Vibration prediction of offshore wind turbines based on long short-term memory network

Abstract

ABSTRACT Offshore wind turbines (OWTs) have complex operating conditions and are prone to accidents. Timely and accurate vibration prediction can reduce the probability of failure of OWTs. To address this issue, this study proposed a vibration prediction model based on long short-term memory (LSTM) network. The proposed prediction model was applied to an OWT in an offshore wind farm in China, and three evaluation indicators, i.e. mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and root mean square error (RMSE), were used to verify the vibration prediction performance of LSTM. The results demonstrated that the prediction accuracy of LSTM was better than that of back propagation (BP) neural network, and LSTM had optimum engineering practicability. The prediction accuracy of LSTM and BP neural networks decreased with an increase in prediction durations. However, the prediction accuracy of LSTM was higher. This study improves the online safety monitoring of OWTs.