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Virological Suppression and its Predictors Among HIV/AIDS Patients on Antiretroviral Therapy in Ethiopia: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

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Achieving viral load suppression is crucial for the prevention of complications and deaths related to HIV infection. Ethiopia has embraced the worldwide 95-95-95 target, but there is no national representative information regarding virological suppression. Therefore, this review aims to determine the pooled virological suppression rate and identify the pooled effect of contributing factors of viral suppression for HIV-positive patients on antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia. We systematically searched websites and databases, including online repositories, to obtain primary studies. Two reviewers assessed the quality of the included articles using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale appraisal checklist. Publication bias was checked using Egger's regression test, the heterogeneity of the studies was assessed using I2 statistics and Q statistics, and a sensitivity analysis was performed to identify any outlier results in the included studies. The Der Simonian Laird random-effects model was used to estimate the overall proportion of viral suppression, and STATA 17 statistical software was used for all types of analysis. A total of 21 eligible articles primarily conducted in Ethiopia using HIV program data were used for this quantitative synthesis. The overall pooled virological suppression rate was 71% (95% CI, 64%-77%). The pooled effects of poor adherence to ART (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 0.33; 95% CI, 0.28-0.40), body mass index (18.5-24.9 kg/m2; AOR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.37-2.36), disclosure (AOR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.05-1.89), absence of opportunistic infection (AOR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.43-1.97), and high baseline viral load count (AOR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.52-0.81) were identified as significant predictors of viral suppression. The overall pooled percentage of virological suppression was low compared with the global target of viral suppression and the Ethiopian Public Health Institute report. Poor adherence, normal body mass index, disclosure, absence of opportunistic infection, and high baseline viral load count were factors contributing to viral suppression in Ethiopia. Responsible stakeholders should maximize their efforts to achieve the global target of virological suppression by addressing significant predictors.

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  • 10.1186/s12879-022-07691-x
Development and validation of a risk prediction model for lost to follow-up among adults on active antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: a retrospective follow-up study
  • Sep 7, 2022
  • BMC Infectious Diseases
  • Dawit Tefera Fentie + 3 more

BackgroundOver 420,000 people have initiated life-saving antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Ethiopia; however, lost-to-follow-up (LTFU) rates continues to be high. A clinical decision tool is needed to identify patients at higher risk for LTFU to provide individualized risk prediction to intervention. Therefore, this study aimed to develop and validate a statistical risk prediction tool that predicts the probability of LTFU among adult clients on ART.MethodsA retrospective follow-up study was conducted among 432 clients on ART in Gondar Town, northwest, Ethiopia. Prognostic determinates included in the analysis were determined by multivariable logistic regression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) and calibration plot were used to assess the model discriminative ability and predictive accuracy, respectively. Individual risk prediction for LTFU was determined using both regression formula and score chart rule. Youden index value was used to determine the cut-point for risk classification. The clinical utility of the model was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA).ResultsThe incidence of LTFU was 11.19 (95% CI 8.95–13.99) per 100-persons years of observation. Potential prognostic determinants for LTFU were rural residence, not using prophylaxis (either cotrimoxazole or Isoniazid or both), patient on appointment spacing model (ASM), poor drug adherence level, normal Body mass index (BMI), and high viral load (viral copies > 1000 copies/ml). The AUROC was 85.9% (95% CI 82.0–89.6) for the prediction model and the risk score was 81.0% (95% CI 76.7–85.3) which was a good discrimination probability. The maximum sensitivity and specificity of the probability of LTFU using the prediction model were 72.07% and 83.49%, respectively. The calibration plot of the model was good (p-value = 0.350). The DCA indicated that the model provides a higher net benefit following patients based on the risk prediction tool.ConclusionThe incidence of LTFU among clients on ART in Gondar town was high (> 3%). The risk prediction model presents an accurate and easily applicable prognostic prediction tool for clients on ART. A prospective follow-up study and external validation of the model is warranted before using the model.

