The use of fuzzy cognitive maps in the development of an experimental model of automation of production accounting of material flows

Abstract

Automation of enterprise management on the basis of economic and mathematical models, information technology is one of the main stages of development for all enterprises. The use of cognitive modeling allows making management decisions under uncertainty. The article considers the construction of an experimental model of automation of production accounting of material flows based on the use of fuzzy cognitive maps. The algorithm of cognitive modeling is presented. The main advantages of cognitive tools are noted: 1) the ability to study the fine structure of management decisions (the necessary sequence of management actions, the necessary degree of activity of these actions, the study of the dynamic stability of strategies, etc.); 2) the opportunity to explore the dynamics of management decisions at a qualitative level, without attracting for this purpose hard-to-access and not always reliable quantitative information, which is extremely important in a rapidly changing business environment and the growing pace of technological innovation.It is emphasized that none of the known management support tools has the above capabilities. Cognitive dynamic analysis significantly expands the tool base of management, based today mainly on the means of static situational analysis and prescription schemes of decision-making.In the construction of the experimental model, the target factors of the cognitive map are determined, the connectivity analysis is carried out and the process of propagation of disturbances on the graph is studied.The analysis showed that the proposed model is quite efficient and can be used to predict economic activity and determine the expected values of a number of parameters that need to be monitored to diagnose trends in the development of an industrial enterprise. The results of the work should be considered as a solution to a number of management tasks.