Understanding the effects of afforestation on water quantity and quality at watershed scale by considering the influences of tree species and local moisture recycling

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Forest restoration emerges as a sustainable practice to counteract biodiversity loss and enhance ecosystem services such as carbon sequestration and water quality improvement. However, more research is necessary on the hydrological effects of forest restoration under different strategies such as tree species options. In this study, we investigate how afforestation with longleaf pine (Pinus palustris) and loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) may affect the full hydrologic cycles including precipitation (P) and water quality across two large watersheds: the Alabama-Coosa-Tallapoosa (ACT) and Tombigbee-Black Warrior (TBW) river basins in the southeast United States. To capture the impacts of afforestation on precipitation, we leveraged the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model and a local moisture recycling ratio (LMR) dataset to establish a relationship between model-simulated evapotranspiration (ET) and LMR. Longleaf pine and loblolly pine have contrasting forest structure characteristics that affect model parameters and hydrological responses. Results showed that afforestation with longleaf pine increased mean annual ET by 3 % (25 mm/year) and 6 % (48 mm/year) across the ACT and TBW watersheds, respectively. As a result, mean annual streamflow decreased by 3.3 % (18 mm/year) and 1.6 % (11 mm/year) in the ACT and TBW watersheds, respectively. In contrast, afforestation with loblolly pine led to larger increases in mean annual ET of 17 % (131 mm/year)and 10 % (79 mm/year) in affected areas in the ACT and TBW watersheds, respectively. As a result, mean annual streamflow decreased by 5.2 % (29 mm/year) and 2.8 % (19 mm/year) at the watershed level in the ACT and TBW watersheds, respectively. Overall, the afforestation scenarios led to decreases in watershed-scale sediment and nutrient exports, especially under longleaf pine afforestation. Large-scale afforestation had negligible effects on precipitation via local moisture recycling at the watershed scale. Our study indicates that the choices of tree species and forest structure are important to water yield in the southeastern U.S. and that moisture recycling has minor influences on the local water cycle of the study region.