Abstract

Aerosol Optical Thickness (AOT) is one of the important parameters for assessing regional and global level of climate change. Fog episodes have considerably increased in south Asia because of environmental factors, and the burning of agricultural residue leads to major social and economic problems. In present study, Mann-Kendall trend analysis of AOT and active fire events was done, and their significance were assessed using long-term (October 2012–February 2020) remote sensing data derived smog maps. Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite National Polar Partnership (VIIRS N-PP) was used to map AOT episodes over the northern region of Pakistan and India. Results reveal that AOT displays a significantly decreasing trend over the northern and eastern region of Pakistan and a similar decreasing trend from the Western to Eastern region of India. Furthermore, active fire events have a significantly increasing trend at the Northern region of Pakistan. However, fire events have a significantly decreasing trend over the southern and southeastern region of India. Additionally, statistically significant decreasing trends were observed for AOT over Chakwal (p-value = 0.2, Z_MK = −2.3) and Patiala (p-value = 0.15, Z_MK = −3.2). Fire events have a significantly increasing trend for Dera Ismail Khan (p-value = 0.01, Z_MK = 1.9), Jhang (p-value = 0.01, Z_MK = 1.9), and Chakwal (p-value = 0.01, Z_MK = 1.8), while they are significantly decreasing trend near New Delhi (p-value = 0.2, Z_MK = −0.9), Aligarh (p-value = 0.15, Z_MK = −0.9) and Patiala (p-value = 0.2, Z_MK = −0.8).

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