Purpose: The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is a simple biomarker that reflects the balance between the systemic inflammatory and immunity status. Here we investigate the prognostic role of pre-treatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in an Asian cohort of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) patients. Methods: A retrospective review of OPSCC patients from a tertiary institution was conducted. The NLR was calculated from the haematological specimen taken within a month before treatment. Survival rates were estimated via the Kaplan–Meier method, and Cox proportional hazards regression was performed for univariable and multivariable analyses. The NLR cutpoint was determined using maximally selected log-rank statistics. Results: In a cohort of 148 OPSCC patients, 43% were p16-positive and 44% were p16-negative, with a median follow-up of 24 months. The p16-positive patients were younger (median age 62 vs. 67 years) and exhibited a lower prevalence of heavy smoking (47% vs. 69%). The p16-negative cases frequently presented at an advanced disease stage (74% vs. 41%), with a history of previous radiotherapy (26% vs. 3%). The p16-negative patients displayed a higher median NLR (2.91 vs. 2.49). The 3-year disease-specific survival (DSS) in p16-positive was higher compared to p16-negative patients (89.9% vs. 41.6%). The optimal NLR cutpoint was determined as 3.56 and predicted for decreased DSS (hazard ratio [HR] 2.59, p = 0.004). Multivariable analysis revealed smoking, high NLR ≥ 3.56, and p16-negativity as independent variables associated with poorer DSS and overall survival (OS) across the cohort. Conclusion: A high NLR is independently prognostic of poorer DSS in OPSCC, independent of p16 and smoking status. A NLR of more than 3.56 was highly prognostic for poorer survival and warrants further validation in larger cohorts of OPSCC.
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