Abstract
The junction temperature of a power device in a natural air-cooled power converter fluctuates randomly due to the variation in airflow rate in ambient environments. Most of the existing thermal analysis methods do not pay attention to the uncertain influence of airflow on the heat-dissipation capacity of such converters, making it difficult to accurately evaluate the thermal safety of these devices. To address this issue, a thermal safety assessment method for power devices in natural air-cooled converters is proposed in this paper. In the proposed method, convective heat resistance samples of converter housing are extracted with an equivalent thermal network model and the historical operation temperature of the converter. Wavelet packet transform is used to analyze the time–frequency domain characteristics of the convective heat resistance, and Monte Carlo simulation is employed to simulate the random influence of the airflow rate on the device junction temperature. The thermal safety of power devices is assessed in the form of over-temperature probability, which is expressed by a two-variable growth function. An experimental platform is designed to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results show that the proposed method can accurately estimate the over-temperature risk of a power device in a natural air-cooled converter under different ambient temperature and current levels, thus effectively improving the thermal reliability of converters.
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