The Simplified Comorbidity Index predicts non-relapse mortality in reduced-intensity conditioning allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation.

Abstract

Comorbidity assessment before allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) is essential for estimating non-relapse mortality (NRM) risk. We previously developed the Simplified Comorbidity Index (SCI), which captures a small number of 'high-yield' comorbidities and older age. The SCI was predictive of NRM in myeloablative CD34-selected allo-HCT. Here, we evaluated the SCI in a single-centre cohort of 327 patients receiving reduced-intensity conditioning followed by unmanipulated allografts from HLA-matched donors. Among the SCI factors, age above 60, mild renal impairment, moderate pulmonary disease and cardiac disease were most frequent. SCI scores ranged from 0 to 8, with 39%, 20%, 20% and 21% having scores of 0-1, 2, 3 and ≥4 respectively. Corresponding cumulative incidences of 3-year NRM were 11%, 16%, 22% and 27%; p = 0.03. In multivariable models, higher SCI scores were associated with incremental risks of all-cause mortality and NRM. The SCI had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 65.9%, 64.1% and 62.9% for predicting 1-, 2- and 3-year NRM versus 58.4%, 60.4% and 59.3% with the haematopoietic cell transplantation comorbidity index. These results demonstrate for the first time that the SCI is predictive of NRM in patients receiving allo-HCT from HLA-matched donors after reduced-intensity conditioning.