30-day Case Fatality Rate Research Articles

External Validation of the Hestia Criteria for Identifying Acute Pulmonary Embolism Patients at Low Risk of Early Mortality.

There are limited studies evaluating the ability of the Hestia criteria to accurately identify patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) at low risk of early mortality. We sought to externally validate the Hestia criteria for predicting in-hospital and 30-day post-PE mortality. We retrospectively identified consecutive, adult, objectively confirmed PE patients presenting to the emergency department at our institution from November 21, 2010, to January 31, 2014. We ascertained the total number of Hestia criteria met for each patient, calculated the proportion of patients categorized as low risk (ie, no Hestia criteria met), and determined the accuracy of the Hestia criteria for predicting in-hospital and 30-day all-cause mortality. Mortality was determined through Social Security Death Index searches. A total of 577 patients with PE were included, of which 19 (3.3%) and 35 (6.6%) died in hospital or within 30 days of presentation. Both in-hospital and 30-day case fatality rates rose as the number of Hestia criteria increased. One-hundred forty nine (25.8%) patients were classified as low risk for early mortality, and none of these patients died within 30 days (negative predictive values of 100%). The Hestia criteria had excellent sensitivity (100%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 79.1%-100% and 100%, 95% CI = 87.7%-100%) for predicting in-hospital and 30-day mortality but low specificity (<27.5% for both). The c-statistics for in-hospital and 30-day mortality were 83.5%, 95% CI = 77.1%-89.9% and 78.5%, 95% CI = 71.9%-85.1%. The predictive accuracy of the Hestia criteria remained acceptable in patients >80 years of age, with active cancer or chronic cardiopulmonary disease. The Hestia criteria have an acceptable predictive accuracy to identify patients with PE at low risk for in-hospital or 30-day mortality.

First-Ever Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack Incidence and 30-Day Case-Fatality Rates in a Population-Based Study in Argentina.

Epidemiological data about stroke are scarce in low- and middle-income Latin-American countries. We investigated annual incidence of first-ever stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) and 30-day case-fatality rates in a population-based setting in Tandil, Argentina. We prospectively identified all first-ever stroke and TIA cases from overlapping sources between January 5, 2013, and April 30, 2015, in Tandil, Argentina. We calculated crude and standardized incidence rates. We estimated 30-day case-fatality rates. We identified 334 first-ever strokes and 108 TIAs. Age-standardized incidence rate per 100 000 for Segi's World population was 76.5 (95% confidence interval [CI], 67.8-85.9) for first-ever stroke and 25.1 (95% CI, 20.2-30.7) for first-ever TIA, 56.1 (95% CI, 48.8-64.2) for ischemic stroke, 13.5 (95% CI, 9.9-17.9) for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 4.9 (95% CI, 2.7-8.1) for subarachnoid hemorrhage. Stroke incidence was slightly higher for men (87.8; 95% CI, 74.6-102.6) than for women (73.2; 95% CI, 61.7-86.1) when standardized for the Argentinean population. Thirty-day case-fatality rate was 14.7% (95% CI, 10.8-19.5) for ischemic stroke, 24.1% (95% CI, 14.2-36.6) for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 1.9% (95% CI, 0.4-5.8) for TIA. This study provides the first prospective population-based stroke and TIA incidence and case-fatality estimate in Argentina. First-ever stroke incidence was lower than that reported in previous Latin-American studies, but first-ever TIA incidence was higher. Thirty-day case-fatality rates were similar to those of other population-based Latin-American studies.

