When Risks and Uncertainties Collide: Quantum Mechanical Formulation of Mathematical Finance for Arbitrage Markets

Abstract

Geometric Arbitrage Theory reformulates a generic asset model possibly allowing for arbitrage by packaging all assets and their forwards dynamics into a stochastic principal fibre bundle, with a connection whose parallel transport encodes discounting and portfolio rebalancing, and whose curvature measures, in this geometric language, the ''instantaneous arbitrage capability'' generated by the market itself. The asset and market portfolio dynamics have a quantum mechanical description, which is constructed by quantizing the deterministic version of the stochastic Lagrangian system describing a market allowing for arbitrage. Results, obtained by solving explicitly the Schrodinger equations by means of spectral decomposition of the Hamilton operator, coincides with those obtained by solving the stochastic Euler Lagrange equations derived by a variational principle and providing therefore consistency. Arbitrage bubbles are computed.