Abstract

This paper aims to contribute to the lack of research on the learning process of mutual fund markets. The empirical design is focused on the ability of the Spanish equity mutual fund industry to learn from its important errors. The choice of this industry is justified by both its relevance in the European mutual fund markets and some specific characteristics, such as the concentration and the banking control of the industry, which may affect the learning process. Our main objectives are to identify important trading errors in mutual fund management by applying three independent filters based on the relative importance of each decision, and then testing the evolution of these errors both at the industry level and at the fund family level. We apply the dynamic model of generalized method of moments (GMM), and we find an overall significant decrease in the percentage of important trading errors over time, thereby providing evidence of the global learning process of the industry. In addition, we find that a large number of fund families drive this evidence. Finally, we obtain that the family size and its dependence on financial groups do not seem to play significant roles in explaining the learning process. Therefore, we conclude that fund managers have incentives to learn from their important trading errors, in order to avoid them in future decisions, due to their serious negative consequences on fund performance, regardless of the characteristics of the families to which they belong.

Highlights

  • The main objective of this study is to test the ability of the mutual fund industry to learn from its important trading errors

  • We use the generalized method of moments (GMM) to control for any endogeneity bias, and we find that important trading errors follow a decreasing trend in overall terms; over time, management makes fewer decisions that have significant negative effects on subsequent performance, which offers evidence of the learning process in the mutual fund industry

  • The Spanish mutual fund industry is characterized by important concentration given that the 10 largest fund families manage more than 75% of the fund assets (Inverco 2018)

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Summary

Introduction

The main objective of this study is to test the ability of the mutual fund industry to learn from its important trading errors. We define an important trading decision as a buying or selling decision for a given stock made by a fund in a certain month that simultaneously represents high importance with respect to (1) the fund’s total net assets in this month; (2) other trading decisions made by the same fund for other stocks in this month, and (3) other trading decisions for the same stock made by other funds in this month This important trading decision could be an important trading error if it has a significantly negative effect on the subsequent performance of the fund at 3 months, 6 months and 12 months. The consequences of an important error in a portfolio holding management are likely to be less severe due to regulation regarding diversification which is generally required, such as European Union Directive 2009/65/EC of the European Parliament and the Council on the Coordination of Laws (2009). Our interest in shedding light on the learning process in the mutual fund industry is motivated by this lack of research and by the implications—both social and economic—to improve fund management

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