Extensive basal ganglia hematomas treated by local thrombolysis versus conservative management – a comparative retrospective analysis

Objectives: Single-target puncture plus catheter insertion into the clot is a routine step in hematoma aspiration and local thrombolysis for spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH). However, multiple-target puncture of this procedure may imply faster hematoma reduction for large-area ICH. We retrospectively examined the outcomes after clot aspiration plus local thrombolysis with single-/double-target and conservative therapy for extensive basal ganglic hematomas. Methods: A case note review was conducted on a consecutive series of ICH patients in a single centre with huge basal ganglia hematomas who underwent clots aspiration and thrombolysis or pure medical therapy. We analysed the clinical presentation, radiological features and treatment outcomes of ICH patients in single-target group, double-target group and conservative group. Results: A total of 92 ICH cases were included in this study. At the post-treatment assessment, the average level by hematoma size in single-target and double-group was respectively smaller than that in the conservative group (20.61 ml vs. 15.75 ml vs 60.53 ml, p < 0.01). The 30-day case fatality rate in conservative group was respectively significantly higher than that in single-target and double-target groups (50% vs. 14.70% vs. 20.59%, p < 0.01). At the time of 6-month follow-up, the proportion of good survival in conservative group was respectively remarkably less than that in single- and double-target group (29.17% vs.64.71% vs. 67.65%, p < 0.01). But no difference was detected with respect to 30-day mortality or long-time outcome between the two micro-invasive groups (p = 0.53 and 0.798, respectively). Conclusion: Our data suggested for the massive basal ganglia hematomas, clot aspiration and thrombolysis can improve the short- and long-term prognosis compared with the pure conservative therapy. But, no evidence was found to demonstrate double-target of this procedure to be more effective than single-target to improve the outcome.

Secular Trends in Incidence and Mortality of Acute Venous Thromboembolism: The AB-VTE Population-Based Study

BackgroundVenous thromboembolism is a major cause of morbidity and mortality, and comprehensive studies profiling the epidemiology and pattern of health services use are needed. In this study we provide contemporary estimates of venous thromboembolism incidence and case fatality over the past decade. MethodsWe developed a population-based venous thromboembolism dataset by linking 6 administrative health databases in Alberta, Canada from April 1, 2002 to March 31, 2012. We defined acute symptomatic cases using a validated algorithm and used Poisson regression to model annual venous thromboembolism counts. ResultsWe identified 31,656 cases of acute symptomatic venous thromboembolism between April 1, 2002 and March 31, 2012. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate of venous thromboembolism was 1.38 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.37-1.40) per 1000 person-years. For pulmonary embolism it was 0.38 (95% CI, 0.36-0.40) per 1000 person-years, and for deep vein thrombosis it was 1.0 (95% CI, 0.99-1.1) per 1000 person-years. The adjusted model showed no significant change in the incidence of venous thromboembolism during the study period. The 30-day case fatality rate of venous thromboembolism was 2.0% (95% CI, 1.89-2.21) and was almost doubled in patients with pulmonary embolism: 3.9% (95% CI, 3.50-4.33). The 1-year case fatality rate was 9.2% (95% CI, 8.88-9.52) for venous thromboembolism and 12.9% (95% CI, 12.2-13.6) for patients with pulmonary embolism. The case fatality rate increased with increasing subject age. The 1-year and 5-year survivals after first acute venous thromboembolism were similar in patients with unprovoked and provoked events. However, in patients with cancer-associated thrombosis, the 1-year and 5-year survival rate was 66% (95% CI, 64.71%-67.29%) and 46% (95% CI, 43.28%-48.72%), respectively. ConclusionThe incidence of acute venous thromboembolism remained unchanged over a 10-year period. However, the case fatality of venous thromboembolism is substantial.

Population-based epidemiology of Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infection: clonal complex 30 genotype is associated with mortality.

Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infections (SABSI) are associated with a high burden of morbidity and mortality. The impact of specific S. aureus genotypes on outcome is unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the epidemiology and outcome of SABSI, with a special emphasis on the impact of bacterial clonal lineage on mortality. We conducted a 3-year population-based prospective study between 2011 and 2014, including 303 consecutive adult patients. Clinical data were obtained from interviews and medical records. S. aureus isolates were genotyped using DNA microarrays. The incidence rate of SABSI was 27.6 per 100,000 inhabitants [95 % confidence interval (CI) 24.6-31.0]. The median age of the patients was 71 years (interquartile range 56-81 years) and 61.4 % were male. Most SABSI (70.6 %) occurred in hospitals or associated to healthcare, and 34.1 % of these were associated with intravascular catheters. Only five (1.6 %) SABSI were caused by methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA). The 30-day case fatality rate was 20.8 % (95 % CI 16.6-25.7). S. aureus clonal complex 30 [hazard ratio (HR) 3.9; 95 % CI 1.8-8.5, p = 0.001], unknown focus of infection (HR 4.5; 95 % CI 1.9-10.8, p = 0.001) and respiratory tract infection (HR 12.7; 95 % CI 4.6-34.6, p < 0.001) were independent predictors of mortality in a Cox regression analysis after adjusting for age, sex and underlying conditions. A high proportion of potential preventable SABSI calls for effective infection control measures. S. aureus clonal complex 30 genotype was associated with mortality in patients with bloodstream infections. The genetic basis underlying this association remains to be demonstrated.

Trends in Stroke Incidence and 28-Day Case Fatality in a Nationwide Stroke Registry of a Multiethnic Asian Population.

This study investigated trends in stroke incidence and case fatality overall and according to sex, age, ethnicity, and stroke subtype in a multiethnic Asian population. The Singapore Stroke Registry identifies all stroke cases in all public hospitals using medical claims, hospital discharge summaries, and death registry data. Age-standardized incidence rates and 28-day case-fatality rates were calculated for individuals aged ≥15 years between 2006 and 2012. To estimate the annual percentage change of the rates, a linear regression model was fitted to the log rates, and a Wald test was performed to test for trend. P values <0.05 were considered significant. A total of 40 623 cases were recorded. The total stroke incidence fell by ≈12.0%, and case fatality fell by 17.2% in the study. Declining trends in stroke incidence were stronger in women (female: -2.94; 95% confidence interval [CI], -3.43 to -2.44; male: -1.80; 95% CI, -2.58 to -1.02); in the older age groups (≥65 years: -3.62; 95% CI, -4.30 to -2.94; 50-64 years: -1.26; 95% CI, -1.97 to -0.55; <50 years: 3.33; 95% CI, 1.49 to 5.20), in Chinese (-2.64; 95% CI, -3.15 to -2.13), Indians (-3.78; 95% CI, -5.93 to -1.58), and others (-12.73; 95% CI, -18.93 to -6.06) compared with Malays (2.58; 95% CI, 1.17 to 4.02); and in ischemic stroke subtype (ischemic: -2.43; 95% CI, -3.13 to -1.73; hemorrhagic: -1.02; 95% CI, -2.04 to 0.01). Subgroup-specific findings for case fatality were similar. This is the first countrywide hospital-based registry study in a multiethnic Asian population, and it revealed marked overall reductions in stroke incidence and case fatality. However, it also identified important population groups with less favorable trends, especially younger adults and those of Malay ethnicity.

Factors influencing mortality in solid organ transplant recipients with bloodstream infection

Although bloodstream infection (BSI) is a major cause of mortality after solid organ transplantation, information regarding its prognostic factors is scarce. To identify risk factors for 30-day mortality in solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients with BSI, we prospectively recorded all episodes of BSI occurring in adult SOT recipients from January 2007 to October 2014 at a university hospital. We identified 361 consecutive episodes of BSI involving 246 patients. The 30-day case-fatality rate from the onset of BSI was 11.4%. Factors independently associated with 30-day mortality in a logistic regression analysis were shock at presentation (OR 13.658; 95% CI 5.985–31.168), acute graft rejection in the previous 6 months (OR 3.681; 95% CI 1.059–12.795), and a platelet count of <50 000 × 109/L (OR 3.070; 95% CI 1.173–8.038). Kidney recipients were the patients with the best prognosis (OR 0.375; 95% CI 0.156–0.900). Our findings may help to identify SOT recipients with BSI who are at the highest risk of death.

Age-specific incidence, risk factors and outcome of acute abdominal aortic aneurysms in a defined population.

