30-day Risk Of Stroke Research Articles

Deep versus Moderate Hypothermia inAcute Type A Aortic Dissection: APropensity-Matched Analysis.

The ideal temperature for hypothermic circulatory arrest (HCA) during acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) repair has yet to be determined. We examined the clinical impact of different degrees of hypothermia during dissection repair. Out of 240 cases of ATAAD between June 2014 and December 2019, 228 patients were divided into two groups according to lowest intraoperative temperature: moderate hypothermic circulatory arrest (MHCA) (20-28°C) versus deep hypothermic circulatory arrest (DHCA) (<20°C). From this, 74 pairs ofpropensity-matched patients were analysed with respect to operative data and short-term clinical outcomes. Independent predictors of a composite outcome of 30-day mortality and stroke were identified. Mean lowest temperature was 25.5±3.9°C in the MHCA group versus 16.0±2.9°C in DHCA. Overall 30-day mortality of matched cohort was 11.5% (17 deaths), not significantly difference between matched groups. Cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) times were longer in DHCA (221.0±69.9 vs 190.7±74.5 mins, p=0.01). Antegrade cerebral perfusion (ACP) during HCA predicted a lower composite risk of 30-day mortality and stroke (OR 0.38). Female sex (OR 4.71), lower extremity ischaemia at presentation (OR 3.07), and CPB >235 minutes (OR 2.47), all portended worse postoperative outcomes. A surgical strategy of MHCA is at least as safe as DHCA during repair of acute type A aortic dissection. ACP during HCA is associated with reduced 30-day mortality and stroke, whereas female sex, lower extremity ischaemia, and longer CPB times are all predictive of poorer short-term outcomes.

Sex Differences in Stress-Induced (Takotsubo) Cardiomyopathy

BackgroundTakotsubo cardiomyopathy (TC) affects predominantly women. Prior studies have suggested that men might have worse short-term outcomes, but limited data are available regarding long-term outcomes. We hypothesized that men, compared to women, with TC have worse short- and long-term outcomes. MethodsA retrospective study of patients diagnosed with TC between 2005 and 2018 in the Veteran Affairs system was performed. Primary outcomes were in-hospital death, 30-day risk of stroke, death, and long-term mortality. ResultsA total of 641 patients were included (444 men [69%]; 197 women [31%]). Men had a higher median age (65 vs 60 years; P < 0.001), and women were more likely to present with chest pain (68.7% vs 44.1%; P < 0.001). Physical triggers were more common in men (68.7% vs 44.1%, P < 0.001). Men had a higher in-hospital mortality rate (8.1% vs 1%; P < 0.001). On multivariable regression analysis, female sex was an independent predictor for improved in-hospital mortality, compared to men (odds ratio 0.25, 95% confidence interval 0.06-1.10; P = 0.04). On 30-day follow-up, no difference occurred in a combined outcome of stroke and death (3.9% vs 1.5%; P = 0.12). On long-term follow-up (3.7 ± 3.1 years), female sex was identified as an independent predictor of lower mortality (hazard ratio 0.71, 95% CI 0.51-0.97; P = 0.032). Women were more likely to have TC recurrence (3.6% vs 1.1%; P = 0.04) ConclusionsIn our study with a predominantly male population, men had less-favourable short- and long-term outcomes after TC, compared to those of women.

Abstract 14407: Clinical Outcomes of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement in Patients With Bicuspid versus Tricuspid Aortic Valve Stenosis

Introduction: Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has proven to be safe and efficacious in patients with tricuspid aortic valve (TAV) stenosis. However, due to its anatomic complexity, bicuspid aortic valve (BAV) stenosis has been excluded from previous trials, and data remain limited regarding TAVR in this group of patients. Methods: We searched the databases systematically for relevant studies from inception to March 2022. The primary focus was all-cause mortality at 1-year. Additional outcomes included 30-day mortality, 30-day stroke, and 30-day major vascular complications. Results: We included 28 studies with a total of 346,033 patients who underwent TAVR, of which 17,835 patients had BAV stenosis. The risks of 1-year mortality and 30-day major vascular complications were similar between the 2 groups. However, patients with BAV who underwent TAVR had a higher risk of 30-days mortality (BAV 2.3% vs TAV 2.2%, p=0.02) and 30-day stroke (BAV 2.2% vs TAV 1.8%, p=0.01). A subgroup analysis of 23,623 matched patients of whom 49.5% had BAV stenosis was performed. The risk of 1-year mortality was lower in patients with BAV compared to TAV (BAV 5.8% vs TAV 6.8%, p=0.009). Risks of 30-day mortality, and 30-day major vascular complication were similar between the two groups. However, the risk of 30-day stroke was higher in the BAV group (BAV 2.2% vs TAV 1.7%, p=0.02). Conclusions: In our meta-analysis, among patients who underwent TAVR for aortic stenosis, there was no significant difference between BAV vs TAV in outcomes, except for higher risk of 30-days mortality and stroke. Among matched groups, patients with BAV stenosis undergoing TAVR had comparable outcomes to patients with TAV stenosis except for higher risk of stroke and lower risk of 1-year mortality in BAV group.More studies, specifically randomized trials, are still warranted to further assess efficacy, safety and reassure the long-term outcomes in this group of patients.

