U.S. Intelligence Estimates of the Soviet Collapse: Reality and Perception

Abstract

Click to increase image sizeClick to decrease image size Additional informationNotes on contributorsBruce D. BerkowitzDr. Bruce D. Berkowitz, a Research Fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University began his career at the Central Intelligence Agency and has since served in a variety of assignments in the Defense Department and Intelligence Community. His most recent book is the forthcoming Strategic Advantage (Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press). This article which appeared as a chapter in Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics, F. Fukuyama, eds. (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2007) was adapted and reprinted with permission of the publisher. All statements of fact, opinion, or analysis expressed are those of the author and do not reflect the official positions of the CIA or any other U.S. government agency. Nothing in the contents should be construed as asserting or implying U.S. government authentication of information or agency endorsement of the author's views. This material has been reviewed by the CIA to prevent the disclosure of classified information.