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  • 10.33696/aids.1.008
HIV-1 treatment failure among population taking Antiretroviral Therapy in Ethiopia
  • Nov 22, 2019
  • Journal of AIDS and HIV Treatment
  • Yimam Getaneh + 10 more

Background: Treatment failure (TF) among patients receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) against human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) impacts on treatment outcome and is becoming a public health concern globally. However, magnitude of TF and factors leading to it are poorly defined in the context of Ethiopia. Thus, the aim of this study was to determine the magnitude of TF and assess its determinants among HIV-infected patients on ART in Ethiopia. Methods: A prospective and retrospective study was conducted from March 2016 to 2017. Retrospective clinical and laboratory data were captured from patients’ medical record. Socio-demographics and explanatory variables of participants were collected using pre-tested structured questionnaire and study participants were followed for additional 6 month after baseline viral load has been done to classify virologic failure (VF). Multiple logistic regression was conducted to assess risk factors associated with TF. Statistical significance was set at P-value less than 0.05. Results: A total of 9,284 adults taking ART from a nationally representative 63 health facilities were included in the study. Viral Load Suppression (VLS) (VL1000 copies/ml at baseline of the study were re-suppressed after six months of enhanced adherence and counseling, leading TF among population on ART in Ethiopia to be 983 (11%). Immunologic and clinical failure was significantly improved from 21.5% and 16.5% at ART initiation to 576 (6.2%) and 470 (5.0%) at baseline of the study, respectively. Medication adherence, disclosure of HIV status, missed appointment to ART, history of ART exposure prior to initiation, residency and marital status had significant association with TF. Conclusions: The high level of VLS (88.1%) could explain the success of ART program in Ethiopia towards achieving the UNAIDS global target on viral suppression. TF among population taking ART in Ethiopia is still a public health concern, since 11% of virally failed population is maintained on failed first-line regimen. However, a significant improvement on immunologic and clinical outcome after ART initiation was maintained. Close follow-up of medication adherence, ensuring disclosure of HIV status, regular appointment follow-up to ART could significantly improve the treatment outcome of population on ART in Ethiopia.

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  • 10.1186/s12955-022-01985-z
Health related quality of life and its association with social support among people living with HIV/AIDS receiving antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis
  • May 8, 2022
  • Health and quality of life outcomes
  • Nebiyu Mengistu + 11 more

BackgroundPeople living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA) are frequently confronted with severe social issues such as rejection, abandonment, criticism, and stigma. This would negatively affect their quality of life. Several studies have been conducted so far to assess factors affecting the health-related quality of life among people living with HIV/AIDS who are on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Ethiopia. However, to our knowledge, there is no previous study that has summarized the results of the studies that investigated health-related quality of life (HRQOL) among PLWHA in Ethiopia. Therefore, the purpose of this review was to estimate the pooled prevalence of HRQOL and its association with social support among people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA) on ART in Ethiopia.MethodsA systematic search was carried out using several electronic databases (PubMed, Science Direct, Web of Science, and Cochrane electronic), Google Scholar, Google, and a manual search of the literature on health-related quality of life among people living with HIV/AIDS who are on ART. A Microsoft Excel data extraction sheet was used to extract pertinent data from an individual study. To assess the heterogeneity of primary articles, the Cochrane Q test statistics and the I2 test were carried out, and a random effects meta-analysis was used to estimate the pooled prevalence of HRQOL.ResultOut of the 493 articles reviewed, ten with a total of 3257 study participants were eligible for meta-analysis. The pooled prevalence of HRQOL among people living with HIV/AIDS who are on antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia was 45.27%. We found that strong perceived social support was significantly associated with higher levels of subjectively perceived HRQOL. PLWHA who were on ART and had good social support were four times more likely to report higher HRQOL when compared to their counterparts [AOR = 4.01, 95% CI 3.07–5.23].ConclusionA substantial number of PLWHA had poor HRQOL in Ethiopia. Social support was significantly associated with HRQOL among people living with HIV/AIDS. Hence, it’s recommended to encourage suitable intervention at every follow-up visit, and psycho-social support is also warranted to improve the quality of life.