Short- and long-term outcomes of moyamoya patients post-revascularization.

The post-bypass stroke risk factors and long-term outcomes of moyamoya patients are not well documented. Therefore, the authors studied 30-day stroke risks and patients' long-term physical, functional, and social well-being. This was a single-institution combined moyamoya disease (MMD) database interrogation and questionnaire study. From 1991 to 2014, 1250 revascularization procedures (1118 direct bypasses, 132 indirect bypasses) were performed in 769 patients. Completed questionnaires were received from and available for analysis on 391 patients, and 6-month follow-up data were available for 96.4% (741/769) of the patients. The patients consisted of 548 females and 221 males, with a mean age of 32 years (range 1-69 years). Three hundred fifty-eight bypasses were performed in 205 pediatric patients (73% direct bypasses), and 892 revascularizations were performed in 564 adults (96% direct bypasses). Fifty-two patients (6.8%) developed major strokes with a worsening modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score within 30 days postoperatively. The 30-day major stroke risk was 5.3% (41/769) and 2.6% (12/467) after the first and second bypasses, respectively. Logistic regression analysis revealed that older age, modified MRI (mMRI) score, and hemodynamic reserve (HDR) score are clearly associated with higher postoperative stroke risks. Over a mean follow-up of 7.3 years (range 0.5-26 years), the long-term stroke risk among 741 patients was 0.6% per patient-year; 75% of these patients had excellent outcomes (mRS score 0-1). The long-term outcome questionnaire study showed that 84% (234/277) of patients reported resolution or improvement in their preoperative headache, 83% (325/391) remained employed or in school, and 87% (303/348) were self-caring. In this large, single-center surgical series, most of the adult and pediatric patients had direct revascularization, with a 4.2% per-bypass-procedure (6.8% per patient) 30-day major stroke risk and a 0.6% per-patient-year long-term stroke risk. The authors identified various risk factors that are highly correlated with postoperative morbidity (age, mMRI score, and HDR score) and are involved in ongoing work to develop the predictive modeling for future patient selection and treatment.

Comparison of 30-Day Outcomes after Carotid Artery Stenting in Patients with Near-Occlusion and Severe Stenosis: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis.

Carotid artery near-occlusion is a type of severe stenosis with complete or partial distal luminal collapse and intracranial collaterals. This study aimed to compare 30-day outcomes and 10-year survival in patients undergoing carotid artery stenting for near-occlusion with a control group of patients with severe stenosis. We used data from a registry of 639 patients who underwent 789 carotid artery stenting procedures between 2005 and 2021. The primary end point was any stroke or death within 30 days after carotid artery stenting. Patients were matched using propensity scores based on 6 variables. Propensity score matching yielded 84 subjects in the near-occlusion group matched with 168 subjects in the control group. In the matched cohort, the primary end point occurred in 7 (8.3%) and 11 (6.6%) patients in the near-occlusion and control groups, respectively (P = .611). In the unmatched cohort, the primary end point occurred in 7 (8.3%) and 19 (4.1%) patients (P = .101). Survival in the near-occlusion group versus the control group in the matched cohort at 5 and 10 years was 69.8% (95% CI, 58.0%-78.8%) versus 77.3% (95% CI, 70.0%-83.1%) and 53.3% (95% CI, 39.9%-65.0%) versus 53.3% (95% CI, 44.5%-61.4%) (log-rank, P = .798). Carotid stent placement in patients with ICA near-occlusion was not associated with an increased 30-day risk of stroke or death compared with severe stenosis. Survival up to 10 years after carotid artery stenting was similar in both groups.

