Abstract

BackgroundHuman movement is a driver of malaria transmission and has implications for sustainable malaria control. However, little research has been done on the impact of fine-scale movement on malaria transmission and control in high-transmission settings. As interest in targeted malaria control increases, evaluations are needed to determine the appropriateness of these strategies in the context of human mobility across a variety of transmission settings.MethodsA human mobility study was conducted in Nchelenge District, a high-transmission setting in northern Zambia. Over 1 year, 84 participants were recruited from active malaria surveillance cohorts to wear a global positioning system data logger for 1 month during all daily activity. Participants completed a survey questionnaire and underwent malaria testing and treatment at the time of logger distribution and at collection 1 month later. Incident malaria infections were identified using polymerase chain reaction. Participant movement was characterized throughout the study area and across areas targeted for an indoor residual spraying (IRS) intervention. Participant movement patterns were compared using movement intensity maps, activity space plots, and statistical analyses. Malaria risk was characterized across participants using spatial risk maps and time spent away from home during peak vector biting hours.ResultsMovement data were collected from 82 participants, and 63 completed a second study visit. Participants exhibited diverse mobility patterns across the study area, including movement into and out of areas targeted for IRS, potentially mitigating the impact of IRS on parasite prevalence. Movement patterns did not differ significantly by season or age, but male participants traveled longer distances and spent more time away from home. Monthly malaria incidence was 22%, and malaria risk was characterized as high across participants. Participants with incident parasitemia traveled a shorter distance and spent more time away from home during peak biting hours; however, these relationships were not statistically significant, and malaria risk score did not differ by incident parasitemia.ConclusionsIndividual movement patterns in Nchelenge District, Zambia have implications for malaria control, particularly the effectiveness of targeted IRS strategies. Large and fine-scale population mobility patterns should be considered when planning intervention strategies across transmission settings.

Highlights

  • Human movement is a driver of malaria transmission and has implications for sustainable malaria control

  • These types of patterns have been cited as contributing causes for the failure of the Global Malaria Eradication Program (GMEP) [7, 10]

  • The aims of this study were to describe human movement patterns in a remote, rural area of sub-Saharan Africa to assess the relationships between movement and malaria risk in a high-transmission setting, and to investigate the potential impact of fine-scale mobility on targeted indoor residual spraying (IRS)

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Summary

Introduction

Human movement is a driver of malaria transmission and has implications for sustainable malaria control. If competent vectors are present, reintroduction events can lead to a resurgence of malaria transmission in the absence of sustained malaria control programs [9]. These types of patterns have been cited as contributing causes for the failure of the Global Malaria Eradication Program (GMEP) [7, 10]. Due to these factors, malaria control in regions receptive to transmission may be inherently unstable, and accounting for human movement is necessary for sustainable control. Studies in recent years have further strengthened this conclusion using novel methods of characterizing human mobility patterns, including anonymized cellular phone records, census-based migration data, and records of ticketed travel [11,12,13,14,15,16,17]

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