort. Then, the nomogram based on the screening results was established to predict the Overall Survival (OS). Calibration curves and the Concordance index (C-index) gauged predictive accuracy and discrimination. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis assessed risk stratification, and clinical utility was measured using Decision Curve Analysis (DCA). The nomogram's performance was validated for discrimination and calibration in an independent validation cohort. ResultsA total of 360 (63.2%) patients were present with radiologic extranodal extension at initial diagnosis. Patients with rENE had significantly lower OS than other patients. Multivariate analysis identified the five factors, including rENE, for the nomogram model. The C-index was 0.75 (0.71–0.78) in the training cohort and 0.76 (0.69–0.83) in the validation cohort. Notably, the nomogram outperformed the 8th TNM staging system, as evident from the higher AUC values (0.77 vs. 0.60 for 2year and 0.75 vs. 0.65 for 3year) and well-calibrated calibration curves. Decision curve analysis indicated improved Net Benefit (NB) with the nomogram for predicting OS. The log-rank test confirmed significant survival distinctions between risk groups in both training and validation cohorts. ConclusionsWe demonstrated the prognostic value of rENE in nasopharyngeal carcinoma and developed a nomogram based on rENE and other factors to provide individual prediction of OS for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma with lymph node metastasis. Level of evidenceIII.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for patients with laryngeal cancer with synchronous or metachronous lung cancer.

The objective of this study was to examine the independent prognostic factors of laryngeal cancer with synchronous or metachronous lung cancer (LCSMLC), and to generate and verify a clinical prediction model. In this study, laryngeal cancer alone and LCSMLC were defined using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Risk factors of patients with LCSMLC were analyzed through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Independent prognostic factors were selected by Cox regression analyses, on the basis of which a nomogram was constructed using R code. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were applied to test the application of a risk stratification system. Finally, we conducted a comparison of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system of laryngeal cancer with the new model of nomogram and risk stratification. For further validation of the nomogram, data from patients at two Chinese independent institutions were also analyzed. According to the eligibility criteria, 32 429 patients with laryngeal cancer alone and 641 patients with LCSMLC from the SEER database (the training cohort) and additional 61 patients from two Chinese independent institutions (the external validation cohort) were included for final analyses. Compared with patients with laryngeal cancer who did not have synchronous or metachronous lung cancer, age, sex, race, primary site of laryngeal cancer, grade, and stage were risk factors for LCSMLC, while marriage, surgery, radiation therapy, and chemotherapy are not their risk factors. Age, two cancers' interval, pathological type, stage, surgery, radiation, primary lung site, and primary throat site were independent prognostic predictors of LCSMLC. The risk stratification system of high-, medium-, and low-risk groups significantly distinguished the prognosis in different patients with LCSMLC, regardless of the training cohort or the validation cohort. Compared with the 6th AJCC TNM stage of laryngeal cancer, the new model of nomogram and risk stratification showed an improved net benefit. Age, sex, race, primary site of laryngeal cancer, grade, and stage were risk factors for LCSMLC. An individualized clinical prognostic predictive model by nomogram was generated and validated, which showed superior prediction ability for LCSMLC.