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  • Cite Count Icon 8
  • 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-087569
Virological failure and associated factors among patients receiving anti-retroviral therapy in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis
  • Nov 1, 2024
  • BMJ Open
  • Tigabu Munye Aytenew + 12 more

ObjectiveThis study aimed to pool the prevalence of virological failure and associated factors.DesignSystematic review and meta-analysis.Primary outcome measurePrevalence of virological failure.Secondary outcome measureFactors affecting virological failure.AnalysisThe extracted data were exported...

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  • Cite Count Icon 1
  • 10.1097/qad.0000000000003917
Risk score prediction for bacteriologically confirmed tuberculosis among adults with HIV on antiretroviral therapy in northwest Ethiopia: prognostic model development.
  • Apr 24, 2024
  • AIDS (London, England)
  • Nebiyu Mekonnen Derseh + 2 more

This study was aimed at developing a risk score prediction model for bacteriologically confirmed tuberculosis (TB) among adults with HIV receiving antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia. An institutional-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted among 569 adults with HIV on ART. We used demographic and clinical prognostic factors to develop a risk prediction model. Model performance was evaluated by discrimination and calibration using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve and calibration plot. Bootstrapping was used for internal validation. A decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the clinical utility. Opportunistic infection, functional status, anemia, isoniazid preventive therapy, and WHO clinical stages were used to develop risk prediction. The AUROC curve of the original model was 87.53% [95% confidence interval (CI): 83.88-91.25] and the calibration plot ( P -value = 0.51). After internal validation, the AUROC curve of 86.61% (95% CI: 82.92-90.29%) was comparable with the original model, with an optimism coefficient of 0.0096 and good calibration ( P -value = 0.10). Our model revealed excellent sensitivity (92.65%) and negative predictive value (NPV) (98.60%) with very good specificity (70.06%) and accuracy (72.76%). After validation, accuracy (74.85%) and specificity (76.27%) were improved, but sensitivity (86.76%) and NPV (97.66%) were relatively reduced. The risk prediction model had a net benefit up to 7.5 threshold probabilities. This prognostic model had very good performance. Moreover, it had very good sensitivity and excellent NPV. The model could help clinicians use risk estimation and stratification for early diagnosis and treatment to improve patient outcomes and quality of life.

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  • Cite Count Icon 2
  • 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1385441
Attrition from care and its predictors among women exposed to dolutegravir- and efavirenz-based first-line antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: a before-and-after study.
  • Jul 2, 2024
  • Frontiers in public health
  • Wolde Facha + 3 more

The effect of dolutegravir (DTG)-based regimens on reducing attrition from care among women enrolled in the prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) care program is unknown. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the incidence of attrition among women exposed to DTG-based with those exposed to efavirenz (EFV)-based first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Ethiopia. An uncontrolled before-and-after study was conducted involving 932 women (with 466 on EFV-based and 466 on DTG-based regimens) who were enrolled in the PMTCT care program from September 2015 to February 2023. The outcome variable was attrition (i.e., maternal death or loss to follow-up before their infants' final HIV status was determined). A Kaplan-Meier estimator was employed to estimate the probability of attrition. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was fitted to identify predictor variables. The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) with the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated to examine the risk difference in the comparison groups. The cumulative incidence of attrition among women was 5.2% (3.0% for those placed in the DTG-based regimen arm and 7.3% for those placed in the EFV-based regimen arm). Women on DTG-based regimens had a 57% (aHR: 0.43; 95% CI: 0.23-0.80) lower risk of attrition from care compared to those on EFV-based regimens. Women who delivered their infants at home (aHR: 2.35; 95% CI: 1.14-4.85), had poor/fair adherence (aHR: 3.23; 95% CI: 1.62-6.45), had unsuppressed/unknown viral load status (aHR: 2.61; 95% CI: 1.42-4.79), and did not disclose their status to partners (aHR: 2.56; 95% CI: 1.34-4.92) had a higher risk of attrition from PMTCT care compared to their counterparts. The cumulative incidence of attrition among women receiving PMTCT care is optimal. In addition, the risk of attrition among women receiving DTG-based regimens is lower than that among women receiving EFV-based regimens. Thus, DTG-based first-line ART regimen supplementation should be sustained to achieve a national retention target of 95% and above.

