UNDERSTANDING THE RAPID ADVANCEMENTS IN THE FORECAST OF PATH OF TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER INDIAN OCEAN BASIN

Abstract

Abstract Improving the forecast of Tropical cyclone (TC) is always an important research area and difficult task for the meteorologists since it poses a major impact on human life, properties and countries economy. The research and operational centers around the globe have been working to completely understand the multiscale interactions involved to advance the TC predictions. Mohanty and Gupta (1997) have elaborated different dynamical methods and statistical methods for the track prediction of TCs over the North Indian Ocean (NIO) basin. The review article focuses on activities related to research with more emphasis on numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods which led to advance the TC track prediction over the NIO basin in the last two decades. The growth of NWP models and advancements in the genesis, movement and storm surges by these models are discussed. Key words: Indian ocean basin, Tropical cyclones, Forecast/prediction, Movement/track/path, Numerical weather prediction.