5-year Sudden Cardiac Death Risk Research Articles

Additional factors associated with sudden cardiac death in HCM patients

Abstract Background Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a primary myocardial disease characterized by an increase in the thickness of the left ventricular (LV) wall, which is not explained only by abnormal loading conditions. Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is the most devastating complication of HCM occurring in asymptomatic or younger patients without warning. Purpose To evaluate additional SCD risk factors in Ukrainian population of HCM patients. Materials and methods We retrospectively evaluated 350 consecutive HCM patients that were followed from 2006 to 2021 in our Cardiological Department. General clinical examination, standard 12-lead ECG, transthoracic echocardiography and 24 hours Holter ECG monitoring data were estimated. The 5-year SCD risk was calculated according to the HCM Risk-SCD score. The endpoint of the study was SCD and its surrogates, including adequate performance of the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator and successful resuscitation. Results Follow-up time was 5.0 (1.5-9.5) years. During this time, 16 patients (4.6%) reached the end point, which was 0.9%/year. According to the HCM Risk-SCD score, 5 (31.3%) of this group had a high risk of SCD (≥ 6%) and 3 (18.8%) had an intermediate risk (≥ 4% and < 6%). In multivariable Cox regression analysis adjusted for conventional SCD risk factors it was found that independent predictors of SCD were unexplained syncope (HR 3.81, 95% CI 1.11-13.12, p=0.034), systolic blood pressure (SBP) (HR 0.97 , 95% CI 0.94- 0.99, p=0.026), "infarct-like" ST elevation on ECG (HR 6.81, 95% CI 2.09-22.16, p=0.001) and PQ interval duration (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05, p=0.002), Harrell's C-index 0.84, 95% CI 0.73-0.95, p < 0.0001). Conclusions In our study HCM Risk-SCD score predicted SCD or surrogates only in 50% of cases. In order to improve the risk stratification some additional independent predictors of SCD can be proposed. ECG parameters ("infarct-like" ST elevation and PQ interval duration) and level of SBP were found to have SCD predictive value.

ECG changes and their prognostic value for the development of sudden cardiac death in HCM patients

Background. Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a primary myocardial disease characterized by an increase in the left ventricular (LV) wall thickness, which is not explained only by abnormal loading conditions. The development of sudden cardiac death (SCD) is one of the most dangerous complications of HCM. The aim of our study was to evaluate the prognostic value of electrocardiography (ECG) changes for the development of SCD in the Ukrainian population of patients with HCM. Materials and methods. We evaluated 350 patients with HCM who were examined in the City Clinical Hospital 8 (Kharkiv, Ukraine) from 2006 to 2021. The diagnosis of HCM was made in accordance with the current guidelines of the European Society of Cardiology. Clinical and instrumental data of patients with HCM were analyzed retrospectively, including general clinical data, 12-lead ECG, echocardiography, Holter monitoring, calculation of the 5-year risk of SCD according to the HCM Risk-SCD tool. The endpoint of the study was SCD and its surrogates, including adequate performance of the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator and the state after a successful resuscitation. Results. Follow-up was 5.0 (1.5–9.5) years. During this time, 16 patients (4.6 %) reached the endpoint, which was 0.9 %/year. According to the HCM Risk-SCD, 5 (31.3 %) patients in this group were at a high (≥ 6 %) and 3 (18.8 %) were at an intermediate risk of SCD (≥ 4 and < 6 %). A multivariable Cox regression analysis has shown that independent predictors of SCD are syncope (hazard ratio (HR) 3.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.11–13.12, p = 0.034), systolic blood pressure (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.94–0.99, p = 0.026), ECG with “infarction-like” ST elevation (HR 6.81, 95% CI 2.09–22.16, p = 0.001) and PQ interval value (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01–1.05, p = 0.002), Harrell’s C-index (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.73–0.95, p < 0.0001). Conclusions. The proposed HCM Risk-SCD tool was not effective enough in predicting SCD in our study. In order to improve the risk stratification, ECG changes (“infarction-like” ST elevation and PQ interval prolongation) and systolic blood pressure lowering can be used, which were found to be independent predictors of SCD risk.

The China Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Project (CHCMP): The Rationale and Design of a Multicenter, Prospective, Registry Cohort Study.