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  • 10.3389/fgwh.2024.1308019
Association of comprehensiveness of antiretroviral care and detectable HIV viral load suppression among pregnant and postpartum women in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: a cross-sectional study.
  • Jun 5, 2024
  • Frontiers in global women's health
  • Alix Boisson-Walsh + 6 more

Worldwide, over two-thirds of people living with HIV are on antiretroviral therapy (ART). Despite increased ART access, high virological suppression prevalence remains out of reach. Few studies consider the quality of ART services and their impact on recipients' viral suppression. We assessed the association between ART service readiness and HIV viral load suppression among pregnant and breastfeeding women living with HIV (WLH) receiving ART in maternal and child health (MCH) clinics in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo. We performed a cross-sectional analysis leveraging data from a continuous quality improvement intervention on WLH's long-term ART outcomes. From November 2016 to May 2020, we enrolled WLH from the three largest clinics in each of Kinshasa'Łs 35 health zones. We measured clinic's readiness using three WHO-identified ART care quality indicators: relevant guidelines in ART service area, stocks of essential ART medicines, and relevant staff training in ≥24 months, scoring clinics 0-3 based on observed indicators. We defined viral load suppression as ≤1,000 cp/ml. Multilevel mixed-effect logistic models were used to estimate prevalence odds ratios (ORs) measuring the strength of the association between ART service readiness and viral suppression. Of 2,295 WLH, only 1.9% received care from a clinic with a score of 3, 24.1% received care from a 0-scoring clinic, and overall, 66.5% achieved virologically suppression. Suppression increased from 65% among WLH receiving care in 0-scoring clinics to 66.9% in 1-scoring clinics, 65.8% in 2-scoring clinics, and 76.1% in 3-scoring clinics. We did not observe a statistically significant association between ART service readiness score and increased viral suppression prevalence, however we did find associations between other factors, such as the location of the health center and pharmacist availability with suppressed viral load. A lack of comprehensive ART care underscores the need for enhanced structural and organizational support to improve virological suppression and overall health outcomes for women living with HIV..

  • Research Article
  • 10.1136/bmjopen-2025-104903
Incidence and predictors of attrition among children on antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis
  • Oct 1, 2025
  • BMJ Open
  • Amanuel Adugna + 3 more

ObjectiveTo estimate the pooled attrition rate among HIV-infected children receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) and identify predictors of attrition in Ethiopia.DesignSystematic review and meta-analysis.Data sourcesPubMed, HINARI, Web of Science, African Journals Online and Google Scholar were searched up to 20 February 2025.Eligibility criteriaCohort studies conducted in Ethiopia that reported attrition from ART and its predictors among children, published as full-length articles in English, were included.Data extraction and synthesisThree independent reviewers extracted data and assessed study quality using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist for cohort studies. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I² statistic. Publication bias was evaluated with funnel plots and Egger’s test. A random-effects model was applied to estimate the pooled attrition rate.ResultsAmong 1093 studies identified, 14 met the inclusion criteria and were included in the analysis. The pooled attrition rate among HIV-infected children receiving ART was 6.04 per 100 person-years of observation (95% CI 4.90 to 7.44). Anaemia (HR=3.39; 95% CI 2.40 to 4.78), suboptimal ART adherence (HR=2.33; 95% CI 1.39 to 3.89) and underweight status (HR=3.43; 95% CI 2.04 to 5.78) were significantly associated with higher attrition.ConclusionsThe pooled attrition rate among HIV-infected children receiving ART in Ethiopia is relatively low. Nevertheless, enhanced counselling on ART adherence is crucial to further reduce attrition, and special attention should be given to children with anaemia or underweight status.PROSPERO registration numberCRD420251015059.

