Abstract

As electric vehicle fleets grow, rising electric loads necessitate energy systems models to incorporate their respective demand and potential flexibility. Recently, a small number of tools for electric vehicle demand and flexibility modeling have been released under open source licenses. These usually sample discrete trips based on aggregate mobility statistics. However, the full range of variables of travel surveys cannot be accessed in this way and sub-national mobility patterns cannot be modeled. Therefore, a tool is proposed to estimate future electric vehicle fleet charging flexibility while being able to directly access detailed survey results. The framework is applied in a case study involving two recent German national travel surveys (from the years 2008 and 2017) to exemplify the implications of different mobility patterns of motorized individual vehicles on load shifting potential of electric vehicle fleets. The results show that different mobility patterns, have a significant impact on the resulting load flexibilites. Most obviously, an increased daily mileage results in higher electricty demand. A reduced number of trips per day, on the other hand, leads to correspondingly higher grid connectivity of the vehicle fleet. VencoPy is an open source, well-documented and maintained tool, capable of assessing electric vehicle fleet scenarios based on national travel surveys. To scrutinize the tool, a validation of the simulated charging by empirically observed electric vehicle fleet charging is advised.

Highlights

  • This paper is an extended version of our paper published in 6th International Conference on Smart Energy

  • After describing the more recent of the two data sets in greater detail, the resulting mobility profiles with and without weekday differentiation are analysed. On this analytical level the effect of applying the trip weights to account for trips being more or less representative for overall travel behavior within the sample population are visualised

  • Vehicle Energy Consumption in Python (VencoPy) in [5], are shown but the interest is rather focused on all resulting profiles on the level of the average vehicle, providing a basis for scaling to any fleet size

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Summary

Introduction

This paper is an extended version of our paper published in 6th International Conference on Smart Energy. A small number of tools for electric vehicle demand and flexibility modeling have been released under open source licenses These usually sample discrete trips based on aggregate mobility statistics. As energy systems analysis models are oriented based on broader geographical and temporal scopes, they usually do not explicitly describe individual vehicles, power lines or transformers but focus on the integrative quality of EV fleets for photovoltaic and wind power feed-in in the context of long-term energy scenarios [3] In such analyses, the focus is mainly on the power system impact of EVs, especially regarding peak loads and charging flexibility [4]. While open source tools to simulate EV charging have already been published, they mostly rely exclusively on sampling trips from mobility statistics

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