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is associated with adverse outcomes, such as heart failure, arrhythmia, and mortality. Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a common cause of death in HCM patients, and identification of patients at a high risk of SCD is crucial in clinical practice.The China Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Project is a hospital-based, multicenter, prospective, registry cohort study of HCM patients, covering a total of 3000 participants and with a 5-year follow-up plan. A large number of demographic characteristics and clinical data will be fully collected to identify prognostic factors in Chinese HCM patients. Furthermore, the main purpose of this study is to integrate demographic and clinical characteristics to establish new 5-year SCD risk predictive equations for Chinese HCM patients by the use of machine learning technologies.The project has crucial clinical significance for risk stratification and determination of HCM patients with high risk of adverse outcomes. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: ChiCTR2300070909.

Performance of the PRIMaCY sudden death risk prediction model for childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: implications for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator decision-making.

The validated HCM Risk-Kids model provides accurate individualized estimates of sudden cardiac death risk in children with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). A second validated model, PRIMaCY, also provides individualized estimates of risk, but its performance and clinical impact has not been independently investigated. The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical impact of using the PRIMaCY sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk model in childhood HCM. The estimated 5-year SCD risk was calculated for children meeting diagnostic criteria for HCM in a large single-centre cohort using PRIMaCY (clinical and genetic) and HCM Risk-Kids model, and model performance was assessed. Three hundred one patients [median age 10 (interquartile range 4-14)] were followed up for an average of 4.9 (±3.8) years, during which 30 (10.0%) reached the SCD or equivalent event endpoint. Harrell's C-statistic for the clinical and genetic models was 0.66 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.52-0.8] and 0.66 (95% CI 0.54-0.80) with a calibration slope of 0.19 (95% CI 0.04-0.54) and 0.26 (95% CI -0.03-0.62), respectively. The number needed to treat to potentially treat one life-threatening arrhythmia for the PRIMaCY clinical, PRIMaCY genetic, and HCM Risk-Kids models was 13.7, 14.5, and 9.4, respectively. Although PRIMaCY has a similar discriminatory ability to that reported for HCM Risk-Kids, estimated risk estimates did not correlate well with observed risk. A higher proportion of patients met implantable cardioverter-defibrillator thresholds using PRIMaCY model compared with HCM Risk-Kids. This has important clinical implications as these patients will be exposed to a lifetime risk of complications and inappropriate therapies.

PO-04-075 TRANSVENOUS CARDIAC DEFIBRILLATOR WITHOUT INTERACTION WITH THE MAGNETIC TITANIUM BEADS SYSTEM FOR GASTROESOPHAGEAL REFLUX DISEASE

Gastroesophageal reflux is increasingly treated with LINX®, a flexible bracelet of magnetic titanium beads (not MRI compatible) that is laparoscopically implanted to wrap around the gastroesophageal junction for providing tone/support aiding passive relaxation of a weak lower esophageal sphincter with peristalsis. The FDA currently cautions against concurrent use of the LINX® system with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) given that the risk of electromagnetic interference (EMI) is unknown, and safety has not been established. We assessed the safety of a transvenous ICD in a patient with the LINX® system. Case Report 59 year old male who previously had the LINX® system implanted after hiatal hernia repair for refractory reflux. Shortly after, he was then diagnosed with apical hypertrophic cardiomyopathy with obstruction (NYHA Class I, genetic testing revealed VUS in CSRP3). Given non-sustained VT on cardiac event monitoring, family history of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and late gadolinium enhancement on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging with a calculated 5-year SCD risk 4.1%, he was recommended ICD implantation for primary prevention. Patient underwent an uneventful transvenous dual chamber defibrillator implantation. Although we do not routinely perform (DFT) testing at our institution, given the coexisting LINX® system in close proximity to the RV lead, we elected to proceed with DFT Testing, which was successful (1 induction: T-wave shock from sinus to VF, 30J delivered successfully to sinus with 7s charge time, no ATP, 70 ohms impedance). Patient underwent routine remote device interrogations and at 1-year follow up (which included an in-person device interrogation), continues to have normal lead parameters (sensing, impedance, threshold), minimal atrial or ventricular pacing, and no recurrent arrhythmias including NSVT (was started on verapamil). Specifically, patient received no inappropriate shocks, and no high frequency noise episodes were detected. We present the first case report of a patient who had a concomitant dual chamber ICD that was implanted shortly after a LINX device placement. We demonstrate normal DFTs at implant and no device interaction at 1 year follow-up, suggesting that ICD implantation without removal of the LINX device might be reasonable. Decision-making for cardiac device implantation decisions in such patients should consider additional theoretical risks until additional data with more patients is available.

