TÜRKİYE’NİN KAYNAKLARA GÖRE ELEKTRİK ÜRETİMİNİN YAPAY SİNİR AĞI VE İKİ YÖNLÜ UZUN - KISA VADELİ BELLEK YÖNTEMLERİ KULLANILARAK TAHMİNİ

Abstract

It is an indisputable fact that energy plays a big role in the development of countries. Electrical energy has a great share in the development. Electricity is a secondary energy source, i.e. it is obtained by transforming primary energy sources. Although the desired level has not yet been reached, Turkey’s installed power has increased by years and a wide variety of energy sources such as coal, oil, natural gas, hydroelectric energy, wind, solar and other renewable energy sources are used in electricity generation. At this point, it is observed that the share of renewable energy sources in total electricity generation has increased from year to year. It should be underlined that this increase is very important for the country’s economy. In this study, Turkey’s electricity generation by sources for the years 2020 and 2021 was predicted with artificial neural network (ANN) and bidirectional long short - term memory (BLSTM) methods using the data for electricity generation by sources in the years 2010-2019. The share of electricity generated from renewable energy sources in total electricity generation for 2020 by ANN and BLSTM methods was calculated as 18.08% and 18.6% respectively. For 2021, the share of electricity generated from renewable energy sources in total electricity generation was calculated as 21.95% and 21.68% respectively. These results show that the share of electricity generated from renewable energy sources in total electricity generation will increase. Finally, suggestions were made on what kind of roadmap should be followed in the field of investments in renewable energy resources.