Abstract

The dry-wet transition is of great importance for vegetation dynamics, however the response mechanism of vegetation variations is still unclear due to the complicated effects of climate change. As a critical ecologically fragile area located in the southeast Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, the Yarlung Zangbo River (YZR) basin, which was selected as the typical area in this study, is significantly sensitive and vulnerable to climate change. The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) based on the GLDAS-NOAH products and the GIMMS-NDVI remote sensing data from 1982 to 2015 were employed to investigate the spatio-temporal characteristics of the dry-wet regime and the vegetation dynamic responses. The results showed that: (1) The spatio-temporal patterns of the precipitation and temperature simulated by the GLDAS-NOAH fitted well with those of the in-situ data. (2) During the period of 1982–2015, the whole YZR basin exhibited an overall wetting tendency. However, the spatio-temporal characteristics of the dry-wet regime exhibited a reversal phenomenon before and after 2000, which was jointly identified by the SPEI and runoff. That is, the YZR basin showed a wetting trend before 2000 and a drying trend after 2000; the arid areas in the basin showed a tendency of wetting whereas the humid areas exhibited a trend of drying. (3) The region where NDVI was positively correlated with SPEI accounted for approximately 70% of the basin area, demonstrating a similar spatio-temporal reversal phenomenon of the vegetation around 2000, indicating that the dry-wet condition is of great importance for the evolution of vegetation. (4) The SPEI showed a much more significant positive correlation with the soil water content which accounted for more than 95% of the basin area, implying that the soil water content was an important indicator to identify the dry-wet transition in the YZR basin.

Highlights

  • The current level of global climate change has been unprecedented in the past decades or even nearly a thousand years

  • Based on the performance evaluation of the GLDAS-NOAH data by using the in-situ data from 20 gauging meteorological stations, the transition characteristics of the dry-wet regime in the Yarlung Zangbo River (YZR) basin indicated by the Standard Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and runoff were identified, which were combined with the

  • Based on the performance evaluation of the GLDAS-NOAH data by using the in-situ data from 20 gauging meteorological stations, the transition characteristics of the dry-wet regime in the YZR basin indicated by the SPEI and runoff were identified, which were combined with the satellite-based normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to investigate the dynamic responses of the vegetation

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Summary

Introduction

The current level of global climate change has been unprecedented in the past decades or even nearly a thousand years. Numerous studies have attempted to improve drought detection and monitoring; a few objective indices have been developed on the basis of readily available climate data, such as the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) [25], Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) [26], and Standard Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) [27]. Among these indices, the PDSI, which is based on the supply and demand in the water balance, is one of the most widely used drought indices in the world. Since it was proposed in 2010, the SPEI has been widely used to monitor and assess the dry-wet conditions around the world [30–33]

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