Rare Case of Pediatric Hypertrophic Obstructive Cardiomyopathy (HOCM) in A 6-year-old Boy: How to Recognize, Assess, and Manage the Risk?

Highlights: It discusses pediatric HCM which is usually caused by autosomal dominant traits caused by mutation in cardiac sarcomere protein genes. It explains how to recognize the cardiac risk Abstract: Hypertrophic Obstructive Cardiomyopathy (HOCM) is a disease characterized by increased left ventricular (LV) wall thickness and accompanied by obstructive physiology measured by increased LV outflow tract gradient. It is mainly inherited in autosomal dominant traits caused by a mutation in cardiac sarcomere protein genes. In pediatrics, HOCM is rare and comprises a different diagnosis and management approach compared to adults. The risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) is also higher in the pediatric population. Case Summary. This report is about a case of HOCM found incidentally in a 6-year-old boy and a discussion based on the latest literature review. The patient first came for evaluation for cardiac murmur and abnormality in ECG and chest x-ray. Diagnosis of HOCM was made through echocardiography assessment. Discussion. ICD implantation for primary prevention of SCD was considered based on individualized 5-year SCD risk assessment which is around 7%. Optimal pharmacological therapy with beta-blocker, careful planning of ICD implantation with balanced benefit and risk, and septal reduction surgery when indicated should extend the life expectancy and quality of life of pediatric HOCM. It is both essential and interesting to recognize pediatric HOCM diagnostic findings and to pursue further research about therapies of this rare disease.

Updated risk assessments for sudden cardiac death in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy patients with implantable cardioverter-defibrillator.

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a genetic disease associated with a risk of malignant ventricular tachyarrhythmias and sudden cardiac death (SCD). Assessment of the SCD risk is crucial for its clinical management, and there has been considerable interest in developing risk stratification strategies. An implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) is a life-saving treatment for patients with HCM who are at a high-risk of ventricular tachyarrhythmias and SCD. However, a substantial number of ICD recipients experience adverse effects arising from inappropriate device therapy and implant-related complications. This has led to numerous investigations of the risk of SCD and the indications for ICD implantation. American guidelines were recently updated to include new risk markers, including left ventricular systolic dysfunction, apical aneurysm, and extensive late gadolinium enhancement, while European guidelines recommend individualized estimated 5-year SCD risk assessment models. Studies evaluating other risk factors for SCD in patients with HCM have also been published. Drawing on recent guidelines and publications on clinical risk factors, we focus this review on updated risk assessments for SCD with ICD therapy in patients with HCM.

Myocardial Activity at 18F-FAPI PET/CT and Risk for Sudden Cardiac Death in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.