Practice Variation among Canadian Stroke Prevention Clinics: Pre, During, and Post-COVID-19.

Stroke is a common and serious disorder. With optimal care, 90-day recurrent stroke risk can be reduced from 10% to about 1%. Stroke prevention clinics (SPCs) can improve patient outcomes and resource allocation but lack standardization in patient management. The extent of variation in patient management among SPCs is unknown. Our aims were to assess baseline practice variation between Canadian SPCs and the impact of COVID-19 on SPC patient care. We conducted an electronic survey of 80 SPCs across Canada from May to November 2021. SPC leads were contacted by email with up to five reminders. Of 80 SPCs contacted, 76 were eligible from which 38 (50.0%) responded. The majority (65.8%) of SPCs are open 5 or more days a week. Tests are more likely to be completed before the SPC visit if referrals were from clinic's own emergency department compared to other referring sources. COVID-19 had a negative impact on routine patient care including longer wait times (increased for 36.4% clinics) and higher number of patients without completed bloodwork prior to arriving for appointments (increased for 27.3% clinics). During COVID-19 pandemic, 87.9% of SPCs provided virtual care while 72.7% plan to continue with virtual care post-COVID-19 pandemic. Despite the time-sensitive nature of transient ischemic attack patient management, some SPCs in Canada are not able to see patients quickly. SPCs should endeavor to implement strategies so that they can see high-risk patients within the highest risk timeline and implement strategies to complete some tests while waiting for SPC appointment.

Beta Blockers are Associated with Decreased 30-Day Postoperative Stroke Risk Following Both Carotid Stenting and Endarterectomy in Patients with Hypertension

Stroke is a significant complication associated with both carotid endarterectomy (CEA) and carotid artery stenting (CAS). Hypertension is a strong risk factor for development of carotid stenosis and is present in over 80% of patients undergoing carotid revascularization. Antihypertensive therapy is associated with reduced stroke risk in patients with carotid artery stenosis. Our aim was to determine whether antihypertensive medication regimens can impact stroke risk in patients following carotid revascularization.

Outcomes of simultaneous carotid endarterectomy and coronary artery bypass grafting: A single centre experience.

Stroke following a coronary artery bypass surgery is a well-known complication often predisposed by carotid artery disease. Perioperative risk of stroke after on-pump cardiac surgery can overall affect 2% of patients. Patients with 80-99% unilateral carotid artery stenosis carry a 4% risk of stroke. Significant carotid artery stenosis is present in 3-10% of patients who are candidates for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). Those patients might be considered for either simultaneous or staged carotid endarterectomy and CABG to reduce the risk of stroke and death. The purpose of this study was to evaluate preoperative and intraoperative risk factors for myocardial infarction (MI), stroke and death and assess complications occurring during the early postoperative period after simultaneous CABG/CAE procedure. A single centre retrospective analysis of 134 patients from 2015 to 2019 who underwent simultaneous CABG/CEA was performed. At the same period, a total of 2827 CABG were performed, of which 4.7% were simultaneous interventions. We excluded staged CEA/CABG procedures, off-pump CABG and urgent CABG patients. All patients included in the study met the criteria for elective CABG for triple-vessel or left main trunk symptomatic coronary artery disease (CAD) with asymptomatic >70% carotid stenosis or symptomatic ipsilateral >50% carotid stenosis regardless of the degree of contralateral carotid artery stenosis. Patient demographics, comorbidities and operative details were reviewed. The primary endpoint was to assess the intraoperative and 30-day risk of stroke and death after simultaneous CEA/CABG procedure. Simultaneous CEA/CABG is effective procedure that can be performed in high-risk symptomatic patients with acceptable results. Predictors of postoperative stroke were smoking (P = 0.011), history of MI (P = 0.046), history of CABG (P = 0.013), and history of stroke/TIA (P = 0.005). Significant risk factors for adverse major postoperative complications after simultaneous CEA/CABG procedure were cardiac arrhythmia (AF or AFL) (P = 0.045), previous MI (P < 0.001), and smoking (P = 0.001). Synchronous CEA/CABG procedure can be performed with acceptable results in patients having a high risk of stroke, septuagenarians and older.

JIM Reading List.

JIM Reading List.

