Abstract

We investigated the magnitude of short-term variations in the flux of several species of fish larvae in Conception Bay, Newfoundland, determined the contribution of these fluxes to changes in the abundance of these species, and assessed the factors that may be causing the variations in these fluxes. The net effect of transport ranged from a daily influx of 5.8% to a daily efflux of 6.2% from the population. Short-term variations in transport were associated with variations in wind stress. The contribution of transport to variations in population abundance ranged from 12 to more than 75% of the average daily rate of change in numbers for the different species. The contribution of physical processes to estimated mortality rates is variable and can have a significant impact on the investigation and interpretation of potential biological processes (e.g., predation and starvation) influencing the survival of larval fish. We predicted that the average correction to the instantaneous mortality rate due to advection and diffusion should be proportional to A−1/2, where A is the area of system under study. This highlights the susceptibility of small systems to estimation error of mortality rates caused by short-term variations in physical forcing.

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