Background Myocardial fibrosis contributes to adverse cardiovascular events in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). Purpose To explore the characteristics of cardiac fibroblast activation protein inhibitor (FAPI) PET/CT imaging and its relationship with the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in HCM. Materials and Methods In this prospective study from July 2021 to January 2022, participants with HCM and healthy control participants underwent cardiac fluorine 18 (18F)-labeled FAPI PET/CT imaging. Myocardial FAPI activity was quantified as intensity (target-to-background uptake ratio), extent (the percent of FAPI-avid myocardium of the left ventricle [LV]), and amount (the percent of FAPI-avid myocardium of LV × target-to-background ratio). Regional wall thickness was analyzed at cardiac MRI. The 5-year SCD risk score was calculated from the 2014 European Society of Cardiology guidelines. Univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses were used to identify factors related to the FAPI amount. The correlation between FAPI amount and 5-year SCD risk was explored. Results Fifty study participants with HCM (mean age, 43 years ± 13 [SD]; 32 men) and 22 healthy control participants (mean age, 45 years ± 17; 14 men) were included. All participants with HCM had intense and inhomogeneous cardiac FAPI activity in the LV myocardium that was higher than that in healthy control participants (median target-to-background ratio, 8.8 vs 2.1, respectively; P < .001). In HCM, more segments with FAPI activity were detected than the number of hypertrophic segments (median, 14 vs five, respectively; P < .001); 84% of nonhypertrophic segments showed FAPI activity. Log-transformed FAPI amount had a positive relationship with log-transformed N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide, high-sensitive troponin I, and left atrial diameter and a negative relationship with LV ejection fraction z-score. Degree of FAPI activity positively correlated with the 5-year SCD risk score (r = 0.32; P = .03). Conclusion Fibroblast activation protein inhibitor (FAPI) PET/CT imaging indicated intense and heterogeneous activity in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, and FAPI uptake was associated with 5-year risk of sudden cardiac death. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Prognosis of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy in Japanese patients with an implantable cardioverter defibrillator -focus on apical hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Abstract Background Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) are at high risk of lethal arrhythmias, and implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICD) are widely used for prevention of sudden cardiac death (SCD). Apical HCM is a phenotype variant of HCM, with hypertrophy predominantly affecting apex, that was initially described 30 years ago. Apical HCM patients may have different clinical prognosis compared with other subsets of HCM. In previous studies, apical HCM patients seem to have a more benign prognosis than other types of HCM. However, little is known about the long-term outcomes of apical HCM patients and there are many unclear points. Moreover, there are few reports about the clinical prognosis in apical HCM patients with an ICD. Objective The aim of this study is to identify the difference between the prognosis of apical and the other types of HCM patients with an ICD. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the database of our ICD clinic. All subjects underwent ICD implantation between October 2006 and September 2018. We classified HCM patients into LV outflow tract obstruction (LVOTO) and midventricular obstruction (MVO), apical HCM and other non-obstructive types. We divided all the patients into apical and other types of HCM, and examined their background, incidence of appropriate ICD therapies, hospitalization for heart failure, electrical storm and death. Results A total of consecutive 64 Japanese HCM patients with an ICD (follow-up period, 86±24 months; age, 65±14 years; male sex, 83%; left ventricular ejection fraction, 56±14%; LV max wall-thickness, 19±7mm; LV apical aneurysm, 9.4%; 5-year risk of SCD, 4.4±2.1) were enrolled in this study. We classified them into 14 apical HCM and 50 other types of HCM patients. The clinical characteristics and major clinical events of these patients are shown in the Table 1. During the follow-up periods, there were no significant differences in the incidence of electrical storm, hospitalization for heart failure and death between the 2 groups (p=0.11; p=0.60; p=0.39). Appropriate ICD therapies occurred in 6 of 14 (43%) patients with apical HCM and 5 of 50 (10%) patients with other types of HCM (p=0.010). The risk factors of patients with apical HCM patients are shown in Table 2. Conclusions Appropriate ICD therapy was more prevalent in patients with apical HCM, compared to patients with other types of HCM. Aggressive intervention such as catheter ablation for ventricular tachycardia and ventricular fibrillation may be considered in patients with apical HCM and higher score of 5-year risk of SCD. Further studies are needed to clarify the manifestations and long-term outcome of apical HCM patients. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

Incidence of Sudden Cardiac Death and Life-Threatening Arrhythmias in Clinically Manifest Cardiac Sarcoidosis With and Without Current Indications for an Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator.

Background:Cardiac sarcoidosis (CS) predisposes to sudden cardiac death (SCD). Guidelines for implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) in CS have been issued by the Heart Rhythm Society in 2014 and the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association/Heart Rhythm Society consortium in 2017. How well they discriminate high from low risk remains unknown.Methods:We analyzed the data of 398 patients with CS detected in Finland from 1988 through 2017. All had clinical cardiac manifestations. Histological diagnosis was myocardial in 193 patients (definite CS) and extracardiac in 205 (probable CS). Patients with and without Class I or IIa ICD indications at presentation were identified, and subsequent occurrences of SCD (fatal or aborted) and sustained ventricular tachycardia were recorded, as were ICD indications emerging first on follow-up.Results:Over a median of 4.8 years, 41 patients (10.3%) had fatal (n=8) or aborted (n=33) SCD, and 98 (24.6%) experienced SCD or sustained ventricular tachycardia as the first event. By the Heart Rhythm Society guideline, Class I or IIa ICD indications were present in 339 patients (85%) and absent in 59 (15%), of whom 264 (78%) and 30 (51%), respectively, received an ICD. Cumulative 5-year incidence of SCD was 10.7% (95% CI, 7.4%–15.4%) in patients with ICD indications versus 4.8% (95% CI, 1.2%–19.1%) in those without (χ2=1.834, P=0.176). The corresponding rates of SCD were 13.8% (95% CI, 9.1%–21.0%) versus 6.3% (95% CI, 0.7%–54.0%; χ2=0.814, P=0.367) in definite CS and 7.6% (95% CI, 3.8%–15.1%) versus 3.3% (95% CI, 0.5%–22.9%; χ2=0.680, P=0.410) in probable CS. In multivariable regression analysis, SCD was predicted by definite histological diagnosis (P=0.033) but not by Class I or IIa ICD indications (P=0.210). In patients without ICD indications at presentation, 5-year incidence of SCD, sustained ventricular tachycardia, and emerging Class I or IIa indications was 53% (95% CI, 40%–71%). By the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association/Heart Rhythm Society guideline, all patients with complete data (n=245) had Class I or IIa indications for ICD implantation.Conclusions:Current ICD guidelines fail to distinguish a truly low-risk group of patients with clinically manifest CS, the 5-year risk of SCD approaching 5% despite absent ICD indications. Further research is needed on prognostic factors, including the role of diagnostic histology. Meanwhile, all patients with CS presenting with clinical cardiac manifestations should be considered for an ICD implantation.

