The Status and Influencing Factors of Surface Water Dynamics on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau During 2000–2020

Abstract

The Qinghai–Tibet Plateau is rich in water resources with numerous lakes, rivers, and glaciers, and, as a source of many rivers in Central Asia, it is known as the Asian Water Tower. Under global climate change, it is critical to understand the current influencing factors on surface water area in this region. Although there are numerous studies on surface water mapping, they are still limited by temporal/spatial resolution and record length. Moreover, the complicated topographic condition makes it challenging to map the surface water accurately. Here, we proposed an automatic two-step annual surface water classification framework using long time-series Landsat images and topographic information based on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. The results showed that the producer accuracy (PA) and user accuracy (UA) of the surface water map in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau in 2020 were 99% and 90%, respectively, and the Kappa coefficient reached 0.87. Our dataset showed high consistency with high-resolution images, indicating that the proposed large-scale water mapping method has great application potential. Furthermore, a new annual surface water area dataset on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2020 was generated, and its relationship with climate, vegetation, permafrost, and glacier factors was explored. We found that the mean surface water area was about 59 481 km2, and there was a significant increasing trend (=322 km2/year, <inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <tex-math notation="LaTeX">$p &lt; 0.01$ </tex-math></inline-formula> ) during 2000–2020 in the plateau. Greening, warming, and wetting climate conditions contributed to the increase of surface water area. Active layer thickness and permafrost types may be the most related to the decrease of surface water area. This study provides important information for ecological assessment and protection of the plateau and promotes the implementation of sustainable development goals related to surface water resources.