BackgroundContemporary population‐based data on age‐specific incidence and outcome from acute abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) events are needed to understand the impact of risk factor modification and demographic change, and to inform AAA screening policy.MethodsIn a prospective population‐based study (Oxfordshire, UK, 2002–2014), event rates, incidence, early case fatality and long‐term outcome from all acute AAA events were determined, both overall and in relation to the four main risk factors: smoking, hypertension, male sex and age.ResultsOver the 12‐year interval, 103 incident acute AAA events occurred in the study population of 92 728 (men 72·8 per cent; 59·2 per cent 30‐day case fatality rate). The incidence per 100 000 population per year was 55 in men aged 65–74 years, but increased to 112 at age 75–84 years and to 298 at age 85 years or above. Some 66·0 per cent of all events occurred in those aged 75 years or more. The incidence at 65–74 years was highest in male smokers (274 per 100 000 population per year); 27 (96 per cent) of 28 events in men aged less than 75 years occurred in ever‐smokers. Mean(s.d.) age at event was lowest in current smokers (72·2(7·2) years), compared with that in ex‐smokers (81·2(7·0) years) and never‐smokers (83·3(7·9) years) (P < 0·001). Hypertension was the predominant risk factor in women (diagnosed in 93 per cent), with 20 (71 per cent) of all 28 events in women occurring in those aged 75 years or above with hypertension. The 30‐day case fatality rate increased from 40 per cent at age below 75 years to 69 per cent at age 75 years or more (P = 0·008).ConclusionTwo‐thirds of acute AAA events occurred at age 75 years or above, and more than 25 per cent of events were in women. Taken with the strong associations with smoking and hypertension, these findings could have implications for AAA screening.

Acute Coronary Syndromes in the Community

ObjectivesTo measure the incidence of acute coronary syndrome (ACS), defined as first-ever myocardial infarction (MI) or unstable angina (UA); evaluate recent temporal trends; and determine whether survival after ACS has changed over time and differs by type. Patients and MethodsThis was a population surveillance study conducted in Olmsted County, Minnesota (population: 144,248). All persons hospitalized with incident ACS between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2010, were identified using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes, natural language processing of the medical records, and biomarkers. Myocardial infarction was validated by epidemiologic criteria and UA by the Braunwald classification. Patients were followed through June 30, 2013, for death. ResultsOf 1244 incident ACS cases, 35% (n=438) were UA and 65% (n=806) were MI. The standardized rates (per 100,000) of ACS were 284 (95% CI, 248-319) in 2005 and 184 (95% CI, 157-210) in 2010 (2010 vs 2005: rate ratio, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.53-0.73), indicating a 38% decline (similar for MI and UA). The 30-day case fatality rates did not differ by year of diagnosis but were worse for MI (8.9%; 95% CI, 6.9%-10.9%) compared with UA (1.9%; 95% CI, 0.6%-3.1%). Among 30-day survivors, the risk of death did not differ by ACS type or diagnosis year. ConclusionIn the community, UA constitutes 35% of ACS. The incidence of ACS has declined in recent years, and trends were similar for UA and MI, reaffirming a substantial decline in all acute manifestations of coronary disease. Survival after ACS did not change over time, but 30-day survival was worse for MI compared with UA.

Abstract W P266: A Simple Score for Prediction of Outcome after Cerebral Venous Thrombosis

Background and purpose: Cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) not always implies a good prognosis. There is a need for robust and simple classification systems of severity after CVT that help in clinical decision-making. Methods: We studied 467 patients (81.6% women, median age: 29 years, interquartile range: 22-38 years) with CVT who were hospitalized from 1980 to 2014 in two third-level referral hospitals. Bivariate analyses were performed to select variables associated with 30-day mortality to integrate a further multivariate analysis. The resultant model was evaluated with the Hosmer-Lemeshow test for goodness of fit, and on Cox proportional hazards model for reliability of the effect size. After the scale was configured, security and validity were tested for 30-day mortality and modified Rankin scale (mRS) &gt;2. The prognostic performance was compared with that of the CVT risk score (CVT-RS, 0-6 points) as the reference system. Results: The 30-day case fatality rate was 8.7%. The CVT grading scale (CVT-GS, 0-9 points) was integrated by stupor/coma (4 points), parenchymal lesion &gt;6 cm (2 points), mixed (superficial and deep systems) CVT (1 point), meningeal syndrome (1 point) and seizures (1 point). CVT-GS was categorized into mild (0-3 points, 1.1% mortality), moderate (4-6 points, 19.6% mortality) and severe (7-9 points, 61.4% mortality). For 30-day mortality prediction, as compared with CVT-RS (cut-off 4 points), CVT-GS (cut-off 5 points) was globally better in sensitivity (85% vs 37%), specificity (90% vs 95%), positive predictive value (44% vs 40%), negative predictive value (98% vs 94%), and accuracy (94% vs 80%). For 30-day mRS &gt;2 the performance of CVT-GS over CVT-RS was comparably improved. Conclusion: The CVT-GS is a simple and reliable score for predicting outcome that may help in clinical decision-making and that could be used to stratify patients recruited into clinical trials.