Major Clinical Issues in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is one of the most common inheritable cardiomyopathies. Contemporary management strategies, including the advent of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators and effective anticoagulation, have substantially improved the clinical course of HCM patients; however, the disease burden of HCM is still high in Korea. Sudden cardiac death (SCD), atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic risk, dynamic left ventricular outflow tract (LVOT) obstruction, and heart failure (HF) progression remain important issues in HCM. SCD in HCM can be effectively prevented with implantable cardioverter-defibrillators. However, appropriate patient selection is important for primary prevention, and the 5-year SCD risk score and the presence of major SCD risk factors should be considered. Anticoagulation should be initiated in all HCM patients with atrial fibrillation regardless of the CHA2DS2-VASc score, and non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants are the first option. Symptomatic dynamic LVOT obstruction is first treated medically with negative inotropes, and if symptoms persist, septal reduction therapy is considered. The recently approved myosin inhibitor mavacamten is promising. HF in HCM is usually related to diastolic dysfunction, while about 5% of HCM patients show reduced left ventricular ejection fraction <50%, also referred to as "end-stage" HCM. Myocardial fibrosis plays an important role in the progression to advanced HF in patients with HCM. Patients who do not respond to guideline-directed medical therapy can be considered for heart transplantation. The development of imaging techniques, such as myocardial deformation on echocardiography and late gadolinium enhancement on cardiac magnetic resonance, can provide better risk evaluation and decision-making for management strategies in HCM.

Worldwide differences in primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator utilization and outcomes in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

Risk stratification algorithms for sudden cardiac death (SCD) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) and regional differences in clinical practice have evolved over time. We sought to compare primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation rates and associated clinical outcomes in US vs. non-US tertiary HCM centres within the international Sarcomeric Human Cardiomyopathy Registry. We included patients with HCM enrolled from eight US sites (n = 2650) and five non-US (n = 2660) sites and used multivariable Cox-proportional hazards models to compare outcomes between sites. Primary prevention ICD implantation rates in US sites were two-fold higher than non-US sites (hazard ratio (HR) 2.27 [1.89-2.74]), including in individuals deemed at high 5-year SCD risk (≥6%) based on the HCM risk-SCD score (HR 3.27 [1.76-6.05]). US ICD recipients also had fewer traditional SCD risk factors. Among ICD recipients, rates of appropriate ICD therapy were significantly lower in US vs. non-US sites (HR 0.52 [0.28-0.97]). No significant difference was identified in the incidence of SCD/resuscitated cardiac arrest among non-recipients of ICDs in US vs. non-US sites (HR 1.21 [0.74-1.97]). Primary prevention ICDs are implanted more frequently in patients with HCM in US vs. non-US sites across the spectrum of SCD risk. There was a lower rate of appropriate ICD therapy in US sites, consistent with a lower-risk population, and no significant difference in SCD in US vs. non-US patients who did not receive an ICD. Further studies are needed to understand what drives malignant arrhythmias, optimize ICD allocation, and examine the impact of different ICD utilization strategies on long-term outcomes in HCM.

