Unfavorable prognosis of diseases characterized by high blood pressure in modern conditions

Abstract

Introduction. Estimation of prevalence of hypertension diseases (BHPA) and investigation of their complications allows to judge the effectiveness of antihypertensive therapy, the main directions of medical care for patients with BHPA, as well as to identify ways to prevent these diseases. The aim of the work is the study of primary and general morbidity of BCHD, essential hypertension (EH) and hypertensive heart disease (HHD) in the Chelyabinsk region and in the whole Russian Federation as well as the prognosis of the disease development for the nearest perspective. Materials and Methods. The analysis of official statistical data on the morbidity of the Russian population was carried out. Results and Discussion. A rise in the primary morbidity of BCHD has been detected. Forecast for the future indicates that the current trends of BCHD morbidity growth are preserved. At the same time the primary incidence of BCHPA will reach 1,822.5 cases per 100,000 adults by 2025, and the total incidence could be 23,328.3 cases per 100,000 adults in the region. A slower negative dynamics of EG morbidity rates against the background of BCHD morbidity growth in the Chelyabinsk Oblast has been detected. Reliable data on the increase in the primary and total incidence of GBS were calculated. The prognostic calculation of GBS morbidity in the adult population of the Chelyabinsk Oblast up to 2025 also shows unfavorable growth trends. Conclusion. The predicted increase in the incidence of BHPAD, EG and GBS in the Chelyabinsk Oblast reflects the relationship between these morbidity indicators and the need to consider all three indicators.