Tidal modeling based on satellite altimetry observations of TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason1, Jason2, and Jason3 with high prediction capability: A case study of the Baltic Sea

Abstract

This research aims to optimize the utilization of long-term sea level data from the TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason1, Jason2, and Jason3 altimetry missions for tidal modeling. We generate a time series of along-track observations and apply a developed method to produce tidal models with specific tidal constituents for each location. Our tidal modeling methodology follows an iterative process: partitioning sea surface height (SSH) observations into analysis/training and prediction/validation parts and ultimately identifying the set of tidal constituents that provide the best predictions at each time series location. The study focuses on developing 1256 time series along the altimetry tracks over the Baltic Sea, each with its own set of tidal constituents. Verification of the developed tidal models against the SSH observations within the prediction/validation part reveals mean absolute error (MAE) values ranging from 0.0334 m to 0.1349 m, with an average MAE of 0.089 m. The same validation process is conducted on the FES2014 and EOT20 global tidal models, demonstrating that our tidal model, referred to as BT23 (short for Baltic Tide 2023), outperforms both models with an average MAE improvement of 0.0417 m and 0.0346 m, respectively. In addition to providing details on the development of the time series and the tidal modeling procedure, we offer the 1256 along-track time series and their associated tidal models as supplementary materials. We encourage the satellite altimetry community to utilize these resources for further research and applications.