  • Research Article
  • 10.1186/s12981-026-00860-x
Incidence and predictors of loss to follow-up among adults on antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies.
  • Feb 13, 2026
  • AIDS research and therapy
  • Muluken Amare Wudu + 6 more

Loss to follow-up (LTFU) from antiretroviral therapy (ART) remains a major public health concern worldwide, including in Ethiopia. However, nationally representative pooled cohort data on LTFU among adults receiving ART are limited. To address this gap, we conducted a meta-analysis to estimate the incidence and identify predictors of LTFU among adults on ART in Ethiopia. This systematic review and meta-analysis adhered to the PRISMA guidelines. Relevant studies were identified through a comprehensive search of multiple databases, including PubMed, CINAHL, Scopus, EMBASE, and Google Scholar. Data analysis for pooled estimates of incidence and predictors was performed using STATA version 17 with the DerSimonian and Laird random-effects model. Heterogeneity was assessed using Cochrane’s Q-test and the I² statistic, while publication bias was evaluated using funnel plots and Egger’s test. Out of 1,245 studies identified, 24 met the inclusion criteria, comprising a total of 24,637 participants. The pooled incidence rate of LTFU among adults on ART was 8 per 100 person-years (95% CI: 7–10), and the pooled median time to LTFU was 27.77 months (95% CI: 19.22–36.32). Moreover, variation in study sample size (R² = 34.10%) contributed substantially to the high level of heterogeneity among the included studies. Predictors of LTFU included not receiving isoniazid prophylaxis (HR = 1.39, 95% CI: 1.30–1.49), fair or poor ART adherence (HR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.49–1.64), WHO clinical stages III–IV (HR = 1.29, 95% CI: 1.21–1.38), undisclosed HIV status (HR = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.24–1.45), CD4 count < 200 cells/mm³ (HR = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.19–1.33), BMI < 18.5 kg/m² (HR = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.27–1.43), and age 15–24 years (HR = 1.31, 95% CI: 1.22–1.41). The median time to LTFU among adults on ART in Ethiopia was close to the national target, suggesting the need to enhance retention strategies. Targeted interventions should focus on young adults, undernourished patients, and those with poor adherence. Strengthening adherence support and preventive care, including isoniazid prophylaxis, is essential to improve ART retention outcomes.

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  • Cite Count Icon 13
  • 10.1371/journal.pone.0244066.r006
Socio-economic condition and lack of virological suppression among adults and adolescents receiving antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia
  • Dec 15, 2020
  • PLoS ONE
  • Martin Plymoth + 9 more

IntroductionThe potential impact of socio-economic condition on virological suppression during antiretroviral treatment (ART) in sub-Saharan Africa is largely unknown. In this case-control study, we compared socio-economic factors among Ethiopian ART recipients with lack of virological suppression to those with undetectable viral load (VL).MethodsCases (VL>1000 copies/ml) and controls (VL<150 copies/ml) aged ≥15years, with ART for >6 months and with available VL results within the last 3 months, were identified from registries at public ART clinics in Central Ethiopia. Questionnaire-based interviews on socio-economic characteristics, health condition and transmission risk behavior were conducted. Univariate variables associated with VL>1000 copies/ml (p<0.25) were added to a multivariable logistic regression model.ResultsAmong 307 participants (155 cases, 152 controls), 61.2% were female, and the median age was 38 years (IQR 32–46). Median HIV-RNA load among cases was 6,904 copies/ml (IQR 2,843–26,789). Compared to controls, cases were younger (median 36 vs. 39 years; p = 0.004), more likely to be male (46.5% vs. 30.9%; p = 0.005) and had lower pre-ART CD4 cell counts (170 vs. 220 cells/μl; p = 0.009). In multivariable analysis of urban residents (94.8%), VL>1000 copies/ml was associated with lower relative wealth (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.98; 95% CI 1.49–5.94; p = 0.016), geographic work mobility (aOR 6.27, 95% CI 1.82–21.6; p = 0.016), younger age (aOR 0.94 [year], 95% CI 0.91–0.98; p = 0.011), longer duration of ART (aOR 1.19 [year], 95% CI 1.07–1.33; p = 0.020), and suboptimal (aOR 3.83, 95% CI 1.33–10.2; p = 0.048) or poor self-perceived wellbeing (aOR 9.75, 95% CI 2.85–33.4; p = 0.012), after correction for multiple comparisons. High-risk sexual behavior and substance use was not associated with lack of virological suppression.ConclusionGeographic work mobility and lower relative wealth were associated with lack of virological suppression among Ethiopian ART recipients in this predominantly urban population. These characteristics indicate increased risk of treatment failure and the need for targeted interventions for persons with these risk factors.