Abstract 13847: Sex-Differences by Body Mass Index After ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Introduction: There are significant differences in body composition by sex; however, differences by sex on the association of BMI with cardiovascular outcomes after STEMI remains poorly understood. Methods: The Midwest STEMI Consortium consists of 15,039 consecutive STEMI activations. 4,682 patients with 1-year follow-up were included to examine sex-differences in characteristics, treatment, in-hospital and 1-year MACE and mortality risk by BMI groups: normal (18.5-24.9 kg/m 2 ), overweight (25.0-29.9 kg/m 2 ), and obese (≥30.0 kg/m 2 ). Results: Among 4,682 patients, 30% were women and 70% were men. Among women, 28% had normal BMI, 30% were overweight, and 42% obese. In normal BMI patients women were significantly older, had higher rates of HTN, lower rates of smokers, lower peak troponin, and longer door-to-balloon times compared to men. Women had lower risk of 30-day MACE (1.1% vs. 3%, p=0.045) but there were no sex-differences in 1-year MACE or mortality. Among overweight patients, women were significantly older, had higher rates of HTN and diabetes, and lower rates of smokers. Bleeding complication was more common in women (38% vs. 32%, p=0.03) as was cardiogenic shock pre-PCI (13% vs. 8.8%, p=0.02) but no sex-differences were seen in 1-year MACE or mortality. Among obese patients, women were significantly older and had higher rates of HTN, diabetes and stroke. Women had lower rates of out of hospital cardiac arrest (8.8% vs. 13%, p=0.005) and more bleeding complication (39% vs. 33%, p=0.025). Women had higher risk of 30-day death (2% vs. 0.8%, p=0.02), 1-year stroke (2.4% vs. 0.7%, p=0.004), and 1-year MACE and mortality (Figure). Discussion: Among STEMI patients, we found that obese women were at increased risk of MACE and mortality. Interestingly, there were no differences in MACE or mortality between men and women of normal and overweight BMI ranges, suggesting the importance of BMI when risk stratifying patients, particularly women, that warrants further research.

Long-Term Impact of Urgent Secondary Prevention After Transient Ischemic Attack and Minor Stroke: Ten-Year Follow-Up of the EXPRESS Study.

Urgent assessment aimed at reducing stroke risk after transient ischemic attack or minor stroke is cost-effective over the short-term. However, it is unclear if the short-term impact is lost on long-term follow-up, with recurrent events being delayed rather than prevented. By 10-year follow-up of the EXPRESS study (Early Use of Existing Preventive Strategies for Stroke), previously showing urgent assessment reduced 90-day stroke risk by 80%, we determined whether that early benefit was still evident long-term for stroke risk, disability, and costs. EXPRESS was a prospective population-based before (phase 1: April 2002-September 2004; n=310) versus after (phase 2: October 2004-March 2007; n=281) study of the effect of early assessment and treatment of transient ischemic attack/minor stroke on early recurrent stroke risk, with an external control. This report assesses the effect on 10-year recurrent stroke risk, functional outcomes, quality-of-life, and costs. A reduction in stroke risk in phase 2 was still evident at 10 years (55/23.3% versus 82/31.6%; hazard ratio=0.68 [95% CI, 0.48-0.95]; P=0.024), as was the impact on risk of disabling or fatal stroke (17/7.7% versus 32/13.1%; hazard ratio=0.54 [0.30-0.97]; P=0.036). These effects were due to maintenance of the early reduction in stroke risk, with neither additional benefit nor rebound catch-up after 90 days (post-90 days hazard ratio=0.88 [0.65-1.44], P=0.88; and hazard ratio=0.83 [0.42-1.65], P=0.59, respectively). Disability-free life expectancy was 0.59 (0.03-1.15; P=0.043) years higher in patients in phase 2, as was quality-adjusted life expectancy (0.49 [0.03-0.95]; P=0.036). Overall, 10-year costs were nonsignificantly higher in patients attending the phase 2 clinic ($1022 [-3865-5907]; P=0.66). The additional cost per quality-adjusted life year gained in phase 2 versus phase 1 was $2103, well below current cost-effectiveness thresholds. Urgent assessment and treatment of patients with transient ischemic attack or minor stroke resulted in a long-term reduction in recurrent strokes and improved outcomes, with little atrophy of the early benefit over time, representing good value for money even with a 10-year time horizon. Our results suggest that other effective acute treatments in transient ischemic attack/minor stroke in the short-term will also have the potential to have long-term benefit.

