Abstract

As a variable system, the Lake of Kastoria is a good example regarding the pattern of the Mediterranean shallow lakes. The focus of this study is on the investigation of this lake’s eutrophication, analyzing the relation of the basic factors that affect this phenomenon using fuzzy logic. In the method we suggest, while there are many fuzzy implications that can be used since the proposition can take values in the close interval [0,1], we investigate the most appropriate implication for the studied water body. We propose a method evaluating fuzzy implications by constructing triangular non-asymptotic fuzzy numbers for each of the studied parameters coming from experimental data. This is achieved with the use of fuzzy estimators and fuzzy linear regression. In this way, we achieve a better understanding of the mechanisms and functions that regulate this ecosystem.

Highlights

  • Water resources are considered to be a valuable commodity of inestimable value

  • Our first step was the construction of the non-asymptotic fuzzy numbers

  • Livestock farming contributes to the production and input of pollutants in the lake

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Summary

Introduction

Water resources are considered to be a valuable commodity of inestimable value. because of the effects of climate change (desertification—drought, water rise, floods, groundwater pollution, coastal erosion and erosion, wetland degradation; heat waves—fires, windstorms or siphons, reduction of biodiversity, etc.) and human intervention, the quality of surface and groundwater is continuously degrading and drinking water reserves are constantly decreasing [1,2,3]. The need for increased use of water resources stems from population growth and ever-increasing demands on water and food, and from the growth that generates activities and demands larger quantities of water. Urban water bodies usually have limited surface areas and poor mobility. As a result, they are susceptible to ecological deterioration with smaller water bodies and experience the phenomenon of eutrophication [4]. Strict measures should be taken by authorities in order to preserve and restore the quality and quantity of water basins [5,6], especially in areas that have been categorized as climate change hot spots, such as the Mediterranean Basin

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