North vs south differences in acute peptic ulcer hemorrhage in Croatia: hospitalization incidence trends, clinical features, and 30-day case fatality.

AimTo assess the seven-year trends of hospitalization incidence due to acute peptic ulcer hemorrhage (APUH) and associated risk factors, and examine the differences in these trends between two regions in Croatia.MethodsThe study collected sociodemographic, clinical, and endoscopic data on 2204 patients with endoscopically confirmed APUH who were admitted to the Clinical Hospital Center “Sestre Milosrdnice,” Zagreb and Clinical Hospital Center Split between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2011. We determined hospitalization incidence rates, 30-day case fatality rate, clinical outcomes, and incidence-associated factors.ResultsNo differences were observed in APUH hospitalization incidence rates between the regions. Age-standardized one-year cumulative APUH hospitalization incidence rate calculated using the European Standard Population was significantly higher in Zagreb than in Split region (43.2/100 000 vs 29.2/100,000). A significantly higher APUH hospitalization incidence rates were observed in the above 65 years age group. Overall 30-day case fatality rate was 4.9%.ConclusionThe hospitalization incidence of APUH in two populations did not change over the observational period and it was significantly higher in the Zagreb region. The incidence of acute duodenal ulcer hemorrhage also remained unchanged, whereas the incidence of acute gastric ulcer hemorrhage increased. The results of this study allow us to monitor epidemiological indicators of APUH and compare data with other countries.

New myocardial infarction definition affects incidence, mortality, hospitalization rates and prognosis.

To analyse differences in myocardial infarction incidence, mortality and hospitalization rates, 28-day case-fatality and two-year prognosis using two myocardial infarction case definitions: the classical World Health Organization definition (1994) and the European Society of Cardiology/American College of Cardiology definition (2000), which added cardiac troponin as a diagnostic biomarker. Population-based cohort of 4170 consecutive myocardial infarction patients aged 35-74 years from Girona (Spain) recruited between 2002 and 2009. Incidence, mortality rates standardized to the European population and 28-day case-fatality were calculated. To estimate the association between case definition and prognosis, Cox models were fitted. Use of the 2000 European Society of Cardiology/American College of Cardiology definition significantly increased myocardial infarction incidence per 100,000 population (238.3 vs. 274.5 in men and 54.1 vs. 69.7 in women). Applying this definition decreased the 28-day case-fatality rate from 26.9% to 23.4% in men, and from 31.0% to 24.1% in women. In the acute phase, patients diagnosed only by increased troponins were significantly less treated with thrombolysis (34.4% vs. 2.0%), angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (71.7% vs. 65.0%) and percutaneous coronary intervention (41.1% vs. 31.7%). Case-fatality at 28 days was significantly better in cases diagnosed only by troponin increase (0.2 % vs. 9.7%), but two-year cardiovascular mortality was higher (7.5% vs. 3.7%). Inclusion of cardiac troponins in myocardial infarction diagnosis increased annual incidence and decreased case-fatality. Diagnosis based only on increased troponins was associated with worse outcome. This group of patients at high risk of death should receive aggressive secondary prevention therapy.

