벡터오차수정모형(VECM: Vector Error Correction Model)을 이용한 아파트 매매가격 결정모형에 관한 연구: 창원시 주택시장을 중심으로

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze the flow of the housing market after the integrated Changwon City through the key factors of Changwon City’s housing market, such as apartment sales price, apartment jeonse price, supply volume, unsold, transaction volume, unsold, and interest rate. In particular, we will examine what factors affect the sale price of apartments in Changwon by dividing the period before and after 2016, which is the period of structural change. In this study, the change rate of housing construction permits in Changwon City, the rate of change in unsold apartments in Changwon City, and the rate of change in apartment jeonse prices in Changwon City were significant before and after structural change. It was found that the rate of change and the rate of change in the apartment jeonse price in Changwon have the greatest effect on the rate of change in the apartment sale price in Changwon.