Frequency of ventricular tachyarrhythmias in patients with different risk scores for sudden cardiac death in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and cardioverter defibrilators implanted in primary prevention

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background The European Society of Cardiology’s (ESC) risk calculator for sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathies (HCM) is currently a tool that facilitates the decision to implant a cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) in primary prevention, but doubts still exist in everyday clinical practice. Purpose We aimed to determine the incidence of life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias during long-term follow-up in patients with different ESC HCM risk scores for SCD calculated on ICD implantation in primary prevention. Methods This retrospective, observational study was conducted in a tertiary center among adult patients with HCM and ICD devices (ICD-VR, ICD-DR and CRT-ICD) implanted in primary prevention from January 2008 to December 2019. The patients followed up for less than one year were excluded from the analysis. Study group was divided into three subgroups, according to the ESC 5 years risk score of SCD and based on it the estimated need for ICD implantation: group A with risk &amp;lt; 4%, where ICD is generally not indicated; group B with risk 4-6%, where ICD may be considered; group C with risk ≥6%, where ICD should be considered. Regularly, ICD was interrogated twice a year, while emergency controls were performed after delivering of ICD therapy. Follow-up data including information about sustained ventricular tachicardia (VT) and ventricular fibrillation (VF) episodes were collected from patients medical records. Results In the observed period, ICD devices were implanted in 60 adult patients with HCM. Ten of them had history of sustained ventricular arrhythmias and 3 were lost to follow-up. Therefore, we analysed 47 patients (55.3% male, mean age 51.0 ± 15.7 years), 13 from group A, 12 from group B and 22 from group C. Mean follow-up period was 80.6 ± 37.9 months. During the follow-up period ventricular tachyarrhythmias (VT and VF, either in monitoring or therapy zone) were recorded in one patient from group A (7.7%), in two patients from group B (16.7%) and in 7 patients from group C (31.8%). Using Kruskal-Wallis analysis of variance, we did not find a statistically significant difference in the occurrence of ventricular tachyarrhythmias among the observed groups (p = 0.225). Conclusions Patients with HCM and a 5-year risk of SCD ≥ 6% calculated on ICD implantation had more frequent life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias during long-term follow-up, but not statistically significant. There should be an individual approach when deciding on the need for device implantation in all patients with HCM.

Sudden cardiac death risk in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: comparison between echocardiography and magnetic resonance imaging

In hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) patients, left ventricular (LV) maximal wall thickness (MWT) is one of the most important factors determining sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk. In a large unselected sample of HCM patients, we aimed to simulate what changes would occur in the calculated SCD risk according to the European HCM Risk-SCD calculator when MWT measured using echocardiography was changed to MWT measured using MRI. All consecutive patients with HCM who underwent cardiac MRI were included. MWT measured with echocardiography and MRI were compared, and 5-year SCD risk according to the HCM Risk-SCD calculator was computed using four different models. The final population included 673 patients [389 (57.8%) males, median age 50 years, interquartile range (36–60)]. The median MWT was lower measured by echocardiography than by MRI [20 (17–24) mm vs 21 (18–24) mm; p < 0.0001]. There was agreement between echocardiography and MRI in the measurement of maximal LV wall thickness in 96 patients (14.3%). The largest differences between echo and MRI were − 13 mm and + 9 mm. The differences in MWT by echocardiography and MRI translated to a maximal difference of 8.33% in the absolute 5-year risk of SCD, i.e., the echocardiography-based risk was 8.33% lower than the MRI-based estimates. Interestingly, 13.7% of patients would have been reclassified into different SCD risk categories if MRI had been used to measure MWT instead of echocardiography. In conclusion, although there was high general intermodality agreement between echocardiography and MRI in the MWT measurements, the differences in MWT translated to significant differences in the 5-year risk of SCD.

The role of the electrocardiographic phenotype in risk stratification for sudden cardiac death in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

AimsThe 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is routinely performed in children with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). An ECG risk score has been suggested as a useful tool for risk stratification, but this has not been independently validated. This aim of this study was to describe the ECG phenotype of childhood HCM in a large, international, multi-centre cohort and investigate its role in risk prediction for arrhythmic events.Methods and resultsData from 356 childhood HCM patients with a mean age of 10.1 years (±4.5) were collected from a retrospective, multi-centre international cohort. Three hundred and forty-seven (97.5%) patients had ECG abnormalities at baseline, most commonly repolarization abnormalities (n = 277, 77.8%); left ventricular hypertrophy (n = 240, 67.7%); abnormal QRS axis (n = 126, 35.4%); or QT prolongation (n = 131, 36.8%). Over a median follow-up of 3.9 years (interquartile range 2.0–7.7), 25 (7%) had an arrhythmic event, with an overall annual event rate of 1.38 (95% CI 0.93–2.04). No ECG variables were associated with 5-year arrhythmic event on univariable or multivariable analysis. The ECG risk score threshold of >5 had modest discriminatory ability [C-index 0.60 (95% CI 0.484–0.715)], with corresponding negative and positive predictive values of 96.7% and 6.7%ConclusionIn a large, international, multi-centre cohort of childhood HCM, ECG abnormalities were common and varied. No ECG characteristic, either in isolation or combined in the previously described ECG risk score, was associated with 5-year sudden cardiac death risk. This suggests that the role of baseline ECG phenotype in improving risk stratification in childhood HCM is limited.