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  • Cite Count Icon 21
  • 10.1371/journal.pone.0244066
Socio-economic condition and lack of virological suppression among adults and adolescents receiving antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia.
  • Dec 15, 2020
  • PloS one
  • Martin Plymoth + 7 more

The potential impact of socio-economic condition on virological suppression during antiretroviral treatment (ART) in sub-Saharan Africa is largely unknown. In this case-control study, we compared socio-economic factors among Ethiopian ART recipients with lack of virological suppression to those with undetectable viral load (VL). Cases (VL>1000 copies/ml) and controls (VL<150 copies/ml) aged ≥15years, with ART for >6 months and with available VL results within the last 3 months, were identified from registries at public ART clinics in Central Ethiopia. Questionnaire-based interviews on socio-economic characteristics, health condition and transmission risk behavior were conducted. Univariate variables associated with VL>1000 copies/ml (p<0.25) were added to a multivariable logistic regression model. Among 307 participants (155 cases, 152 controls), 61.2% were female, and the median age was 38 years (IQR 32-46). Median HIV-RNA load among cases was 6,904 copies/ml (IQR 2,843-26,789). Compared to controls, cases were younger (median 36 vs. 39 years; p = 0.004), more likely to be male (46.5% vs. 30.9%; p = 0.005) and had lower pre-ART CD4 cell counts (170 vs. 220 cells/μl; p = 0.009). In multivariable analysis of urban residents (94.8%), VL>1000 copies/ml was associated with lower relative wealth (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.98; 95% CI 1.49-5.94; p = 0.016), geographic work mobility (aOR 6.27, 95% CI 1.82-21.6; p = 0.016), younger age (aOR 0.94 [year], 95% CI 0.91-0.98; p = 0.011), longer duration of ART (aOR 1.19 [year], 95% CI 1.07-1.33; p = 0.020), and suboptimal (aOR 3.83, 95% CI 1.33-10.2; p = 0.048) or poor self-perceived wellbeing (aOR 9.75, 95% CI 2.85-33.4; p = 0.012), after correction for multiple comparisons. High-risk sexual behavior and substance use was not associated with lack of virological suppression. Geographic work mobility and lower relative wealth were associated with lack of virological suppression among Ethiopian ART recipients in this predominantly urban population. These characteristics indicate increased risk of treatment failure and the need for targeted interventions for persons with these risk factors.

