Abstract

The open resource materials are used in this research to construct a numerical model and study the tidal flood in Pekalongan City, including the impact of land subsidence. The area of interest is in 6 villages in the north coast of Pekalongan namely, Jeruksari, Pabean, Bandengan, Kandang Panjang, Panjang Baru, and Panjang Wetan. Delft3D, an open ware, is used for numerical modelling. While the input data are obtained from GEBCO for bathymetry, SRTM for topography, and TPXO for tidal constituent. The resulting model shows a decent agreement with field tidal elevation data from Indonesian Navy Tide Tables and GLOSS. After applying the annual land subsidence, compare to flood in May 2018, it is found that the inundation height increases for around 11, 36, and 132 cm in 2019, 2025, and 2050. In 2050, an extreme inundation over 2.5 m is found. Similar with Jakarta flood, to protect the land area, coastal dykes may be proposed. However, for long-term resilience, it is recommended to emphasize efforts in decreasing the land subsidence rate. This study indicates the threat of tidal flood in Pekalongan, thus further studies followed with field survey and more constituents in the modelling are strongly recommended.

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