Predicting 30-Day Case Fatality of Primary Inoperable Intracerebral Hemorrhage Based on Findings at the Emergency Department

Early survival of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) depends on several factors, including the location and size of the hematoma and the level of consciousness on admission. The aim of our study was to estimate the case fatality of primary inoperable ICH 30days after the event in our hospital and to identify clinical and laboratory characteristics, recordable at the Emergency Department (ED), which could predict death at 30days. Clinical and laboratory data on all patients with primary ICH admitted to our hospital were retrospectively collected. Between January 2011 and June 2013 191 patients with primary ICH were admitted to our hospital. The 30-day case fatality rate was estimated to be 31.9%, as 61 patients died within 30days after the ICH. Five variables were independently associated with 30-day case fatality: each decreased point at the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) is associated with a 1.3-fold increase in the odds of death at 30days; infratentorial location and intraventricular extension are associated with a 5.5-fold and a 4.7-fold increase in the odds of death at 30days, respectively; each centimeter of the maximum diameter of the hematoma and each point increase of the international normalized ratio (INR) are associated with a 1.9-fold and a 3.5-fold increase in the odds of death at 30days, respectively. GCS score on admission, infratentorial location of the hematoma, intraventricular extension of the hematoma, INR on admission, and maximum diameter of the hematoma are the 5 variables that are independently associated with 30-day case fatality of primary inoperable ICH. EDICH is introduced as a new grading scale, which includes laboratory and clinical findings at the ED and has predicting value of the 30-day case fatality.

Association between warfarin combined with serotonin-modulating antidepressants and increased case fatality in primary intracerebral hemorrhage: a population-based study

Patients receiving oral anticoagulants run a higher risk of cerebral hemorrhage with a poor outcome. Serotonin-modulating antidepressants (selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors [SSRIs], serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors [SNRIs]) are frequently used in combination with warfarin, but it is unclear whether this combination of drugs influences outcome after primary intracerebral hemorrhage (PICH). The authors investigated case fatality in PICH among patients from a defined population who were receiving warfarin alone, with aspirin, or with serotonin-modulating antidepressants. Nine hundred eighty-two subjects with PICH were derived from the population of Northern Ostrobothnia, Finland, for the years 1993-2008, and those with warfarin-associated PICH were eligible for analysis. Their hospital records were reviewed, and medication data were obtained from the national register of prescribed medicines. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were drawn to illustrate cumulative case fatality, and a Cox proportional-hazards analysis was performed to demonstrate predictors of death. Of the 176 patients eligible for analysis, 17 had been taking aspirin and 19 had been taking SSRI/SNRI together with warfarin. The 30-day case fatality rates were 50.7%, 58.8%, and 78.9%, respectively, for those taking warfarin alone, with aspirin, or with SSRI/SNRI (p = 0.033, warfarin plus SSRI/SNRI compared with warfarin alone). Warfarin combined with SSRI/SNRI was a significant independent predictor of case fatality (adjusted HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.13-3.92, p = 0.019). Concurrent use of warfarin and a serotonin-modulating antidepressant, relative to warfarin alone, seemed to increase the case fatality rate for PICH. This finding should be taken into account if hematoma evacuation is planned.

Risk factors and 30-day case fatality of first-ever stroke in Basrah, Iraq.

Background:The aim of this hospital-based study is to determine the types, the frequency of risk factors and the 30-day case fatality of first-ever stroke in Basrah, Iraq.Materials and Methods:This was a hospital-based prospective study between January 2008 and July 2008 in Basrah, Iraq. Two hundred twenty-five (225) patients, who were admitted for first-ever stroke to the four major hospitals in Basrah, were interviewed and followed up for 30 days. Risk factors studied were smoking, history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, ischaemic heart diseases and transient ischaemic attack.Results:The mean age of the studied subjects was 63.8 ± 12.3 years. Males constituted 56% of cases. Clinical types of stroke were ischaemic stroke (83.6%), intracerebral haemorrhage (16%) and subarachnoid haemorrhage (0.4%). The prevalence of risk factors was; hypertension (66.2%), family history of stroke (31.6%), ischaemic heart diseases (28.9%), smoking (28.4%), diabetes mellitus (28%), transient ischaemic attack (10.2%), atrial fibrillation (9.8%) and heart failure (5.8%). The 30-day case fatality rate was 22.7%.Conclusions:Ischaemic stroke was the highly prevalent type. Hypertension, family history of stroke, ischaemic heart diseases, smoking and diabetes mellitus were the major risk factors of first ever stroke in Basrah. The 30-day case fatality rate of stroke in Basrah was nearly similar to that in western countries, but higher than that reported in the neighbouring Arab countries. Early detection of modifiable risk factors that can prevent stroke or at least minimise its complications is highly recommended.

