Trip attraction model of central market in Poso City based on multiple linier regression model

Henny Indriyani Abulebu,Bleiser Tanari,Ahmad Munawar,Muhammad Zaly Shah,Bagus Hario Setiadji,Muhammad Asad Abdurrahman,Leksmono Suryo Putranto,Joewono Prasetijo,A.C Sutandi,Muhammad Isran Ramli,Junyi Zhang

doi:10.1051/matecconf/201818102008

Abstract

Analysis of trip attraction in shopping centers is one of the most important aspects of travel demand management (TDM) in developing countries. This research aims to describe significant factors that influence people in obtaining their choice of frequency. Variables used in this research are family’s socio-demographic variables, properties of trip to shopping centers, nature of selecting trip time, and ways to travel. This research adopts multinomial logit model by modeling or building causal relationship between significant variables that influence trip frequency. The findings show that on holiday, no variable has significant influence towards the trip attraction of visitor movement at the Poso Central Market, while on workday, shopping cost (Χ16) has become the most influential variable. Based on the regression equation, the trip attraction of visitor movement model at the Poso Central Market on holiday is Y Χ003D; 2.076 Χ002B;0.997 Χ6Χ002B;0.276 Χ13 Χ002B; 0.605 Χ15 Χ002B; 0.643 Χ16, where R2 Χ003D; 0.004 below 5% or tend to close to 0, so it can be concluded that the ability of independent variables in eΧplaining variation of variables is very limited. Meanwhile, the regression equation on the trip attraction of visitor movement model at the Poso Central Market on workday is Y Χ003D; 3.090 Χ002B; 0.250 Χ2 Χ002B;0.158 Χ6 Χ002B; 0.628 Χ15 Χ002B;0.050 Χ16 Χ002B;0.662 Χ17, where R2 Χ003D; 0.030 below 5% or tend to approach to close to 0, so it can be concluded that the ability of independent variables in in eΧplaining variation of variables is also very limited.

Highlights

Of all variety of human activities, one of them is trip to fulfill the needs of the economy, such as shopping trip
The model of trip attraction formulation was later generated by regression analysis with the following steps: 3.3 Validity and reliability test
Model of trip attraction for visitor movement to Poso Central Market on holiday was Y = 2.076 + 0.997 X6 +0.276 X13 + 0.605 X15 + 0.643 X16, where R2 = 0.004 below 5% or tends to close to 0, it is concluded that the ability of independent variables in explaining variable variation is very limited

Summary

Introduction

Of all variety of human activities, one of them is trip to fulfill the needs of the economy, such as shopping trip. The human needs for shopping is very important to fulfill since this plays an important role in fulfilling human being’s daily needs, enabling high frequencies of trip to a shopping center. Shopping trip has received a wide focus of researchers’ attention. Shopping trip has big proportion for urban trips, especially during peak period. Trip needs are fundamental in traffic planning. The key is how much effort is needed to meet the travel demand what method should be used. Among all factors that influence the selection of modes, the dominant factors in working is time factor. The dominant factor is cost, and safety, and the last factor is convenient factor [2, 3]

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Results

Conclusion