Abstract

After successfully biding to host the 2022 Winter Olympic Games in Beijing, Chinese sports development opened a new chapter and the mission of universities host sporting events and the activities is becoming more difficult. Large-scale activities hosted in universities have features including a wide-ranging, complex factor, multi-stage, and so on. Risk is everywhere. Based on the crisis spread theory made by Steven Fink, the paper divides the risk decision-making system into four phases and makes the risk assessment decision using a comprehensive method of decision tree analysis and Monte Carlo simulation. Finally, the paper makes a risk decision-making empirical analysis of Beijing University of Technology hosted large-scale activities of C in the venue.

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