The Burden of Stroke in México

Regrettably, stroke has been scarcely studied in México, and the available data suffer from great variability in diagnostic testing, risk factor definitions, and poor generalizability. The current cumulative incidence of stroke in Mexico is 232.2 per 100,000, whereas prevalence among people aged 60 years or older is 18.2 per 1000. Hypertension and diabetes are the main risk factors. Ischemic stroke is the most frequent sub-type. Stroke mortality has been increasing during last years, and 30-day case fatality rate doubles at one-year follow-up. A remarkable finding of a hospital-based registry was that most of ischemic stroke cases are of undetermined etiology and even when a quarter of patients arrive on time for thrombolysis, less than 1% received this management.

Peripheral Monocyte Count Is Associated with Case Fatality after Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Leukocytosis is associated with hemorrhage volume and early neurologic deterioration after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We examined total white blood cell (WBC) count, absolute monocyte count (AMC), and absolute neutrophil count (ANC) as potential readily available prognostic biomarkers in human ICH. In a retrospective study, adult patients aged 18years or older who presented to 1 of 2 local hospitals with nontraumatic ICH from July 2008 to December 2009 within 12hours of symptom onset were identified. Demographics, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), ICH volume, ICH location, and 30-day case fatality rates were determined. Total WBC count, ANC, AMC, and hemoglobin concentration were determined. Linear and logistic regressions were used to evaluate factors associated with baseline ICH volume (log transformed) and 30-day case fatality, respectively. Of the 186 patients, mean (±SD) age was 67.3±14.8years; 51% were men and 22% were black. Median (interquartile range) ICH volume was 12.8 (4.9, 29.4) mL. After adjusting for patient age and initial hemoglobin, higher initial WBC count (P=.0009) and higher ANC (P=.006) were associated with higher ICH volume, whereas AMC was not (P=.4). After adjusting for patient age, GCS, intraventricular hemorrhage (+/-), stroke location, and ICH volume, baseline AMC was associated with greater odds of 30-day case fatality (odds ratio 2.26, 95% confidence interval 1.10-4.65, P=.03). The association of AMC with higher 30-day case fatality after ICH is hypothesis generating. Given the lack of association between presenting AMC and ICH volume, AMC may contribute to secondary injury after ICH (hematoma expansion and/or cerebral edema).

Bacterial meningitis in children in Iceland, 1975–2010: A nationwide epidemiological study

Bacterial meningitis is a serious and potentially rapid life-threatening disease. Therefore, to ensure appropriate treatment, early recognition of signs and symptoms is imperative, along with knowledge of the epidemiology and microbiology of the disease. A long-term, nationwide epidemiological study of bacterial causes of meningitis in children (≤ 18 y) in Iceland during the period 1975-2010 was carried out. A detailed chart review was performed of all cases diagnosed in 1995-2010. A total of 477 children were diagnosed with bacterial meningitis during the period 1975-2010. Of these, 67% were aged under 5 y. The most common pathogens were Neisseria meningitidis (n = 265), Haemophilus influenzae (n = 132), Streptococcus pneumoniae (n = 47), and Streptococcus agalactiae (n = 19); their incidences varied according to age. The age-specific incidence (cases/100,000/y) dropped from 26 in 1975 to 1 in 2010 (p < 0.001). The most common symptoms during the period 1995-2010 were fever (92%), vomiting (67%), nuchal rigidity (60%), and rashes/petechiae (51%). H. influenzae type b disappeared following implementation of Hib vaccination in 1989, and, likewise, the incidence of meningococcal meningitis fell significantly after vaccination against meningococcus serogroup C was initiated in 2002 (p < 0.001). The overall 30-day case fatality rate of bacterial meningitis was 4.4% and remained unchanged during the study period. The incidence of childhood bacterial meningitis has been reduced significantly by successful vaccinations against H. influenzae type b and N. meningitidis serogroup C. Nevertheless, the case fatality rate has remained unchanged and thus the disease is still a serious threat to childhood health. Further prevention by novel vaccines and improved management of childhood meningitis is an exciting challenge.