What if HCM Risk-SCD was assessed with CMR maximum LV wall thickness measurements?

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction The HCM Risk-SCD estimates the risk of sudden cardiac death at 5 years in patients (pts) with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). According to ESC Guidelines, in pts with a 5-year risk of SCD &amp;lt;4%, an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) is generally not indicated, in pts with a risk of 4 to less than 6%, an ICD may be considered and in pts with a 5-year risk ≥6%, an ICD should be considered. The association between the degree of LVH and sudden cardiac death (SCD) has been based on measurements of maximum LVWT by echocardiography which is part of HCM Risk-SCD score. However, cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) has shown a superior resolution in characterization of cardiac structures, with additional role in SCD risk stratification. Whether measurements of LVWT by echocardiography and CMR are interchangeable has been brought to question. Purpose We sought to evaluate the incidence of discrepant measurements of maximal LVWT between echocardiography and CMR and determine its implication in HCM Risk-SCD score and ICD indication. Methods Unicentric, retrospective analysis of pts submitted to CMR who had HCM as definitive diagnosis, between 1/2013 and 9/2019. CMR and echocardiographic measures were compared, as well as HCM Risk-SCD score calculated with these values (maximum LVWT was the only variable that differed between measures). Subsequently, pts were divided in three groups according to HCM Risk-SCD score: pts with a 5-year risk of SCD &amp;lt;4% (G1), risk of 4 to less than 6% (G2) and risk ≥6% (G3). Results Out of the 781 CMR studies evaluated, 59 pts were found to have HCM (7.6%) with mean age of 62 ± 11 years and female predominance (50.8%). 12 pts had obstructive phenotype (20.3%). Mean LVWT was 20.0 ± 4.6mm when measured by CMR and 18.8 ± 4.6mm by echo; when comparing the measures by echo with CMR, there was a positive correlation between them (p &amp;lt; 0.001; r 0.719). Mean HCM Risk-SCD was 2.80 ± 1.51% when measured by CMR and 2.69 ± 1.53% by echo; there was a positive correlation between these measures too (p &amp;lt; 0.001; r 0.963). Maximum LV thickness evaluated by CMR showed a positive correlation (p = 0.006, r 0.384) with the HCM risk-score assessed by CMR. Only 1 pt changed risk group with CMR measurement of maximum LVWT (from G1 to G2). Conclusion: In this cohort, there was a positive, linear relationship between maximum LVWT and HCM Risk-SCD score measured by CMR and echocardiogram. Only 1 pt changed risk stratification group (5-year risk of SCD &amp;lt;4% to 4 to less than 6%). Although CMR measurements, when interpreted correctly, are more precise compared with echocardiography, in this cohort there was no impact on the patient"s future clinical orientation regarding ICD implantation.

Gaps in Evidence for Risk Stratification for Sudden Cardiac Death in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.

Gaps in Evidence for Risk Stratification for Sudden Cardiac Death in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.

Prevention of sudden cardiac death in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: Risk assessment using left atrial diameter predicted from left atrial volume.

BackgroundLeft atrial diameter (LAd) is included in the European Society for Cardiology's (ESC) risk model for assessment of sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), but the recommended measure of LA size is left atrial volume (LAv).HypothesisWe hypothesized that LAv could be used instead of LAd in the HCM risk‐SCD model. We aimed to determine the relation between LAd and LAv and to assess the impact of using LAv instead of LAd.MethodsEchocardiographic measurements of anteroposterior LAd in the parasternal long‐axis window and LAv from Simpson's biplane method of disks were used. The 5‐year risk of SCD by measured LAd and by LAd predicted from LAv were estimated using the ESC risk‐SCD model.ResultsIn 205 HCM patients (age 56 ± 14 years, 62% male), the relation between LAd and LAv was linear. Median 5‐year risk of SCD was 2.4% (interquartile range [IQR]: 1.6; 3.8) using measured LAd and 2.4% (IQR: 1.6; 3.7) using predicted LAd. The correlation between the SCD risk assessed by measured vs predicted LAd was excellent (r 2 = 0.96). Use of predicted LAd resulted in four patients (2%) being recategorized between the moderate and high‐risk categories.ConclusionsThe relation between LAd and LAv was linear with good agreement. On a population level, the correlation between the risk of SCD using measured LAd or LAd predicted from LAv was excellent. On a patient level, using LAd predicted from LAv resulted in the vast majority remaining in the same risk category; however, for a minority of patients, it changed the recommendation.

