Using Sird Mathematical Model Track the Spread of Lassa fever on a Multicity Network of Nigeria

Abstract

This paper develops a mathematical model for the dynamics of Lassa fever disease using a set of four differential equations for the susceptible human, infected human, recovered human and dead human. The model is mathematically and epidemiologically well posed and then investigate the model for equilibrium and stability. Core to the research analysis is the computation of a threshold value; the basic spread of disease from different state in Nigeria which is the number of secondary infections due to introduction of an infective individual into a susceptible population. This research analysis shows that the disease will spread faster in Nigeria when started from Lagos and Kano state of Nigeria.