Association of Sex With Stroke and Bleeding Risk of Apixaban and Rivaroxaban in Elderly Atrial Fibrillation Patients Using Propensity Score Weights

BackgroundEvidence from clinical trials suggests a differential effect of sex on the effectiveness and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for stroke prophylaxis in atrial fibrillation (AF). MethodsThis population-based cohort study examined the independent effect of sex on hemorrhage and ischemic stroke in 23,884 patients (55% females; age ≥ 66 years) with AF starting apixaban or rivaroxaban treatment in Ontario, Canada. Patients were followed for 90 days after their DOAC prescription. Using female sex as the exposure of interest, differences in baseline characteristics were balanced between sexes using inverse probability weights based on propensity scores. Applying weighted modified Poisson regression, risk ratios (RRs) were estimated for major hemorrhage, ischemic stroke/systemic embolism/transient ischemic attack (hereafter stroke), myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality, with males as a reference. ResultsFemales were older, had higher predicted stroke risk (based on CHADS2 score), and had fewer comorbidities than did males. Males had a higher prevalence of coronary artery disease, diabetes, and cancer, and similar predicted bleeding risk (based on HAS-BLED score). After weighting, baseline characteristics were well balanced. The 90-day risks for hemorrhage (RR 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.80-1.15; P = 0.69) and stroke (RR 1.01; 95% CI 0.86-1.19; P = 0.94) were similar between sexes, which remained true when assessing each DOAC separately by dosing regimen. Compared to males, females had a lower risk for myocardial infarction (RR 0.66; 95% CI 0.52-0.84; P = 0.0008), and for all-cause mortality (RR 0.76; 95% CI 0.67-0.87; P < 0.0001). ConclusionsOur findings do not suggest an association of sex with the 90-day risk of hemorrhage or ischemic stroke in older AF patients prescribed apixaban or rivaroxaban.

Benefits and Risks of Dual Versus Single Antiplatelet Therapy for Secondary Stroke Prevention: A Systematic Review for the 2021 Guideline for the Prevention of Stroke in Patients With Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack.

Dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) after ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack may reduce recurrent stroke but also increase severe bleeding compared with single antiplatelet therapy (SAPT). The American Heart Association/American Stroke Association convened an evidence review committee to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the benefits and risks of DAPT compared with SAPT for secondary ischemic stroke prevention. The Medline, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched on December 5, 2019, to identify phase III or IV randomized controlled trials (n≥100) from December 1999 to December 2019. We calculated unadjusted relative risks (RRs) and performed meta-analyses of studies based on the duration of treatment (short [≤90 days] versus long [>90 days]). Three short-duration randomized controlled trials were identified that enrolled mostly patients with minor stroke or high risk transient ischemic attack. In these trials, DAPT, compared with SAPT, was associated with a lower 90-day risk of recurrent ischemic stroke (pooled RR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.55-0.83], I 2=37.1%). There was no significant increase in major bleeding with DAPT in short-duration trials (pooled RR, 1.88 [95% CI, 0.93-3.83], I 2=8.9%). In 2 long-duration treatment randomized controlled trials (mean treatment duration, 18-40 months), DAPT was not associated with a significant reduction in recurrent ischemic stroke (pooled RR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.79-1.02], I 2=1.4%), but was associated with a higher risk of major bleeding (pooled RR, 2.42 [95% CI, 1.37-4.30], I 2=75.5%). DAPT was more effective than SAPT for prevention of secondary ischemic stroke when initiated early after the onset of minor stroke/high-risk transient ischemic attack and treatment duration was <90 days. However, when the treatment duration was longer and initiated later after stroke or transient ischemic attack onset, DAPT was not more effective than SAPT for ischemic stroke prevention and it increased the risk of bleeding.

Retinal Microvascular Changes Do Not Appear to Predict 90-Day Risk of Stroke and Cardiovascular Events (CVE) among Patients Presenting to the Emergency Department with Suspected TIA: The FOTO-TIA Study (2853)

Retinal Microvascular Changes Do Not Appear to Predict 90-Day Risk of Stroke and Cardiovascular Events (CVE) among Patients Presenting to the Emergency Department with Suspected TIA: The FOTO-TIA Study (2853)

Severe mental illness and mortality and coronary revascularisation following a myocardial infarction: a retrospective cohort study

