Tidal current prediction based on a hybrid machine learning method

Abstract

Accurate and reliable tidal current forecasting plays a key role in application of grid-connected tidal current power generation systems. Hence, a novel tidal current prediction method based on a hybrid machine learning method is proposed in this paper. Compared with previous tidal current prediction method, the proposed tidal current prediction method considers the influence of turbulence on multi-layer tidal velocity difference. A hybrid machine learning method based on hierarchical extreme learning machine(H-ELM) and long short-term memory (LSTM) is adopted to reduce effect of the turbulent flow, which enables to increase the accuracy of the prediction result. The tidal data that collected by using acoustic doppler current profiler (ADCP) in Zhejiang province China is used to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results of the case study show that the proposed method has higher accuracy than results from standard harmonic analysis using UTide (a freely available academic research product).