Trends of extreme waves around Hainan Island during typhoon processes

Abstract

Extreme waves mostly occur during typhoon processes in China Seas. This study statistically shows the trends of extreme wave height over the past several decades around Hainan Island, based on the reconstruction of historical wave processes during the typhoon events from 1949 to 2022. Totally 807 events in the tropical cyclone (TC) best track datasets are numerically simulated by the widely used wave model SWAN. The driving wind fields are reconstructed as a combination of an empirical cyclone wind model with the reanalysis wind field data, in order to better simulate waves near cyclone centers with higher spatial resolution. Based on the reconstructed wave data, the spatial distribution of wave characteristics around Hainan Island has been provided. The Mann-Kendall test shows a descending trend of extreme wave height in the southeast side of Hainan Island, where the maximum descending rate could reach up to 5 cm/yr. The influence of the long-term trend on the design extreme wave height is also discussed. Comparing to the variation of the design extreme wave height with sampling period, the long-term trend is also a significant impact factor.