Abstract

Although the palliative prognostic index (PPI), objective prognostic score (OPS), and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio/albumin ratio (NLR/Alb) are well-known prognostic indicators for cancer patients, they do not provide clarity when it comes to predicting prognosis in patients without cancer who receive home-visit palliative care. The aim of this study was to determine whether PPI, OPS, and NLR/Alb can predict prognosis for patients without cancer who received home-visit palliative care. This is a retrospective study. We recruited 58 patients without cancer who received home-visit palliative care from Tokushima Prefectural Kaifu Hospital, Japan, and died at home or at the hospital within seven days of admission between January 2009 and March 2023. The PPI, OPS, and NLR/Alb of the study patients were evaluated at regular intervals, and statistical analysis was performed on the relationship between these indices and the time to death. Simple regression analysis showed that PPI, OPS, and NLR/Alb were negatively correlated with the period until death (p < 0.001). The survival curves of the groups classified according to PPI, OPS, and NLR/Alb were significantly stratified. The predictive capacities of PPI, OPS, and NLR/Alb for death within 21 days were as follows: PPI (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.71; sensitivity: 59%; specificity: 68%), OPS (AUC: 0.73; sensitivity: 88%; specificity: 47%), and NLR/Alb (AUC: 0.72; sensitivity: 72%; specificity: 73%). PPI, OPS, and NLR/Alb were useful in predicting the survival period and short-term prognosis within 21 days for patients without cancer who received home-visit palliative care.

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