Abstract
Objective: To develop predictive models to estimate worklife expectancy after spinal cord injury (SCI).Design: Inception cohort study.Setting: Model SCI Care Systems throughout the United States.Participants: 20,143 persons enrolled in the National Spinal Cord Injury Statistical Centerdatabase since 1973.Intervention: Not applicable.Main Outcome Measure: Postinjury employment rates and worklife expectancy.Results: Using logistic regression, we found a greater likelihood of being employed in any given year to be significantly associated with younger age, white race, higher education level, being married, having a nonviolent cause of injury, paraplegia, ASIA D injury, longer time postinjury, being employed at injury and during the previous postinjury year, higher general population employment rate, lower level of Social Security Disability Insurance benefits, and calendar years after the passage of the Americans with Disabilities Act.Conclusions: The likelihood of postinjury employment varies substantially among persons with SCI. Given favorable patient characteristics, worklife should be considerably higher than previous estimates.
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