Sex-Related Differences in the Impact of Systemic Hypertension on Left Ventricular Remodeling in Patients with Hypertrophic Obstructive Cardiomyopathy

Background: The clinical condition of hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy (HOCM) and concomitant systemic hypertension is growing more and more prevalent, and it brings about a challenging diagnostic and therapeutic dilemma. However, whether systemic hypertension has an impact on HOCM, and whether sex-related differences exist in this impact, remains unclear. Methods: A total of 453 HOCM patients (age 48.7 ± 12.8 years, 252 [55.6%] males) were recruited in this study. There were 150 patients (33.1%, 81 males and 69 females) with a history of controlled systemic hypertension. Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging was performed in all patients. Left ventricular (LV) remodeling index (LVRI) was determined by CMR. LVRI >1.3 g/mL was defined as pathological LV remodeling. Results: Men had significantly greater LVRI (1.40 ± 0.54 vs. 1.15 ± 0.38 g/mL, p < 0.001) and LVRI >1.3 g/mL (p = 0.002), compared with women. The incidence of syncope and 5-year sudden cardiac death risk score were significantly lower in HOCM with hypertension than those without hypertension. LVRI (p = 0.003) and LVRI >1.3 g/mL (p = 0.007) were significantly smaller in males with hypertension, but not in females with hypertension. However, log cardiac troponin I and log N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide were positively correlated with LVRI in men and women. On multivariable logistic analysis, hypertension (OR 0.172, 95% CI 0.056–0.528, p = 0.002) remained an independent determinant of pathological LV remodeling in males, whereas not in females. Conclusions: There were significant sex differences in the impact of systemic hypertension on LV remodeling in patients with HOCM. Controlled systemic hypertension may contribute to improving LV remodeling in male patients with HOCM, but not in females.

P1291 Are we ready for machine learning in HCM risk stratification?

Abstract BACKGROUND Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a heart disease characterized by hypertrophy of the left ventricular myocardium. The disease is the most common cause of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in young people and competitive athletes due to fatal ventricular arrhythmias, but in most patients, however, HCM has a benign course. Therefore, it is of the utmost importance to properly evaluate patients and identify those who would benefit from a cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implantation. The HCM SCD-Risk Calculator is a useful tool for estimating the 5-year risk of SCD. Parameters included in the model at evaluation are: age, maximum left ventricular wall thickness, left atrial dimension, maximum gradient in left ventricular outflow tract, family history of SCD, non-sustained ventricular tachycardia and unexplained syncope. Patients’ risk of SCD is classified as low (&amp;lt;4%), intermediate (4-&amp;lt;6%) or high (≥6%). Those in the high-risk group should have an ICD implantation. It can also be considered in the intermediate-risk group. However, the calculator still needs improvement and machine learning (ML) has the potential to fulfill this task. ML algorithm creates a model for solving a specific problem without explicit programming - instead it relies only on available data - by discovering patterns and relations. METHODS 252 HCM patients (aged 20-88 years, 49,6% were men) treated in our Department from 2005 to 2018, have been enrolled. The follow-up lasted 0-13 years (average: 3.8 years). SCD was defined as sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) or an appropriate ICD intervention. All parameters from HCM SCD-Risk Calculator have been obtained and the risk of SCD has been calculated for all patients during the first echocardiographic evaluation. ML model with variables from HCM SCD-Risk Calculator has been created. Both methods have been compared. RESULTS 20 patients reached an SCD end-point. 1 patient died due to SCA and 19 had an appropriate ICD intervention. Among them, there were respectively 6, 7 and 7 patients in the low, intermediate and high-risk group of SCD. 1 patient, who died, had a low risk. The ML model correctly assessed the SCD event only in 1 patient. According to ML, the risk of SCD ≤2.07% was a negative predictor. CONCLUSIONS The study did not show an advantage of ML over HCM SCD-Risk Calculator. Because of the characteristic of the dataset (approximately the same number of features and observations), the selection of machine learning algorithms was limited. Best results (evaluated using LOOCV) were achieved with a decision tree. We expect that bigger dataset would allow improving model performance because of strong regularization need in the current setup.