Abstract
AimsThe 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is routinely performed in children with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). An ECG risk score has been suggested as a useful tool for risk stratification, but this has not been independently validated. This aim of this study was to describe the ECG phenotype of childhood HCM in a large, international, multi-centre cohort and investigate its role in risk prediction for arrhythmic events.Methods and resultsData from 356 childhood HCM patients with a mean age of 10.1 years (±4.5) were collected from a retrospective, multi-centre international cohort. Three hundred and forty-seven (97.5%) patients had ECG abnormalities at baseline, most commonly repolarization abnormalities (n = 277, 77.8%); left ventricular hypertrophy (n = 240, 67.7%); abnormal QRS axis (n = 126, 35.4%); or QT prolongation (n = 131, 36.8%). Over a median follow-up of 3.9 years (interquartile range 2.0–7.7), 25 (7%) had an arrhythmic event, with an overall annual event rate of 1.38 (95% CI 0.93–2.04). No ECG variables were associated with 5-year arrhythmic event on univariable or multivariable analysis. The ECG risk score threshold of >5 had modest discriminatory ability [C-index 0.60 (95% CI 0.484–0.715)], with corresponding negative and positive predictive values of 96.7% and 6.7%ConclusionIn a large, international, multi-centre cohort of childhood HCM, ECG abnormalities were common and varied. No ECG characteristic, either in isolation or combined in the previously described ECG risk score, was associated with 5-year sudden cardiac death risk. This suggests that the role of baseline ECG phenotype in improving risk stratification in childhood HCM is limited.
Highlights
The identification of individuals at increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a cornerstone of clinical management in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM)
This suggests that the role of baseline ECG phenotype in improving risk stratification in childhood HCM is limited
A total of 356 patients with childhood HCM and available resting ECG data were identified from 28 centres from the HCM Risk-Kids cohort (n = 1029) (Supplementary material online, Table S2)
Summary
The identification of individuals at increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a cornerstone of clinical management in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). Paediatric-specific models, allowing clinicians to calculate individualized estimates of risk for the first time, have recently been developed, but their performance remains imperfect and additional predictors may be important for prognosis.[1,2] The 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is a routine, low cost clinical investigation in HCM that provides qualitative and quantitative information about the phenotype. The ECG phenotype of childhood HCM has not previously been systematically described, but abnormalities are seen in over 90% of adult patients.[3,4] Studies in adults have reported conflicting findings about the association of individual ECG abnormalities [such as measures of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH),[5,6] abnormal repolarization pattern,[4,7] or QT duration8–10] and SCD. To date, only a single group has investigated the role of ECG phenotype in risk stratification during childhood.[6,11] An ECG risk score has been proposed to predict arrhythmic events in the HCM independently of traditional clinical risk factors, but this approach has not been independently validated in children.[11,12] The aim of this study was to describe the ECG phenotype of childhood HCM in a large, international, multi-centre cohort and investigate its role in risk prediction for arrhythmic events
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