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  • Cite Count Icon 9
  • 10.1016/j.jgar.2022.07.019
Evaluation of HIV-1 drug resistance among patients failing first-line antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia
  • Jul 30, 2022
  • Journal of Global Antimicrobial Resistance
  • Yimam Getaneh + 7 more

The aim of this study was to evaluate HIV-1 drug resistance among patients failing first-line antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia. A total of 699 adults infected with HIV (aged ≥15 years) who failed first-line Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) were recruited between 2017 and 2019 from 63 ART-providing sites in Ethiopia. Treatment failure was defined as patients with two consecutive viral loads (VLs) ≥1000 copies/mL within six months of follow-up. The pol gene region of HIV-1 was amplified and sequenced using an in-house assay of the Chinese Center for Disease Prevention and Control. The Stanford HIVDB v9.0 algorithm was used for identification of resistance mutations. Resistance mutations were characterized according to the 2019 International AIDS Society-USA mutation list. P values of <0.05 were considered statistically significant during multivariate analysis, which was done using SPSS v26.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL). Overall, HIV drug resistance (HIVDR) among patients failing first-line therapy in Ethiopia was 77.8%. Non-nucleoside/tide reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTI) and NRTI resistance were 75.7% and 71.2%, respectively. Neverapine (NVP) and Efavirenz (EFV) accounted for 74.2% and 60.8% of HIVDR, respectively. About half (48.1%) of NRTI-associated mutations were responsible for Abacavir resistance, while 34% were responsible for multi-NRTI resistance. Mutations responsible for resistance to the commonly used EFV and NVP accounted for 62.9%, while resistance to Etravirine, Doravirine, and Rilivirine, which were not part of the country's ART program, were 37.1%, and can be explained by cross-resistance within the drug class. Protease Inhebitor(PI)associated resistance was detected in only 1.6% of the study's participants. The most common mutations identified were M184V (30.1%), K103N (18.7%), Y181C (13.6%), and K65R (12.1%). In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, predictors of HIVDR were prior ART exposure (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]=2.3; 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.8, 3.6), absence of HIV status disclosure (AOR=2.05; 95%CI=1.26, 3.35), CD4 count of ≤200 cells/mm3 (AOR=1.94; 95%CI=1.21, 3.12), and bedridden status (AOR=4.16; 95% CI=3.21, 5.16). The high-levels of HIVDR among patients with failure of first-line ART in Ethiopia calls for individualized HIVDR testing. Mutations associated with multi-NRTI and NNRTI cross-resistance may alert the program for considering drugs of higher genetic barrier targeting protease and other regions. Patients with low CD4 count and those who are bedridden should be given special attention for the potential development of HIVDR during clinical management.

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  • Cite Count Icon 4
  • 10.1371/journal.pgph.0003528
Proportion of active tuberculosis among HIV-infected children after antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
  • Aug 2, 2024
  • PLOS global public health
  • Fassikaw Kebede Bizuneh + 3 more

Despite effectiveness of antiretroviral therapy in reducing mortality of opportunistic infections among HIV infected children, however tuberculosis (TB) remains a significant cause for morbidity and attributed for one in every three deaths. HIV-infected children face disproportionate death risk during co-infection of TB due to their young age and miniatures immunity makes them more vulnerable. In Ethiopia, there is lack of aggregated data TB and HIV mortality in HIV infected children. We conducted an extensive systematic review of literature using Preferred Reporting of Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guideline. Five electronic databases were used mainly Scopus, PubMed, Medline, Web of Science, and Google scholar for articles searching. The pooled proportion of TB was estimated using a weighted inverse variance random-effects meta-regression using STATA version-17. Heterogeneity of the articles was evaluated using Cochran's Q test and I2 statistic. Subgroup analysis, sensitivity test, and Egger's regression were conducted for publication bias. This met-analysis is registered in Prospero-CRD42024502038. In the final met-analysis report, 13 out of 1221 articles were included and presented. During screening of 6668 HIV-infected children for active TB occurrence, 834 cases were reported after ART was initiated. The pooled proportion of active TB among HIV infected children was found 12.07% (95% CI: 10.71-13.41). In subgroup analysis, the Oromia region had 15.6% (95%CI: 10.2-20.6) TB burden, followed by southern Ethiopia 12.8% (95%CI: 10.03-15.67). During meta-regression, missed isoniazid Preventive therapy (IPT) (OR: 2.28), missed contrimoxazole preventive therapy (OR: 4.26), WHO stage III&IV (OR: 2.27), and level of Hgb ≤ 10gm/dl (OR = 3.11.7) were predictors for active TB. The systematic review found a higher proportion of active TB in HIV-infected children in Ethiopia compared to estimated rates in end TB strategy. To prevent premature death during co-infection, implement effective TB screening and cases tracing strategies in each follow up is needed.