BackgroundSevere mental illness (SMI), comprising schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and major depression, is associated with higher myocardial infarction (MI) mortality but lower coronary revascularisation rates. Previous studies have largely focused on schizophrenia, with limited information on bipolar disorder and major depression, long-term mortality or the effects of either sociodemographic factors or year of MI. We investigated the associations between SMI and MI prognosis and how these differed by age at MI, sex and year of MI.MethodsWe conducted a national retrospective cohort study, including adults with a hospitalised MI in Scotland between 1991 and 2014. We ascertained previous history of schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and major depression from psychiatric and general hospital admission records. We used logistic regression to obtain odds ratios adjusted for sociodemographic factors for 30-day, 1-year and 5-year mortality, comparing people with each SMI to a comparison group without a prior hospital record for any mental health condition. We used Cox regression to analyse coronary revascularisation within 30 days, risk of further MI and further vascular events (MI or stroke). We investigated associations for interaction with age at MI, sex and year of MI.ResultsAmong 235,310 people with MI, 923 (0.4%) had schizophrenia, 642 (0.3%) had bipolar disorder and 6239 (2.7%) had major depression. SMI was associated with higher 30-day, 1-year and 5-year mortality and risk of further MI and stroke. Thirty-day mortality was higher for schizophrenia (OR 1.95, 95% CI 1.64–2.30), bipolar disorder (OR 1.53, 95% CI 1.26–1.86) and major depression (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.23–1.40). Odds ratios for 1-year and 5-year mortality were larger for all three conditions. Revascularisation rates were lower in schizophrenia (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.48–0.67), bipolar disorder (HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.56–0.85) and major depression (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.73–0.83). Mortality and revascularisation disparities persisted from 1991 to 2014, with absolute mortality disparities more apparent for MIs that occurred around 70 years of age, the overall mean age of MI. Women with major depression had a greater reduction in revascularisation than men with major depression.ConclusionsThere are sustained SMI disparities in MI intervention and prognosis. There is an urgent need to understand and tackle the reasons for these disparities.

Diagnosis of non-consensus transient ischaemic attacks with focal, negative, and non-progressive symptoms: population-based validation by investigation and prognosis

SummaryBackgroundDiagnosis of transient ischaemic attacks (TIAs) can be difficult. There is consensus on classic symptoms (eg, motor weakness, dysphasia, hemianopia, monocular visual loss) but no consensus on several monosymptomatic events with sudden-onset, non-progressive, focal negative symptoms (eg, isolated diplopia, dysarthria, vertigo, ataxia, sensory loss, and bilateral visual disturbance), with much variation in investigation and treatment.MethodsWe prospectively ascertained and investigated all strokes and sudden onset transient neurological symptoms in a population of 92 728 people (no age restrictions) from Oxfordshire, UK, who sought medical attention at nine primary care practices or at the John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK (Oxford Vascular Study). Patients classified at baseline with minor ischaemic stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Score <5), classic TIA, or non-consensus TIA were treated according to secondary prevention guidelines. Risks of stroke (7-day, 90-day, and 10-year risks) and risks of all major vascular events (from the time of first event, and from the time of seeking medical attention) were established by face-to-face follow-up visits and were compared with the risk expected from age and sex-specific stroke incidence in the underlying study population.FindingsBetween April 1, 2002, and March 31, 2018, 2878 patients were identified with minor ischaemic stroke (n=1287), classic TIA (n=1021), or non-consensus TIA (n=570). Follow-up was to Oct 1, 2018 (median 5·2 [IQR 2·6–9·2] years). 577 first recurrent strokes after the index event occurred during 17 009 person-years of follow-up. 90-day stroke risk from time of the index event after a non-consensus TIA was similar to that after classic TIA (10·6% [95% CI 7·8–12·9] vs 11·6% [95% CI 9·6–13·6]; hazard ratio 0·87, 95% CI 0·64–1·19; p=0·43), and higher than after amaurosis fugax (4·3% [95% CI 0·6–8·0]; p=0·042). However, patients with non-consensus TIA were less likely to seek medical attention on the day of the event than were those with classic TIA (336 of 570 [59%] vs 768 of 1021 [75%]; odds ratio [OR] 0·47, 95% CI 0·38–0·59; p<0·0001) and were more likely to have recurrent strokes before seeking attention (45 of 570 [8%] vs 47 of 1021 [5%]; OR 1·77, 95% CI 1·16–2·71; p=0·007). After excluding such recurrent strokes, 7-day stroke risk after seeking attention for non-consensus TIA (2·9% [95% CI 1·5–4·3]) was still considerably higher than the expected background risk (relative risk [RR] 203, 95% CI 113–334), particularly if the patient sought attention on the day of the index event (5·0% [2·1–7·9]; RR 300, 137–569). 10-year risk of all major vascular events was similar for non-consensus and classic TIAs (27·1% [95% CI 22·8–31·4] vs 30·9% [27·2–33·7]; p=0·12). Baseline prevalence of atrial fibrillation, patent foramen ovale, and arterial stenoses were also similar for non-consensus TIA and classic TIA, although stenoses in the posterior circulation were more frequent with non-consensus TIA (OR 2·21, 95% CI 1·59–3·08; p<0·0001).InterpretationPatients with non-consensus TIA are at high early and long-term risk of stroke and have cardiovascular pathological findings on investigation similar to those of classic TIA. Designation of non-consensus TIAs as definite cerebrovascular events will increase overall TIA diagnoses by about 50%.FundingWellcome Trust, National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Wolfson Foundation, Masonic Charitable Foundation, and British Heart Foundation.