Incidence of and Mortality from Venous Thromboembolism in a Real-world Population: The Q-VTE Study Cohort

BackgroundThe public health burden of venous thromboembolism, which includes deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism, is not fully known, and contemporary incidence and mortality estimates are needed. We determined the incidence and case fatality of venous thromboembolism in a general population. MethodsUsing the administrative health care databases of the Canadian province of Québec, we identified all incident cases of deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism between 2000 and 2009 and classified them as definite or probable venous thromboembolism. We formed 2 patient cohorts, one with definite cases and the other including cases with definite or probable venous thromboembolism that were followed until December 31, 2009. ResultsWe identified 67,354 definite and 35,123 probable cases of venous thromboembolism. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates of definite or probable venous thromboembolism, deep vein thrombosis, and pulmonary embolism were 1.22 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.22-1.23), 0.78 (95% CI, 0.77-0.79), and 0.45 (95% CI, 0.44-0.45) per 1000 person-years, respectively, while for definite venous thromboembolism it was 0.90 (95% CI, 0.89-0.90) per 1000 person-years. The 30-day and 1-year case-fatality rates after definite or probable venous thromboembolism were 10.6% (95% CI, 10.4-10.8) and 23.0% (95% CI, 22.8-23.3), respectively, and were slightly higher among definite cases. The 1-year survival rate was 0.47 (95% CI, 0.46-0.48) for cases with definite or probable venous thromboembolism and cancer, 0.93 (95% CI, 0.93-0.94) for cases with unprovoked venous thromboembolism, and 0.84 (95% CI, 0.83-0.84) for cases with venous thromboembolism secondary to a major risk factor. Similar survival rates were seen for cases with definite venous thromboembolism. ConclusionThe risk of venous thromboembolism in the general population remains high, and mortality, especially in cancer patients with venous thromboembolism, is substantial.

Effect of ribotype on all-cause mortality following Clostridium difficile infection

Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) is significantly associated with subsequent all-cause mortality. Although a number of studies have investigated mortality associated with CDI, few have compared all-cause mortality between ribotypes. We aimed to estimate all-cause mortality following CDI and to investigate the relationship between mortality, ribotype and other available variables. We undertook a retrospective cohort study. All patients with toxin-positive CDI in North East England between July 2009 and June 2011 were matched to death registration data. Differences in all-cause 30-day case fatality were explored using Poisson regression with robust error variances. For survival analysis, an accelerated failure time model with generalized gamma distribution was chosen. In total, 1426 patients were included. All-cause case fatality was 10.2%, 16.4%, 25.7% and 38.1% at 7, 14, 30 and 90 days respectively. In multivariate analysis, ribotype 027 (risk ratio: 1.34; 95% confidence interval: 1.02-1.75) and ribotype 015 (0.46; 0.26-0.82) were significantly associated with higher and lower all-cause 30-day case fatality rates, respectively. In survival analysis, only ribotype 015 had significantly lower predicted mortality (P=0.008). Patients whose infection was hospital-acquired had significantly higher predicted mortality (P<0.001). This is the first population-based study of comparative mortality between multiple ribotypes. Our study identified a high rate of all-cause mortality following CDI. We found evidence of variability in mortality between ribotypes in this cohort with mortality significantly higher for ribotype 027 at 30 days following diagnosis and significantly lower for ribotype 015.