Abstract

Significance The team includes the defence and foreign ministers, the intelligence chief and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s special adviser Ibrahim Kalin. They will visit Washington later. President Donald Trump’s decision to pull US forces out of Syria has opened new chapters in Turkish-Russian and Turkish-US relations as well as the Syrian civil war, with Turkey poised to initiate military operations both east and west of the Euphrates. Impacts Erdogan will use a victory in Syria to crack down on domestic opposition. Russia may attempt a ‘grand deal’ peace settlement for Syria and invite Trump to participate. Turkey will step up anti-PKK operations in Iraq.

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