A medical history of arterial thrombosis is a strong predictor of post-operative myocardial infarction and stroke in patients with hip fractures—a nationwide cohort study

Hip fractures lead to a substantial burden of disease and mortality among the elderly. Myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke are serious and overlooked complications, and their impact on mortality and morbidity may be underestimated. We investigated; 90-day absolute risk of stroke and MI following hip fracture surgery, and ii) anamnestic risk factors associated with elevated risk of postoperative MI and stroke. All Danish patients aged ≥60 undergoing first time hip fracture surgery in 2000-2017 were identified. Outcomes were MI or stroke 90 days after surgery. We performed gender-stratified cumulative incidence functions and multivariate Cox regression models adjusted for age and comorbidities. 124,660 patients were included. Incidence of MI was 2.2% and 1.3%, and incidence of stroke was 3.5% and 2.5%, in men and women, respectively. The most important risk factor for MI and stroke was a previous event. Hazard ratio (HR) of MI associated with previous MI was 2.43 (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 2.02-2.92) in men and 2.65 (95% CI 2.23-3.16) in women, while the HR of stroke associated with previous stroke was 4.17 (95% CI 3.73-4.67) and 3.73 (95% CI 3.43-4.08), respectively. Other risk factors of MI were; sex, age, and a history of heart failure, hypertension, peripheral artery disease or diabetes. For postoperative stroke; sex age, and atrial fibrillation were important risk factors. MI and stroke after hip fractures are overlooked and serious complications. Persons with elevated risk can be identified at admission, based on their medical history.

Incidence of Transient Ischemic Attack and Association With Long-term Risk of Stroke

Accurate estimation of the association between transient ischemic attack (TIA) and risk of subsequent stroke can help to improve preventive efforts and limit the burden of stroke in the population. To determine population-based incidence of TIA and the timing and long-term trends of stroke risk after TIA. Retrospective cohort study (Framingham Heart Study) of prospectively collected data of 14 059 participants with no history of TIA or stroke at baseline, followed up from 1948-December 31, 2017. A sample of TIA-free participants was matched to participants with first incident TIA on age and sex (ratio, 5:1). Calendar time (TIA incidence calculation, time-trends analyses), TIA (matched longitudinal cohort). The main outcomes were TIA incidence rates; proportion of stroke occurring after TIA in the short term (7, 30, and 90 days) vs the long term (>1-10 years); stroke after TIA vs stroke among matched control participants without TIA; and time trends of stroke risk at 90 days after TIA assessed in 3 epochs: 1954-1985, 1986-1999, and 2000-2017. Among 14 059 participants during 66 years of follow-up (366 209 person-years), 435 experienced TIA (229 women; mean age, 73.47 [SD, 11.48] years and 206 men; mean age, 70.10 [SD, 10.64] years) and were matched to 2175 control participants without TIA. The estimated incidence rate of TIA was 1.19/1000 person-years. Over a median of 8.86 years of follow-up after TIA, 130 participants (29.5%) had a stroke; 28 strokes (21.5%) occurred within 7 days, 40 (30.8%) occurred within 30 days, 51 (39.2%) occurred within 90 days, and 63 (48.5%) occurred more than 1 year after the index TIA; median time to stroke was 1.64 (interquartile range, 0.07-6.6) years. The age- and sex-adjusted cumulative 10-year hazard of incident stroke for patients with TIA (130 strokes among 435 cases) was 0.46 (95% CI, 0.39-0.55) and for matched control participants without TIA (165 strokes among 2175) was 0.09 (95% CI, 0.08-0.11); fully adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 4.37 (95% CI, 3.30-5.71; P < .001). Compared with the 90-day stroke risk after TIA in 1948-1985 (16.7%; 26 strokes among 155 patients with TIA), the risk between 1986-1999 was 11.1% (18 strokes among 162 patients) and between 2000-2017 was 5.9% (7 strokes among 118 patients). Compared with the first epoch, the HR for 90-day risk of stroke in the second epoch was 0.60 (95% CI, 0.33-1.12) and in the third epoch was 0.32 (95% CI, 0.14-0.75) (P = .005 for trend). In this population-based cohort study from 1948-2017, the estimated crude TIA incidence was 1.19/1000 person-years, the risk of stroke was significantly greater after TIA compared with matched control participants who did not have TIA, and the risk of stroke after TIA was significantly lower in the most recent epoch from 2000-2017 compared with an earlier period from 1948-1985.

