Abstract

Decision-makers face a particular challenge in planning for climate adaptation. The complexity of climate change's likely impacts, such as increased flooding, has widened the scope of information necessary to take action. This is particularly the case in valuable low-lying coastal regions, which host many competing interests, and where there is a growing need to draw from varied fields in the risk-based management of flooding. The rising scrutiny over science's ability to match expectations of policy actors has called for the integration of stakeholder and scientific knowledge domains. Focusing on the Broads — the United Kingdom's largest protected wetland — this study looked to assess future flood risk and consider potential adaptation responses in a collaborative approach. Interviews and surveys with local stakeholders accompanied the development of a hydraulic model in an iterative participatory design, centred on a scientist-stakeholder workshop. Knowledge and perspectives were shared on processes driving risk in the Broads, as well as on the implications of adaptation measures, allowing for their prioritisation. The research outcomes highlight not only the challenges that scientist-stakeholder integrated assessments of future flood risk face, but also their potential to lead to the production of useful information for decision-making.

Highlights

  • Climate change poses a particular challenge due to the significant uncertainties that exist over its timing, magnitude and impacts

  • The preliminary stakeholder interviews provided information on which to base early hydraulic modelling choices such as the geographic extent, processes to depict in scenarios, model design, as well as the choice of modelling software itself (HEC-RAS, a freely available online software)

  • The presented collaborative approach carried out in the Broads National Park highlighted some of the benefits, potential and challenges of integrating scientific and stakeholder knowledge to generate information on flood risk and adaptation

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Summary

Introduction

Climate change poses a particular challenge due to the significant uncertainties that exist over its timing, magnitude and impacts. These impacts, such as the potential increase in flood risk, are likely to have widespread and disastrous effects without the adaptation of human and natural systems (IPCC, 2014). The prevailing complexities associated with climate change have contributed in the last decades to a paradigm shift in both flood policy and flood risk research. The trend for more risk-based management emphasises the need in climate change adaptation planning not just to look at environmental hazard, and to account for vulnerability and exposure (IPCC, 2012)

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