  • Research Article
  • 10.30574/wjarr.2023.18.3.0500
Treatment factors associated with viral suppression among adolescents on antiretroviral therapy in Kenya
  • Jun 30, 2023
  • World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews
  • Vickie Chepkemoi Koske + 2 more

Background: There are approximately 99,159 adolescents living with human immunodeficiency virus in Kenya, with a viral suppression rate of 67%, according to the Joint United Nations Program on HIV/AIDS in 2021 [1] . There are limited studies in Kenya on factors associated with viral load suppression among adolescents. The objectives of this study were to determine the treatment factors associated with viral suppression among adolescents on antiretroviral therapy. Methods: A retrospective cross-sectional analysis of 38,503 HIV-infected adolescents receiving antiretroviral therapy for at least 6 months with a documented viral load result. The data was from routinely collected HIV program data in Kenya that is submitted from comprehensive care centers with electronic medical records to the National Aids and STI Control Program (NASCOP) for the period of January 2018–December 2022. Results: The study population was 38503 HIV-infected adolescents (10–19 years) on antiretroviral therapy. The viral suppression was at 81.2%., higher than the 2021 UNAIDS estimate of 67%. low detectable levels were 88%, low level viremia was 12%, high-risk LLV was 38%, and suspected treatment failure as 62%. Virological suppression with integrase strand transfer inhibitors based regimens – Abacavir and Tenofovir was 81.6% and 86.4%, respectively. The suppression with protease inhibitors based regimens was 70% (highest) and 56.4% (Lowest) Conclusion: The viral suppression among adolescents on antiretroviral therapy was 81.2% lower than the UNAIDS 95/95/95 global target but higher than the 2021 UNAIDS estimate of 67%. There is a need to interrogate the viral suppression in adolescents on protease inhibitors.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 10
  • 10.1177/20503121231162354
Factors associated with adherence and viral suppression among patients on second-line antiretroviral therapy in an urban HIV program in Kenya
  • Jan 1, 2023
  • SAGE Open Medicine
  • Rose Nyaboke + 8 more

Objective:The aim of this study is to estimate the proportion of virologically suppressed People living with HIV on second-line ART and to identify factors associated with virologic suppression. With an increasing population of patients on complex second-line anti retroviral therapy (ART), understanding the factors associated with viral suppression and adherence is critical for ensured longevity of ART.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted of patients on second-line ART in 17 facilities supported by University of Maryland, Baltimore, in Nairobi, Kenya, covering the period beginning October 2016 up to August 2019. Viral suppression was defined as viral load <1000 copies/mL in a test conducted in the last 12 months. Adherence was assessed through self-reports and classified as optimal (good) or suboptimal (inadequate/poor). Associations were presented as adjusted risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals. Statistical significance was considered when p value ⩽0.05.Results:Of 1100 study participants with viral load data, 974 (88.5%) reported optimal adherence while on first-line ART and 1029 (93.5%) reported optimal adherence to second-line ART. Overall, viral load suppression on second-line ART was 90%. Optimal adherence ((adjusted risk ratio) 1.26; 95% confidence interval 1.09–1.46)) and age 35–44 versus 15–24 years ((adjusted risk ratio) 1.06; 95% confidence interval 1.01–1.13)) were associated with viral suppression . Adherence to first-line ART ((adjusted risk ratio) 1.19; 95% confidence interval 1.02–1.40)) was associated with adherence to second-line ART.Conclusion:Viral suppression remains high and adherence was strongly associated with viral suppression, underscoring the need to adequately address the barriers to adherence before switching regimens.

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