Meta-Analysis of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation in Patients With Stenotic Bicuspid Versus Tricuspid Aortic Valve

Most of the trials investigating the role of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) across various strata of risk categories have excluded patients with bicuspid aortic stenosis (BAS) due to its anatomical complexities. The aim of this study was to perform a meta-analysis with meta-regression of studies comparing clinical, procedural, and after-procedural echocardiographic outcomes in BAS versus tricuspid aortic stenosis (TAS) patients who underwent TAVI. We searched the PubMed and Cochrane databases for relevant articles from the inception of the database to October 2019. Continuous and categorical variables were pooled using inverse variance and Mantel-Haenszel method, respectively, using the random-effect model. To rate the certainty of evidence for each outcome, we used the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations) approach. Nineteen articles were included in the final analysis. There was no difference in the risk of 30-day mortality, 1-year mortality, 30-day cardiovascular mortality, major and/or life-threatening bleeding, major vascular complications, acute kidney injury, permanent pacemaker implantation, device success, annular rupture, after-procedural aortic valve area, and mean pressure gradient between the 2 groups. BAS patients who underwent TAVI had a higher risk of 30-day stroke, conversion to surgery, need for second valve implantation, and moderate to severe paravalvular leak. In conclusion, the present meta-analysis supports the feasibility of TAVI in surgically ineligible patients with BAS. However, the incidence of certain procedural complications such as stroke, conversion to surgery, second valve implantation, and paravalvular leak is higher among BAS patients compared with TAS patients, which must be discussed with the patient during the decision-making process.

Abstract 14499: Impact of Pre-existing and New Incident Atrial Fibrillation on Outcomes of Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism: Findings From an International Registry

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) may occur prior to or early in the course of acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The impact of AF on outcomes of patients with PE remains uncertain. Methods: Using the data from a large prospective multicenter registry of patients with objectively-confirmed PE (04/2014 to 01/2020), we identified three patient groups: 1) those with pre-existing AF 2) patients with newly identified AF within 2 days from the index PE (incident AF) and 3) patients without AF. We assessed the 90-day and 1-year risk of mortality and stroke in patients with AF, in unadjusted and multivariable adjusted models considering those without AF as referent. Results: Among 16,497 patients with PE, 792 had pre-existing AF. Compared with those without AF, patients with pre-existing AF, had increased odds of 90-day all-cause (Odds ratio [OR]: 2.81 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.33-3.38) and PE-related mortality (OR: 2.38, 95% CI: 1.37-4.14). After multivariable adjustment, pre-existing AF significantly increased the odds of all-cause mortality (OR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.57-2.32) but not PE-related mortality (OR: 1.50; 95% CI: 0.85-2.66). Pre-existing AF was associated with increased hazard for ischemic stroke at 1-year follow-up (hazard ratio [HR]: 5.48; 95% CI: 3.10-9.69). Among 16,497 patients with PE, 445 developed incident AF within 2 days of acute PE. Incident AF was associated with increased odds of 90-day all-cause (OR: 2.28; 95% CI: 1.75-2.97) and PE-related (OR: 3.64; 95% CI: 2.01-6.59) mortality. Findings were similar in multivariable analyses and at 1-year follow-up (Figure). No patients with incident AF developed ischemic stroke. Conclusion: In patients with acute symptomatic PE, both pre-existing AF and incident AF predict an adverse clinical course, although the type of adverse outcomes may be different depending on the timing of AF onset.