Abstract
ABSTRACT This article examines the current rivalry between the United States and the People’s Republic of China with a focus on the issue of Taiwan. A central question is whether Washington should change its current deterrence approach towards a possible Chinese invasion of Taiwan, moving from a policy of ‘strategic ambiguity’ about the potential of American military intervention to one based on ‘strategic clarity’ that commits US forces in advance to Taiwan’s defence. The article draws on deterrence theory, notably the so-called three Cs of deterrence (capability, commitment, and communications), and makes the case that a shift from strategic ambiguity to clarity will be necessary to uphold deterrence against a potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan.
Published Version
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