Yule process approximation for the skeleton of a branching process

Abstract

The skeleton of a (super-) critical Galton-Watson process with offspring mean 1 + r, r ≧ 0, and finite offspring variance, is considered. When r = 0 it is trivial. If r > 0 is small and the time unit is taken as α /r generations (α > 0) then the skeleton can be approximated by a Yule (linear pure birth) process of rate α. This approximation can be used to study the evolution of genetic types over a long period of time in an exponentially growing population.